Mosaic Co Valuation – March 2019 #MOS

Company Profile (excerpt from Reuters): The Mosaic Company, incorporated on March 25, 2004, is a producer and marketer of concentrated phosphate and potash crop nutrients. The Company operates through three segments: Phosphates, Potash and International Distribution. Through its product offering, the Company is a single source supplier of phosphate- and potash-based crop nutrients and animal feed ingredients. As of December 31, 2016, the Company served customers in approximately 40 countries.

 

Downloadable PDF version of this valuation:

ModernGraham Valuation of MOS – March 2019

Stage 1: Is this company suitable for the Defensive Investor or the Enterprising Investor?

What kind of Intelligent Investor are you?

 

Defensive Investor; must pass 6 out of the following 7 tests.
1. Adequate Size of the Enterprise Market Cap > $2Bil $10,762,322,429 Pass
2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Current Ratio > 2 1.71 Fail
3. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 10 years prior Fail
4. Dividend Record Dividend Payments for 10 years prior Pass
5. Earnings Growth Increase of 33% in EPS in past 10 years using 3 year averages at beginning and end -74.18% Fail
6. Moderate PEmg Ratio PEmg < 20 21.78 Fail
7. Moderate Price to Assets PB Ratio < 2.5 OR PB*PEmg < 50 1.02 Pass
Enterprising Investor; must pass 4 out of the following 5 tests, or be suitable for the Defensive Investor.
1. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Current Ratio > 1.5 1.71 Pass
2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Debt to NCA < 1.1 2.56 Fail
3. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 5 years prior Fail
4. Dividend Record Currently Pays Dividend Pass
5. Earnings Growth EPSmg greater than 5 years ago Fail

 

Stage 2: Determination of Intrinsic Value

EPSmg $1.28
MG Growth Estimate -4.25%
MG Value $0.00
Opinion Overvalued
MG Grade C-
MG Value based on 3% Growth $18.59
MG Value based on 0% Growth $10.90
Market Implied Growth Rate 6.64%
Current Price $27.92
% of Intrinsic Value N/A

Mosaic Co does not satisfy the requirements of either the Enterprising Investor or the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the low current ratio, insufficient earnings stability or growth over the last ten years, and the high PEmg ratio. The Enterprising Investor has concerns regarding the level of debt relative to the net current assets, and the lack of earnings stability or growth over the last five years. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should explore other opportunities at this time or proceed cautiously with a speculative attitude.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Overvalued after seeing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) decline from $3.49 in 2015 to an estimated $1.28 for 2019. This level of demonstrated earnings growth does not support the market’s implied estimate of 6.64% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value below the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Mosaic Co revealed the company was trading below its Graham Number of $36.16. The company pays a dividend of $0.1 per share, for a yield of 0.4% Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 21.78, which was below the industry average of 31.74, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $-13.62.

Mosaic Co receives an average overall rating in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring a C-.

Stage 3: Information for Further Research

Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) -$13.62
Graham Number $36.16
PEmg 21.78
Current Ratio 1.71
PB Ratio 1.02
Current Dividend $0.10
Dividend Yield 0.36%
Number of Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth 0

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Most Recent Balance Sheet Figures

Balance Sheet Information 12/1/2018
Total Current Assets $4,237,000,000
Total Current Liabilities $2,483,700,000
Long-Term Debt $4,491,500,000
Total Assets $20,119,200,000
Intangible Assets $1,707,500,000
Total Liabilities $9,514,500,000
Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) 387,600,000

Earnings Per Share History

EPS History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $2.16
Dec2018 $1.22
Dec2017 -$0.31
Dec2016 $0.85
Dec2015 $2.78
Dec2014 $2.68
May2013 $4.42
May2012 $4.42
May2011 $5.62
May2010 $1.85
May2009 $5.27
May2008 $4.67
May2007 $0.95
May2006 -$0.35
May2005 $0.46
Dec2003 -$1.22
Dec2002 -$0.97
Dec2001 -$0.57
Dec2000 -$3.00
Dec1999 -$6.75
Dec1998 -$0.08

Earnings Per Share – ModernGraham History

EPSmg History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $1.28
Dec2018 $1.04
Dec2017 $1.33
Dec2016 $2.44
Dec2015 $3.49
Dec2014 $3.83
May2013 $4.37
May2012 $4.36
May2011 $4.11
May2010 $3.06
May2009 $3.18
May2008 $1.72
May2007 $0.09
May2006 -$0.41
May2005 -$0.64
Dec2003 -$1.63
Dec2002 -$1.98

Recommended Reading:

Other ModernGraham posts about the company

Mosaic Company Valuation – May 2018 $MOS
Most Overvalued Stocks of the S&P 500 – March 2017
Mosaic Company Valuation – February 2017 $MOS
Mosaic Company Valuation – October 2015 Update $MOS
Mosaic Company Analysis – July 2015 Update $MOS

Other ModernGraham posts about related companies

CF Industries Holdings Inc Valuation – February 2019 $CF
Scotts Miracle Gro Co Valuation – August 2018 $SMG
Intrepid Potash Inc Valuation – July 2018 $IPI
Mosaic Company Valuation – May 2018 $MOS
CF Industries Holdings Inc Valuation – April 2018 $CF
LSB Industries Inc Valuation – Initial Coverage $LXU
Monsanto Company Valuation – March 2017 $MON
Mosaic Company Valuation – February 2017 $MOS
Scotts Miracle-Gro Inc Valuation – Initial Coverage $SMG
Intrepid Potash Inc Valuation – Initial Coverage $IPI

Disclaimer:

The author did not hold a position in any company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours.  See my current holdings here.  This article is not investment advice; any reader should speak to a registered investment adviser prior to making any investment decisions.  ModernGraham is not affiliated with the company in any manner.  Please be sure to review our detailed disclaimer.

10 Most Overvalued Stocks of the S&P 500 – February 2019

There are a number of great companies in the market today, but there are also a number of companies that are vastly overvalued by the market. By using the ModernGraham Valuation Model, I’ve selected the ten most overvalued companies of the S&P 500 recently reviewed by ModernGraham.

All of these companies are not suitable for the Defensive Investor and/or the Enterprising Investor. Defensive Investors are defined as investors who are not able or willing to do substantial research into individual investments, and therefore need to select only the companies that present the least amount of risk. Enterprising Investors, on the other hand, are able to do substantial research and can select companies that present a moderate (though still low) amount of risk. Each company suitable for the Defensive Investor is also suitable for Enterprising Investors.

Autodesk, Inc. (ADSK)

Autodesk, Inc. does not satisfy the requirements of either the Enterprising Investor or the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the low current ratio, insufficient earnings stability or growth over the last ten years, and the poor dividend history, and the high PEmg and PB ratios. The Enterprising Investor has concerns regarding the level of debt relative to the current assets, and the lack of earnings stability or growth over the last five years, and the lack of dividends. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should explore other opportunities at this time or proceed cautiously with a speculative attitude.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Overvalued after seeing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) decline from $0.82 in 2015 to an estimated $-1.47 for 2019. This level of negative earnings does not support a positive valuation.As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value below the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Autodesk, Inc. revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $0. The company does not pay a dividend. Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was -103.19, which was below the industry average of 56.55, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $-11.52.

