Cullen/Frost Bankers Inc Valuation – July 2018 $CFR

Company Profile (excerpt from Reuters): Cullen/Frost Bankers, Inc., incorporated on January 25, 1966, is a financial holding company and a bank holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides a range of products and services throughout Texas markets. The Company’s segments include Banking, Frost Wealth Advisors and Non-Banks. The Banking segment includes both commercial and consumer banking services, and Frost Insurance Agency. Commercial banking services are provided to corporations and other business clients and include a range of lending and cash management products. Consumer banking services include direct lending and depository services. Frost Insurance Agency provides insurance brokerage services to individuals and businesses covering corporate and personal property and casualty products, as well as group health and life insurance products and human resources consulting services. The Frost Wealth Advisors segment includes fee-based services within private trust, retirement services, and financial management services, including personal wealth management and securities brokerage services. The Non-Banks segment includes the direct and indirect ownership of its banking and non-banking subsidiaries and the issuance of debt and equity.

 

Downloadable PDF version of this valuation:

ModernGraham Valuation of CFR – July 2018

Stage 1: Is this company suitable for the Defensive Investor or the Enterprising Investor?

What kind of Intelligent Investor are you?

Defensive Investor; must pass all 6 of the following tests.
1. Adequate Size of the Enterprise Market Cap > $2Bil $7,231,845,441 Pass
2. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 10 years prior Pass
3. Dividend Record Dividend Payments for 10 years prior Pass
4. Earnings Growth Increase of 33% in EPS in past 10 years using 3 year averages at beginning and end 66.93% Pass
5. Moderate PEmg Ratio PEmg < 20 21.01 Fail
6. Moderate Price to Assets PB Ratio < 2.5 OR PB*PEmg < 50 2.27 Pass
Enterprising Investor; must pass all 3 of the following tests, or be suitable for the Defensive Investor.
1. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 5 years prior Pass
2. Dividend Record Currently Pays Dividend Pass
3. Earnings Growth EPSmg greater than 5 years ago Pass

 

Stage 2: Determination of Intrinsic Value

EPSmg $5.42
MG Growth Estimate 5.74%
MG Value $108.23
Opinion Fairly Valued
MG Grade B-
MG Value based on 3% Growth $78.53
MG Value based on 0% Growth $46.04
Market Implied Growth Rate 6.25%
Current Price $113.78
% of Intrinsic Value 105.12%

Cullen/Frost Bankers, Inc. is suitable for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the high PEmg ratio. The Enterprising Investor has no initial concerns. As a result, all Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Fairly Valued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $3.92 in 2014 to an estimated $5.42 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth supports the market’s implied estimate of 6.25% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on Benjamin Graham’s formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value within a margin of safety relative to the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Cullen/Frost Bankers, Inc. revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $84.91. The company pays a dividend of $2.25 per share, for a yield of 2% Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 21.01, which was above the industry average of 20.05.

Cullen/Frost Bankers, Inc. performs fairly well in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring a B-.

Stage 3: Information for Further Research

Graham Number $84.91
PEmg 21.01
PB Ratio 2.27
Dividend Yield 1.98%
TTM Dividend $2.25
Number of Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth 20

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Most Recent Balance Sheet Figures

Balance Sheet Information 3/1/2018
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation $234,789,000
Total Assets $31,459,232,000
Intangible Assets $659,637,000
Total Liabilities $28,215,802,000
Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) 64,662,000

Earnings Per Share History

EPS History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $6.45
Dec2017 $5.51
Dec2016 $4.70
Dec2015 $4.28
Dec2014 $4.29
Dec2013 $3.80
Dec2012 $3.86
Dec2011 $3.54
Dec2010 $3.44
Dec2009 $3.00
Dec2008 $3.50
Dec2007 $3.55
Dec2006 $3.42
Dec2005 $3.07
Dec2004 $2.66
Dec2003 $2.48
Dec2002 $2.29
Dec2001 $1.57
Dec2000 $2.03
Dec1999 $1.78
Dec1998 $1.38

Earnings Per Share – ModernGraham History

EPSmg History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $5.42
Dec2017 $4.77
Dec2016 $4.33
Dec2015 $4.08
Dec2014 $3.92
Dec2013 $3.66
Dec2012 $3.55
Dec2011 $3.40
Dec2010 $3.35
Dec2009 $3.30
Dec2008 $3.38
Dec2007 $3.23
Dec2006 $2.97
Dec2005 $2.64
Dec2004 $2.35
Dec2003 $2.14
Dec2002 $1.92

Recommended Reading:

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Cullen/Frost Bankers Inc Valuation – Initial Coverage $CFR

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Disclaimer:

The author did not hold a position in any company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours.  See my current holdings here.  This article is not investment advice; any reader should speak to a registered investment adviser prior to making any investment decisions.  ModernGraham is not affiliated with the company in any manner.  Please be sure to review our detailed disclaimer.

Cullen/Frost Bankers Inc Valuation – Initial Coverage $CFR

Benjamin Graham taught that Intelligent Investors must do a thorough fundamental analysis of investment opportunities to determine their intrinsic value and inherent risk.  This is best done by utilizing a systematic approach to analysis that will provide investors with a sense of how a specific company compares to another company or by reviewing the 10 Stocks for Using A Benjamin Graham Value Investing Strategy – August 2016.  By using the ModernGraham method one can review a company’s historical accomplishments and determine an intrinsic value that can be compared across industries.  What follows is a stock analysis showing a specific look at how Cullen/Frost Bankers Inc (CFR) fares in the ModernGraham valuation model.

Company Profile (obtained from Google Finance): Cullen/Frost Bankers, Inc. is a financial holding and bank holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, offers commercial and consumer banking services, as well as trust and investment management, insurance, brokerage, mutual funds, leasing, treasury management, capital markets advisory and item processing services. It serves various industries, such as energy, manufacturing, services, construction and retail. It operates through two segments, which include Banking and Frost Wealth Advisors. Its Banking segment includes both commercial and consumer banking services, Frost Insurance Agency and Frost Securities. Its Banking segment offers commercial banking services, such as lending and cash management products to corporations and other business clients. Its Frost Wealth Advisors segment includes fee-based services within private trust, retirement services and financial management services, including personal wealth management and securities brokerage services.

CFR Chart

CFR data by YCharts

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Premium members can view a full ModernGraham valuation of the company and have access to download a PDF version of the valuation for easy reference. Recent valuations of the components of the Dow Jones Industrial Average are available for free members, including this one of Microsoft Corporation.  In addition, here is a post detailing what can be found within each individual company’s valuation.

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Downloadable PDF version of this valuation:

ModernGraham Valuation of CFR – December 2016

Stage 1: Is this company suitable for the Defensive Investor or the Enterprising Investor?

What kind of Intelligent Investor are you?

Defensive Investor; must pass all 6 of the following tests.
1. Adequate Size of the Enterprise Market Cap > $2Bil $5,560,311,623 Pass
2. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 10 years prior Pass
3. Dividend Record Dividend Payments for 10 years prior Pass
4. Earnings Growth Increase of 33% in EPS in past 10 years using 3 year averages at beginning and end 30.15% Fail
5. Moderate PEmg Ratio PEmg < 20 20.26 Fail
6. Moderate Price to Assets PB Ratio < 2.5 OR PB*PEmg < 50 1.73 Pass
Enterprising Investor; must pass all 3 of the following tests, or be suitable for the Defensive Investor.
1. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 5 years prior Pass
2. Dividend Record Currently Pays Dividend Pass
3. Earnings Growth EPSmg greater than 5 years ago Pass

Stage 2: Determination of Intrinsic Value

EPSmg $4.27
MG Growth Estimate 3.02%
MG Value $62.02
Opinion Overvalued
MG Grade B-
MG Value based on 3% Growth $61.87
MG Value based on 0% Growth $36.27
Market Implied Growth Rate 5.88%
Current Price $86.46
% of Intrinsic Value 139.41%

Cullen/Frost Bankers, Inc. is suitable for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the insufficient earnings growth over the last ten years, and the high PEmg ratio. The Enterprising Investor has no initial concerns. As a result, all Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Overvalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $3.55 in 2012 to an estimated $4.27 for 2016. This level of demonstrated earnings growth does not support the market’s implied estimate of 5.88% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on Benjamin Graham’s formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value below the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Cullen/Frost Bankers, Inc. revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $69.78. The company pays a dividend of $2.14 per share, for a yield of 2.5%, putting it among the best dividend paying stocks today. Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 20.26, which was above the industry average of 13.43.

