Jacobs Engineering Group Inc Valuation – March 2019 #JEC

Company Profile (excerpt from Reuters): Jacobs Engineering Group Inc., incorporated on January 8, 1987, is a technical professional services company. The Company provides a range of technical, professional and construction services to industrial, commercial and governmental clients. The Company’s services include Project Services; Process, Scientific, and Systems Consulting Services; Construction Services, and Operations and Maintenance Services. The Company operates four lines of business (LOBs): Petroleum and Chemicals; Buildings and Infrastructure; Aerospace and Technology, and Industrial. It caters its services to various sectors, such as oil and gas exploration, production and refining; chemicals and polymers; programs for various national governments, including aerospace, defense, and environmental programs; buildings (including specialized buildings for clients operating in the fields of healthcare, education, and high technology; governmental complexes; other specialized civic and mission critical buildings, installations, and laboratories; and retail and commercial buildings); infrastructure and telecommunications; mining and minerals; pharmaceuticals and biotechnology; power; pulp and paper; technology and manufacturing, and food and consumer products.

 

Downloadable PDF version of this valuation:

ModernGraham Valuation of JEC – March 2019

Stage 1: Is this company suitable for the Defensive Investor or the Enterprising Investor?

What kind of Intelligent Investor are you?

Defensive Investor; must pass 6 out of the following 7 tests.
1. Adequate Size of the Enterprise Market Cap > $2Bil $10,214,039,442 Pass
2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Current Ratio > 2 1.58 Fail
3. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 10 years prior Pass
4. Dividend Record Dividend Payments for 10 years prior Fail
5. Earnings Growth Increase of 33% in EPS in past 10 years using 3 year averages at beginning and end 2.27% Fail
6. Moderate PEmg Ratio PEmg < 20 28.76 Fail
7. Moderate Price to Assets PB Ratio < 2.5 OR PB*PEmg < 50 1.80 Pass
Enterprising Investor; must pass 4 out of the following 5 tests, or be suitable for the Defensive Investor.
1. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Current Ratio > 1.5 1.58 Pass
2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Debt to NCA < 1.1 1.48 Fail
3. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 5 years prior Pass
4. Dividend Record Currently Pays Dividend Pass
5. Earnings Growth EPSmg greater than 5 years ago Fail

 

Stage 2: Determination of Intrinsic Value

EPSmg $2.55
MG Growth Estimate -0.71%
MG Value $18.04
Opinion Overvalued
MG Grade F
MG Value based on 3% Growth $36.93
MG Value based on 0% Growth $21.65
Market Implied Growth Rate 10.13%
Current Price $73.24
% of Intrinsic Value 405.88%

Jacobs Engineering Group Inc does not satisfy the requirements of either the Enterprising Investor or the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the low current ratio, insufficient earnings growth over the last ten years, and the poor dividend history, and the high PEmg ratio. The Enterprising Investor has concerns regarding the level of debt relative to the net current assets, and the lack of earnings growth over the last five years. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should explore other opportunities at this time or proceed cautiously with a speculative attitude.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Overvalued after seeing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) decline from $2.67 in 2015 to an estimated $2.55 for 2019. This level of demonstrated earnings growth does not support the market’s implied estimate of 10.13% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value below the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Jacobs Engineering Group Inc revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $61.47. The company pays a dividend of $0.75 per share, for a yield of 1% Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 28.76, which was above the industry average of 20.99. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $-15.36.

Jacobs Engineering Group Inc scores quite poorly in the ModernGraham grading system, with an overall grade of F.

Stage 3: Information for Further Research

Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) -$15.36
Graham Number $61.47
PEmg 28.76
Current Ratio 1.58
PB Ratio 1.80
Current Dividend $0.75
Dividend Yield 1.02%
Number of Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth 2

Useful Links:

ModernGraham tagged articles Morningstar
Google Finance MSN Money
Yahoo Finance Seeking Alpha
GuruFocus SEC Filings

Most Recent Balance Sheet Figures

Balance Sheet Information 12/1/2018
Total Current Assets $4,898,862,000
Total Current Liabilities $3,094,724,000
Long-Term Debt $2,668,993,000
Total Assets $12,945,259,000
Intangible Assets $5,323,116,000
Total Liabilities $7,104,225,000
Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) 143,578,000

Earnings Per Share History

EPS History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $4.08
Sep2018 $1.17
Sep2017 $2.42
Sep2016 $1.73
Sep2015 $2.40
Sep2014 $2.48
Sep2013 $3.23
Sep2012 $2.94
Sep2011 $2.60
Sep2010 $1.96
Sep2009 $3.21
Sep2008 $3.38
Sep2007 $2.35
Sep2006 $1.64
Sep2005 $1.12
Sep2004 $1.01
Sep2003 $1.00
Sep2002 $0.99
Sep2001 $0.81
Sep2000 $0.48
Sep1999 $0.62

Earnings Per Share – ModernGraham History

EPSmg History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $2.55
Sep2018 $1.87
Sep2017 $2.29
Sep2016 $2.34
Sep2015 $2.67
Sep2014 $2.75
Sep2013 $2.86
Sep2012 $2.72
Sep2011 $2.64
Sep2010 $2.61
Sep2009 $2.73
Sep2008 $2.30
Sep2007 $1.65
Sep2006 $1.25
Sep2005 $1.03
Sep2004 $0.94
Sep2003 $0.86

Recommended Reading:

Other ModernGraham posts about the company

Jacobs Engineering Group Inc Valuation – May 2018 $JEC
Jacobs Engineering Group Inc Valuation – January 2017 $JEC
Jacobs Engineering Group Inc Valuation – August 2016 $JEC
Jacobs Engineering Group Inc Valuation – January 2016 Update $JEC
Jacobs Engineering Group Analysis – October 2015 Update $JEC

Other ModernGraham posts about related companies

Masco Corp Valuation – February 2019 $MAS
D.R. Horton Inc Valuation – February 2019 $DHI
Martin Marietta Materials Inc Valuation – February 2019 $MLM
Fluor Corp Valuation – February 2019 $FLR
Lennar Corp Valuation – February 2019 $LEN
Vulcan Materials Co Valuation – February 2019 $VMC
PulteGroup Inc Valuation – January 2019 $PHM
Sherwin-Williams Co Valuation – January 2019 $SHW
Johnson Controls International PC Valuation – January 2019 $JCI
Cummins Inc Valuation – January 2019 $CMI

Disclaimer:

The author did not hold a position in any company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours.  See my current holdings here.  This article is not investment advice; any reader should speak to a registered investment adviser prior to making any investment decisions.  ModernGraham is not affiliated with the company in any manner.  Please be sure to review our detailed disclaimer.

Jacobs Engineering Group Inc Valuation – May 2018 $JEC

Company Profile (excerpt from Reuters): Jacobs Engineering Group Inc., incorporated on January 8, 1987, is a technical professional services company. The Company provides a range of technical, professional and construction services to industrial, commercial and governmental clients. The Company’s services include Project Services; Process, Scientific, and Systems Consulting Services; Construction Services, and Operations and Maintenance Services. The Company operates four lines of business (LOBs): Petroleum and Chemicals; Buildings and Infrastructure; Aerospace and Technology, and Industrial. It caters its services to various sectors, such as oil and gas exploration, production and refining; chemicals and polymers; programs for various national governments, including aerospace, defense, and environmental programs; buildings (including specialized buildings for clients operating in the fields of healthcare, education, and high technology; governmental complexes; other specialized civic and mission critical buildings, installations, and laboratories; and retail and commercial buildings); infrastructure and telecommunications; mining and minerals; pharmaceuticals and biotechnology; power; pulp and paper; technology and manufacturing, and food and consumer products.

