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Tuesday, January 16, 2018

Fossil Group Inc. Analysis – September 2015 Update $FOSL



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Benjamin Graham taught that Intelligent Investors must do a thorough fundamental analysis of investment opportunities to determine their intrinsic value and inherent risk.  This is best done by utilizing a systematic approach to analysis that will provide investors with a sense of how a specific company compares to another company or by reviewing the 10 Most Undervalued Companies for the Defensive Investor – August 2015.  By using the ModernGraham method one can review a company’s historical accomplishments and determine an intrinsic value that can be compared across industries.  What follows is a stock analysis showing a specific look at how Fossil Group Inc. (FOSL) fares in the ModernGraham valuation model.

Company Profile (obtained from Google Finance): Fossil Group, Inc. is a global designer, marketer and distributor company that specializes in consumer fashion accessories. The Company’s offerings include a line of men’s and women’s fashion watches and jewelry, handbags, small leather goods, belts, sunglasses, soft accessories, and select apparel. The Company operates in four different segments: the North America Wholesale segment, the Europe Wholesale segment, Asia Pacific Wholesale segment and the Direct to Consumer segment. Its products are distributed globally through various distribution channels, including wholesale, retail stores and commercial Websites. The Company sells its products through a diversified distribution network that includes department stores, specialty retail locations, specialty watch and jewelry stores, Company-owned retail and factory outlet stores, mass market stores, and through its FOSSIL Website.


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Premium members can view a full ModernGraham valuation of the company and have access to download a PDF version of the valuation for easy reference. Here is a free sample valuation pdf, and here is a post detailing what can be found within each individual company’s valuation.


Useful Links:

ModernGraham tagged articles Morningstar
Google Finance MSN Money
Yahoo Finance Seeking Alpha
GuruFocus SEC Filings

Most Recent Balance Sheet Figures

Total Current Assets $1,366,339,000
Total Current Liabilities $381,910,000
Long-Term Debt $674,445,000
Total Assets $2,059,441,000
Intangible Assets $363,942,000
Total Liabilities $1,226,495,000
Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) 48,744,000

Earnings Per Share History

Next Fiscal Year Estimate $4.81
Dec14 $7.10
Dec13 $6.56
Dec12 $5.59
Dec11 $4.61
Dec10 $3.77
Dec09 $2.07
Dec08 $2.02
Dec07 $1.75
Dec06 $1.13
Dec05 $1.07
Dec04 $1.22
Dec03 $0.93
Dec02 $0.81
Dec01 $0.62
Dec00 $0.76
Dec99 $0.69
Dec98 $0.44
Dec97 $0.18
Dec96 $0.20
Dec95 $0.12

Earnings Per Share – ModernGraham History

Next Fiscal Year Estimate $5.86
Dec14 $6.10
Dec13 $5.24
Dec12 $4.26
Dec11 $3.34
Dec10 $2.52
Dec09 $1.80
Dec08 $1.59
Dec07 $1.32
Dec06 $1.08
Dec05 $1.02
Dec04 $0.95
Dec03 $0.80
Dec02 $0.71
Dec01 $0.62
Dec00 $0.56
Dec99 $0.42

Recommended Reading:

Other ModernGraham posts about the company

10 Most Undervalued Companies for the Defensive Investor – September 2015
10 Low PE Stocks for the Defensive Investor – August 2015
The Best Companies of the Retail Industry – August 2015
10 Most Undervalued Companies for the Defensive Investor – August 2015
10 Companies Benjamin Graham Would Invest In Today – August 2015

Other ModernGraham posts about related companies

Ross Stores Inc. Analysis – August 2015 Update $ROST
The Best Companies of the Retail Industry – August 2015
Bed Bath & Beyond Inc. Analysis – August 2015 Update $BBBY
Ann Inc. Analysis – Initial Coverage $ANN
Kohl’s Corporation Analysis – August 2015 Update $KSS
Aaron’s Inc. Analysis – Initial Coverage $AAN
Nordstrom Inc. Analysis – July 2015 Update $JWN
Tractor Supply Company Analysis – Initial Coverage $TSCO
Coach Inc. Analysis – July 2015 Update $COH
TJX Companies Analysis – July 2015 Update $TJX

Disclaimer:

The author did not hold a position in any company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours.  See my current holdings here.  This article is not investment advice; any reader should speak to a registered investment adviser prior to making any investment decisions.  ModernGraham is not affiliated with the company in any manner.  Please be sure to review our detailed disclaimer.

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