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Iron Mountain Inc Valuation – July 2016 $IRM

Benjamin Graham taught that Intelligent Investors must do a thorough fundamental analysis of investment opportunities to determine their intrinsic value and inherent risk.  This is best done by utilizing a systematic approach to analysis that will provide investors with a sense of how a specific company compares to another company or by reviewing the 10 Companies Benjamin Graham Would Invest In Today – July 2016.  By using the ModernGraham method one can review a company’s historical accomplishments and determine an intrinsic value that can be compared across industries.  What follows is a stock analysis showing a specific look at how Iron Mountain Inc (IRM) fares in the ModernGraham valuation model.

Company Profile (obtained from Google Finance): Iron Mountain Inc. is a holding company, which stores records, primarily physical records and data backup media, and provides information management services. The Company operates through five segments: North American Records and Information Management Business, North American Data Management Business, Western European Business, Other International Business and Corporate and Other Business. The Company offers records and information management services, and data management services. The Company provides storage and information management services to legal, financial, healthcare, insurance, life sciences, energy, businesses services and government organizations. Its other services include information destruction services (primarily secure shredding), document management solutions (DMS), compliant records management and consulting services, health information storage and management solutions, entertainment services, energy data services, discovery services and other ancillary services.

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Downloadable PDF version of this valuation:

ModernGraham Valuation of IRM – July 2016

Stage 1: Is this company suitable for the Defensive Investor or the Enterprising Investor?

What kind of Intelligent Investor are you?

Defensive Investor; must pass 6 out of the following 7 tests.
1. Adequate Size of the Enterprise Market Cap > $2Bil $8,702,754,995 Pass
2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Current Ratio > 2 1.11 Fail
3. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 10 years prior Fail
4. Dividend Record Dividend Payments for 10 years prior Fail
5. Earnings Growth Increase of 33% in EPS in past 10 years using 3 year averages at beginning and end 95.98% Pass
6. Moderate PEmg Ratio PEmg < 20 30.72 Fail
7. Moderate Price to Assets PB Ratio < 2.5 OR PB*PEmg < 50 17.57 Fail
Enterprising Investor; must pass 4 out of the following 5 tests, or be suitable for the Defensive Investor.
1. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Current Ratio > 1.5 1.11 Fail
2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Debt to NCA < 1.1 59.13 Fail
3. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 5 years prior Pass
4. Dividend Record Currently Pays Dividend Pass
5. Earnings Growth EPSmg greater than 5 years ago Pass

Stage 2: Determination of Intrinsic Value

IRM value chart July 2016

EPSmg $1.34
MG Growth Estimate 5.42%
MG Value $25.84
Opinion Overvalued
MG Grade D+
MG Value based on 3% Growth $19.38
MG Value based on 0% Growth $11.36
Market Implied Growth Rate 11.11%
Current Price $41.06
% of Intrinsic Value 158.87%

Iron Mountain Inc does not satisfy the requirements of either the Enterprising Investor or the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the low current ratio, insufficient earnings stability over the last ten years, the poor dividend history, and the high PEmg and PB ratios. The Enterprising Investor has concerns regarding the level of debt relative to the current assets. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should explore other opportunities at this time or proceed cautiously with a speculative attitude.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Overvalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $0.98 in 2012 to an estimated $1.34 for 2016. This level of demonstrated earnings growth does not support the market’s implied estimate of 11.11% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on Benjamin Graham’s formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value below the price.

Iron Mountain Inc scores quite poorly in the ModernGraham grading system, with an overall grade of D+.

Stage 3: Information for Further Research

IRM charts July 2016

Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) -$23.98
Graham Number $10.65
PEmg 30.72
Current Ratio 1.11
PB Ratio 17.57
Current Dividend $1.92
Dividend Yield 4.68%
Number of Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth 7

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Most Recent Balance Sheet Figures

Balance Sheet Information 3/1/2016
Total Current Assets $831,896,000
Total Current Liabilities $748,493,000
Long-Term Debt $4,931,296,000
Total Assets $6,422,309,000
Intangible Assets $3,019,058,000
Total Liabilities $5,925,911,000
Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) 212,471,000

Earnings Per Share History

Next Fiscal Year Estimate $2.15
Dec2015 $0.58
Dec2014 $1.66
Dec2013 $0.51
Dec2012 $0.98
Dec2011 $2.02
Dec2010 -$0.27
Dec2009 $1.08
Dec2008 $0.40
Dec2007 $0.76
Dec2006 $0.64
Dec2005 $0.56
Dec2004 $0.48
Dec2003 $0.44
Dec2002 $0.30
Dec2001 -$0.24
Dec2000 -$0.15
Dec1999 -$0.12
Dec1998 -$0.18
Dec1997 -$0.20

Earnings Per Share – ModernGraham History

Next Fiscal Year Estimate $1.34
Dec2015 $1.00
Dec2014 $1.14
Dec2013 $0.87
Dec2012 $0.98
Dec2011 $0.92
Dec2010 $0.42
Dec2009 $0.74
Dec2008 $0.57
Dec2007 $0.63
Dec2006 $0.54
Dec2005 $0.43
Dec2004 $0.29
Dec2003 $0.15
Dec2002 -$0.02
Dec2001 -$0.18
Dec2000 -$0.14

Recommended Reading:

Other ModernGraham posts about the company

Iron Mountain Inc. Annual Valuation – 2015 $IRM
18 Companies in the Spotlight This Week – 5/17/14
Iron Mountain Inc. (IRM) Annual Valuation – 2014

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Disclaimer:

The author did not hold a position in any company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours.  See my current holdings here.  This article is not investment advice; any reader should speak to a registered investment adviser prior to making any investment decisions.  ModernGraham is not affiliated with the company in any manner.  Please be sure to review our detailed disclaimer.

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