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Multi-Color Corporation Valuation – Initial Coverage $LABL

Benjamin Graham taught that Intelligent Investors must do a thorough fundamental analysis of investment opportunities to determine their intrinsic value and inherent risk.  This is best done by utilizing a systematic approach to analysis that will provide investors with a sense of how a specific company compares to another company or by reviewing the 10 Stocks for Using A Benjamin Graham Value Investing Strategy – February 2017.  By using the ModernGraham method one can review a company’s historical accomplishments and determine an intrinsic value that can be compared across industries.  What follows is a stock analysis showing a specific look at how Multi-Color Corporation (LABL) fares in the ModernGraham valuation model.

Company Profile (obtained from Google Finance): Multi-Color Corporation (Multi-Color) is engaged in label solutions business, supporting brands, including producers of home and personal care, wine and spirit, food and beverage, healthcare and specialty consumer products. The Company serves international brand owners in North, Central and South America, Europe, Australia, New Zealand, South Africa and China and Southeast Asia with a range of label technologies in Pressure Sensitive, Glue-Applied (Cut and Stack), In-Mold, Shrink Sleeve and Heat Transfer. The Company also provides a range of print methods, including flexographic, lithographic, rotogravure, letterpress and digital, and in-house prepress services. The Company provides graphics and pre-press services for its customers at all of its manufacturing locations. These services include the conversion of customer digital files and artwork into proofs, production of print layouts and printing plates, and product mock ups and samples for market research.

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Downloadable PDF version of this valuation:

ModernGraham Valuation of LABL – February 2017

Stage 1: Is this company suitable for the Defensive Investor or the Enterprising Investor?

What kind of Intelligent Investor are you?

Defensive Investor; must pass 6 out of the following 7 tests.
1. Adequate Size of the Enterprise Market Cap > $2Bil $1,224,994,487 Fail
2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Current Ratio > 2 2.04 Pass
3. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 10 years prior Pass
4. Dividend Record Dividend Payments for 10 years prior Pass
5. Earnings Growth Increase of 33% in EPS in past 10 years using 3 year averages at beginning and end 110.33% Pass
6. Moderate PEmg Ratio PEmg < 20 25.91 Fail
7. Moderate Price to Assets PB Ratio < 2.5 OR PB*PEmg < 50 3.51 Fail
Enterprising Investor; must pass 4 out of the following 5 tests, or be suitable for the Defensive Investor.
1. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Current Ratio > 1.5 2.04 Pass
2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Debt to NCA < 1.1 4.02 Fail
3. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 5 years prior Pass
4. Dividend Record Currently Pays Dividend Pass
5. Earnings Growth EPSmg greater than 5 years ago Pass

Stage 2: Determination of Intrinsic Value

EPSmg $2.79
MG Growth Estimate 13.49%
MG Value $98.91
Opinion Undervalued
MG Grade C+
MG Value based on 3% Growth $40.43
MG Value based on 0% Growth $23.70
Market Implied Growth Rate 8.71%
Current Price $72.25
% of Intrinsic Value 73.05%

Multi-Color Corporation is suitable for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the small size, high PEmg and PB ratios. The Enterprising Investor is only concerned with the level of debt relative to the net current assets. As a result, all Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $1.47 in 2013 to an estimated $2.79 for 2017. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market’s implied estimate of 8.71% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Multi-Color Corporation revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $39.96. The company pays a dividend of $0.2 per share, for a yield of 0.3% Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 25.91, which was above the industry average of 21.9. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $-26.47.

Multi-Color Corporation receives an average overall rating in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring a C+.

Stage 3: Information for Further Research

Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) -$26.47
Graham Number $39.96
PEmg 25.91
Current Ratio 2.04
PB Ratio 3.51
Current Dividend $0.20
Dividend Yield 0.28%
Number of Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth 0

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Most Recent Balance Sheet Figures

Balance Sheet Information 12/1/2016
Total Current Assets $235,117,000
Total Current Liabilities $115,170,000
Long-Term Debt $482,380,000
Total Assets $1,036,353,000
Intangible Assets $560,746,000
Total Liabilities $686,102,000
Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) 17,039,000

Earnings Per Share History

EPS History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $3.43
Mar2016 $2.82
Mar2015 $2.71
Mar2014 $1.70
Mar2013 $1.86
Mar2012 $1.32
Mar2011 $1.40
Mar2010 $1.16
Mar2009 $0.92
Mar2008 $2.18
Mar2007 $1.08
Mar2006 $0.95
Mar2005 $0.80
Mar2004 $0.66
Mar2003 $0.66
Mar2002 $0.51
Mar2001 $0.40
Mar2000 $0.60
Mar1999 $0.15
Mar1998 -$0.59
Mar1997 $0.17

Earnings Per Share – ModernGraham History

EPSmg History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $2.79
Mar2016 $2.34
Mar2015 $2.00
Mar2014 $1.59
Mar2013 $1.47
Mar2012 $1.31
Mar2011 $1.32
Mar2010 $1.28
Mar2009 $1.28
Mar2008 $1.36
Mar2007 $0.91
Mar2006 $0.78
Mar2005 $0.67
Mar2004 $0.59
Mar2003 $0.53
Mar2002 $0.38
Mar2001 $0.26

Recommended Reading:

Other ModernGraham posts about the company

None. This is the first time ModernGraham has covered the company.

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Disclaimer:

The author did not hold a position in any company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours.  See my current holdings here.  This article is not investment advice; any reader should speak to a registered investment adviser prior to making any investment decisions.  ModernGraham is not affiliated with the company in any manner.  Please be sure to review our detailed disclaimer.

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