Autodesk, Inc. scores quite poorly in the ModernGraham grading system, with an overall grade of D.  (See the full valuation)

AES Corp (AES)

AES Corp does not satisfy the requirements of either the Enterprising Investor or the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the low current ratio, insufficient earnings stability or growth over the last ten years, and the poor dividend history, and the high PEmg and PB ratios. The Enterprising Investor has concerns regarding the level of debt relative to the current assets, and the lack of earnings stability or growth over the last five years. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should explore other opportunities at this time or proceed cautiously with a speculative attitude.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Overvalued after seeing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) decline from $0.16 in 2014 to an estimated $-0.04 for 2018. This level of negative earnings does not support a positive valuation.As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value below the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into AES Corp revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $12.73. The company pays a dividend of $0.48 per share, for a yield of 3.1%, putting it among the best dividend paying stocks today. Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was -380.66, which was below the industry average of 21.62, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $-32.73.

AES Corp scores quite poorly in the ModernGraham grading system, with an overall grade of D+.  (See the full valuation)

ConocoPhillips (COP)

ConocoPhillips does not satisfy the requirements of either the Enterprising Investor or the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the low current ratio, insufficient earnings stability or growth over the last ten years, and the high PEmg and PB ratios. The Enterprising Investor has concerns regarding the level of debt relative to the net current assets, and the lack of earnings stability or growth over the last five years. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should explore other opportunities at this time or proceed cautiously with a speculative attitude.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Overvalued after seeing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) decline from $6.85 in 2014 to an estimated $0.41 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth does not support the market’s implied estimate of 79.31% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value below the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into ConocoPhillips revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $47.64. The company pays a dividend of $1.06 per share, for a yield of 1.5% Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 167.12, which was above the industry average of 43.92. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $-20.26.

ConocoPhillips scores quite poorly in the ModernGraham grading system, with an overall grade of F.  (See the full valuation)

DISCOVERY COMMUNICATIONS INC. Common Stock (DISCA)

DISCOVERY COMMUNICATIONS INC. Common Stock does not satisfy the requirements of either the Enterprising Investor or the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the low current ratio, insufficient earnings stability or growth over the last ten years, and the poor dividend history, and the high PEmg ratio. The Enterprising Investor has concerns regarding the level of debt relative to the current assets, and the lack of earnings stability or growth over the last five years, and the lack of dividends. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should explore other opportunities at this time or proceed cautiously with a speculative attitude.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Overvalued after seeing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) decline from $1.31 in 2014 to an estimated $0.88 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth does not support the market’s implied estimate of 11.78% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value below the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into DISCOVERY COMMUNICATIONS INC. Common Stock revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $16.36. The company does not pay a dividend. Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 32.05, which was above the industry average of 31.72. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $-26.9.

DISCOVERY COMMUNICATIONS INC. Common Stock scores quite poorly in the ModernGraham grading system, with an overall grade of F.  (See the full valuation)

Devon Energy Corp (DVN)

Devon Energy Corp does not satisfy the requirements of either the Enterprising Investor or the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the low current ratio, insufficient earnings stability or growth over the last ten years, and the high PEmg and PB ratios. The Enterprising Investor has concerns regarding the level of debt relative to the current assets, and the lack of earnings stability or growth over the last five years. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should explore other opportunities at this time or proceed cautiously with a speculative attitude.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Overvalued after seeing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) decline from $3.37 in 2014 to an estimated $-2.61 for 2018. This level of negative earnings does not support a positive valuation.As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value below the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Devon Energy Corp revealed the company was trading below its Graham Number of $39.63. The company pays a dividend of $0.24 per share, for a yield of 0.9% Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was -10.16, which was below the industry average of 41.28, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $-13.33.

Devon Energy Corp receives an average overall rating in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring a C-.  (See the full valuation)

EOG Resources Inc (EOG)

EOG Resources Inc does not satisfy the requirements of either the Enterprising Investor or the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the low current ratio, insufficient earnings stability over the last ten years, and the high PEmg and PB ratios. The Enterprising Investor has concerns regarding the level of debt relative to the current assets, and the lack of earnings stability or growth over the last five years. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should explore other opportunities at this time or proceed cautiously with a speculative attitude.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Overvalued after seeing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) decline from $3.35 in 2014 to an estimated $1.82 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth does not support the market’s implied estimate of 22.22% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value below the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into EOG Resources Inc revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $58.15. The company pays a dividend of $0.67 per share, for a yield of 0.7% Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 52.95, which was above the industry average of 43.92. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $-17.68.

EOG Resources Inc scores quite poorly in the ModernGraham grading system, with an overall grade of F.  (See the full valuation)

FirstEnergy Corp. (FE)

FirstEnergy Corp. does not satisfy the requirements of either the Enterprising Investor or the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the low current ratio, insufficient earnings stability or growth over the last ten years, and the high PEmg and PB ratios. The Enterprising Investor has concerns regarding the level of debt relative to the current assets, and the lack of earnings stability or growth over the last five years. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should explore other opportunities at this time or proceed cautiously with a speculative attitude.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Overvalued after seeing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) decline from $1.31 in 2014 to an estimated $-2.96 for 2018. This level of negative earnings does not support a positive valuation.As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value below the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into FirstEnergy Corp. revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $20.98. The company pays a dividend of $1.44 per share, for a yield of 3.7%, putting it among the best dividend paying stocks today. Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was -13.12, which was below the industry average of 21.62, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $-59.35.

FirstEnergy Corp. scores quite poorly in the ModernGraham grading system, with an overall grade of D+.  (See the full valuation)

Flowserve Corp (FLS)

Flowserve Corp does not satisfy the requirements of either the Enterprising Investor or the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the insufficient earnings growth over the last ten years, and the high PEmg and PB ratios. The Enterprising Investor has concerns regarding the level of debt relative to the net current assets, and the lack of earnings growth over the last five years. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should explore other opportunities at this time or proceed cautiously with a speculative attitude.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Overvalued after seeing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) decline from $3.21 in 2014 to an estimated $1.04 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth does not support the market’s implied estimate of 14.04% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value below the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Flowserve Corp revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $16.73. The company pays a dividend of $0.76 per share, for a yield of 2% Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 36.58, which was above the industry average of 20.63. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $-4.95.

Flowserve Corp scores quite poorly in the ModernGraham grading system, with an overall grade of F.  (See the full valuation)

FleetCor Technologies, Inc. (FLT)

FleetCor Technologies, Inc. does not satisfy the requirements of either the Enterprising Investor or the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the insufficient earnings growth over the last ten years, and the high PEmg and PB ratios. The Enterprising Investor has concerns regarding the level of debt relative to the net current assets, and the lack of earnings growth over the last five years. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should explore other opportunities at this time or proceed cautiously with a speculative attitude.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Overvalued after seeing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) decline from $3.21 in 2014 to an estimated $1.76 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth does not support the market’s implied estimate of 48.63% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value below the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into FleetCor Technologies, Inc. revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $29.9. The company pays a dividend of $0.76 per share, for a yield of 0.4% Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 105.76, which was above the industry average of 25.74. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $-4.95.