JEC Chart

JEC data by YCharts

 

Downloadable PDF version of this valuation:

ModernGraham Valuation of JEC – May 2018

Stage 1: Is this company suitable for the Defensive Investor or the Enterprising Investor?

What kind of Intelligent Investor are you?

Defensive Investor; must pass 6 out of the following 7 tests.
1. Adequate Size of the Enterprise Market Cap > $2Bil $8,907,882,957 Pass
2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Current Ratio > 2 1.49 Fail
3. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 10 years prior Pass
4. Dividend Record Dividend Payments for 10 years prior Fail
5. Earnings Growth Increase of 33% in EPS in past 10 years using 3 year averages at beginning and end 6.82% Fail
6. Moderate PEmg Ratio PEmg < 20 21.91 Fail
7. Moderate Price to Assets PB Ratio < 2.5 OR PB*PEmg < 50 1.51 Pass
Enterprising Investor; must pass 4 out of the following 5 tests, or be suitable for the Defensive Investor.
1. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Current Ratio > 1.5 1.49 Fail
2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Debt to NCA < 1.1 1.70 Fail
3. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 5 years prior Pass
4. Dividend Record Currently Pays Dividend Pass
5. Earnings Growth EPSmg greater than 5 years ago Pass

 

Stage 2: Determination of Intrinsic Value

EPSmg $2.86
MG Growth Estimate 0.58%
MG Value $27.63
Opinion Overvalued
MG Grade D
MG Value based on 3% Growth $41.47
MG Value based on 0% Growth $24.31
Market Implied Growth Rate 6.71%
Current Price $62.67
% of Intrinsic Value 226.79%

Jacobs Engineering Group Inc does not satisfy the requirements of either the Enterprising Investor or the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the low current ratio, insufficient earnings growth over the last ten years, and the poor dividend history, and the high PEmg ratio. The Enterprising Investor has concerns regarding the level of debt relative to the current assets. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should explore other opportunities at this time or proceed cautiously with a speculative attitude.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Overvalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $2.75 in 2014 to an estimated $2.86 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth does not support the market’s implied estimate of 6.71% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value below the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Jacobs Engineering Group Inc revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $58.61. The company pays a dividend of $0.45 per share, for a yield of 0.7% Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 21.91, which was below the industry average of 26.36, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $-15.46.

Jacobs Engineering Group Inc scores quite poorly in the ModernGraham grading system, with an overall grade of D.

Stage 3: Information for Further Research

Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) -$15.46
Graham Number $58.61
PEmg 21.91
Current Ratio 1.49
PB Ratio 1.51
Current Dividend $0.45
Dividend Yield 0.72%
Number of Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth 1

Useful Links:

ModernGraham tagged articles Morningstar
Google Finance MSN Money
Yahoo Finance Seeking Alpha
GuruFocus SEC Filings

Most Recent Balance Sheet Figures

Balance Sheet Information 3/1/2018
Total Current Assets $4,457,271,000
Total Current Liabilities $2,983,233,000
Long-Term Debt $2,511,800,000
Total Assets $12,601,866,000
Intangible Assets $6,662,774,000
Total Liabilities $6,665,299,000
Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) 142,833,000

Earnings Per Share History

EPS History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $4.15
Sep2017 $2.42
Sep2016 $1.73
Sep2015 $2.40
Sep2014 $2.48
Sep2013 $3.23
Sep2012 $2.94
Sep2011 $2.60
Sep2010 $1.96
Sep2009 $3.21
Sep2008 $3.38
Sep2007 $2.35
Sep2006 $1.64
Sep2005 $1.12
Sep2004 $1.01
Sep2003 $1.00
Sep2002 $0.99
Sep2001 $0.81
Sep2000 $0.48
Sep1999 $0.62
Sep1998 $0.52

Earnings Per Share – ModernGraham History

EPSmg History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $2.86
Sep2017 $2.29
Sep2016 $2.34
Sep2015 $2.67
Sep2014 $2.75
Sep2013 $2.86
Sep2012 $2.72
Sep2011 $2.64
Sep2010 $2.61
Sep2009 $2.73
Sep2008 $2.30
Sep2007 $1.65
Sep2006 $1.25
Sep2005 $1.03
Sep2004 $0.94
Sep2003 $0.86
Sep2002 $0.76

Recommended Reading:

Other ModernGraham posts about the company

Jacobs Engineering Group Inc Valuation – January 2017 $JEC
Jacobs Engineering Group Inc Valuation – August 2016 $JEC
Jacobs Engineering Group Inc Valuation – January 2016 Update $JEC
Jacobs Engineering Group Analysis – October 2015 Update $JEC
Jacobs Engineering Group Inc. Analysis – July 2015 Update $JEC

Other ModernGraham posts about related companies

Masco Corp Valuation – May 2018 $MAS
D.R. Horton Inc Valuation – May 2018 $DHI
Martin Marietta Materials Inc Valuation – May 2018 $MLM
Fluor Corporation Valuation – April 2018 $FLR
Lennar Corp Valuation – April 2018 $LEN
Vulcan Materials Co Valuation – April 2018 $VMC
PulteGroup Inc Valuation – March 2018 $PHM
Sherwin-Williams Co Valuation – March 2018 $SHW
Cummins Inc Valuation – March 2018 $CMI
Johnson Controls International PLC Valuation – March 2018 $JCI

Disclaimer:

The author did not hold a position in any company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours.  See my current holdings here.  This article is not investment advice; any reader should speak to a registered investment adviser prior to making any investment decisions.  ModernGraham is not affiliated with the company in any manner.  Please be sure to review our detailed disclaimer.

Jacobs Engineering Group Inc Valuation – January 2017 $JEC

Benjamin Graham taught that Intelligent Investors must do a thorough fundamental analysis of investment opportunities to determine their intrinsic value and inherent risk.  This is best done by utilizing a systematic approach to analysis that will provide investors with a sense of how a specific company compares to another company or by reviewing the 10 Stocks for Using A Benjamin Graham Value Investing Strategy – January 2017.  By using the ModernGraham method one can review a company’s historical accomplishments and determine an intrinsic value that can be compared across industries.  What follows is a stock analysis showing a specific look at how Jacobs Engineering Group Inc (JEC) fares in the ModernGraham valuation model.

Company Profile (obtained from Google Finance): Jacobs Engineering Group Inc. is a technical professional services company. The Company provides a range of technical, professional and construction services to industrial, commercial and governmental clients. The Company’s services include Project Services; Process, Scientific, and Systems Consulting Services; Construction Services, and Operations and Maintenance Services. It operates four lines of business (LOBs): Petroleum and Chemicals; Buildings and Infrastructure; Aerospace and Technology, and Industrial. It caters its services to various sectors, such as oil and gas exploration, production and refining; chemicals and polymers; programs for various national governments, including aerospace, defense, and environmental programs; buildings; infrastructure and telecommunications; mining and minerals; pharmaceuticals and biotechnology; power; pulp and paper; technology and manufacturing, and food and consumer products.