Cullen/Frost Bankers, Inc. performs fairly well in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring a B-.

Stage 3: Information for Further Research

Graham Number $69.78
PEmg 20.26
PB Ratio 1.73
Dividend Yield 2.48%
TTM Dividend $2.14
Number of Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth 20

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ModernGraham tagged articles Morningstar
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Yahoo Finance Seeking Alpha
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Most Recent Balance Sheet Figures

Balance Sheet Information 9/1/2016
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation $236,072,000
Total Assets $29,602,912,000
Intangible Assets $661,599,000
Total Liabilities $26,441,116,000
Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) 63,141,000

Earnings Per Share History

Next Fiscal Year Estimate $4.51
Dec2015 $4.28
Dec2014 $4.29
Dec2013 $3.80
Dec2012 $3.86
Dec2011 $3.54
Dec2010 $3.44
Dec2009 $3.00
Dec2008 $3.50
Dec2007 $3.55
Dec2006 $3.42
Dec2005 $3.07
Dec2004 $2.66
Dec2003 $2.48
Dec2002 $2.29
Dec2001 $1.57
Dec2000 $2.03
Dec1999 $1.78
Dec1998 $1.38
Dec1997 $1.34
Dec1996 $1.16

Earnings Per Share – ModernGraham History

Next Fiscal Year Estimate $4.27
Dec2015 $4.08
Dec2014 $3.92
Dec2013 $3.66
Dec2012 $3.55
Dec2011 $3.40
Dec2010 $3.35
Dec2009 $3.30
Dec2008 $3.38
Dec2007 $3.23
Dec2006 $2.97
Dec2005 $2.64
Dec2004 $2.35
Dec2003 $2.14
Dec2002 $1.92
Dec2001 $1.69
Dec2000 $1.68

Recommended Reading:

Other ModernGraham posts about the company

None.  This is the first time ModernGraham has covered the company.

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Disclaimer:

The author did not hold a position in any company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours.  See my current holdings here.  This article is not investment advice; any reader should speak to a registered investment adviser prior to making any investment decisions.  ModernGraham is not affiliated with the company in any manner.  Please be sure to review our detailed disclaimer.

Best Dividend Paying Stocks for Dividend Growth Investors – February 2019

Dividend Growth Stocks

Dividend growth investing is a very popular approach which can fit within the ModernGraham methods.  This article will look at companies reviewed by ModernGraham which have grown their dividends annually for at least the last 20 years.  Out of over 800 companies covered by ModernGraham, only 70 have grown dividends annually for at least the last 20 years.

Defensive Investors are defined as investors who need to select only the companies that present the least amount of risk. Enterprising Investors, on the other hand, are able to select companies that present a moderate (though still low) amount of risk.

The Elite

The following companies have been rated as undervalued and suitable for either the Defensive Investor or the Enterprising Investor:

AFLAC Incorporated (AFL)

AFLAC Incorporated qualifies for both the Defensive Investor and the Enterprising Investor. In fact, the company meets all of the requirements of both investor types, a rare accomplishment indicative of the company’s strong financial position . The Enterprising Investor has no initial concerns. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $3.03 in 2014 to an estimated $4.11 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market’s implied estimate of 1.21% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on Benjamin Graham’s formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into AFLAC Incorporated revealed the company was trading below its Graham Number of $53.04. The company pays a dividend of $0.87 per share, for a yield of 1.9% Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 10.93, which was below the industry average of 30.63, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry.

AFLAC Incorporated fares extremely well in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring an A+.  (See the full valuation)

A. O. Smith Corp (AOS)

A. O. Smith Corp is suitable for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the high PEmg and PB ratios. The Enterprising Investor has no initial concerns. As a result, all Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $1.05 in 2014 to an estimated $1.95 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market’s implied estimate of 7.55% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into A. O. Smith Corp revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $23.34. The company pays a dividend of $0.56 per share, for a yield of 1.2% Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 23.59, which was below the industry average of 23.62, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $1.92.

A. O. Smith Corp performs fairly well in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring a B+.  (See the full valuation)

Cincinnati Financial Corporation (CINF)

Cincinnati Financial Corporation qualifies for both the Defensive Investor and the Enterprising Investor. In fact, the company meets all of the requirements of both investor types, a rare accomplishment indicative of the company’s strong financial position . The Enterprising Investor has no initial concerns. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $2.69 in 2014 to an estimated $4.82 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market’s implied estimate of 3.78% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on Benjamin Graham’s formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Cincinnati Financial Corporation revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $76.19. The company pays a dividend of $2 per share, for a yield of 2.6%, putting it among the best dividend paying stocks today. Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 16.06, which was below the industry average of 32.22, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry.

Cincinnati Financial Corporation fares extremely well in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring an A.  (See the full valuation)

Carlisle Companies, Inc. (CSL)

Carlisle Companies, Inc. qualifies for both the Defensive Investor and the Enterprising Investor. The Defensive Investor is only initially concerned with the high PB ratio. The Enterprising Investor has no initial concerns. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $3.51 in 2014 to an estimated $6.51 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market’s implied estimate of 5.54% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Carlisle Companies, Inc. revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $95.82. The company pays a dividend of $1.44 per share, for a yield of 1.1% Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 19.59, which was above the industry average of 18.51. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $-9.61.

Carlisle Companies, Inc. performs fairly well in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring a B+.  (See the full valuation)

Leggett & Platt, Inc. (LEG)

Leggett & Platt, Inc. is suitable for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the low current ratio, high PB ratio. The Enterprising Investor is only concerned with the level of debt relative to the net current assets. As a result, all Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $1.14 in 2014 to an estimated $2.35 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market’s implied estimate of 5.06% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Leggett & Platt, Inc. revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $23.11. The company pays a dividend of $1.42 per share, for a yield of 3.3%, putting it among the best dividend paying stocks today. Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 18.62, which was above the industry average of 17.71. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $-5.

Leggett & Platt, Inc. performs fairly well in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring a B+.  (See the full valuation)

Lowe’s Companies, Inc. (LOW)

Lowe’s Companies, Inc. does not satisfy the requirements of either the Enterprising Investor or the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the low current ratio, high PEmg and PB ratios. The Enterprising Investor has concerns regarding the level of debt relative to the current assets. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should explore other opportunities at this time or proceed cautiously with a speculative attitude.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $2.1 in 2015 to an estimated $4.11 for 2019. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market’s implied estimate of 7.7% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Lowe’s Companies, Inc. revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $29. The company pays a dividend of $1.58 per share, for a yield of 1.6% Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 23.9, which was below the industry average of 25.61, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $-19.93.

Lowe’s Companies, Inc. receives an average overall rating in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring a C+.  (See the full valuation)

People’s United Financial, Inc. (PBCT)

People’s United Financial, Inc. qualifies for both the Defensive Investor and the Enterprising Investor. In fact, the company meets all of the requirements of both investor types, a rare accomplishment indicative of the company’s strong financial position . The Enterprising Investor has no initial concerns. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $0.71 in 2014 to an estimated $1.04 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market’s implied estimate of 2.89% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on Benjamin Graham’s formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into People’s United Financial, Inc. revealed the company was trading below its Graham Number of $21.65. The company pays a dividend of $0.69 per share, for a yield of 4.6%, putting it among the best dividend paying stocks today. Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 14.28, which was below the industry average of 14.65, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry.