FleetCor Technologies, Inc. scores quite poorly in the ModernGraham grading system, with an overall grade of F.  (See the full valuation)

HCP, Inc. (HCP)

HCP, Inc. does not satisfy the requirements of either the Enterprising Investor or the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the low current ratio, insufficient earnings stability or growth over the last ten years, and the high PEmg ratio. The Enterprising Investor has concerns regarding the level of debt relative to the current assets, and the lack of earnings stability or growth over the last five years. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should explore other opportunities at this time or proceed cautiously with a speculative attitude.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Overvalued after seeing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) decline from $1.85 in 2014 to an estimated $0.67 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth does not support the market’s implied estimate of 17.91% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value below the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into HCP, Inc. revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $12.24. The company pays a dividend of $1.48 per share, for a yield of 5%, putting it among the best dividend paying stocks today. Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 44.33, which was below the industry average of 70.5, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $-14.6.

HCP, Inc. scores quite poorly in the ModernGraham grading system, with an overall grade of D+.  (See the full valuation)

What do you think?  Are these companies a good value for Defensive Investors?  Is there a company you like better?  Leave a comment on our Facebook page or mention @ModernGraham on Twitter to discuss.

Disclaimer:

The author held a long position in WestRock Co (WRK) but did not hold a position in any other company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours.  See my current holdings here.  This article is not investment advice; any reader should speak to a registered investment adviser prior to making any investment decisions.  ModernGraham is not affiliated with the company in any manner.  Please be sure to read our full disclaimer.

Most Undervalued Stocks of the S&P 500 – August 2018

There are a number of great companies in the market today. By using the ModernGraham Valuation Model, I’ve selected the ten most undervalued companies of the S&P 500.  All of these companies are suitable for the Defensive Investor and/or the Enterprising Investor. Defensive Investors are defined as investors who need to select only the companies that present the least amount of risk. Enterprising Investors, on the other hand, are able to do substantial research and can select companies that present a moderate (though still low) amount of risk. Each company suitable for the Defensive Investor is also suitable for Enterprising Investors.

Prudential Financial Inc (PRU)

Prudential Financial Inc is suitable for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the insufficient earnings stability over the last ten years. The Enterprising Investor has no initial concerns. As a result, all Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $2.17 in 2014 to an estimated $12.54 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market’s implied estimate of 0.45% annual earnings loss over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on Benjamin Graham’s formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Prudential Financial Inc revealed the company was trading below its Graham Number of $185.87. The company pays a dividend of $3 per share, for a yield of 3.1%, putting it among the best dividend paying stocks today. Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 7.6, which was below the industry average of 30.02, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry.  (See the full valuation)

Synchrony Financial (SYF)

Synchrony Financial is suitable for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the insufficient earnings stability over the last ten years, and the poor dividend history. The Enterprising Investor has no initial concerns. As a result, all Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $0.93 in 2014 to an estimated $2.8 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market’s implied estimate of 2% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on Benjamin Graham’s formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Synchrony Financial revealed the company was trading below its Graham Number of $36.58. The company pays a dividend of $0.56 per share, for a yield of 1.6% Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 12.5, which was below the industry average of 22.96, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry.  (See the full valuation)

Tyson Foods, Inc. (TSN)

Tyson Foods, Inc. is suitable for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the low current ratio, insufficient earnings stability over the last ten years. The Enterprising Investor is only concerned with the level of debt relative to the net current assets. As a result, all Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $2.13 in 2014 to an estimated $5.52 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market’s implied estimate of 2.07% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Tyson Foods, Inc. revealed the company was trading below its Graham Number of $73.4. The company pays a dividend of $0.9 per share, for a yield of 1.3% Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 12.65, which was below the industry average of 24.35, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $-26.88.  (See the full valuation)

Gilead Sciences, Inc.(GILD)

Gilead Sciences, Inc. is suitable for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the poor dividend history, and the high PB ratio. The Enterprising Investor is only concerned with the level of debt relative to the net current assets. As a result, all Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $3.61 in 2014 to an estimated $7.05 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market’s implied estimate of 1.33% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Gilead Sciences, Inc. revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $46.47. The company pays a dividend of $2.08 per share, for a yield of 2.6%, putting it among the best dividend paying stocks today. Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 11.16, which was below the industry average of 28.67, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $-13.66.  (See the full valuation)

Lincoln National Corporation (LNC)

Lincoln National Corporation is suitable for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the insufficient earnings stability over the last ten years. The Enterprising Investor has no initial concerns. As a result, all Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $4.25 in 2014 to an estimated $7.21 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market’s implied estimate of 1.03% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on Benjamin Graham’s formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Lincoln National Corporation revealed the company was trading below its Graham Number of $121.79. The company pays a dividend of $0.87 per share, for a yield of 1.1% Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 10.56, which was below the industry average of 20.16, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry.  (See the full valuation)

Mohawk Industries, Inc. (MHK)

Mohawk Industries, Inc. is suitable for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the low current ratio, insufficient earnings stability over the last ten years, and the poor dividend history. The Enterprising Investor is only concerned with the lack of dividends. As a result, all Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $4.94 in 2014 to an estimated $12.62 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market’s implied estimate of 4.03% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Mohawk Industries, Inc. revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $180.11. The company does not pay a dividend. Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 16.56, which was below the industry average of 26.36, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $-12.35.  (See the full valuation)

Morgan Stanley (MS)

Morgan Stanley is suitable for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the insufficient earnings stability over the last ten years. The Enterprising Investor has no initial concerns. As a result, all Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $1.23 in 2014 to an estimated $3.24 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market’s implied estimate of 4.64% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on Benjamin Graham’s formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Morgan Stanley revealed the company was trading below its Graham Number of $59.03. The company pays a dividend of $0.9 per share, for a yield of 1.6% Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 17.77, which was below the industry average of 25.5, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry.  (See the full valuation)

Citizens Financial Group Inc (CFG)

Citizens Financial Group Inc is suitable for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the insufficient earnings stability over the last ten years, and the poor dividend history. The Enterprising Investor has no initial concerns. As a result, all Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $-0.89 in 2014 to an estimated $2.67 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market’s implied estimate of 3.59% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on Benjamin Graham’s formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Citizens Financial Group Inc revealed the company was trading below its Graham Number of $55.04. The company pays a dividend of $0.64 per share, for a yield of 1.5% Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 15.67, which was below the industry average of 22.06, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry.  (See the full valuation)

Alliance Data Systems Corporation (ADS)