JEC Chart

JEC data by YCharts

[level-free]
To read the details of this valuation, you must be logged in as a premium member. If you are not a premium member, please consider becoming one.

Premium members can view a full ModernGraham valuation of the company and have access to download a PDF version of the valuation for easy reference. Recent valuations of the components of the Dow Jones Industrial Average are available for free members, including this one of Microsoft Corporation.  In addition, here is a post detailing what can be found within each individual company’s valuation.

[/level-free]
[not-level-free]

Downloadable PDF version of this valuation:

ModernGraham Valuation of JEC – January 2017

Stage 1: Is this company suitable for the Defensive Investor or the Enterprising Investor?

What kind of Intelligent Investor are you?

Defensive Investor; must pass 6 out of the following 7 tests.
1. Adequate Size of the Enterprise Market Cap > $2Bil $6,900,305,131 Pass
2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Current Ratio > 2 1.61 Fail
3. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 10 years prior Pass
4. Dividend Record Dividend Payments for 10 years prior Fail
5. Earnings Growth Increase of 33% in EPS in past 10 years using 3 year averages at beginning and end -16.14% Fail
6. Moderate PEmg Ratio PEmg < 20 23.21 Fail
7. Moderate Price to Assets PB Ratio < 2.5 OR PB*PEmg < 50 1.65 Pass
Enterprising Investor; must pass 4 out of the following 5 tests, or be suitable for the Defensive Investor.
1. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Current Ratio > 1.5 1.61 Pass
2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Debt to NCA < 1.1 0.36 Pass
3. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 5 years prior Pass
4. Dividend Record Currently Pays Dividend Fail
5. Earnings Growth EPSmg greater than 5 years ago Fail

Stage 2: Determination of Intrinsic Value

EPSmg $2.50
MG Growth Estimate -1.87%
MG Value $11.92
Opinion Overvalued
MG Grade D
MG Value based on 3% Growth $36.26
MG Value based on 0% Growth $21.26
Market Implied Growth Rate 7.36%
Current Price $58.05
% of Intrinsic Value 486.92%

Jacobs Engineering Group Inc does not satisfy the requirements of either the Enterprising Investor or the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the low current ratio, insufficient earnings growth over the last ten years, the poor dividend history, and the high PEmg ratio. The Enterprising Investor has concerns regarding the lack of earnings growth over the last five years, and the lack of dividends. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should explore other opportunities at this time or proceed cautiously with a speculative attitude.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Overvalued after seeing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) decline from $2.86 in 2013 to an estimated $2.5 for 2017. This level of demonstrated earnings growth does not support the market’s implied estimate of 7.36% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value below the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Jacobs Engineering Group Inc revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $49.11. The company does not pay a dividend. Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 23.21, which was below the industry average of 28.49, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $-1.9.

Jacobs Engineering Group Inc scores quite poorly in the ModernGraham grading system, with an overall grade of D.

Stage 3: Information for Further Research

Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) -$1.90
Graham Number $49.11
PEmg 23.21
Current Ratio 1.61
PB Ratio 1.65
Current Dividend $0.00
Dividend Yield 0.00%
Number of Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth 0

[/not-level-free]

Useful Links:

ModernGraham tagged articles Morningstar
Google Finance MSN Money
Yahoo Finance Seeking Alpha
GuruFocus SEC Filings

Most Recent Balance Sheet Figures

Balance Sheet Information 9/1/2016
Total Current Assets $2,864,470,000
Total Current Liabilities $1,782,686,000
Long-Term Debt $385,330,000
Total Assets $7,360,022,000
Intangible Assets $3,416,550,000
Total Liabilities $3,094,746,000
Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) 121,483,000

Earnings Per Share History

EPS History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $3.04
Sep2016 $1.73
Sep2015 $2.40
Sep2014 $2.48
Sep2013 $3.23
Sep2012 $2.94
Sep2011 $2.60
Sep2010 $1.96
Sep2009 $3.21
Sep2008 $3.38
Sep2007 $2.35
Sep2006 $1.64
Sep2005 $1.12
Sep2004 $1.01
Sep2003 $1.00
Sep2002 $0.99
Sep2001 $0.81
Sep2000 $0.48
Sep1999 $0.62
Sep1998 $0.52
Sep1997 $0.45

Earnings Per Share – ModernGraham History

EPSmg History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $2.50
Sep2016 $2.34
Sep2015 $2.67
Sep2014 $2.75
Sep2013 $2.86
Sep2012 $2.72
Sep2011 $2.64
Sep2010 $2.61
Sep2009 $2.73
Sep2008 $2.30
Sep2007 $1.65
Sep2006 $1.25
Sep2005 $1.03
Sep2004 $0.94
Sep2003 $0.86
Sep2002 $0.76
Sep2001 $0.62

Recommended Reading:

Other ModernGraham posts about the company

Jacobs Engineering Group Inc Valuation – January 2016 Update $JEC
Jacobs Engineering Group Analysis – October 2015 Update $JEC
Jacobs Engineering Group Inc. Analysis – July 2015 Update $JEC
24 Companies in the Spotlight This Week – 3/28/15
Jacobs Engineering Group Inc. Quarterly Valuation – March 2015 $JEC

Other ModernGraham posts about related companies

Quanta Services Inc Valuation – August 2016 $PWR
Jacobs Engineering Group Inc Valuation – August 2016 $JEC
PPG Industries Inc Valuation – August 2016 $PPG
D.R. Horton Inc Valuation – August 2016 $DHI
Martin Marietta Materials Inc Valuation – August 2016 $MLM
Fluor Corporation Valuation – August 2016 $FLR
Vulcan Materials Co Valuation – July 2016 $VMC
PulteGroup Inc Valuation – July 2016 $PHM
Sherwin-Williams Co Valuation – July 2016 $SHW
Cummins Inc Valuation – July 2016 $CMI

Disclaimer:

The author did not hold a position in any company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours.  See my current holdings here.  This article is not investment advice; any reader should speak to a registered investment adviser prior to making any investment decisions.  ModernGraham is not affiliated with the company in any manner.  Please be sure to review our detailed disclaimer.

Jacobs Engineering Group Inc Valuation – August 2016 $JEC

Benjamin Graham taught that Intelligent Investors must do a thorough fundamental analysis of investment opportunities to determine their intrinsic value and inherent risk.  This is best done by utilizing a systematic approach to analysis that will provide investors with a sense of how a specific company compares to another company or by reviewing the 10 Companies Benjamin Graham Would Invest In Today – July 2016.  By using the ModernGraham method one can review a company’s historical accomplishments and determine an intrinsic value that can be compared across industries.  What follows is a stock analysis showing a specific look at how Jacobs Engineering Group Inc (JEC) fares in the ModernGraham valuation model.