People’s United Financial, Inc. fares extremely well in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring an A+.  (See the full valuation)

SEI Investments Company (SEIC)

SEI Investments Company is suitable for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the high PEmg and PB ratios. The Enterprising Investor has no initial concerns. As a result, all Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Fairly Valued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $1.52 in 2014 to an estimated $2.47 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth supports the market’s implied estimate of 7.97% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value within a margin of safety relative to the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into SEI Investments Company revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $25.4. The company pays a dividend of $0.58 per share, for a yield of 1% Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 24.43, which was above the industry average of 21.47. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $5.12.

SEI Investments Company performs fairly well in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring a B-.  (See the full valuation)

Tanger Factory Outlet Centers Inc. (SKT)

Tanger Factory Outlet Centers Inc. qualifies for both the Defensive Investor and the Enterprising Investor. The Defensive Investor is only initially concerned with the high PB ratio. The Enterprising Investor is only concerned with the level of debt relative to the net current assets. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $0.76 in 2014 to an estimated $1.25 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market’s implied estimate of 5.18% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Tanger Factory Outlet Centers Inc. revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $11.47. The company pays a dividend of $1.35 per share, for a yield of 5.7%, putting it among the best dividend paying stocks today. Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 18.86, which was below the industry average of 49.54, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $-17.97.

Tanger Factory Outlet Centers Inc. fares extremely well in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring an A.  (See the full valuation)

Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. (SWK)

Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. qualifies for both the Defensive Investor and the Enterprising Investor. The Defensive Investor is only initially concerned with the low current ratio. The Enterprising Investor has concerns regarding the level of debt relative to the current assets. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $4.09 in 2014 to an estimated $7.32 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market’s implied estimate of 4.97% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $95.94. The company pays a dividend of $2.42 per share, for a yield of 1.8% Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 18.45, which was below the industry average of 28.31, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $-40.05.

Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. fares extremely well in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring an A-.  (See the full valuation)

T. Rowe Price Group Inc (TROW)

T. Rowe Price Group Inc is suitable for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the high PEmg and PB ratios. The Enterprising Investor has no initial concerns. As a result, all Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Fairly Valued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $3.79 in 2014 to an estimated $5.76 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth supports the market’s implied estimate of 6.15% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value within a margin of safety relative to the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into T. Rowe Price Group Inc revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $60.69. The company pays a dividend of $2.28 per share, for a yield of 1.9% Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 20.79, which was below the industry average of 22.96, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $3.21.

T. Rowe Price Group Inc performs fairly well in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring a B.  (See the full valuation)

The Good

The following companies have been rated as fairly valued and suitable for either the Defensive Investor or the Enterprising Investor:

Air Products & Chemicals, Inc. (APD)

Air Products & Chemicals, Inc. qualifies for both the Defensive Investor and the Enterprising Investor. The Defensive Investor is only initially concerned with the high PB ratio. The Enterprising Investor is only concerned with the level of debt relative to the net current assets. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Fairly Valued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $5.23 in 2015 to an estimated $8 for 2019. This level of demonstrated earnings growth supports the market’s implied estimate of 5.63% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value within a margin of safety relative to the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Air Products & Chemicals, Inc. revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $94.7. The company pays a dividend of $4.25 per share, for a yield of 2.7%, putting it among the best dividend paying stocks today. Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 19.76, which was below the industry average of 20.47, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $-13.21.

Air Products & Chemicals, Inc. fares extremely well in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring an A-.  (See the full valuation)

Cullen/Frost Bankers, Inc. (CFR)

Cullen/Frost Bankers, Inc. is suitable for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the high PEmg ratio. The Enterprising Investor has no initial concerns. As a result, all Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Fairly Valued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $3.92 in 2014 to an estimated $5.42 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth supports the market’s implied estimate of 6.25% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on Benjamin Graham’s formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value within a margin of safety relative to the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Cullen/Frost Bankers, Inc. revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $84.91. The company pays a dividend of $2.25 per share, for a yield of 2% Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 21.01, which was above the industry average of 20.05.

Cullen/Frost Bankers, Inc. performs fairly well in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring a B-.  (See the full valuation)

Cintas Corporation (CTAS)

Cintas Corporation is suitable for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the low current ratio, high PEmg and PB ratios. The Enterprising Investor is only concerned with the level of debt relative to the net current assets. As a result, all Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Fairly Valued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $2.94 in 2015 to an estimated $6.44 for 2019. This level of demonstrated earnings growth supports the market’s implied estimate of 10.34% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value within a margin of safety relative to the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Cintas Corporation revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $68.91. The company pays a dividend of $1.62 per share, for a yield of 0.9% Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 29.17, which was below the industry average of 29.23, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $-19.68.

Cintas Corporation performs fairly well in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring a B.  (See the full valuation)

Expeditors International of Washington (EXPD)

Expeditors International of Washington is suitable for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the low current ratio, high PEmg and PB ratios. The Enterprising Investor has no initial concerns. As a result, all Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Fairly Valued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $1.75 in 2014 to an estimated $2.73 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth supports the market’s implied estimate of 8.27% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value within a margin of safety relative to the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Expeditors International of Washington revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $28.87. The company pays a dividend of $0.84 per share, for a yield of 1.2% Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 25.05, which was above the industry average of 17.22. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $7.73.

Expeditors International of Washington performs fairly well in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring a B-.  (See the full valuation)

Hormel Foods Corp (HRL)

Hormel Foods Corp is suitable for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the low current ratio, high PEmg and PB ratios. The Enterprising Investor has no initial concerns. As a result, all Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Fairly Valued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $0.98 in 2014 to an estimated $1.6 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth supports the market’s implied estimate of 7.21% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value within a margin of safety relative to the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Hormel Foods Corp revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $19.56. The company pays a dividend of $0.68 per share, for a yield of 1.9% Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 22.92, which was below the industry average of 24.35, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $-1.27.

Hormel Foods Corp performs fairly well in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring a B.  (See the full valuation)

Ross Stores, Inc. (ROST)

Ross Stores, Inc. is suitable for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the low current ratio, high PEmg and PB ratios. The Enterprising Investor has no initial concerns. As a result, all Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Fairly Valued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $1.87 in 2015 to an estimated $3.36 for 2019. This level of demonstrated earnings growth supports the market’s implied estimate of 8.18% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value within a margin of safety relative to the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Ross Stores, Inc. revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $27.22. The company pays a dividend of $0.64 per share, for a yield of 0.8% Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 24.85, which was below the industry average of 25.4, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $1.55.

Ross Stores, Inc. performs fairly well in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring a B.  (See the full valuation)

Disclaimer: 

The author held a long position in People’s United Financial Inc but did not hold a position in any other company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours. See my current holdings here.  This article is not investment advice and all readers are encouraged to speak to a registered investment adviser prior to making any investing decisions.  Please also read our full disclaimer.

JPMorgan Chase & Co Valuation – November 2018 $JPM

Company Profile (excerpt from Reuters): JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPMorgan Chase), incorporated on October 28, 1968, is a financial holding company. The Company is engaged in investment banking, financial services for consumers and small businesses, commercial banking, financial transaction processing and asset management. JPMorgan Chase’s activities are organized into four business segments, as well as a Corporate segment. The Company’s segments include Consumer & Community Banking, Corporate & Investment Bank, Commercial Banking, and Asset & Wealth Management. Its principal bank subsidiaries include JPMorgan Chase Bank, National Association (JPMorgan Chase Bank, N.A.), a national banking association, and Chase Bank USA, National Association (Chase Bank USA, N.A.), a national banking association that is the Company’s credit card-issuing bank. JPMorgan Chase’s principal nonbank subsidiary is J.P. Morgan Securities LLC (JPMorgan Securities), the United States investment banking firm. The bank and nonbank subsidiaries of JPMorgan Chase operate nationally, as well as through overseas branches and subsidiaries, representative offices and subsidiary foreign banks. The Company’s principal operating subsidiary in the United Kingdom is J.P. Morgan Securities plc, a subsidiary of JPMorgan Chase Bank, N.A.