Alliance Data Systems Corporation is suitable for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the poor dividend history, and the high PB ratio. The Enterprising Investor has no initial concerns. As a result, all Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $6.88 in 2014 to an estimated $14.23 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market’s implied estimate of 3.11% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Alliance Data Systems Corporation revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $128.46. The company pays a dividend of $2.08 per share, for a yield of 1% Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 14.72, which was below the industry average of 33.86, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $-70.39.  (See the full valuation)

Duke Realty Corp (DUK)

Duke Energy Corp does not satisfy the requirements of either the Enterprising Investor or the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the low current ratio, insufficient earnings growth over the last ten years. The Enterprising Investor has concerns regarding the level of debt relative to the current assets. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should explore other opportunities at this time or proceed cautiously with a speculative attitude.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Overvalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $3.21 in 2014 to an estimated $4.03 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth does not support the market’s implied estimate of 4.91% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value below the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Duke Energy Corp revealed the company was trading below its Graham Number of $78.39. The company pays a dividend of $3.49 per share, for a yield of 4.7%, putting it among the best dividend paying stocks today. Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 18.32, which was below the industry average of 23.55, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $-126.21.  (See the full valuation)

What do you think?  Are these companies a good value for Defensive Investors?  Is there a company you like better?  Leave a comment on our Facebook page or mention @ModernGraham on Twitter to discuss.

Disclaimer:

The author did not hold a position in any company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours.  See my current holdings here.  This article is not investment advice; any reader should speak to a registered investment adviser prior to making any investment decisions.  ModernGraham is not affiliated with the company in any manner.  Please be sure to read our full disclaimer.

10 Most Overvalued Stocks of the S&P 500 – July 2018

There are a number of great companies in the market today, but there are also a number of companies that are vastly overvalued by the market. By using the ModernGraham Valuation Model, I’ve selected the ten most overvalued companies of the S&P 500 recently reviewed by ModernGraham.

All of these companies are not suitable for the Defensive Investor and/or the Enterprising Investor. Defensive Investors are defined as investors who are not able or willing to do substantial research into individual investments, and therefore need to select only the companies that present the least amount of risk. Enterprising Investors, on the other hand, are able to do substantial research and can select companies that present a moderate (though still low) amount of risk. Each company suitable for the Defensive Investor is also suitable for Enterprising Investors.

WestRock Co (WRK)

WestRock Co does not satisfy the requirements of either the Enterprising Investor or the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the low current ratio, insufficient earnings stability or growth over the last ten years, and the high PEmg ratio. The Enterprising Investor has concerns regarding the level of debt relative to the current assets, and the lack of earnings stability or growth over the last five years. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should explore other opportunities at this time or proceed cautiously with a speculative attitude.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Overvalued after seeing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) decline from $3.14 in 2014 to an estimated $2.28 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth does not support the market’s implied estimate of 10.33% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value below the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into WestRock Co revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $58.32. The company pays a dividend of $1.6 per share, for a yield of 2.4%, putting it among the best dividend paying stocks today. Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 29.15, which was above the industry average of 24.07. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $-35.95.  (See the full valuation)

Tripadvisor Inc (TRIP)

Tripadvisor Inc does not satisfy the requirements of either the Enterprising Investor or the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the insufficient earnings stability or growth over the last ten years, and the poor dividend history, and the high PEmg and PB ratios. The Enterprising Investor has concerns regarding the lack of earnings stability or growth over the last five years, and the lack of dividends. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should explore other opportunities at this time or proceed cautiously with a speculative attitude.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Overvalued after seeing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) decline from $1.41 in 2014 to an estimated $0.75 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth does not support the market’s implied estimate of 25.06% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value below the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Tripadvisor Inc revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $15. The company does not pay a dividend. Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 58.63, which was above the industry average of 33.52. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $0.61.  (See the full valuation)

Coty Inc (COTY)

Coty Inc does not satisfy the requirements of either the Enterprising Investor or the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the low current ratio, insufficient earnings stability or growth over the last ten years, and the poor dividend history, and the high PEmg ratio. The Enterprising Investor has concerns regarding the level of debt relative to the current assets, and the lack of earnings stability over the last five years. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should explore other opportunities at this time or proceed cautiously with a speculative attitude.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Overvalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $0.03 in 2014 to an estimated $0.03 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth does not support the market’s implied estimate of 259% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value below the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Coty Inc revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $6.26. The company pays a dividend of $0.65 per share, for a yield of 4.6%, putting it among the best dividend paying stocks today. Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 526.5, which was above the industry average of 28.09. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $-13.8.  (See the full valuation)

The Coca-Cola Co (KO)

The Coca-Cola Co does not satisfy the requirements of either the Enterprising Investor or the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the low current ratio, insufficient earnings growth over the last ten years, and the high PEmg and PB ratios. The Enterprising Investor has concerns regarding the level of debt relative to the current assets, and the lack of earnings growth over the last five years. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should explore other opportunities at this time or proceed cautiously with a speculative attitude.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Overvalued after seeing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) decline from $1.85 in 2014 to an estimated $1.37 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth does not support the market’s implied estimate of 11.81% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value below the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into The Coca-Cola Co revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $13.43. The company pays a dividend of $1.48 per share, for a yield of 3.4%, putting it among the best dividend paying stocks today. Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 32.11, which was below the industry average of 34.94, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $-7.94.  (See the full valuation)

Abbott Laboratories (ABT)

Abbott Laboratories does not satisfy the requirements of either the Enterprising Investor or the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the low current ratio, insufficient earnings growth over the last ten years, and the high PEmg and PB ratios. The Enterprising Investor has concerns regarding the level of debt relative to the net current assets, and the lack of earnings growth over the last five years. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should explore other opportunities at this time or proceed cautiously with a speculative attitude.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Overvalued after seeing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) decline from $2.27 in 2014 to an estimated $1.7 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth does not support the market’s implied estimate of 13.21% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value below the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Abbott Laboratories revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $33.71. The company pays a dividend of $1.06 per share, for a yield of 1.8% Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 34.92, which was below the industry average of 42.49, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $-13.9.  (See the full valuation)

Under Armour Inc (UA)

Under Armour Inc does not satisfy the requirements of either the Enterprising Investor or the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the insufficient earnings stability or growth over the last ten years, and the poor dividend history, and the high PEmg and PB ratios. The Enterprising Investor has concerns regarding the lack of earnings stability or growth over the last five years, and the lack of dividends. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should explore other opportunities at this time or proceed cautiously with a speculative attitude.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Overvalued after seeing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) decline from $0.36 in 2014 to an estimated $0.2 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth does not support the market’s implied estimate of 33.2% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value below the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Under Armour Inc revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $3.51. The company does not pay a dividend. Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 74.9, which was above the industry average of 40.48. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $0.79.  (See the full valuation)

QUALCOMM, Inc. (QCOM)

