Retail Stocks

Best Buy Co Valuation – July 2016 $BBY

Benjamin Graham taught that Intelligent Investors must do a thorough fundamental analysis of investment opportunities to determine their intrinsic value and inherent risk.  This is best done by utilizing a systematic approach to analysis that will provide investors with a sense of how a specific company compares to another company or by reviewing the 10 Companies Benjamin Graham Would Invest In Today – July 2016.  By using the ModernGraham method one can review a company’s historical accomplishments and determine an intrinsic value that can be compared across industries.  What follows is a stock analysis showing a specific look at how Best Buy Co (BBY) fares in the ModernGraham valuation model.

Company Profile (obtained from Google Finance): Best Buy Co., Inc. is a provider of technology products, services and solutions. The Company offers products and services to the customers visiting its stores, engaging with Geek Squad agents or using its Websites or mobile applications. It operates through two segments: Domestic and International. The Domestic segment consists of the operations in all states, districts and territories of the United States, under various brand names, including Best Buy, bestbuy.com, Best Buy Mobile, Best Buy Direct, Best Buy Express, Geek Squad, Magnolia Home Theater, and Pacific Kitchen and Home. The International segment consists of all operations in Canada and Mexico under the brand names, Best Buy, bestbuy.com.ca, bestbuy.com.mx, Best Buy Express, Best Buy Mobile and Geek Squad. It Domestic and International segments have offerings in over six categories, such as consumer electronics, computing and mobile phones, entertainment, appliances, services and other.

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BBY Chart

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Premium members can view a full ModernGraham valuation of the company and have access to download a PDF version of the valuation for easy reference. Here is a free sample valuation pdf, and here is a post detailing what can be found within each individual company’s valuation.

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Downloadable PDF version of this valuation:

ModernGraham Valuation of BBY – July 2016

Stage 1: Is this company suitable for the Defensive Investor or the Enterprising Investor?

What kind of Intelligent Investor are you?

Defensive Investor; must pass 6 out of the following 7 tests.
1. Adequate Size of the Enterprise Market Cap > $2Bil $10,769,072,708 Pass
2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Current Ratio > 2 1.47 Fail
3. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 10 years prior Fail
4. Dividend Record Dividend Payments for 10 years prior Pass
5. Earnings Growth Increase of 33% in EPS in past 10 years using 3 year averages at beginning and end 4.22% Fail
6. Moderate PEmg Ratio PEmg < 20 14.94 Pass
7. Moderate Price to Assets PB Ratio < 2.5 OR PB*PEmg < 50 2.46 Pass
Enterprising Investor; must pass 4 out of the following 5 tests, or be suitable for the Defensive Investor.
1. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Current Ratio > 1.5 1.47 Fail
2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Debt to NCA < 1.1 0.45 Pass
3. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 5 years prior Fail
4. Dividend Record Currently Pays Dividend Pass
5. Earnings Growth EPSmg greater than 5 years ago Pass

Stage 2: Determination of Intrinsic Value

BBY value chart July 2016

EPSmg $2.23
MG Growth Estimate 15.00%
MG Value $85.75
Opinion Undervalued
MG Grade C
MG Value based on 3% Growth $32.30
MG Value based on 0% Growth $18.93
Market Implied Growth Rate 3.22%
Current Price $33.28
% of Intrinsic Value 38.81%

Best Buy Co Inc does not satisfy the requirements of either the Enterprising Investor or the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the low current ratio, insufficient earnings stability or growth over the last ten years. The Enterprising Investor has concerns regarding the low current ratio, and the lack of earnings stability over the last five years. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should explore other opportunities at this time or proceed cautiously with a speculative attitude.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $0.85 in 2012 to an estimated $2.23 for 2017. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market’s implied estimate of 3.22% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on Benjamin Graham’s formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.

Best Buy Co Inc receives an average overall rating in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring a C.

Stage 3: Information for Further Research

BBY charts July 2016

Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) $2.47
Graham Number $28.27
PEmg 14.94
Current Ratio 1.47
PB Ratio 2.46
Current Dividend $0.97
Dividend Yield 2.91%
Number of Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth 13

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Useful Links:

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GuruFocus SEC Filings

Most Recent Balance Sheet Figures

Balance Sheet Information 4/1/2016
Total Current Assets $9,282,000,000
Total Current Liabilities $6,334,000,000
Long-Term Debt $1,334,000,000
Total Assets $12,901,000,000
Intangible Assets $443,000,000
Total Liabilities $8,475,000,000
Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) 326,700,000

Earnings Per Share History

Next Fiscal Year Estimate $2.60
Jan2016 $2.56
Jan2015 $3.49
Jan2014 $1.53
Feb2012 -$3.36
Feb2011 $3.08
Feb2010 $3.10
Feb2009 $2.39
Feb2008 $3.12
Feb2007 $2.79
Feb2006 $2.27
Feb2005 $1.96
Feb2004 $1.43
Feb2003 $0.20
Feb2002 $1.18
Feb2001 $0.83
Feb2000 $0.73
Feb1999 $0.48
Feb1998 $0.23
Feb1997 $0.00
Feb1996 $0.13

Earnings Per Share – ModernGraham History

Next Fiscal Year Estimate $2.23
Jan2016 $1.85
Jan2015 $1.52
Jan2014 $0.80
Feb2012 $0.85
Feb2011 $2.93
Feb2010 $2.82
Feb2009 $2.62
Feb2008 $2.60
Feb2007 $2.13
Feb2006 $1.67
Feb2005 $1.29
Feb2004 $0.93
Feb2003 $0.68
Feb2002 $0.84
Feb2001 $0.60
Feb2000 $0.42

Recommended Reading:

Other ModernGraham posts about the company

Best Buy Stock Analysis – 2015 Annual Update $BBY
19 Companies in the Spotlight This Week – 3/15/14
Best Buy Company Inc. (BBY) Annual Valuation

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Disclaimer:

The author did not hold a position in any company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours.  See my current holdings here.  This article is not investment advice; any reader should speak to a registered investment adviser prior to making any investment decisions.  ModernGraham is not affiliated with the company in any manner.  Please be sure to review our detailed disclaimer.

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