 

Downloadable PDF version of this valuation:

ModernGraham Valuation of JPM – November 2018

Stage 1: Is this company suitable for the Defensive Investor or the Enterprising Investor?

What kind of Intelligent Investor are you?

Defensive Investor; must pass all 6 of the following tests.
1. Adequate Size of the Enterprise Market Cap > $2Bil $365,761,960,005 Pass
2. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 10 years prior Pass
3. Dividend Record Dividend Payments for 10 years prior Pass
4. Earnings Growth Increase of 33% in EPS in past 10 years using 3 year averages at beginning and end 103.55% Pass
5. Moderate PEmg Ratio PEmg < 20 15.35 Pass
6. Moderate Price to Assets PB Ratio < 2.5 OR PB*PEmg < 50 1.44 Pass
Enterprising Investor; must pass all 3 of the following tests, or be suitable for the Defensive Investor.
1. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 5 years prior Pass
2. Dividend Record Currently Pays Dividend Pass
3. Earnings Growth EPSmg greater than 5 years ago Pass

 

Stage 2: Determination of Intrinsic Value

EPSmg $7.17
MG Growth Estimate 7.29%
MG Value $165.46
Opinion Undervalued
MG Grade A-
MG Value based on 3% Growth $103.92
MG Value based on 0% Growth $60.92
Market Implied Growth Rate 3.42%
Current Price $109.99
% of Intrinsic Value 66.48%

JPMorgan Chase & Co. qualifies for both the Defensive Investor and the Enterprising Investor. In fact, the company meets all of the requirements of both investor types, a rare accomplishment indicative of the company’s strong financial position . The Enterprising Investor has no initial concerns. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $4.82 in 2014 to an estimated $7.17 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market’s implied estimate of 3.42% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on Benjamin Graham’s formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into JPMorgan Chase & Co. revealed the company was trading below its Graham Number of $118.31. The company pays a dividend of $2.12 per share, for a yield of 1.9% Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 15.35, which was below the industry average of 16.94, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry.

JPMorgan Chase & Co. fares extremely well in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring an A-.

Stage 3: Information for Further Research

Graham Number $118.31
PEmg 15.35
PB Ratio 1.44
Dividend Yield 1.93%
TTM Dividend $2.12
Number of Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth 7

Useful Links:

ModernGraham tagged articles Morningstar
Google Finance MSN Money
Yahoo Finance Seeking Alpha
GuruFocus SEC Filings

Most Recent Balance Sheet Figures

Balance Sheet Information 9/1/2018
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation $270,124,000,000
Total Assets $2,615,183,000,000
Intangible Assets $54,697,000,000
Total Liabilities $2,356,227,000,000
Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) 3,394,300,000

Earnings Per Share History

EPS History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $9.28
Dec2017 $6.31
Dec2016 $6.19
Dec2015 $6.00
Dec2014 $5.29
Dec2013 $4.34
Dec2012 $5.20
Dec2011 $4.48
Dec2010 $3.96
Dec2009 $2.26
Dec2008 $1.35
Dec2007 $4.38
Dec2006 $4.04
Dec2005 $2.38
Dec2004 $1.55
Dec2003 $3.24
Dec2002 $0.80
Dec2001 $0.80
Dec2000 $2.86
Dec1999 $3.69
Dec1998 $2.83

Earnings Per Share – ModernGraham History

EPSmg History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $7.17
Dec2017 $5.95
Dec2016 $5.65
Dec2015 $5.27
Dec2014 $4.82
Dec2013 $4.41
Dec2012 $4.11
Dec2011 $3.47
Dec2010 $3.05
Dec2009 $2.69
Dec2008 $2.85
Dec2007 $3.44
Dec2006 $2.78
Dec2005 $2.01
Dec2004 $1.84
Dec2003 $2.08
Dec2002 $1.73

Recommended Reading:

Other ModernGraham posts about the company

JPMorgan Chase & Co Valuation – February 2018 $JPM
10 Best Dividend Paying Stocks for the Defensive Investor – August 2016
5 Most Undervalued Stocks in the Dow – August 2016
10 Low PE Stock Picks for the Defensive Investor – August 2016
Best Stocks to Invest In: the Bank Industry – August 2016

Other ModernGraham posts about related companies

CVB Financial Corp Valuation – September 2018 $CVBF
Customers Bancorp Inc Valuation – September 2018 $CUBI
Sterling Bancorp Valuation – August 2018 $STL
S&T Bancorp Inc Valuation – August 2018 $STBA
Central Pacific Financial Corp Valuation – August 2018 $CPF
Synovus Financial Corp Valuation – August 2018 $SNV
Columbia Banking System Inc Valuation – August 2018 $COLB
Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce Valuation – July 2018 $TSE:CM
ServisFirst Bancshares Inc Valuation – July 2018 $SFBS
Cullen/Frost Bankers Inc Valuation – July 2018 $CFR

Disclaimer:

The author did not hold a position in any company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours.  See my current holdings here.  This article is not investment advice; any reader should speak to a registered investment adviser prior to making any investment decisions.  ModernGraham is not affiliated with the company in any manner.  Please be sure to review our detailed disclaimer.

CVB Financial Corp Valuation – September 2018 $CVBF

Company Profile (excerpt from Reuters): CVB Financial Corp. (CVB), incorporated on April 27, 1981, is the bank holding company for Citizens Business Bank (the Bank). The Bank operates through two segments: Business Financial and Commercial Banking Centers (Centers), and Other Operations. The Company’s all administrative and other smaller operating departments are combined into the Other segment. As of August 10, 2018, the Bank operated through 67 banking centers and three trust office locations serving the Inland Empire, Los Angeles County, Orange County, San Diego County, Ventura County, Santa Barbara County, and the Central Valley area of California. Its trust offices are located in Ontario, Newport Beach and Pasadena. These offices serve as sales offices for the Bank’s wealth management, trust and investment products.

 

Downloadable PDF version of this valuation:

ModernGraham Valuation of CVBF – September 2018

Stage 1: Is this company suitable for the Defensive Investor or the Enterprising Investor?

What kind of Intelligent Investor are you?

Defensive Investor; must pass all 6 of the following tests.
1. Adequate Size of the Enterprise Market Cap > $2Bil $2,635,094,908 Pass
2. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 10 years prior Pass
3. Dividend Record Dividend Payments for 10 years prior Pass
4. Earnings Growth Increase of 33% in EPS in past 10 years using 3 year averages at beginning and end 49.48% Pass
5. Moderate PEmg Ratio PEmg < 20 24.95 Fail
6. Moderate Price to Assets PB Ratio < 2.5 OR PB*PEmg < 50 2.43 Pass
Enterprising Investor; must pass all 3 of the following tests, or be suitable for the Defensive Investor.
1. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 5 years prior Pass
2. Dividend Record Currently Pays Dividend Pass
3. Earnings Growth EPSmg greater than 5 years ago Pass

 

Stage 2: Determination of Intrinsic Value

EPSmg $0.96
MG Growth Estimate 1.71%
MG Value $11.41
Opinion Overvalued
MG Grade C
MG Value based on 3% Growth $13.88
MG Value based on 0% Growth $8.14
Market Implied Growth Rate 8.23%
Current Price $23.89
% of Intrinsic Value 209.33%

CVB Financial Corp. is suitable for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the high PEmg ratio. The Enterprising Investor has no initial concerns. As a result, all Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Overvalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $0.86 in 2014 to an estimated $0.96 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth does not support the market’s implied estimate of 8.23% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on Benjamin Graham’s formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value below the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into CVB Financial Corp. revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $14.63. The company pays a dividend of $0.54 per share, for a yield of 2.3%, putting it among the best dividend paying stocks today. Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 24.95, which was above the industry average of 19.22.