QUALCOMM, Inc. does not satisfy the requirements of either the Enterprising Investor or the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the insufficient earnings stability or growth over the last ten years, and the high PEmg and PB ratios. The Enterprising Investor has concerns regarding the lack of earnings stability or growth over the last five years. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should explore other opportunities at this time or proceed cautiously with a speculative attitude.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Overvalued after seeing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) decline from $3.76 in 2014 to an estimated $1.11 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth does not support the market’s implied estimate of 21.7% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value below the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into QUALCOMM, Inc. revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $0. The company pays a dividend of $2.2 per share, for a yield of 3.8%, putting it among the best dividend paying stocks today. Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 51.9, which was above the industry average of 49.78. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $3.51.  (See the full valuation)

Ralph Lauren Corp (RL)

Ralph Lauren Corp does not satisfy the requirements of either the Enterprising Investor or the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the insufficient earnings stability or growth over the last ten years, and the high PEmg and PB ratios. The Enterprising Investor has concerns regarding the lack of earnings stability or growth over the last five years. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should explore other opportunities at this time or proceed cautiously with a speculative attitude.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Overvalued after seeing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) decline from $7.45 in 2014 to an estimated $2.92 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth does not support the market’s implied estimate of 15.22% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value below the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Ralph Lauren Corp revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $43.75. The company pays a dividend of $2 per share, for a yield of 1.8% Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 38.95, which was below the industry average of 49.11, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $9.08.  (See the full valuation)

News Corp (NWS)

News Corp does not satisfy the requirements of either the Enterprising Investor or the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the low current ratio, insufficient earnings stability or growth over the last ten years, and the poor dividend history, and the high PEmg and PB ratios. The Enterprising Investor has concerns regarding the lack of earnings stability or growth over the last five years. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should explore other opportunities at this time or proceed cautiously with a speculative attitude.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Overvalued after seeing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) decline from $-0.19 in 2014 to an estimated $-0.93 for 2018. This level of negative earnings does not support a positive valuation.As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value below the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into News Corp revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $0. The company pays a dividend of $0.2 per share, for a yield of 1.2% Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was -17.42, which was below the industry average of 35.5, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $1.04.  (See the full valuation)

National-Oilwell Varco, Inc. (NOV)

National-Oilwell Varco, Inc. does not satisfy the requirements of either the Enterprising Investor or the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the insufficient earnings stability or growth over the last ten years, and the poor dividend history, and the high PEmg and PB ratios. The Enterprising Investor has concerns regarding the lack of earnings stability or growth over the last five years. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should explore other opportunities at this time or proceed cautiously with a speculative attitude.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Overvalued after seeing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) decline from $5.45 in 2014 to an estimated $-1.38 for 2018. This level of negative earnings does not support a positive valuation.As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value below the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into National-Oilwell Varco, Inc. revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $0. The company pays a dividend of $0.2 per share, for a yield of 0.5% Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was -27.76, which was below the industry average of 97.7, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $3.34.  (See the full valuation)

What do you think?  Are these companies a good value for Defensive Investors?  Is there a company you like better?  Leave a comment on our Facebook page or mention @ModernGraham on Twitter to discuss.

Disclaimer:

The author held a long position in WestRock Co (WRK) but did not hold a position in any other company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours.  See my current holdings here.  This article is not investment advice; any reader should speak to a registered investment adviser prior to making any investment decisions.  ModernGraham is not affiliated with the company in any manner.  Please be sure to read our full disclaimer.

Mosaic Company Valuation – May 2018 $MOS

Company Profile (excerpt from Reuters): The Mosaic Company, incorporated on March 25, 2004, is a producer and marketer of concentrated phosphate and potash crop nutrients. The Company operates through three segments: Phosphates, Potash and International Distribution. Through its product offering, the Company is a single source supplier of phosphate- and potash-based crop nutrients and animal feed ingredients. As of December 31, 2016, the Company served customers in approximately 40 countries.

MOS Chart

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Downloadable PDF version of this valuation:

ModernGraham Valuation of MOS – May 2018

Stage 1: Is this company suitable for the Defensive Investor or the Enterprising Investor?

What kind of Intelligent Investor are you?

Defensive Investor; must pass 6 out of the following 7 tests.
1. Adequate Size of the Enterprise Market Cap > $2Bil $10,625,916,245 Pass
2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Current Ratio > 2 1.73 Fail
3. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 10 years prior Fail
4. Dividend Record Dividend Payments for 10 years prior Fail
5. Earnings Growth Increase of 33% in EPS in past 10 years using 3 year averages at beginning and end -86.34% Fail
6. Moderate PEmg Ratio PEmg < 20 26.59 Fail
7. Moderate Price to Assets PB Ratio < 2.5 OR PB*PEmg < 50 1.01 Pass
Enterprising Investor; must pass 4 out of the following 5 tests, or be suitable for the Defensive Investor.
1. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Current Ratio > 1.5 1.73 Pass
2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Debt to NCA < 1.1 2.98 Fail
3. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 5 years prior Fail
4. Dividend Record Currently Pays Dividend Pass
5. Earnings Growth EPSmg greater than 5 years ago Fail

 

Stage 2: Determination of Intrinsic Value

EPSmg $1.04
MG Growth Estimate -4.25%
MG Value $0.00
Opinion Overvalued
MG Grade D
MG Value based on 3% Growth $15.03
MG Value based on 0% Growth $8.81
Market Implied Growth Rate 9.05%
Current Price $27.57
% of Intrinsic Value N/A

Mosaic Co does not satisfy the requirements of either the Enterprising Investor or the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the low current ratio, insufficient earnings stability or growth over the last ten years, and the poor dividend history, and the high PEmg ratio. The Enterprising Investor has concerns regarding the level of debt relative to the net current assets, and the lack of earnings stability or growth over the last five years. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should explore other opportunities at this time or proceed cautiously with a speculative attitude.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Overvalued after seeing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) decline from $3.83 in 2014 to an estimated $1.04 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth does not support the market’s implied estimate of 9.05% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value below the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Mosaic Co revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $27.2. The company pays a dividend of $0.6 per share, for a yield of 2.2%, putting it among the best dividend paying stocks today. Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 26.59, which was above the industry average of 24.96. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $-16.03.

Mosaic Co scores quite poorly in the ModernGraham grading system, with an overall grade of D.

