REIT Stocks

Summit Hotel Properties Inc Valuation – Initial Coverage $INN

Benjamin Graham taught that Intelligent Investors must do a thorough fundamental analysis of investment opportunities to determine their intrinsic value and inherent risk.  This is best done by utilizing a systematic approach to analysis that will provide investors with a sense of how a specific company compares to another company or by reviewing the 10 Stocks for Using A Benjamin Graham Value Investing Strategy – December 2016.  By using the ModernGraham method one can review a company’s historical accomplishments and determine an intrinsic value that can be compared across industries.  What follows is a stock analysis showing a specific look at how Summit Hotel Properties Inc (INN) fares in the ModernGraham valuation model.

Company Profile (obtained from Google Finance): Summit Hotel Properties, Inc. is a holding company and conducts all of its operations through its Summit Hotel OP, LP (operating partnership). The Company is a real estate investments trust (REIT) and self-managed hotel investment company. The Company operates in the segment of activities related to investing in real estate. The Company is focused on owning premium-branded, select-service hotels in the Upscale and Upper-midscale segments of the United States lodging industry. The Company’s portfolio consists of approximately 90 hotels with over 11,420 guestrooms located in approximately 20 states. Approximately 86.1% of its guestrooms are located in over 50 metropolitan statistical areas (MSAs); approximately 94.5% are located within over 100 MSAs, and approximately 97.3% of its hotel guestrooms operate under franchise brands owned by Marriott International, Inc., Hilton Worldwide, Intercontinental Hotel Group and an affiliate of Hyatt Hotels Corporation.

INN Chart

INN data by YCharts

[level-free]
To read the details of this valuation, you must be logged in as a premium member. If you are not a premium member, please consider becoming one.

Premium members can view a full ModernGraham valuation of the company and have access to download a PDF version of the valuation for easy reference. Recent valuations of the components of the Dow Jones Industrial Average are available for free members, including this one of Microsoft Corporation.  In addition, here is a post detailing what can be found within each individual company’s valuation.

[/level-free]
[not-level-free]

Downloadable PDF version of this valuation:

ModernGraham Valuation of INN – December 2016

Stage 1: Is this company suitable for the Defensive Investor or the Enterprising Investor?

What kind of Intelligent Investor are you?

Defensive Investor; must pass 6 out of the following 7 tests.
1. Adequate Size of the Enterprise Market Cap > $2Bil $1,303,295,681 Fail
2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Current Ratio > 2 2.54 Pass
3. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 10 years prior Fail
4. Dividend Record Dividend Payments for 10 years prior Fail
5. Earnings Growth Increase of 33% in EPS in past 10 years using 3 year averages at beginning and end -2622.22% Fail
6. Moderate PEmg Ratio PEmg < 20 23.28 Fail
7. Moderate Price to Assets PB Ratio < 2.5 OR PB*PEmg < 50 1.33 Pass
Enterprising Investor; must pass 4 out of the following 5 tests, or be suitable for the Defensive Investor.
1. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Current Ratio > 1.5 2.54 Pass
2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Debt to NCA < 1.1 6.73 Fail
3. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 5 years prior Fail
4. Dividend Record Currently Pays Dividend Pass
5. Earnings Growth EPSmg greater than 5 years ago Pass

Stage 2: Determination of Intrinsic Value

EPSmg $0.64
MG Growth Estimate 15.00%
MG Value $24.64
Opinion Undervalued
MG Grade B-
MG Value based on 3% Growth $9.28
MG Value based on 0% Growth $5.44
Market Implied Growth Rate 7.39%
Current Price $14.90
% of Intrinsic Value 60.47%

Summit Hotel Properties Inc does not satisfy the requirements of either the Enterprising Investor or the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the small size, insufficient earnings stability or growth over the last ten years, the poor dividend history, and the high PEmg ratio. The Enterprising Investor has concerns regarding the level of debt relative to the net current assets, and the lack of earnings stability over the last five years. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should explore other opportunities at this time or proceed cautiously with a speculative attitude.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $-0.12 in 2012 to an estimated $0.64 for 2016. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market’s implied estimate of 7.39% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Summit Hotel Properties Inc revealed the company was trading below its Graham Number of $15.71. The company pays a dividend of $0.5 per share, for a yield of 3.4%, putting it among the best dividend paying stocks today. Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 23.28, which was below the industry average of 31.91, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $-6.07.

Summit Hotel Properties Inc performs fairly well in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring a B-.

Stage 3: Information for Further Research

Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) -$6.07
Graham Number $15.71
PEmg 23.28
Current Ratio 2.54
PB Ratio 1.33
Current Dividend $0.50
Dividend Yield 3.37%
Number of Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth 3

[/not-level-free]

Useful Links:

ModernGraham tagged articles Morningstar
Google Finance MSN Money
Yahoo Finance Seeking Alpha
GuruFocus SEC Filings

Most Recent Balance Sheet Figures

Balance Sheet Information 9/1/2016
Total Current Assets $151,916,000
Total Current Liabilities $59,904,000
Long-Term Debt $618,892,000
Total Assets $1,660,228,000
Intangible Assets $0
Total Liabilities $682,792,000
Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) 87,401,000

Earnings Per Share History

Next Fiscal Year Estimate $0.98
Dec2015 $1.24
Dec2014 $0.05
Dec2013 -$0.12
Dec2012 -$0.17
Dec2011 -$0.12
Dec2010 -$0.11
Dec2009 -$0.09

Earnings Per Share – ModernGraham History

Next Fiscal Year Estimate $0.64
Dec2015 $0.37
Dec2014 -$0.07
Dec2013 -$0.13
Dec2012 -$0.12
Dec2011 -$0.09
Dec2010 -$0.06
Dec2009 -$0.03

Recommended Reading:

Other ModernGraham posts about the company

None.  This is the first time ModernGraham has covered the company.

Other ModernGraham posts about related companies

Sabra Health Care REIT Inc Valuation – Initial Coverage $SBRA
National Retail Properties Inc Valuation – November 2016 $NNN
Welltower Inc Valuation – November 2016 $HCN
Realty Income Corp Valuation – November 2016 $O
American Campus Communities Valuation – November 2016 $ACC
Ventas Inc Valuation – August 2016 $VTR
SL Green Realty Corp Valuation – August 2016 $SLG
Starwood Property Trust Inc Valuation – August 2016 $STWD
Kimco Realty Corp Valuation – August 2016 $KIM
Equity Residential Valuation – August 2016 $EQR

Disclaimer:

The author did not hold a position in any company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours.  See my current holdings here.  This article is not investment advice; any reader should speak to a registered investment adviser prior to making any investment decisions.  ModernGraham is not affiliated with the company in any manner.  Please be sure to review our detailed disclaimer.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.

Back To Top