CVB Financial Corp. receives an average overall rating in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring a C.

Stage 3: Information for Further Research

Graham Number $14.63
PEmg 24.95
PB Ratio 2.43
Dividend Yield 2.26%
TTM Dividend $0.54
Number of Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth 1

Useful Links:

ModernGraham tagged articles Morningstar
Google Finance MSN Money
Yahoo Finance Seeking Alpha
GuruFocus SEC Filings

Most Recent Balance Sheet Figures

Balance Sheet Information 6/1/2018
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation $25,774,000
Total Assets $8,093,863,000
Intangible Assets $122,743,000
Total Liabilities $7,010,446,000
Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) 110,355,000

Earnings Per Share History

EPS History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $0.98
Dec2017 $0.95
Dec2016 $0.94
Dec2015 $0.93
Dec2014 $0.98
Dec2013 $0.91
Dec2012 $0.74
Dec2011 $0.77
Dec2010 $0.59
Dec2009 $0.56
Dec2008 $0.75
Dec2007 $0.72
Dec2006 $0.83
Dec2005 $0.83
Dec2004 $0.73
Dec2003 $0.63
Dec2002 $0.59
Dec2001 $0.48
Dec2000 $0.42
Dec1999 $0.32
Dec1998 $0.29

Earnings Per Share – ModernGraham History

EPSmg History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $0.96
Dec2017 $0.94
Dec2016 $0.93
Dec2015 $0.90
Dec2014 $0.86
Dec2013 $0.77
Dec2012 $0.69
Dec2011 $0.67
Dec2010 $0.65
Dec2009 $0.70
Dec2008 $0.77
Dec2007 $0.77
Dec2006 $0.77
Dec2005 $0.71
Dec2004 $0.62
Dec2003 $0.54
Dec2002 $0.47

Recommended Reading:

Other ModernGraham posts about the company

CVB Financial Corp Valuation – Initial Coverage $CVBF

Other ModernGraham posts about related companies

Customers Bancorp Inc Valuation – September 2018 $CUBI
Sterling Bancorp Valuation – August 2018 $STL
S&T Bancorp Inc Valuation – August 2018 $STBA
Central Pacific Financial Corp Valuation – August 2018 $CPF
Synovus Financial Corp Valuation – August 2018 $SNV
Columbia Banking System Inc Valuation – August 2018 $COLB
Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce Valuation – July 2018 $TSE:CM
ServisFirst Bancshares Inc Valuation – July 2018 $SFBS
Cullen/Frost Bankers Inc Valuation – July 2018 $CFR
Signature Bank Valuation – July 2018 $SBNY

Disclaimer:

The author did not hold a position in any company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours.  See my current holdings here.  This article is not investment advice; any reader should speak to a registered investment adviser prior to making any investment decisions.  ModernGraham is not affiliated with the company in any manner.  Please be sure to review our detailed disclaimer.

Customers Bancorp Inc Valuation – September 2018 $CUBI

Company Profile (excerpt from Reuters): Customers Bancorp, Inc. (Customers Bancorp), incorporated on April 7, 2010, is a bank holding company engaged in banking activities through its subsidiary, Customers Bank (the Bank). The Bank provides financial products and services to small and middle market businesses, not-for-profits, and consumers through its branches and offices in Southeastern Pennsylvania (Bucks, Berks, Chester, Delaware and Philadelphia Counties), Rye Brook, Melville and New York, New York (Westchester, Suffolk and New York Counties), Hamilton, New Jersey (Mercer County), Providence, Rhode Island (Providence County), Portsmouth, New Hampshire (Rockingham County) and Boston, Massachusetts (Suffolk County). The Bank also provides liquidity to the mortgage market nationwide through the operation of its loans to mortgage banking companies. The Bank offers a range of traditional loan and deposit banking products, and financial services. Customers Bank offers a range of lending products, including small business loans, mortgage warehouse loans, multi-family and commercial real estate loans, residential mortgage loans and other consumer loans. Customers Bank also offers traditional deposit products, including commercial and consumer checking accounts, non-interest-bearing demand accounts, money market deposit accounts, savings accounts and time deposit accounts, and cash management services.

 

Downloadable PDF version of this valuation:

ModernGraham Valuation of CUBI – September 2018

Stage 1: Is this company suitable for the Defensive Investor or the Enterprising Investor?

What kind of Intelligent Investor are you?

Defensive Investor; must pass all 6 of the following tests.
1. Adequate Size of the Enterprise Market Cap > $2Bil $786,388,942 Fail
2. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 10 years prior Fail
3. Dividend Record Dividend Payments for 10 years prior Fail
4. Earnings Growth Increase of 33% in EPS in past 10 years using 3 year averages at beginning and end 79.25% Pass
5. Moderate PEmg Ratio PEmg < 20 11.53 Pass
6. Moderate Price to Assets PB Ratio < 2.5 OR PB*PEmg < 50 0.85 Pass
Enterprising Investor; must pass all 3 of the following tests, or be suitable for the Defensive Investor.
1. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 5 years prior Pass
2. Dividend Record Currently Pays Dividend Fail
3. Earnings Growth EPSmg greater than 5 years ago Pass

 

Stage 2: Determination of Intrinsic Value

EPSmg $2.14
MG Growth Estimate 7.18%
MG Value $48.98
Opinion Undervalued
MG Grade C+
MG Value based on 3% Growth $31.06
MG Value based on 0% Growth $18.21
Market Implied Growth Rate 1.52%
Current Price $24.70
% of Intrinsic Value 50.42%

Customers Bancorp Inc does not satisfy the requirements of either the Enterprising Investor or the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the small size, insufficient earnings stability over the last ten years, and the poor dividend history. The Enterprising Investor has concerns regarding the lack of dividends. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should explore other opportunities at this time or proceed cautiously with a speculative attitude.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $1.45 in 2014 to an estimated $2.14 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market’s implied estimate of 1.52% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on Benjamin Graham’s formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Customers Bancorp Inc revealed the company was trading below its Graham Number of $34.58. The company does not pay a dividend. Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 11.53, which was below the industry average of 19.22, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry.

Customers Bancorp Inc receives an average overall rating in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring a C+.

Stage 3: Information for Further Research

Graham Number $34.58
PEmg 11.53
PB Ratio 0.85
Dividend Yield 0.00%
TTM Dividend $0.00
Number of Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth 0

Useful Links:

ModernGraham tagged articles Morningstar
Google Finance MSN Money
Yahoo Finance Seeking Alpha
GuruFocus SEC Filings

Most Recent Balance Sheet Figures

Balance Sheet Information 6/1/2018
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation $2,685,614,000
Total Assets $11,092,846,000
Intangible Assets $17,150,000
Total Liabilities $10,156,619,000
Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) 32,381,000

Earnings Per Share History

EPS History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $2.37
Dec2017 $1.97
Dec2016 $2.31
Dec2015 $1.96
Dec2014 $1.55
Dec2013 $1.30
Dec2012 $1.57
Dec2011 $0.36
Dec2010 $3.36

Earnings Per Share – ModernGraham History

EPSmg History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $2.14
Dec2017 $1.96
Dec2016 $1.88
Dec2015 $1.56
Dec2014 $1.45
Dec2013 $1.37
Dec2012 $1.29
Dec2011 $1.01
Dec2010 $1.12

Recommended Reading:

Other ModernGraham posts about the company

Customers Bancorp Inc Valuation – Initial Coverage $CUBI

Other ModernGraham posts about related companies

Central Pacific Financial Corp Valuation – August 2018 $CPF
Synovus Financial Corp Valuation – August 2018 $SNV
Columbia Banking System Inc Valuation – August 2018 $COLB
Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce Valuation – July 2018 $TSE:CM
ServisFirst Bancshares Inc Valuation – July 2018 $SFBS
Cullen/Frost Bankers Inc Valuation – July 2018 $CFR
Signature Bank Valuation – July 2018 $SBNY
City Holding Co Valuation – July 2018 $CHCO
Southside Bancshares Inc Valuation – July 2018 $SBSI
Independent Bank Corp Valuation – July 2018 $INDB

Disclaimer:

The author did not hold a position in any company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours.  See my current holdings here.  This article is not investment advice; any reader should speak to a registered investment adviser prior to making any investment decisions.  ModernGraham is not affiliated with the company in any manner.  Please be sure to review our detailed disclaimer.