Company Profile (obtained from Google Finance): Jacobs Engineering Group Inc. is a technical professional services company. The Company provides a range of technical, professional and construction services to industrial, commercial and governmental clients. The Company’s services include Project Services; Process, Scientific, and Systems Consulting Services; Construction Services, and Operations and Maintenance Services. It operates four lines of business (LOBs): Petroleum and Chemicals; Buildings and Infrastructure; Aerospace and Technology, and Industrial. It caters its services to various sectors, such as oil and gas exploration, production and refining; chemicals and polymers; programs for various national governments, including aerospace, defense, and environmental programs; buildings; infrastructure and telecommunications; mining and minerals; pharmaceuticals and biotechnology; power; pulp and paper; technology and manufacturing, and food and consumer products.

JEC Chart

JEC data by YCharts

[level-free]
To read the details of this valuation, you must be logged in as a premium member. If you are not a premium member, please consider becoming one.

Premium members can view a full ModernGraham valuation of the company and have access to download a PDF version of the valuation for easy reference. Here is a free sample valuation pdf, and here is a post detailing what can be found within each individual company’s valuation.

[/level-free]
[not-level-free]

Downloadable PDF version of this valuation:

ModernGraham Valuation of JEC – August 2016

Stage 1: Is this company suitable for the Defensive Investor or the Enterprising Investor?

What kind of Intelligent Investor are you?

Defensive Investor; must pass 6 out of the following 7 tests.
1. Adequate Size of the Enterprise Market Cap > $2Bil $6,629,335,348 Pass
2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Current Ratio > 2 1.62 Fail
3. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 10 years prior Pass
4. Dividend Record Dividend Payments for 10 years prior Fail
5. Earnings Growth Increase of 33% in EPS in past 10 years using 3 year averages at beginning and end -20.58% Fail
6. Moderate PEmg Ratio PEmg < 20 21.52 Fail
7. Moderate Price to Assets PB Ratio < 2.5 OR PB*PEmg < 50 1.48 Pass
Enterprising Investor; must pass 4 out of the following 5 tests, or be suitable for the Defensive Investor.
1. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Current Ratio > 1.5 1.62 Pass
2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Debt to NCA < 1.1 0.43 Pass
3. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 5 years prior Pass
4. Dividend Record Currently Pays Dividend Fail
5. Earnings Growth EPSmg greater than 5 years ago Fail

Stage 2: Determination of Intrinsic Value

JEC value chart August 2016

EPSmg $2.50
MG Growth Estimate -1.19%
MG Value $15.31
Opinion Overvalued
MG Grade D
MG Value based on 3% Growth $36.29
MG Value based on 0% Growth $21.27
Market Implied Growth Rate 6.51%
Current Price $53.85
% of Intrinsic Value 351.79%

Jacobs Engineering Group Inc does not satisfy the requirements of either the Enterprising Investor or the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the low current ratio, insufficient earnings growth over the last ten years, and the poor dividend history, and the high PEmg ratio. The Enterprising Investor has concerns regarding the lack of earnings growth over the last five years, and the lack of dividends. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should explore other opportunities at this time or proceed cautiously with a speculative attitude.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Overvalued after seeing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) decline from $2.72 in 2012 to an estimated $2.5 for 2016. This level of demonstrated earnings growth does not support the market’s implied estimate of 6.51% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value below the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Jacobs Engineering Group Inc revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $42.57. The company does not pay a dividend. Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 21.52, which was below the industry average of 28.02, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $-0.56.

Jacobs Engineering Group Inc scores quite poorly in the ModernGraham grading system, with an overall grade of D.

Stage 3: Information for Further Research

JEC charts August 2016

Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) -$0.56
Graham Number $42.57
PEmg 21.52
Current Ratio 1.62
PB Ratio 1.48
Current Dividend $0.00
Dividend Yield 0.00%
Number of Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth 0

[/not-level-free]

Useful Links:

ModernGraham tagged articles Morningstar
Google Finance MSN Money
Yahoo Finance Seeking Alpha
GuruFocus SEC Filings

Most Recent Balance Sheet Figures

Balance Sheet Information 6/1/2016
Total Current Assets $2,928,589,000
Total Current Liabilities $1,806,440,000
Long-Term Debt $479,000,000
Total Assets $7,420,792,000
Intangible Assets $3,413,429,000
Total Liabilities $2,996,166,000
Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) 121,446,000

Earnings Per Share History

Next Fiscal Year Estimate $2.22
Sep2015 $2.40
Sep2014 $2.48
Sep2013 $3.23
Sep2012 $2.94
Sep2011 $2.60
Sep2010 $1.96
Sep2009 $3.21
Sep2008 $3.38
Sep2007 $2.35
Sep2006 $1.64
Sep2005 $1.12
Sep2004 $1.01
Sep2003 $1.00
Sep2002 $0.99
Sep2001 $0.81
Sep2000 $0.48
Sep1999 $0.62
Sep1998 $0.52
Sep1997 $0.45
Sep1996 $0.39

Earnings Per Share – ModernGraham History

Next Fiscal Year Estimate $2.50
Sep2015 $2.67
Sep2014 $2.75
Sep2013 $2.86
Sep2012 $2.72
Sep2011 $2.64
Sep2010 $2.61
Sep2009 $2.73
Sep2008 $2.30
Sep2007 $1.65
Sep2006 $1.25
Sep2005 $1.03
Sep2004 $0.94
Sep2003 $0.86
Sep2002 $0.76
Sep2001 $0.62
Sep2000 $0.52

Recommended Reading:

Other ModernGraham posts about the company

Jacobs Engineering Group Inc Valuation – January 2016 Update $JEC
Jacobs Engineering Group Analysis – October 2015 Update $JEC
Jacobs Engineering Group Analysis – October 2015 Update $JEC
Jacobs Engineering Group Inc. Analysis – July 2015 Update $JEC
24 Companies in the Spotlight This Week – 3/28/15

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Martin Marietta Materials Inc Valuation – August 2016 $MLM
Fluor Corporation Valuation – August 2016 $FLR
Vulcan Materials Co Valuation – July 2016 $VMC
PulteGroup Inc Valuation – July 2016 $PHM
Sherwin-Williams Co Valuation – July 2016 $SHW
Cummins Inc Valuation – July 2016 $CMI
Corning Inc Valuation – May 2016 $GLW
Flowserve Corporation Valuation – May 2016 $FLS

Disclaimer:

The author did not hold a position in any company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours.  See my current holdings here.  This article is not investment advice; any reader should speak to a registered investment adviser prior to making any investment decisions.  ModernGraham is not affiliated with the company in any manner.  Please be sure to review our detailed disclaimer.

Jacobs Engineering Group Inc Valuation – January 2016 Update $JEC

Benjamin Graham taught that Intelligent Investors must do a thorough fundamental analysis of investment opportunities to determine their intrinsic value and inherent risk.  This is best done by utilizing a systematic approach to analysis that will provide investors with a sense of how a specific company compares to another company or by reviewing the 10 Most Undervalued Companies for the Defensive Investor – November 2015.  By using the ModernGraham method one can review a company’s historical accomplishments and determine an intrinsic value that can be compared across industries.  What follows is a stock analysis showing a specific look at how Jacobs Engineering Group Inc (JEC) fares in the ModernGraham valuation model.

[level-free]

To read the details of this valuation, you must be logged in as a premium member. If you are not a premium member, please consider becoming one.

Premium members can view a full ModernGraham valuation of the company and have access to download a PDF version of the valuation for easy reference. Here is a free sample valuation pdf, and here is a post detailing what can be found within each individual company’s valuation.