Stage 3: Information for Further Research

Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) -$16.03
Graham Number $27.20
PEmg 26.59
Current Ratio 1.73
PB Ratio 1.01
Current Dividend $0.60
Dividend Yield 2.18%
Number of Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth 0

Useful Links:

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GuruFocus SEC Filings

Most Recent Balance Sheet Figures

Balance Sheet Information 3/1/2018
Total Current Assets $3,841,400,000
Total Current Liabilities $2,220,500,000
Long-Term Debt $4,823,100,000
Total Assets $20,452,300,000
Intangible Assets $1,760,600,000
Total Liabilities $9,997,300,000
Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) 384,100,000

Earnings Per Share History

EPS History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $1.20
Dec2017 -$0.31
Dec2016 $0.85
Dec2015 $2.78
Dec2014 $2.68
May2013 $4.42
May2012 $4.42
May2011 $5.62
May2010 $1.85
May2009 $5.27
May2008 $4.67
May2007 $0.95
May2006 -$0.35
May2005 $0.46
Dec2003 -$1.22
Dec2002 -$0.97
Dec2001 -$0.57
Dec2000 -$3.00
Dec1999 -$6.75
Dec1998 -$0.08
Jun1997 $2.03

Earnings Per Share – ModernGraham History

EPSmg History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $1.04
Dec2017 $1.33
Dec2016 $2.44
Dec2015 $3.49
Dec2014 $3.83
May2013 $4.37
May2012 $4.36
May2011 $4.11
May2010 $3.06
May2009 $3.18
May2008 $1.72
May2007 $0.09
May2006 -$0.41
May2005 -$0.64
Dec2003 -$1.63
Dec2002 -$1.98
Dec2001 -$2.22

Recommended Reading:

Other ModernGraham posts about the company

Most Overvalued Stocks of the S&P 500 – March 2017
Mosaic Company Valuation – February 2017 $MOS
Mosaic Company Valuation – October 2015 Update $MOS
Mosaic Company Analysis – July 2015 Update $MOS
Mosaic Inc. Quarterly Valuation – April 2015 $MOS

Other ModernGraham posts about related companies

CF Industries Holdings Inc Valuation – April 2018 $CF
LSB Industries Inc Valuation – Initial Coverage $LXU
Monsanto Company Valuation – March 2017 $MON
Mosaic Company Valuation – February 2017 $MOS
Scotts Miracle-Gro Inc Valuation – Initial Coverage $SMG
Intrepid Potash Inc Valuation – Initial Coverage $IPI
CF Industries Holdings Inc Valuation – August 2016 $CF
CF Industries Valuation – March 2016 $CF
Monsanto Company Valuation – January 2016 Update $MON
Mosaic Company Valuation – October 2015 Update $MOS

Disclaimer:

The author did not hold a position in any company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours.  See my current holdings here.  This article is not investment advice; any reader should speak to a registered investment adviser prior to making any investment decisions.  ModernGraham is not affiliated with the company in any manner.  Please be sure to review our detailed disclaimer.

Atmos Energy Corp Valuation – Initial Coverage $ATO

Benjamin Graham taught that Intelligent Investors must do a thorough fundamental analysis of investment opportunities to determine their intrinsic value and inherent risk.  This is best done by utilizing a systematic approach to analysis that will provide investors with a sense of how a specific company compares to another company or by reviewing the 10 Undervalued Stocks for the Enterprising Investor – August 2017.  By using the ModernGraham method one can review a company’s historical accomplishments and determine an intrinsic value that can be compared across industries.  What follows is a stock analysis showing a specific look at how Atmos Energy Corp (ATO) fares in the ModernGraham valuation model.

Company Profile (obtained from Google Finance): Atmos Energy Corporation is a fully-regulated, natural-gas-only distributor engaged primarily in the regulated natural gas distribution and pipeline businesses, as well as other nonregulated natural gas businesses. It operates through three segments: regulated distribution segment, which includes its regulated distribution and related sales operations; regulated pipeline segment, which includes pipeline and storage operations of its Atmos Pipeline-Texas Division, and nonregulated segment, which includes its nonregulated natural gas management, nonregulated natural gas transmission, storage and other services. Its nonregulated businesses provide natural gas management, transportation and storage services to local gas distribution companies, including certain of its natural gas distribution divisions and industrial customers in the Midwest and Southeast. It also manages its natural gas pipeline and storage assets, including its intrastate natural gas pipeline systems in Texas.

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Premium members can view a full ModernGraham valuation of the company and have access to download a PDF version of the valuation for easy reference. Recent valuations of the components of the Dow Jones Industrial Average are available for free members, including this one of Microsoft Corporation.  In addition, here is a post detailing what can be found within each individual company’s valuation.

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Downloadable PDF version of this valuation:

ModernGraham Valuation of ATO – August 2017

Stage 1: Is this company suitable for the Defensive Investor or the Enterprising Investor?

What kind of Intelligent Investor are you?

Defensive Investor; must pass 6 out of the following 7 tests.
1. Adequate Size of the Enterprise Market Cap > $2Bil $9,350,743,420 Pass
2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Current Ratio > 2 0.72 Fail
3. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 10 years prior Pass
4. Dividend Record Dividend Payments for 10 years prior Pass
5. Earnings Growth Increase of 33% in EPS in past 10 years using 3 year averages at beginning and end 63.48% Pass
6. Moderate PEmg Ratio PEmg < 20 26.32 Fail
7. Moderate Price to Assets PB Ratio < 2.5 OR PB*PEmg < 50 2.40 Pass
Enterprising Investor; must pass 4 out of the following 5 tests, or be suitable for the Defensive Investor.
1. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Current Ratio > 1.5 0.72 Fail
2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Debt to NCA < 1.1 -14.52 Fail
3. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 5 years prior Pass
4. Dividend Record Currently Pays Dividend Pass
5. Earnings Growth EPSmg greater than 5 years ago Pass

Stage 2: Determination of Intrinsic Value

EPSmg $3.35
MG Growth Estimate 5.96%
MG Value $68.41
Opinion Overvalued
MG Grade D+
MG Value based on 3% Growth $48.58
MG Value based on 0% Growth $28.48
Market Implied Growth Rate 8.91%
Current Price $88.16
% of Intrinsic Value 128.87%

Atmos Energy Corporation does not satisfy the requirements of either the Enterprising Investor or the more conservative Defensive Investor.  The Defensive Investor is concerned with the  low current ratio, high PEmg ratio. The Enterprising Investor has concerns regarding the level of debt relative to the current assets.  As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should explore other opportunities at this time or proceed cautiously with a speculative attitude.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Overvalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $2.4 in 2013 to an estimated $3.35 for 2017.  This level of demonstrated earnings growth does not support the market’s implied estimate of 8.91% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years.  As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value below the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Atmos Energy Corporation revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $53.23.  The company pays a dividend of $1.68 per share, for a yield of 1.9%  Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 26.32, which was above the industry average of 24.79.  Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $-57.

Atmos Energy Corporation scores quite poorly in the ModernGraham grading system, with an overall grade of D+.

Stage 3: Information for Further Research

Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) -$57.00
Graham Number $53.23
PEmg 26.32
Current Ratio 0.72
PB Ratio 2.40
Current Dividend $1.68
Dividend Yield 1.91%
Number of Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth 20

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Most Recent Balance Sheet Figures

Balance Sheet Information 6/1/2017
Total Current Assets $534,382,000
Total Current Liabilities $745,659,000
Long-Term Debt $3,066,734,000
Total Assets $10,498,775,000
Intangible Assets $729,673,000
Total Liabilities $6,597,065,000
Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) 106,364,000

Earnings Per Share History

EPS History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $3.78
Sep2016 $3.38
Sep2015 $3.09
Sep2014 $2.96
Sep2013 $2.64
Sep2012 $2.37
Sep2011 $2.27
Sep2010 $2.20
Sep2009 $2.07
Sep2008 $2.00
Sep2007 $1.92
Sep2006 $1.82
Sep2005 $1.69
Sep2004 $1.37
Sep2003 $1.39
Sep2002 $1.43
Sep2001 $1.47
Sep2000 $1.12
Sep1999 $0.58
Sep1998 $1.84
Sep1997 $0.81

Earnings Per Share – ModernGraham History

EPSmg History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $3.35
Sep2016 $3.05
Sep2015 $2.81
Sep2014 $2.61
Sep2013 $2.40
Sep2012 $2.24
Sep2011 $2.15
Sep2010 $2.06
Sep2009 $1.96
Sep2008 $1.86
Sep2007 $1.74
Sep2006 $1.61
Sep2005 $1.50
Sep2004 $1.39
Sep2003 $1.33
Sep2002 $1.29
Sep2001 $1.21

Recommended Reading:

Other ModernGraham posts about the company

None.  This is the first time ModernGraham has covered the company.