Sterling Bancorp Valuation – August 2018 $STL

Company Profile (excerpt from Reuters): Sterling Bancorp, incorporated on June 30, 2003, is a financial holding company. The Company is a bank holding company that owns the Sterling National Bank (the Bank). The Bank specializes in the delivery of services and solutions to business owners, their families and consumers within the communities it serves. The Bank offers a line of commercial, business, and consumer banking products and services. The Bank offers services in the New York Metro Market, which includes Manhattan and Long Island, and the New York Suburban Market, which consists of Rockland, Orange, Sullivan, Ulster, Putnam and Westchester counties in New York and Bergen County in New Jersey.

 

Downloadable PDF version of this valuation:

ModernGraham Valuation of STL – August 2018

Stage 1: Is this company suitable for the Defensive Investor or the Enterprising Investor?

What kind of Intelligent Investor are you?

Defensive Investor; must pass all 6 of the following tests.
1. Adequate Size of the Enterprise Market Cap > $2Bil $5,163,413,917 Pass
2. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 10 years prior Pass
3. Dividend Record Dividend Payments for 10 years prior Pass
4. Earnings Growth Increase of 33% in EPS in past 10 years using 3 year averages at beginning and end 136.84% Pass
5. Moderate PEmg Ratio PEmg < 20 20.42 Fail
6. Moderate Price to Assets PB Ratio < 2.5 OR PB*PEmg < 50 1.19 Pass
Enterprising Investor; must pass all 3 of the following tests, or be suitable for the Defensive Investor.
1. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 5 years prior Pass
2. Dividend Record Currently Pays Dividend Pass
3. Earnings Growth EPSmg greater than 5 years ago Pass

 

Stage 2: Determination of Intrinsic Value

EPSmg $1.12
MG Growth Estimate 15.00%
MG Value $43.17
Opinion Undervalued
MG Grade B
MG Value based on 3% Growth $16.26
MG Value based on 0% Growth $9.53
Market Implied Growth Rate 5.96%
Current Price $22.90
% of Intrinsic Value 53.04%

Sterling Bancorp is suitable for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the high PEmg ratio. The Enterprising Investor has no initial concerns. As a result, all Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $0.45 in 2014 to an estimated $1.12 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market’s implied estimate of 5.96% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on Benjamin Graham’s formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Sterling Bancorp revealed the company was trading below its Graham Number of $28.29. The company pays a dividend of $0.28 per share, for a yield of 1.2% Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 20.42, which was above the industry average of 19.62.

Sterling Bancorp performs fairly well in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring a B.

Stage 3: Information for Further Research

Graham Number $28.29
PEmg 20.42
PB Ratio 1.19
Dividend Yield 1.22%
TTM Dividend $0.28
Number of Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth 0

Useful Links:

ModernGraham tagged articles Morningstar
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Yahoo Finance Seeking Alpha
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Most Recent Balance Sheet Figures

Balance Sheet Information 6/1/2018
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation $5,518,423,000
Total Assets $31,463,077,000
Intangible Assets $1,754,418,000
Total Liabilities $27,110,342,000
Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) 225,622,000

Earnings Per Share History

EPS History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $1.95
Dec2017 $0.58
Dec2016 $1.07
Dec2015 $0.60
Sep2014 $0.34
Sep2013 $0.58
Sep2012 $0.52
Sep2011 $0.31
Sep2010 $0.54
Sep2009 $0.67
Sep2008 $0.61
Sep2007 $0.48
Sep2006 $0.49
Sep2005 $0.49
Sep2004 $0.29
Sep2003 $0.33
Sep2002 $0.28
Sep2001 $0.22
Sep2000 $0.17
Sep1999 $0.09

Earnings Per Share – ModernGraham History

EPSmg History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $1.12
Dec2017 $0.68
Dec2016 $0.70
Dec2015 $0.50
Sep2014 $0.45
Sep2013 $0.51
Sep2012 $0.49
Sep2011 $0.49
Sep2010 $0.58
Sep2009 $0.58
Sep2008 $0.51
Sep2007 $0.45
Sep2006 $0.41
Sep2005 $0.36
Sep2004 $0.28
Sep2003 $0.25
Sep2002 $0.20

Recommended Reading:

Other ModernGraham posts about the company

11 Best Stocks for Value Investors This Week – 3/4/17
Sterling Bancorp Valuation – Initial Coverage $STL

Other ModernGraham posts about related companies

Central Pacific Financial Corp Valuation – August 2018 $CPF
Synovus Financial Corp Valuation – August 2018 $SNV
Columbia Banking System Inc Valuation – August 2018 $COLB
Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce Valuation – July 2018 $TSE:CM
ServisFirst Bancshares Inc Valuation – July 2018 $SFBS
Cullen/Frost Bankers Inc Valuation – July 2018 $CFR
Signature Bank Valuation – July 2018 $SBNY
City Holding Co Valuation – July 2018 $CHCO
Southside Bancshares Inc Valuation – July 2018 $SBSI
Independent Bank Corp Valuation – July 2018 $INDB

Disclaimer:

The author did not hold a position in any company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours.  See my current holdings here.  This article is not investment advice; any reader should speak to a registered investment adviser prior to making any investment decisions.  ModernGraham is not affiliated with the company in any manner.  Please be sure to review our detailed disclaimer.

S&T Bancorp Inc Valuation – August 2018 $STBA

Company Profile (excerpt from Reuters): S&T Bancorp, Inc. (S&T), incorporated on March 17, 1983, is a bank holding company. The Company operates through three segments: Community Banking, Wealth Management and Insurance. The Company’s subsidiaries include S&T Bank, 9th Street Holdings, Inc. and STBA Capital Trust I. It also owns an interest in Commonwealth Trust Credit Life Insurance Company (CTCLIC). The Company’s subsidiary, S&T Bank, is a full service bank. S&T Bank is engaged in providing services to its customers through locations in Pennsylvania, Ohio and New York. S&T Bank has three subsidiaries: S&T Insurance Group, LLC, S&T Bancholdings, Inc. and Stewart Capital Advisors, LLC. The Company is engaged in nonbanking activities through five entities: 9th Street Holdings, Inc.; S&T Bancholdings, Inc.; CTCLIC; S&T Insurance Group, LLC, and Stewart Capital Advisors, LLC. 9th Street Holdings, Inc. and S&T Bancholdings, Inc. are investment holding companies.

 

Downloadable PDF version of this valuation:

ModernGraham Valuation of STBA – August 2018

Stage 1: Is this company suitable for the Defensive Investor or the Enterprising Investor?

What kind of Intelligent Investor are you?

