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BorgWarner Inc Valuation – December 2016 $BWA

Benjamin Graham taught that Intelligent Investors must do a thorough fundamental analysis of investment opportunities to determine their intrinsic value and inherent risk.  This is best done by utilizing a systematic approach to analysis that will provide investors with a sense of how a specific company compares to another company or by reviewing the 10 Stocks for Using A Benjamin Graham Value Investing Strategy – December 2016.  By using the ModernGraham method one can review a company’s historical accomplishments and determine an intrinsic value that can be compared across industries.  What follows is a stock analysis showing a specific look at how BorgWarner Inc (BWA) fares in the ModernGraham valuation model.

Company Profile (obtained from Google Finance): BorgWarner Inc. is a supplier of engineered automotive systems and components for powertrain applications. The Company operates through two segments: Engine and Drivetrain. The Engine segment’s products include turbochargers, timing devices and chains, emissions systems and thermal systems. The Drivetrain segment’s products include transmission components and systems, all-wheel drive (AWD) torque transfer systems and rotating electrical devices. The Company manufactures and sells products to original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) of light vehicles (passenger cars, sport-utility vehicles (SUVs), vans and light trucks). The Company sells the products to other OEMs of commercial vehicles (medium-duty trucks, heavy-duty trucks and buses) and off-highway vehicles (agricultural and construction machinery and marine applications). It also manufactures and sells its products to Tier One vehicle systems suppliers and into the aftermarket for light, commercial and off-highway vehicles.

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Premium members can view a full ModernGraham valuation of the company and have access to download a PDF version of the valuation for easy reference. Recent valuations of the components of the Dow Jones Industrial Average are available for free members, including this one of Microsoft Corporation.  In addition, here is a post detailing what can be found within each individual company’s valuation.

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Downloadable PDF version of this valuation:

ModernGraham Valuation of BWA – December 2016

Stage 1: Is this company suitable for the Defensive Investor or the Enterprising Investor?

What kind of Intelligent Investor are you?

Defensive Investor; must pass 6 out of the following 7 tests.
1. Adequate Size of the Enterprise Market Cap > $2Bil $9,419,056,713 Pass
2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Current Ratio > 2 1.35 Fail
3. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 10 years prior Fail
4. Dividend Record Dividend Payments for 10 years prior Fail
5. Earnings Growth Increase of 33% in EPS in past 10 years using 3 year averages at beginning and end 597.05% Pass
6. Moderate PEmg Ratio PEmg < 20 15.47 Pass
7. Moderate Price to Assets PB Ratio < 2.5 OR PB*PEmg < 50 2.40 Pass
Enterprising Investor; must pass 4 out of the following 5 tests, or be suitable for the Defensive Investor.
1. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Current Ratio > 1.5 1.35 Fail
2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Debt to NCA < 1.1 2.48 Fail
3. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 5 years prior Pass
4. Dividend Record Currently Pays Dividend Pass
5. Earnings Growth EPSmg greater than 5 years ago Pass

Stage 2: Determination of Intrinsic Value

EPSmg $2.69
MG Growth Estimate 10.22%
MG Value $77.89
Opinion Undervalued
MG Grade C-
MG Value based on 3% Growth $39.02
MG Value based on 0% Growth $22.88
Market Implied Growth Rate 3.48%
Current Price $41.63
% of Intrinsic Value 53.45%

BorgWarner Inc. does not satisfy the requirements of either the Enterprising Investor or the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the low current ratio, insufficient earnings stability over the last ten years, and the poor dividend history. The Enterprising Investor has concerns regarding the level of debt relative to the current assets. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should explore other opportunities at this time or proceed cautiously with a speculative attitude.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $1.6 in 2012 to an estimated $2.69 for 2016. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market’s implied estimate of 3.48% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into BorgWarner Inc. revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $32.53. The company pays a dividend of $0.13 per share, for a yield of 0.3% Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 15.47, which was below the industry average of 17.79, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $-9.39.

BorgWarner Inc. receives an average overall rating in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring a C-.

Stage 3: Information for Further Research

Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) -$9.39
Graham Number $32.53
PEmg 15.47
Current Ratio 1.35
PB Ratio 2.40
Current Dividend $0.13
Dividend Yield 0.31%
Number of Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth 0

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Useful Links:

ModernGraham tagged articles Morningstar
Google Finance MSN Money
Yahoo Finance Seeking Alpha
GuruFocus SEC Filings

Most Recent Balance Sheet Figures

Balance Sheet Information 9/1/2016
Total Current Assets $3,289,200,000
Total Current Liabilities $2,445,100,000
Long-Term Debt $2,089,900,000
Total Assets $9,007,300,000
Intangible Assets $2,224,900,000
Total Liabilities $5,297,400,000
Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) 213,766,000

Earnings Per Share History

Next Fiscal Year Estimate $2.70
Dec2015 $2.70
Dec2014 $2.86
Dec2013 $2.70
Dec2012 $2.09
Dec2011 $2.22
Dec2010 $1.54
Dec2009 $0.12
Dec2008 -$0.16
Dec2007 $1.23
Dec2006 $0.92
Dec2005 $1.04
Dec2004 $0.97
Dec2003 $0.80
Dec2002 -$0.56
Dec2001 $0.31
Dec2000 $0.44
Dec1999 $0.63
Dec1998 $0.50
Dec1997 $0.54
Dec1996 $0.22

Earnings Per Share – ModernGraham History

Next Fiscal Year Estimate $2.69
Dec2015 $2.63
Dec2014 $2.49
Dec2013 $2.11
Dec2012 $1.60
Dec2011 $1.23
Dec2010 $0.74
Dec2009 $0.43
Dec2008 $0.66
Dec2007 $1.04
Dec2006 $0.85
Dec2005 $0.71
Dec2004 $0.50
Dec2003 $0.28
Dec2002 $0.11
Dec2001 $0.45
Dec2000 $0.50

Recommended Reading:

Other ModernGraham posts about the company

5 Companies for Enterprising Investors Near 52 Week Lows – June 2016
10 Companies Benjamin Graham Would Invest In Today – June 2016
26 Best Stocks For Value Investors This Week – 2/6/16
BorgWarner Inc Valuation – February 2016 Update $BWA
12 Best Stocks For Value Investors This Week – 11/7/15

Other ModernGraham posts about related companies

Ford Motor Company Valuation – November 2016 $F
CarMax Inc Valuation – November 2016 $KMX
Advance Auto Parts Inc Valuation – November 2016 $AAP
General Motors Company Valuation – November 2016 $GM
Delphi Automotive PLC Valuation – August 2016 $DLPH
Carmax Inc Valuation – August 2016 $KMX
BorgWarner Inc Valuation – August 2016 $BWA
Ford Motor Company Valuation – August 2016 $F
O’Reilly Automotive Inc Valuation – July 2016 $ORLY
Genuine Parts Co Valuation – July 2016 $GPC

Disclaimer:

The author did not hold a position in any company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours.  See my current holdings here.  This article is not investment advice; any reader should speak to a registered investment adviser prior to making any investment decisions.  ModernGraham is not affiliated with the company in any manner.  Please be sure to review our detailed disclaimer.

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