Other ModernGraham posts about related companies

PNM Resources Inc Valuation – Initial Coverage $PNM
Public Service Enterprise Group Inc Valuation – July 2017 $PEG
Eversource Energy Valuation – July 2017 $ES
PPL Corp Valuation – June 2017 $PPL
Entergy Corp Valuation – April 2017 $ETR
California Water Service Group Valuation – Initial Coverage $CWT
TransAlta Corporation – Initial Coverage $TSE:TA
Pinnacle West Corp Valuation – March 2017 $PNW
NiSource Inc Valuation – March 2017 $NI
Canadian Utilities Ltd Valuation – Initial Coverage $TSE:CU

Disclaimer:

The author did not hold a position in any company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours.  See my current holdings here.  This article is not investment advice; any reader should speak to a registered investment adviser prior to making any investment decisions.  ModernGraham is not affiliated with the company in any manner.  Please be sure to review our detailed disclaimer.

Lumos Networks Corp Valuation – Initial Coverage $LMOS

Benjamin Graham taught that Intelligent Investors must do a thorough fundamental analysis of investment opportunities to determine their intrinsic value and inherent risk.  This is best done by utilizing a systematic approach to analysis that will provide investors with a sense of how a specific company compares to another company or by reviewing the 10 Stocks for Using A Benjamin Graham Value Investing Strategy – March 2017.  By using the ModernGraham method one can review a company’s historical accomplishments and determine an intrinsic value that can be compared across industries.  What follows is a stock analysis showing a specific look at how Lumos Networks Corp (LMOS) fares in the ModernGraham valuation model.

Company Profile (obtained from Google Finance): Lumos Networks Corp. is a fiber-based bandwidth infrastructure and service provider in the Mid-Atlantic region with a network of long-haul fiber, metro Ethernet and Ethernet rings located primarily in Virginia and West Virginia, and portions of Maryland, Pennsylvania, Ohio and Kentucky. The Company serves carrier, business and residential customers over its fiber network offering data, voice and Internet protocol (IP) services. The Company operates through three segments: Data, Residential and Small Business (R&SB), and RLEC Access. The Data segment includes the Company’s enterprise data, transport and Fiber to the Cell (FTTC) product groups. The R&SB segment includes legacy voice and IP services products targeted to its residential and small business customers. The RLEC Access segment provides other carrier customers access to the Company’s network within the Company’s rural local exchange carrier (RLEC) territories through switched access services.

LMOS Chart

LMOS data by YCharts

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Premium members can view a full ModernGraham valuation of the company and have access to download a PDF version of the valuation for easy reference. Recent valuations of the components of the Dow Jones Industrial Average are available for free members, including this one of Microsoft Corporation.  In addition, here is a post detailing what can be found within each individual company’s valuation.

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Downloadable PDF version of this valuation:

ModernGraham Valuation of LMOS – March 2017

Stage 1: Is this company suitable for the Defensive Investor or the Enterprising Investor?

What kind of Intelligent Investor are you?

Defensive Investor; must pass 6 out of the following 7 tests.
1. Adequate Size of the Enterprise Market Cap > $2Bil $416,238,869 Fail
2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Current Ratio > 2 2.13 Pass
3. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 10 years prior Fail
4. Dividend Record Dividend Payments for 10 years prior Fail
5. Earnings Growth Increase of 33% in EPS in past 10 years using 3 year averages at beginning and end 2766.67% Pass
6. Moderate PEmg Ratio PEmg < 20 43.00 Fail
7. Moderate Price to Assets PB Ratio < 2.5 OR PB*PEmg < 50 3.08 Fail
Enterprising Investor; must pass 4 out of the following 5 tests, or be suitable for the Defensive Investor.
1. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Current Ratio > 1.5 2.13 Pass
2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Debt to NCA < 1.1 8.55 Fail
3. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 5 years prior Fail
4. Dividend Record Currently Pays Dividend Fail
5. Earnings Growth EPSmg greater than 5 years ago Pass

Stage 2: Determination of Intrinsic Value

EPSmg $0.41
MG Growth Estimate 15.00%
MG Value $15.81
Opinion Overvalued
MG Grade D
MG Value based on 3% Growth $5.95
MG Value based on 0% Growth $3.49
Market Implied Growth Rate 17.25%
Current Price $17.66
% of Intrinsic Value 111.70%

Lumos Networks Corp does not satisfy the requirements of either the Enterprising Investor or the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the small size, insufficient earnings stability over the last ten years, the poor dividend history, and the high PEmg and PB ratios. The Enterprising Investor has concerns regarding the level of debt relative to the net current assets, and the lack of earnings stability over the last five years, and the lack of dividends. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should explore other opportunities at this time or proceed cautiously with a speculative attitude.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Overvalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $0.05 in 2013 to an estimated $0.41 for 2017. This level of demonstrated earnings growth does not support the market’s implied estimate of 17.25% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value below the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Lumos Networks Corp revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $7.62. The company does not pay a dividend. Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 43, which was below the industry average of 68.5, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $-21.96.

Lumos Networks Corp scores quite poorly in the ModernGraham grading system, with an overall grade of D.

Stage 3: Information for Further Research

Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) -$21.96
Graham Number $7.62
PEmg 43.00
Current Ratio 2.13
PB Ratio 3.08
Current Dividend $0.00
Dividend Yield 0.00%
Number of Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth 0

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ModernGraham tagged articles Morningstar
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Most Recent Balance Sheet Figures

Balance Sheet Information 12/1/2016
Total Current Assets $100,505,000
Total Current Liabilities $47,286,000
Long-Term Debt $454,885,000
Total Assets $753,372,000
Intangible Assets $108,800,000
Total Liabilities $618,198,000
Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) 23,576,000

Earnings Per Share History

EPS History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $0.45
Dec2016 -$0.02
Dec2015 $0.43
Dec2014 $0.95
Dec2013 $0.80
Dec2012 $0.76
Dec2011 -$2.11

Earnings Per Share – ModernGraham History

EPSmg History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $0.41
Dec2016 $0.46
Dec2015 $0.52
Dec2014 $0.40
Dec2013 $0.05
Dec2012 -$0.31
Dec2011 -$0.70

Recommended Reading:

Other ModernGraham posts about the company

None. This is the first time ModernGraham has covered the company.