Defensive Investor; must pass all 6 of the following tests.
1. Adequate Size of the Enterprise Market Cap > $2Bil $1,663,955,911 Fail
2. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 10 years prior Pass
3. Dividend Record Dividend Payments for 10 years prior Pass
4. Earnings Growth Increase of 33% in EPS in past 10 years using 3 year averages at beginning and end 147.87% Pass
5. Moderate PEmg Ratio PEmg < 20 20.56 Fail
6. Moderate Price to Assets PB Ratio < 2.5 OR PB*PEmg < 50 1.84 Pass
Enterprising Investor; must pass all 3 of the following tests, or be suitable for the Defensive Investor.
1. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 5 years prior Pass
2. Dividend Record Currently Pays Dividend Pass
3. Earnings Growth EPSmg greater than 5 years ago Pass

 

Stage 2: Determination of Intrinsic Value

EPSmg $2.31
MG Growth Estimate 6.45%
MG Value $49.44
Opinion Fairly Valued
MG Grade C
MG Value based on 3% Growth $33.51
MG Value based on 0% Growth $19.65
Market Implied Growth Rate 6.03%
Current Price $47.53
% of Intrinsic Value 96.13%

S & T Bancorp Inc is suitable for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the small size, high PEmg ratio. The Enterprising Investor has no initial concerns. As a result, all Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Fairly Valued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $1.62 in 2014 to an estimated $2.31 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth supports the market’s implied estimate of 6.03% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on Benjamin Graham’s formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value within a margin of safety relative to the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into S & T Bancorp Inc revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $40.26. The company pays a dividend of $0.82 per share, for a yield of 1.7% Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 20.56, which was above the industry average of 19.62.

S & T Bancorp Inc receives an average overall rating in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring a C.

Stage 3: Information for Further Research

Graham Number $40.26
PEmg 20.56
PB Ratio 1.84
Dividend Yield 1.73%
TTM Dividend $0.82
Number of Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth 5

Useful Links:

ModernGraham tagged articles Morningstar
Google Finance MSN Money
Yahoo Finance Seeking Alpha
GuruFocus SEC Filings

Most Recent Balance Sheet Figures

Balance Sheet Information 6/1/2018
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation $91,681,000
Total Assets $7,097,346,000
Intangible Assets $290,355,000
Total Liabilities $6,190,213,000
Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) 35,058,000

Earnings Per Share History

EPS History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $2.85
Dec2017 $2.09
Dec2016 $2.05
Dec2015 $1.98
Dec2014 $1.95
Dec2013 $1.70
Dec2012 $1.18
Dec2011 $1.41
Dec2010 $1.34
Dec2009 $0.07
Dec2008 $2.28
Dec2007 $2.26
Dec2006 $2.06
Dec2005 $2.18
Dec2004 $2.03
Dec2003 $1.94
Dec2002 $1.81
Dec2001 $1.75
Dec2000 $1.66
Dec1999 $1.51
Dec1998 $1.35

Earnings Per Share – ModernGraham History

EPSmg History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $2.31
Dec2017 $2.01
Dec2016 $1.91
Dec2015 $1.77
Dec2014 $1.62
Dec2013 $1.35
Dec2012 $1.20
Dec2011 $1.30
Dec2010 $1.36
Dec2009 $1.50
Dec2008 $2.20
Dec2007 $2.14
Dec2006 $2.05
Dec2005 $2.01
Dec2004 $1.90
Dec2003 $1.80
Dec2002 $1.69

Recommended Reading:

Other ModernGraham posts about the company

5 Best Stocks for Value Investors This Week – 2/25/17
S&T Bancorp Inc Valuation – Initial Coverage $STBA

Other ModernGraham posts about related companies

Central Pacific Financial Corp Valuation – August 2018 $CPF
Synovus Financial Corp Valuation – August 2018 $SNV
Columbia Banking System Inc Valuation – August 2018 $COLB
Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce Valuation – July 2018 $TSE:CM
ServisFirst Bancshares Inc Valuation – July 2018 $SFBS
Cullen/Frost Bankers Inc Valuation – July 2018 $CFR
Signature Bank Valuation – July 2018 $SBNY
City Holding Co Valuation – July 2018 $CHCO
Southside Bancshares Inc Valuation – July 2018 $SBSI
Independent Bank Corp Valuation – July 2018 $INDB

Disclaimer:

The author did not hold a position in any company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours.  See my current holdings here.  This article is not investment advice; any reader should speak to a registered investment adviser prior to making any investment decisions.  ModernGraham is not affiliated with the company in any manner.  Please be sure to review our detailed disclaimer.

First Solar Inc Valuation – August 2018 $FSLR

Company Profile (excerpt from Reuters): First Solar, Inc., incorporated on May 15, 2003, is a provider of photovoltaic (PV) solar energy solutions. The Company designs, manufactures and sells PV solar modules with a thin-film semiconductor technology. The Company also develops, designs, constructs and sells PV solar power systems that primarily use the modules it manufactures. It operates through two segments: components and systems. The components segment is engaged in the design, manufacture and sale of cadmium telluride (CdTe) solar modules, which convert sunlight into electricity. The systems segment includes the development, construction, operation and maintenance of PV solar power systems, which primarily use its solar modules. In addition, the Company provides operations and maintenance (O&M) services to system owners that use solar modules manufactured by it or by third-party manufacturers.

Downloadable PDF version of this valuation:

ModernGraham Valuation of FSLR – August 2018

Stage 1: Is this company suitable for the Defensive Investor or the Enterprising Investor?

What kind of Intelligent Investor are you?

Defensive Investor; must pass 6 out of the following 7 tests.
1. Adequate Size of the Enterprise Market Cap > $2Bil $5,423,736,443 Pass
2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Current Ratio > 2 4.89 Pass
3. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 10 years prior Fail
4. Dividend Record Dividend Payments for 10 years prior Fail
5. Earnings Growth Increase of 33% in EPS in past 10 years using 3 year averages at beginning and end -130.85% Fail
6. Moderate PEmg Ratio PEmg < 20 316.74 Fail
7. Moderate Price to Assets PB Ratio < 2.5 OR PB*PEmg < 50 1.08 Pass
Enterprising Investor; must pass 4 out of the following 5 tests, or be suitable for the Defensive Investor.
1. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Current Ratio > 1.5 4.89 Pass
2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Debt to NCA < 1.1 0.14 Pass
3. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 5 years prior Fail
4. Dividend Record Currently Pays Dividend Fail
5. Earnings Growth EPSmg greater than 5 years ago Fail

 

Stage 2: Determination of Intrinsic Value

EPSmg $0.17
MG Growth Estimate -4.25%
MG Value $19.77
Opinion Overvalued
MG Grade F
MG Value based on 3% Growth $2.42
MG Value based on 0% Growth $1.42
Market Implied Growth Rate 154.12%
Current Price $52.79
% of Intrinsic Value 267.05%

First Solar, Inc. does not satisfy the requirements of either the Enterprising Investor or the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the insufficient earnings stability or growth over the last ten years, and the poor dividend history, and the high PEmg ratio. The Enterprising Investor has concerns regarding the lack of earnings stability or growth over the last five years, and the lack of dividends. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should explore other opportunities at this time or proceed cautiously with a speculative attitude.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Overvalued after seeing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) decline from $2.51 in 2014 to an estimated $0.17 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth does not support the market’s implied estimate of 154.12% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value below the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into First Solar, Inc. revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $34.6. The company does not pay a dividend. Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 316.74, which was above the industry average of 177.47. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $19.77.

First Solar, Inc. scores quite poorly in the ModernGraham grading system, with an overall grade of F.