[/level-free]
[not-level-free]

Downloadable PDF version of this valuation:

ModernGraham Valuation of JEC

Stage 1: Is this company suitable for the Defensive Investor or the Enterprising Investor?

What kind of Intelligent Investor are you?

Defensive Investor; must pass 6 out of the following 7 tests.
1. Adequate Size of the Enterprise Market Cap > $2Bil $4,610,224,001 Pass
2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Current Ratio > 2 1.66 Fail
3. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 10 years prior Pass
4. Dividend Record Dividend Payments for 10 years prior Fail
5. Earnings Growth Increase of 33% in EPS in past 10 years using 3 year averages at beginning and end -12.30% Fail
6. Moderate PEmg Ratio PEmg < 20 13.63 Pass
7. Moderate Price to Assets PB Ratio < 2.5 OR PB*PEmg < 50 1.07 Pass
Score
Enterprising Investor; must pass 4 out of the following 5 tests, or be suitable for the Defensive Investor.
1. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Current Ratio > 1.5 1.66 Pass
2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Debt to NCA < 1.1 0.45 Pass
3. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 5 years prior Pass
4. Dividend Record Currently Pays Dividend Fail
5. Earnings Growth EPSmg greater than 5 years ago Pass

Stage 2: Determination of Intrinsic Value

JEC value chart January 2016

EPSmg $2.75
MG Growth Estimate 0.17%
MG Value $24.30
Opinion Overvalued
MG Value based on 3% Growth $39.87
MG Value based on 0% Growth $23.37
Market Implied Growth Rate 2.56%
Current Price $37.46
% of Intrinsic Value 154.16%

Jacobs Engineering Group Inc qualifies for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor.  The Defensive Investor is concerned with the low current ratio, insufficient earnings growth over the last ten years along with the lack of dividends.  The Enterprising Investor is only initially concerned by the lack of dividends.  As a result, all Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach based on Benjamin Graham’s methods should feel comfortable proceeding with further research into the company.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be overvalued growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $2.72 in 2012 to an estimated $2.75 for 2016.  This level of demonstrated earnings growth does not support the market’s implied estimate of 2.56% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years.  As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on Benjamin Graham’s formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value below the price.

The next part of the analysis is up to individual investors, and requires discussion of the company’s prospects.  What do you think?  What value would you put on Jacobs Engineering Group Inc (JEC)?  Where do you see the company going in the future?  Is there a company you like better?  Leave a comment on our Facebook page or mention @ModernGraham on Twitter to discuss.

Stage 3: Information for Further Research

JEC charts January 2016

Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) -$1.72
Graham Number $48.18
PEmg 13.63
Current Ratio 1.66
PB Ratio 1.07
Dividend Yield 0.00%
Number of Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth 0

 

[/not-level-free]

Useful Links:

ModernGraham tagged articles Morningstar
Google Finance MSN Money
Yahoo Finance Seeking Alpha
GuruFocus SEC Filings

Most Recent Balance Sheet Figures

Balance Sheet Information Sep2015
Total Current Assets $3,282,976,000
Total Current Liabilities $1,981,166,000
Long-Term Debt $584,434,000
Total Assets $7,785,926,000
Intangible Assets $3,402,197,000
Total Liabilities $3,494,181,000
Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) 122,723,000

Earnings Per Share History

Next Fiscal Year Estimate $2.96
Sep2015 $2.40
Sep2014 $2.48
Sep2013 $3.23
Sep2012 $2.94
Sep2011 $2.60
Sep2010 $1.96
Sep2009 $3.21
Sep2008 $3.38
Sep2007 $2.35
Sep2006 $1.64
Sep2005 $1.12
Sep2004 $1.01
Sep2003 $1.00
Sep2002 $0.99
Sep2001 $0.81
Sep2000 $0.48
Sep1999 $0.62
Sep1998 $0.52
Sep1997 $0.45
Sep1996 $0.39

Earnings Per Share – ModernGraham History

Next Fiscal Year Estimate $2.75
Sep2015 $2.67
Sep2014 $2.75
Sep2013 $2.86
Sep2012 $2.72
Sep2011 $2.64
Sep2010 $2.61
Sep2009 $2.73
Sep2008 $2.30
Sep2007 $1.65
Sep2006 $1.25
Sep2005 $1.03
Sep2004 $0.94
Sep2003 $0.86
Sep2002 $0.76
Sep2001 $0.62
Sep2000 $0.52

Recommended Reading:

Other ModernGraham posts about the company

Jacobs Engineering Group Analysis – October 2015 Update $JEC
Jacobs Engineering Group Inc. Analysis – July 2015 Update $JEC
24 Companies in the Spotlight This Week – 3/28/15
Jacobs Engineering Group Inc. Quarterly Valuation – March 2015 $JEC
15 Companies in the Spotlight This Week – 12/27/14

Other ModernGraham posts about related companies

Lowe’s Companies Inc Valuation – January 2016 Update $LOW
PulteGroup Inc Valuation – January 2016 Update $PHM
Flowserve Corp Valuation – November 2015 Update $FLS
Lennar Corporation Valuation – November 2015 Update $LEN
Home Depot Inc. Valuation – November 2015 Update $HD
Quanta Services Inc. Valuation – October 2015 Update $PWR
Fluor Corporation Valuation – October 2015 Update $FLR
Martin Marietta Materials Inc. Valuation – October 2015 Update $MLM
Jacobs Engineering Group Analysis – October 2015 Update $JEC
D.R. Horton Inc. Analysis – October 2015 Update $DHI

Disclaimer:

The author did not hold a position in any company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours.  See my current holdings here.  This article is not investment advice; any reader should speak to a registered investment adviser prior to making any investment decisions.  ModernGraham is not affiliated with the company in any manner.  Please be sure to review our detailed disclaimer.

Jacobs Engineering Group Analysis – October 2015 Update $JEC

Benjamin Graham taught that Intelligent Investors must do a thorough fundamental analysis of investment opportunities to determine their intrinsic value and inherent risk.  This is best done by utilizing a systematic approach to analysis that will provide investors with a sense of how a specific company compares to another company or by reviewing the 10 Most Undervalued Companies for the Defensive Investor – September 2015.  By using the ModernGraham method one can review a company’s historical accomplishments and determine an intrinsic value that can be compared across industries.  What follows is a stock analysis showing a specific look at how Jacobs Engineering Group (JEC) fares in the ModernGraham valuation model.

Company Profile (obtained from Google Finance): Jacobs Engineering Group Inc. is a technical professional services firm. The Company provides a diverse range of technical, professional, and construction services to a number of industrial, commercial, and governmental clients. The Company provides four categories of services: Project Services; Process, Scientific, and Systems Consulting services; Construction services, and Operations and Maintenance services. The Company focuses its services on clients operating in the industries and markets: oil and gas exploration, production, and refining; chemicals and polymers; programs for various national governments, including aerospace, defense, and environmental programs; buildings; infrastructure and telecommunications; mining and minerals; pharmaceuticals and biotechnology; power; pulp and paper; Technology and manufacturing, and food and consumer products, among others.

[level-free]

To read the details of this valuation, you must be logged in as a premium member. If you are not a premium member, please consider becoming one.

