Benjamin Graham taught that Intelligent Investors must do a thorough fundamental analysis of investment opportunities to determine their intrinsic value and inherent risk. This is best done by utilizing a systematic approach to analysis that will provide investors with a sense of how a specific company compares to another company or by reviewing the 5 Most Undervalued Companies for the Defensive Investor – May 2015. By using the ModernGraham method one can review a company’s historical accomplishments and determine an intrinsic value that can be compared across industries. What follows is a stock analysis showing a specific look at how MeadWestvaco Corporation (MWV) fares in the ModernGraham valuation model.
Company Profile (obtained from Google Finance): MeadWestvaco Corporation, is a packaging company. The Company operates in segments including: Food & Beverage; Home, Health & Beauty; Industrial; Specialty Chemicals, and Community Development and Land Management. Food & Beverage, produces packaging materials, and designs and produces packaging solutions for the global food, food service, beverage, dairy and tobacco end markets as well as paperboard for commercial printing. Home, Health & Beauty, designs and produces packaging solutions for personal care, fragrance, home care, lawn and garden, prescription drug and healthcare end markets. Industrial, designs and produces corrugated packaging solutions, primarily for produce, meat, consumer products and bulk goods. Specialty Chemicals, manufactures, markets and distributes specialty chemicals derived from sawdust and other byproducts of the papermaking process. Community Development and Land Management, responsible for land development.
Defensive Investor – must pass at least 6 of the following 7 tests: Score = 4/7
- Adequate Size of Enterprise – market capitalization of at least $2 billion – PASS
- Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition – current ratio greater than 2 – FAIL
- Earnings Stability – positive earnings per share for at least 10 straight years – PASS
- Dividend Record – has paid a dividend for at least 10 straight years – PASS
- Earnings Growth – earnings per share has increased by at least 1/3 over the last 10 years using 3 year averages at beginning and end of period – PASS
- Moderate PEmg ratio – PEmg is less than 20 – FAIL
- Moderate Price to Assets – PB ratio is less than 2.5 or PB x PEmg is less than 50 – FAIL
Enterprising Investor – must pass at least 4 of the following 5 tests or be suitable for a defensive investor: Score = 4/5
- Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition, Part 1 – current ratio greater than 1.5 – PASS
- Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition, Part 2 – Debt to Net Current Assets ratio less than 1.1 – FAIL
- Earnings Stability – positive earnings per share for at least 5 years – PASS
- Dividend Record – currently pays a dividend – PASS
- Earnings growth – EPSmg greater than 5 years ago – PASS
|Value Based on 3% Growth||$31.26|
|Value Based on 0% Growth||$18.33|
|Market Implied Growth Rate||7.57%|
|Net Current Asset Value (NCAV)||-$24.24|
Balance Sheet – March 2015
Earnings Per Share
Earnings Per Share – ModernGraham
As this stock analysis shows, MeadWestvaco is suitable for the Enterprising Investor but not the Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned by the low current ratio, and the high PEmg and PB ratios. The Enterprising Investor is only concerned with the level of debt relative to the net current assets. As a result, all Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach based on Benjamin Graham’s methods should feel very comfortable proceeding with further research and comparing the company to other opportunities. From a valuation side of things, the company appears to be undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $1.07 in 2011 to an estimated $2.16 for 2015. This level of demonstrated growth outpaces the market’s implied estimate of 7.57% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years and leads the ModernGraham valuation model, based on Benjamin Graham’s formula, to return an estimate of intrinsic value well above the price.
The next part of the analysis is up to individual investors, and requires discussion of the company’s prospects. What do you think? What value would you put on MeadWestvaco Corporation (MWV)? Where do you see the company going in the future? Is there a company you like better? Leave a comment on our Facebook page or mention @ModernGraham on Twitter to discuss.
Disclaimer: The author did not hold a position in any company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours. Logo taken from Wikipedia for the sole purpose of identifying the company; this article is not affiliated with the company in any manner.