Stage 3: Information for Further Research

Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) $19.77
Graham Number $34.60
PEmg 316.74
Current Ratio 4.89
PB Ratio 1.08
Current Dividend $0.00
Dividend Yield 0.00%
Number of Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth 0

Useful Links:

ModernGraham tagged articles Morningstar
Google Finance MSN Money
Yahoo Finance Seeking Alpha
GuruFocus SEC Filings

Most Recent Balance Sheet Figures

Balance Sheet Information 6/1/2018
Total Current Assets $3,986,040,000
Total Current Liabilities $815,412,000
Long-Term Debt $448,554,000
Total Assets $7,025,692,000
Intangible Assets $91,557,000
Total Liabilities $1,914,864,000
Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) 104,776,000

Earnings Per Share History

EPS History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $1.09
Dec2017 -$1.59
Dec2016 -$4.05
Dec2015 $5.83
Dec2014 $3.90
Dec2013 $3.67
Dec2012 -$1.11
Dec2011 -$0.46
Dec2010 $7.68
Dec2009 $7.53
Dec2008 $4.24
Dec2007 $2.03
Dec2006 $0.07
Dec2005 -$0.13
Dec2004 -$0.39
Dec2003 -$0.78

Earnings Per Share – ModernGraham History

EPSmg History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $0.17
Dec2017 $0.32
Dec2016 $1.40
Dec2015 $3.54
Dec2014 $2.51
Dec2013 $2.36
Dec2012 $2.33
Dec2011 $4.10
Dec2010 $5.69
Dec2009 $4.05
Dec2008 $1.93
Dec2007 $0.57
Dec2006 -$0.19
Dec2005 -$0.30
Dec2004 -$0.34
Dec2003 -$0.26

Recommended Reading:

Other ModernGraham posts about the company

First Solar Inc Valuation – February 2017 $FSLR
First Solar Inc. Valuation – November 2015 Update $FSLR
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First Solar Inc. Annual Valuation – 2014 $FSLR

Other ModernGraham posts about related companies

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Innergex Renewable Energy Inc Valuation – Initial Coverage $TSE:INE
Canfor Corporation Valuation – Initial Coverage $TSE:CFP
First Solar Inc. Valuation – November 2015 Update $FSLR
First Solar Inc. Annual Valuation – 2014 $FSLR

Disclaimer:

The author did not hold a position in any company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours.  See my current holdings here.  This article is not investment advice; any reader should speak to a registered investment adviser prior to making any investment decisions.  ModernGraham is not affiliated with the company in any manner.  Please be sure to review our detailed disclaimer.

Central Pacific Financial Corp Valuation – August 2018 $CPF

Company Profile (excerpt from Reuters): Central Pacific Financial Corp., incorporated on February 1, 1982, is a bank holding company. The Company’s principal business is to serve as a holding company for its bank subsidiary, Central Pacific Bank (the Bank). The Company’s segments include Banking Operations, Treasury and All Others. The Banking Operations segment includes construction and real estate development lending, commercial lending, residential mortgage lending, consumer lending, trust services, retail brokerage services and its retail branch offices, which provide a range of deposit and loan products, as well as various other banking services. The Treasury segment is responsible for managing the Company’s investment securities portfolio and wholesale funding activities. The All Others segment includes activities, such as electronic banking, data processing and management of Bank-owned properties. As of December 31, 2016, the Company, through the Bank and its subsidiaries, offered full-service commercial banking with 35 bank branches and 103 automated teller machines (ATMs) located throughout the state of Hawaii. The Company also offers wealth management products and services, such as non-deposit investment products, annuities, insurance, investment management, asset custody, and general consultation and planning services.

Downloadable PDF version of this valuation:

ModernGraham Valuation of CPF – August 2018

Stage 1: Is this company suitable for the Defensive Investor or the Enterprising Investor?

What kind of Intelligent Investor are you?

Defensive Investor; must pass all 6 of the following tests.
1. Adequate Size of the Enterprise Market Cap > $2Bil $817,252,932 Fail
2. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 10 years prior Fail
3. Dividend Record Dividend Payments for 10 years prior Fail
4. Earnings Growth Increase of 33% in EPS in past 10 years using 3 year averages at beginning and end -101.43% Fail
5. Moderate PEmg Ratio PEmg < 20 18.10 Pass
6. Moderate Price to Assets PB Ratio < 2.5 OR PB*PEmg < 50 1.72 Pass
Enterprising Investor; must pass all 3 of the following tests, or be suitable for the Defensive Investor.
1. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 5 years prior Pass
2. Dividend Record Currently Pays Dividend Pass
3. Earnings Growth EPSmg greater than 5 years ago Pass

 

Stage 2: Determination of Intrinsic Value

EPSmg $1.54
MG Growth Estimate 15.00%
MG Value $59.11
Opinion Undervalued
MG Grade B
MG Value based on 3% Growth $22.26
MG Value based on 0% Growth $13.05
Market Implied Growth Rate 4.80%
Current Price $27.79
% of Intrinsic Value 47.01%

Central Pacific Financial Corp. is suitable for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the small size, insufficient earnings stability or growth over the last ten years, and the poor dividend history. The Enterprising Investor has no initial concerns. As a result, all Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $-9.3 in 2014 to an estimated $1.54 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market’s implied estimate of 4.8% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on Benjamin Graham’s formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Central Pacific Financial Corp. revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $26.4. The company pays a dividend of $0.7 per share, for a yield of 2.5%, putting it among the best dividend paying stocks today. Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 18.1, which was below the industry average of 19.62, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry.

Central Pacific Financial Corp. performs fairly well in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring a B.

Stage 3: Information for Further Research

Graham Number $26.40
PEmg 18.10
PB Ratio 1.72
Dividend Yield 2.52%
TTM Dividend $0.70
Number of Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth 5

Useful Links:

ModernGraham tagged articles Morningstar
Google Finance MSN Money
Yahoo Finance Seeking Alpha
GuruFocus SEC Filings

Most Recent Balance Sheet Figures

Balance Sheet Information 6/1/2018
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation $179,785,000
Total Assets $5,681,519,000
Intangible Assets $15,756,000
Total Liabilities $5,200,851,000
Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) 29,715,000

Earnings Per Share History

EPS History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $1.86
Dec2017 $1.34
Dec2016 $1.50
Dec2015 $1.40
Dec2014 $1.07
Dec2013 $4.07
Dec2012 $1.13
Dec2011 $3.31
Dec2010 -$171.13
Dec2009 -$159.89
Dec2008 -$70.03
Dec2007 $2.76
Dec2006 $37.26
Dec2005 $34.51
Dec2004 $27.11
Dec2003 $30.01
Dec2002 $29.58
Dec2001 $24.94
Dec2000 $15.51
Dec1999 $12.18
Dec1998 $10.51

Earnings Per Share – ModernGraham History

EPSmg History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $1.54
Dec2017 $1.54
Dec2016 $1.71
Dec2015 $1.94
Dec2014 -$9.30
Dec2013 -$31.16
Dec2012 -$58.95
Dec2011 -$85.66
Dec2010 -$110.84
Dec2009 -$64.15
Dec2008 -$8.75
Dec2007 $23.37
Dec2006 $33.02
Dec2005 $30.34
Dec2004 $27.32
Dec2003 $25.76
Dec2002 $21.94

Recommended Reading:

Other ModernGraham posts about the company

14 Best Stocks for Value Investors This Week – 2/11/17
Central Pacific Financial Corp Valuation – Initial Coverage $CPF

Other ModernGraham posts about related companies

Synovus Financial Corp Valuation – August 2018 $SNV
Columbia Banking System Inc Valuation – August 2018 $COLB
Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce Valuation – July 2018 $TSE:CM
ServisFirst Bancshares Inc Valuation – July 2018 $SFBS
Cullen/Frost Bankers Inc Valuation – July 2018 $CFR
Signature Bank Valuation – July 2018 $SBNY
City Holding Co Valuation – July 2018 $CHCO
Southside Bancshares Inc Valuation – July 2018 $SBSI
Independent Bank Corp Valuation – July 2018 $INDB
Wells Fargo & Co Valuation – June 2018 $WFC

Disclaimer:

The author did not hold a position in any company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours.  See my current holdings here.  This article is not investment advice; any reader should speak to a registered investment adviser prior to making any investment decisions.  ModernGraham is not affiliated with the company in any manner.  Please be sure to review our detailed disclaimer.

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