Premium members can view a full ModernGraham valuation of the company and have access to download a PDF version of the valuation for easy reference. Here is a free sample valuation pdf, and here is a post detailing what can be found within each individual company’s valuation.

[/level-free]
[level-mg-stocks-screens-subscriber]

Downloadable PDF version of this valuation:

ModernGraham Valuation of JEC

Stage 1: Is this company suitable for the Defensive Investor or the Enterprising Investor?

What kind of Intelligent Investor are you?

Defensive Investor; must pass 6 out of the following 7 tests.
1. Adequate Size of the Enterprise Market Cap > $2Bil $4,948,105,507 Pass
2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Current Ratio > 2 1.66 Fail
3. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 10 years prior Pass
4. Dividend Record Dividend Payments for 10 years prior Fail
5. Earnings Growth Increase of 33% in EPS in past 10 years using 3 year averages at beginning and end 15.06% Fail
6. Moderate PEmg Ratio PEmg < 20 14.37 Pass
7. Moderate Price to Assets PB Ratio < 2.5 OR PB*PEmg < 50 1.15 Pass
Score
Enterprising Investor; must pass 4 out of the following 5 tests, or be suitable for the Defensive Investor.
1. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Current Ratio > 1.5 1.66 Pass
2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Debt to NCA < 1.1 0.47 Pass
3. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 5 years prior Pass
4. Dividend Record Currently Pays Dividend Fail
5. Earnings Growth EPSmg greater than 5 years ago Pass

Stage 2: Determination of Intrinsic Value

JEC value chart October 2015

EPSmg $2.80
MG Growth Estimate 0.89%
MG Value $28.77
Opinion Overvalued
MG Value based on 3% Growth $40.54
MG Value based on 0% Growth $23.77
Market Implied Growth Rate 2.93%
Current Price $40.17
% of Intrinsic Value 139.64%

Jacobs Engineering Group Inc. qualifies for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor.  The Defensive Investor is concerned by the low current ratio, lack of dividends, and the insufficient earnings growth over the last ten years, while the Enterprising Investor is only concerned by the lack of dividends.  As a result, all Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach based on Benjamin Graham’s methods should feel comfortable proceeding with further research into the company.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be overvalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $2.64 in 2011 to an estimated $2.80 for 2015.  This level of demonstrated earnings growth does not support the market’s implied estimate of 2.93% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years.  As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on Benjamin Graham’s formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value below the price.

The next part of the analysis is up to individual investors, and requires discussion of the company’s prospects.  What do you think?  What value would you put on Jacobs Engineering Group Inc. (JEC)?  Where do you see the company going in the future?  Is there a company you like better?  Leave a comment on our Facebook page or mention @ModernGraham on Twitter to discuss.

Stage 3: Information for Further Research

JEC charts October 2015

Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) -$1.06
Graham Number $46.75
PEmg 14.37
Current Ratio 1.66
PB Ratio 1.15
Dividend Yield 0.00%
Number of Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth 0

 

[/level-mg-stocks-screens-subscriber]

Useful Links:

ModernGraham tagged articles Morningstar
Google Finance MSN Money
Yahoo Finance Seeking Alpha
GuruFocus SEC Filings

Most Recent Balance Sheet Figures

Total Current Assets $3,473,841,000
Total Current Liabilities $2,092,638,000
Long-Term Debt $646,391,000
Total Assets $7,959,061,000
Intangible Assets $3,416,752,000
Total Liabilities $3,606,074,000
Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) 124,601,000

Earnings Per Share History

Next Fiscal Year Estimate $2.77
Sep14 $2.48
Sep13 $3.23
Sep12 $2.94
Sep11 $2.60
Sep10 $1.96
Sep09 $3.21
Sep08 $3.38
Sep07 $2.35
Sep06 $1.64
Sep05 $1.12
Sep04 $1.01
Sep03 $1.00
Sep02 $0.99
Sep01 $0.81
Sep00 $0.48
Sep99 $0.62
Sep98 $0.52
Sep97 $0.45
Sep96 $0.39

Earnings Per Share – ModernGraham History

Next Fiscal Year Estimate $2.80
Sep14 $2.75
Sep13 $2.86
Sep12 $2.72
Sep11 $2.64
Sep10 $2.61
Sep09 $2.73
Sep08 $2.30
Sep07 $1.65
Sep06 $1.25
Sep05 $1.03
Sep04 $0.94
Sep03 $0.86
Sep02 $0.76
Sep01 $0.62
Sep00 $0.52
Sep99 $0.49

Recommended Reading:

Other ModernGraham posts about the company

Jacobs Engineering Group Inc. Analysis – July 2015 Update $JEC
24 Companies in the Spotlight This Week – 3/28/15
Jacobs Engineering Group Inc. Quarterly Valuation – March 2015 $JEC
15 Companies in the Spotlight This Week – 12/27/14
17 Companies in the Spotlight This Week – 9/20/2014

Other ModernGraham posts about related companies

The Best Companies of the Construction Industry – October 2015
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PulteGroup Inc. Analysis – October 2015 Update $PHM
Masco Corporation Analysis – September 2015 Update $MAS
Flowserve Corporation Analysis – August 2015 Update $FLS
Alexander & Baldwin Inc Analysis – Initial Coverage $ALEX
Lennar Corporation Analysis – August 2015 Update $LEN
Aecom Analysis – Initial Coverage $ACM
Quanta Services Inc. Analysis – July 2015 Update $PWR
Fluor Corporation Analysis – July 2015 Update $FLR

Disclaimer:

The author did not hold a position in any company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours.  See my current holdings here.  This article is not investment advice; any reader should speak to a registered investment adviser prior to making any investment decisions.  ModernGraham is not affiliated with the company in any manner.  Please be sure to review our detailed disclaimer.

Jacobs Engineering Group Inc. Analysis – July 2015 Update $JEC

Jacobs_logoBenjamin Graham taught that Intelligent Investors must do a thorough fundamental analysis of investment opportunities to determine their intrinsic value and inherent risk.  This is best done by utilizing a systematic approach to analysis that will provide investors with a sense of how a specific company compares to another company or by reviewing the 5 Most Undervalued Companies for the Defensive Investor – June 2015.  By using the ModernGraham method one can review a company’s historical accomplishments and determine an intrinsic value that can be compared across industries.  What follows is a stock analysis showing a specific look at how Jacobs Engineering Group Inc. (JEC) fares in the ModernGraham valuation model.

Company Profile (obtained from Google Finance): Jacobs Engineering Group Inc. is a technical professional services firm. The Company provides a diverse range of technical, professional, and construction services to a number of industrial, commercial, and governmental clients. The Company provides four categories of services: Project Services; Process, Scientific, and Systems Consulting services; Construction services, and Operations and Maintenance services. The Company focuses its services on clients operating in the industries and markets: oil and gas exploration, production, and refining; chemicals and polymers; programs for various national governments, including aerospace, defense, and environmental programs; buildings; infrastructure and telecommunications; mining and minerals; pharmaceuticals and biotechnology; power; pulp and paper; Technology and manufacturing, and food and consumer products, among others.

