Retail Stocks

Bed Bath & Beyond Inc. Valuation – November 2015 Update $BBBY

Benjamin Graham taught that Intelligent Investors must do a thorough fundamental analysis of investment opportunities to determine their intrinsic value and inherent risk.  This is best done by utilizing a systematic approach to analysis that will provide investors with a sense of how a specific company compares to another company or by reviewing the 10 Most Undervalued Companies for the Defensive Investor – November 2015.  By using the ModernGraham method one can review a company’s historical accomplishments and determine an intrinsic value that can be compared across industries.  What follows is a stock analysis showing a specific look at how Bed Bath & Beyond Inc. (BBBY) fares in the ModernGraham valuation model.

Company Profile (obtained from Google Finance): Bed Bath & Beyond Inc. and subsidiaries is a retailer selling an assortment of domestics merchandise and home furnishings, which operates under the names Bed Bath & Beyond, Christmas Tree Shops, Christmas Tree Shops andThat! or andThat!, Harmon or Harmon Face Values, buybuy BABY and World Market, Cost Plus World Market or Cost Plus. Customers can purchase products from the Company either in-store, online or through a mobile device. In addition, the Company operates Of a Kind, an e-commerce Website that features specially commissioned, limited edition items from emerging fashion and home designers. It also operates Linen Holdings, a provider of a variety of textile products, amenities and other goods to institutional customers in the hospitality, cruise line, healthcare and other industries. The Company is a partner in a joint venture which operates retail stores in Mexico under the name Bed Bath & Beyond. It sells an assortment of domestics merchandise and home furnishings.

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Downloadable PDF version of this valuation:

ModernGraham Valuation of BBBY – November 2015

Stage 1: Is this company suitable for the Defensive Investor or the Enterprising Investor?

What kind of Intelligent Investor are you?

Defensive Investor; must pass 6 out of the following 7 tests.
1. Adequate Size of the Enterprise Market Cap > $2Bil $9,159,889,820 Pass
2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Current Ratio > 2 2.00 Fail
3. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 10 years prior Pass
4. Dividend Record Dividend Payments for 10 years prior Fail
5. Earnings Growth Increase of 33% in EPS in past 10 years using 3 year averages at beginning and end 156.26% Pass
6. Moderate PEmg Ratio PEmg < 20 11.09 Pass
7. Moderate Price to Assets PB Ratio < 2.5 OR PB*PEmg < 50 3.51 Pass
Score
Enterprising Investor; must pass 4 out of the following 5 tests, or be suitable for the Defensive Investor.
1. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Current Ratio > 1.5 2.00 Pass
2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Debt to NCA < 1.1 0.75 Pass
3. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 5 years prior Pass
4. Dividend Record Currently Pays Dividend Fail
5. Earnings Growth EPSmg greater than 5 years ago Pass

Stage 2: Determination of Intrinsic Value

BBBY value Chart November 2015

EPSmg $4.88
MG Growth Estimate 9.49%
MG Value $134.12
Opinion Undervalued
MG Value based on 3% Growth $70.79
MG Value based on 0% Growth $41.50
Market Implied Growth Rate 1.29%
Current Price $54.14
% of Intrinsic Value 40.37%

Bed Bath & Beyond Inc. qualifies for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor.  The Defensive Investor is concerned with the low current ratio and lack of dividends.  The Enterprising Investor is only initially concerned by the lack of dividends. As a result, all Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach based on Benjamin Graham’s methods should feel comfortable proceeding with further research into the company.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $2.99 in 2012 to an estimated $4.88 for 2015.  This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market’s implied estimate of 1.29% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years.  As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on Benjamin Graham’s formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.

The next part of the analysis is up to individual investors, and requires discussion of the company’s prospects.  What do you think?  What value would you put on Bed Bath & Beyond Inc. (BBBY)?  Where do you see the company going in the future?  Is there a company you like better?  Leave a comment on our Facebook page or mention @ModernGraham on Twitter to discuss.

Stage 3: Information for Further Research

BBBY Charts November 2015

Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) -$0.51
Graham Number $41.94
PEmg 11.09
Current Ratio 2.00
PB Ratio 3.51
Dividend Yield 0.00%
Number of Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth 0

 

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Most Recent Balance Sheet Figures

Balance Sheet Information Aug15
Total Current Assets $3,997,892,000
Total Current Liabilities $2,003,199,000
Long-Term Debt $1,500,000,000
Total Assets $6,651,306,000
Intangible Assets $487,139,000
Total Liabilities $4,083,038,000
Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) 166,633,000

Earnings Per Share History

Next Fiscal Year Estimate $5.08
Feb15 $5.07
Feb14 $4.79
Feb13 $4.56
Feb12 $4.06
Feb11 $3.07
Feb10 $2.30
Feb09 $1.64
Feb08 $2.10
Feb07 $2.09
Feb06 $1.92
Feb05 $1.65
Feb04 $1.31
Feb03 $1.00
Feb02 $0.74
Feb01 $0.59
Feb00 $0.46
Feb99 $0.34
Feb98 $0.26
Feb97 $0.20
Feb96 $0.15

Earnings Per Share – ModernGraham History

Next Fiscal Year Estimate $4.88
Feb15 $4.63
Feb14 $4.19
Feb13 $3.63
Feb12 $2.99
Feb11 $2.38
Feb10 $2.03
Feb09 $1.89
Feb08 $1.95
Feb07 $1.78
Feb06 $1.52
Feb05 $1.24
Feb04 $0.96
Feb03 $0.73
Feb02 $0.56
Feb01 $0.43
Feb00 $0.33

Recommended Reading:

Other ModernGraham posts about the company

5 Undervalued Companies for Enterprising Investors Near 52 Week Lows – November 2015
10 Low PE Stocks for the Enterprising Investor – November 2015
The Best Companies of the Retail Industry – August 2015
15 Best Stocks For Value Investors This Week – 8/22/15
Bed Bath & Beyond Inc. Analysis – August 2015 Update $BBBY

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Disclaimer:

The author did not hold a position in any company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours.  See my current holdings here.  This article is not investment advice; any reader should speak to a registered investment adviser prior to making any investment decisions.  ModernGraham is not affiliated with the company in any manner.  Please be sure to review our detailed disclaimer.

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