[level-free]
To read the rest of this valuation, you must be logged in as a premium member. If you are not a premium member, please consider becoming one.
[/level-free]
[level-mg-stocks-screens-subscriber]

Defensive Investor – must pass at least 6 of the following 7 tests: Score = 4/7

  1. Adequate Size of Enterprise – market capitalization of at least $2 billion – PASS
  2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition – current ratio greater than 2 – FAIL
  3. Earnings Stability – positive earnings per share for at least 10 straight years – PASS
  4. Dividend Record – has paid a dividend for at least 10 straight years – FAIL
  5. Earnings Growth – earnings per share has increased by at least 1/3 over the last 10 years using 3 year averages at beginning and end of period – FAIL
  6. Moderate PEmg ratio – PEmg is less than 20 – PASS
  7. Moderate Price to Assets – PB ratio is less than 2.5 or PB x PEmg is less than 50 – PASS

Enterprising Investor – must pass at least 4 of the following 5 tests or be suitable for a defensive investor: Score = 4/5

  1. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition, Part 1 – current ratio greater than 1.5 – PASS
  2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition, Part 2 – Debt to Net Current Assets ratio less than 1.1 – PASS
  3. Earnings Stability – positive earnings per share for at least 5 years – PASS
  4. Dividend Record – currently pays a dividend – FAIL
  5. Earnings growth – EPSmg greater than 5 years ago – PASS

Valuation Summary

Key Data:

Recent Price $40.45
MG Value $27.52
MG Opinion Overvalued
Value Based on 3% Growth $40.11
Value Based on 0% Growth $23.51
Market Implied Growth Rate 3.06%
Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) -$1.16
PEmg 14.62
Current Ratio 1.70
PB Ratio 1.18

Balance Sheet – March 2015

Current Assets $3,416,000,000
Current Liabilities $2,005,000,000
Total Debt $713,000,000
Total Assets $7,931,000,000
Intangible Assets $3,443,000,000
Total Liabilities $3,563,000,000
Outstanding Shares 127,200,000

Earnings Per Share

2015 (estimate) $2.68
2014 $2.48
2013 $3.23
2012 $2.94
2011 $2.60
2010 $1.96
2009 $3.21
2008 $3.38
2007 $2.35
2006 $1.64
2005 $1.12

Earnings Per Share – ModernGraham

2015 (estimate) $2.77
2014 $2.75
2013 $2.86
2012 $2.72
2011 $2.64
2010 $2.61

Dividend History
Jacobs Engineering Group does not pay a dividend.

Conclusion:

Jacobs Engineering Group qualifies for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor.  The Defensive Investor is concerned with the low current ratio, lack of dividends and the insufficient earnings growth over the last ten years. The Enterprising Investor is only concerned by the lack of dividends.  As a result, all Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach based on Benjamin Graham’s methods should feel comfortable proceeding with the evaluation.  As for a valuation, the company appears to be overvalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $2.64 in 2011 to only an estimated $2.77 for 2015.  This level of demonstrated earnings growth does not support the market’s implied estimate of 3.06% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years.  As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on Benjamin Graham’s formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value falling below the price.

The next part of the analysis is up to individual investors, and requires discussion of the company’s prospects.  What do you think?  What value would you put on Jacobs Engineering Group Inc. (JEC)?  Where do you see the company going in the future?  Is there a company you like better?  Leave a comment on our Facebook page or mention @ModernGraham on Twitter to discuss.

Disclaimer:  The author did not hold a position in any company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours.  Logo taken from Wikipedia for the sole purpose of identifying the company; this article is not affiliated with the company in any manner.

[/level-mg-stocks-screens-subscriber]

Jacobs Engineering Group Inc. Quarterly Valuation – March 2015 $JEC

Jacobs_logoBenjamin Graham taught that Intelligent Investors must do a thorough fundamental analysis of investment opportunities to determine their intrinsic value and inherent risk.  This is best done by utilizing a systematic approach to analysis that will provide investors with a sense of how a specific company compares to another company or by reviewing the 5 Most Undervalued Companies for the Defensive Investor – March 2015.  By using the ModernGraham method one can review a company’s historical accomplishments and determine an intrinsic value that can be compared across industries.  What follows is a specific look at how Jacobs Engineering Group (JEC) fares in the ModernGraham valuation model.

Company Profile (obtained from Google Finance): Jacobs Engineering Group Inc. is a technical professional services firm. The Company provides a diverse range of technical, professional, and construction services to a number of industrial, commercial, and governmental clients. The Company provides four categories of services: Project Services; Process, Scientific, and Systems Consulting services; Construction services, and Operations and Maintenance services. The Company focuses its services on clients operating in the industries and markets: oil and gas exploration, production, and refining; chemicals and polymers; programs for various national governments, including aerospace, defense, and environmental programs; buildings; infrastructure and telecommunications; mining and minerals; pharmaceuticals and biotechnology; power; pulp and paper; Technology and manufacturing, and food and consumer products, among others.

Defensive Investor – must pass at least 6 of the following 7 tests: Score = 4/7

  1. Adequate Size of Enterprise – market capitalization of at least $2 billion – PASS
  2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition – current ratio greater than 2 – FAIL
  3. Earnings Stability – positive earnings per share for at least 10 straight years – PASS
  4. Dividend Record – has paid a dividend for at least 10 straight years – FAIL
  5. Earnings Growth – earnings per share has increased by at least 1/3 over the last 10 years using 3 year averages at beginning and end of period – FAIL
  6. Moderate PEmg ratio – PEmg is less than 20 – PASS
  7. Moderate Price to Assets – PB ratio is less than 2.5 or PB x PEmg is less than 50 – PASS

Enterprising Investor – must pass at least 4 of the following 5 tests or be suitable for a defensive investor: Score = 4/5

  1. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition, Part 1 – current ratio greater than 1.5 – PASS
  2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition, Part 2 – Debt to Net Current Assets ratio less than 1.1 – PASS
  3. Earnings Stability – positive earnings per share for at least 5 years – PASS
  4. Dividend Record – currently pays a dividend – FAIL
  5. Earnings growth – EPSmg greater than 5 years ago – PASS

Valuation Summary

Key Data:

Recent Price $44.28
MG Value $31.04
MG Opinion Overvalued
Value Based on 3% Growth $41.32
Value Based on 0% Growth $24.22
Market Implied Growth Rate 3.52%
Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) -$0.91
PEmg 15.54
Current Ratio 1.65
PB Ratio 1.30

Balance Sheet – December 2014

Current Assets $3,686,000,000
Current Liabilities $2,239,000,000
Total Debt $707,000,000
Total Assets $8,243,000,000
Intangible Assets $3,461,000,000
Total Liabilities $3,804,000,000
Outstanding Shares 130,000,000

Earnings Per Share

2015 (estimate) $2.93
2014 $2.48
2013 $3.23
2012 $2.94
2011 $2.60
2010 $1.96
2009 $3.21
2008 $3.38
2007 $2.35
2006 $1.64
2005 $1.12

Earnings Per Share – ModernGraham

2015 (estimate) $2.85
2014 $2.75
2013 $2.86
2012 $2.72
2011 $2.64
2010 $2.61

Dividend History
Jacobs Engineering Group does not pay a dividend.

Conclusion:

Jacobs Engineering Group is suitable for the Enterprising Investor but not for the Defensive Investor.  The Defensive Investor is concerned by the low current ratio, lack of dividends and the insufficient earnings growth over the last ten years, while the Enterprising Investor is only concerned by the lack of dividends.  As a result, Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach based on Benjamin Graham’s methods should feel very comfortable proceeding with further research and comparing the company to other opportunities.  From a valuation side of things, the company appears to be overvalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $2.64 in 2011 to only an estimated $2.85 for 2015.  This level of demonstrated growth does not support the market’s implied estimate of 3.52% earnings growth and leads the ModernGraham valuation model, based on Benjamin Graham’s formula, to return an estimate of intrinsic value below the price.

Be sure to check out previous ModernGraham valuations of Jacobs Engineering Group Inc. (JEC) for greater perspective!

The next part of the analysis is up to individual investors, and requires discussion of the company’s prospects.  What do you think?  What value would you put on Jacobs Engineering Group Inc. (JEC)?  Where do you see the company going in the future?  Is there a company you like better?  Leave a comment on our Facebook page or mention @ModernGraham on Twitter to discuss.

Disclaimer:  The author did not hold a position in Jacobs Engineering Group Inc. (JEC) or in any other company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours.  Logo taken from Wikipedia for the sole purpose of identifying the company; this article is not affiliated with the company in any manner.

Jacobs Engineering Group Quarterly Valuation – December 2014 $JEC

Jacobs_logo

Jacobs Engineering Group is suitable for the Enterprising Investor, but not the Defensive Investor, who is concerned with the low current ratio, and the lack of dividends. The Enterprising Investor, on the other hand, is only concerned with the lack of dividends. As a result, the Enterprising Investor should feel very comfortable proceeding to the next part of the analysis, which is a determination of the company’s intrinsic value.

From a valuation side of things, the company has grown its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $2.61 in 2010 to only $2.75 for 2014. This demonstrated growth does not support the market’s implied estimate of 3.69%. In fact, the demonstrated growth over the last several years is only 1.11% per year. The company would have to see a significant change in its level of growth in order to meet the market’s estimated growth level. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model returns an estimate of intrinsic value below the market price at this time, and the company appears to be overvalued by the market.

Be sure to check out previous ModernGraham valuations of Jacobs Engineering Group for greater perspective!

Read the full valuation on Seeking Alpha!

JEC Chart

JEC data by YCharts

Disclaimer:  The author did not hold a position in Jacobs Engineering Group (JEC) at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours.  Logo taken from Wikipedia for the sole purpose of identifying the company; this article is not affiliated with the company in any manner.

Jacobs Engineering Group Quarterly Stock Valuation – September 2014 $JEC

Jacobs_logoBenjamin Graham taught that Intelligent Investors must do a thorough fundamental analysis of investment opportunities to determine their intrinsic value and inherent risk.  This is best done by utilizing a systematic approach to analysis that will provide investors with a sense of how a specific company compares to another company or by reviewing the 5 Undervalued Companies for the Defensive Investor Near 52 Week Lows – September 2014.  By using the ModernGraham method one can review a company’s historical accomplishments and determine an intrinsic value that can be compared across industries.  What follows is a specific look at how Jacobs Engineering Group (JEC) fares in the ModernGraham valuation model.

Company Profile (obtained from Google Finance): Jacobs Engineering Group Inc. is a technical professional services firm. The Company provides a diverse range of technical, professional, and construction services to a number of industrial, commercial, and governmental clients. The Company provides four categories of services: Project Services, Process, Scientific, and Systems Consulting services, Construction services, and Operations and Maintenance services. In July 2014, the Company acquired Federal Network Systems (FNS).
JEC Chart

JEC data by YCharts

Defensive Investor – must pass at least 6 of the following 7 tests: Score = 5/7

  1. Adequate Size of Enterprise – market capitalization of at least $2 billion – PASS
  2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition – current ratio greater than 2 – FAIL
  3. Earnings Stability – positive earnings per share for at least 10 straight years – PASS
  4. Dividend Record – has paid a dividend for at least 10 straight years – FAIL
  5. Earnings Growth – earnings per share has increased by at least 1/3 over the last 10 years using 3 year averages at beginning and end of period -PASS
  6. Moderate PEmg ratio – PEmg is less than 20 – PASS
  7. Moderate Price to Assets – PB ratio is less than 2.5 or PB x PEmg is less than 50 – PASS

Enterprising Investor – must pass at least 4 of the following 5 tests or be suitable for a defensive investor: Score = 4/5

  1. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition, Part 1 – current ratio greater than 1.5 – PASS
  2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition, Part 2 – Debt to Net Current Assets ratio less than 1.1 – PASS
  3. Earnings Stability – positive earnings per share for at least 5 years – PASS
  4. Dividend Record – currently pays a dividend – FAIL
  5. Earnings growth – EPSmg greater than 5 years ago – PASS

Valuation Summary

Key Data:

Recent Price $53.03
MG Value $35.30
MG Opinion Overvalued
Value Based on 3% Growth $42.34
Value Based on 0% Growth $24.82
Market Implied Growth Rate 4.83%
Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) -$0.59
PEmg 18.16
Current Ratio 1.73
PB Ratio 1.57

Balance Sheet – 6/27/2014

Current Assets $3,753,100,000
Current Liabilities $2,169,900,000
Total Debt $789,400,000
Total Assets $8,332,600,000
Intangible Assets $3,416,800,000
Total Liabilities $3,831,600,000
Outstanding Shares 133,010,000

Earnings Per Share

2014 (estimate) $2.98
2013 $3.23
2012 $2.94
2011 $2.60
2010 $1.96
2009 $3.21
2008 $3.38
2007 $2.35
2006 $1.64
2005 $1.29
2004 $1.13

Earnings Per Share – ModernGraham

2014 (estimate) $2.92
2013 $2.86
2012 $2.72
2011 $2.64
2010 $2.61
2009 $2.75

Dividend History
Jacobs Engineering does not pay a dividend.

Conclusion:

Jacobs Engineering Group qualifies for the Enterprising Investor but not the Defensive Investor.  The Defensive Investor is concerned with the low current ratio and the lack of dividend payments.  The Enterprising Investor’s only initial concern is the lack of dividend payments.  As a result, Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach based on Benjamin Graham’s methods should feel comfortable proceeding with research into the company and comparing it to other opportunities.  From a valuation perspective, the company appears to be overvalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $2.61 in 2010 to an estimated $2.92 for 2014.  This level of demonstrated growth does not support the market’s implied estimate of 4.83% earnings growth and leads the ModernGraham valuation model, based on Benjamin Graham’s formula, to return an estimate of intrinsic value below the price.

Be sure to check out the previous ModernGraham valuations of Jacobs Engineering Group (JEC) for more perspective!

The next part of the analysis is up to individual investors, and requires discussion of the company’s prospects.  What do you think?  What value would you put on Jacobs Engineering Group (JEC)?  Where do you see the company going in the future?  Is there a company you like better?  Leave a comment on our Facebook page or mention @ModernGraham on Twitter to discuss.

Disclaimer:  The author did not hold a position in Jacobs Engineering Group (JEC) or in any other company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours.  Logo taken from Wikipedia for the sole purpose of identifying the company; this article is not affiliated with the company in any manner.

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