Other ModernGraham posts about related companies

Windstream Holdings Inc Valuation – August 2016 $WIN
Verizon Communications Inc Valuation – July 2016 $VZ
AT&T Inc Valuation – July 2016 $T
Harris Corporation Valuation – February 2016 $HRS
CenturyLink Inc Valuation – February 2016 $CTL
Frontier Communications Corp Valuation – November 2015 Update $FTR
Harris Corporation Analysis – September 2015 Update $HRS
Arris Group Inc. Analysis – Initial Coverage $ARRS
Level 3 Communications Inc. Analysis – Initial Coverage $LVLT
Windstream Holdings Analysis – 2015 Update $WIN

Disclaimer:

The author did not hold a position in any company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours.  See my current holdings here.  This article is not investment advice; any reader should speak to a registered investment adviser prior to making any investment decisions.  ModernGraham is not affiliated with the company in any manner.  Please be sure to review our detailed disclaimer.

Most Overvalued Stocks of the S&P 500 – March 2017

There are a number of great companies in the market today, but there are also a number of companies that are vastly overvalued by the market. By using the ModernGraham Valuation Model, I’ve selected the ten most overvalued companies of the S&P 500 recently reviewed by ModernGraham.

All of these companies are not suitable for the Defensive Investor and/or the Enterprising Investor. Defensive Investors are defined as investors who are not able or willing to do substantial research into individual investments, and therefore need to select only the companies that present the least amount of risk. Enterprising Investors, on the other hand, are able to do substantial research and can select companies that present a moderate (though still low) amount of risk. Each company suitable for the Defensive Investor is also suitable for Enterprising Investors.

Concho Resources Inc (CXO)

Concho Resources Inc does not satisfy the requirements of either the Enterprising Investor or the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the low current ratio, insufficient earnings stability or growth over the last ten years, the poor dividend history, and the high PEmg and PB ratios. The Enterprising Investor has concerns regarding the level of debt relative to the current assets, and the lack of earnings stability or growth over the last five years, and the lack of dividends. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should explore other opportunities at this time or proceed cautiously with a speculative attitude.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Overvalued after seeing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) decline from $3.24 in 2013 to an estimated $-2.06 for 2017. This level of negative earnings does not support a positive valuation.As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value below the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Concho Resources Inc revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $0. The company does not pay a dividend. Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was -64.32, which was below the industry average of 69.19, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $-29.31.  (See the full valuation)

Murphy Oil Corporation (MUR)

Murphy Oil Corporation does not satisfy the requirements of either the Enterprising Investor or the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the low current ratio, insufficient earnings stability or growth over the last ten years, and the high PEmg and PB ratios. The Enterprising Investor has concerns regarding the level of debt relative to the current assets, and the lack of earnings stability or growth over the last five years. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should explore other opportunities at this time or proceed cautiously with a speculative attitude.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Overvalued after seeing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) decline from $5.05 in 2013 to an estimated $-2.14 for 2017. This level of negative earnings does not support a positive valuation.As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value below the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Murphy Oil Corporation revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $0. The company pays a dividend of $1.2 per share, for a yield of 4.1%, putting it among the best dividend paying stocks today. Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was -13.72, which was below the industry average of 69.19, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $-22.19.  (See the full valuation)

Frontier Communications Corp (FTR)

Frontier Communications Corp does not satisfy the requirements of either the Enterprising Investor or the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the low current ratio, insufficient earnings stability or growth over the last ten years, and the high PEmg and PB ratios. The Enterprising Investor has concerns regarding the level of debt relative to the current assets, and the lack of earnings stability or growth over the last five years. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should explore other opportunities at this time or proceed cautiously with a speculative attitude.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Overvalued after seeing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) decline from $0.22 in 2012 to an estimated $-0.2 for 2016. This level of negative earnings does not support a positive valuation.As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value below the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Frontier Communications Corp revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $0. The company pays a dividend of $0.42 per share, for a yield of 12.5%, putting it among the best dividend paying stocks today. Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was -16.82, which was below the industry average of 68.5, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $-19.45.  (See the full valuation)

Occidental Petroleum Corporation (OXY)

Occidental Petroleum Corporation does not satisfy the requirements of either the Enterprising Investor or the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the low current ratio, insufficient earnings stability or growth over the last ten years, and the high PEmg and PB ratios. The Enterprising Investor has concerns regarding the level of debt relative to the current assets, and the lack of earnings stability or growth over the last five years. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should explore other opportunities at this time or proceed cautiously with a speculative attitude.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Overvalued after seeing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) decline from $6.6 in 2013 to an estimated $-1.54 for 2017. This level of negative earnings does not support a positive valuation.As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value below the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Occidental Petroleum Corporation revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $14.88. The company pays a dividend of $3.02 per share, for a yield of 4.7%, putting it among the best dividend paying stocks today. Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was -42.25, which was below the industry average of 69.19, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $-17.26.  (See the full valuation)

Loews Corporation (L)

Loews Corporation does not satisfy the requirements of either the Enterprising Investor or the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the insufficient earnings growth over the last ten years, and the high PEmg ratio. The Enterprising Investor has concerns regarding the lack of earnings growth over the last five years. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should explore other opportunities at this time or proceed cautiously with a speculative attitude.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Overvalued after seeing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) decline from $2.57 in 2012 to an estimated $1.36 for 2016. This level of demonstrated earnings growth does not support the market’s implied estimate of 12.93% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on Benjamin Graham’s formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value below the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Loews Corporation revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $45.27. The company pays a dividend of $0.25 per share, for a yield of 0.5% Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 34.37, which was above the industry average of 18.78.  (See the full valuation)

Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM)

Exxon Mobil Corporation does not satisfy the requirements of either the Enterprising Investor or the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the low current ratio, insufficient earnings growth over the last ten years. The Enterprising Investor has concerns regarding the level of debt relative to the current assets, and the lack of earnings growth over the last five years. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should explore other opportunities at this time or proceed cautiously with a speculative attitude.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Overvalued after seeing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) decline from $7.83 in 2012 to an estimated $4.85 for 2016. This level of demonstrated earnings growth does not support the market’s implied estimate of 4.18% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value below the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Exxon Mobil Corporation revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $43.35. The company pays a dividend of $2.96 per share, for a yield of 3.6%, putting it among the best dividend paying stocks today. Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 16.87, which was below the industry average of 69.19, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $-30.12.  (See the full valuation)

Mosaic Co (MOS)

Mosaic Co does not satisfy the requirements of either the Enterprising Investor or the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the low current ratio, insufficient earnings growth over the last ten years, and the poor dividend history. The Enterprising Investor has concerns regarding the level of debt relative to the net current assets, and the lack of earnings growth over the last five years. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should explore other opportunities at this time or proceed cautiously with a speculative attitude.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Overvalued after seeing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) decline from $4.36 in 2012 to an estimated $2.43 for 2016. This level of demonstrated earnings growth does not support the market’s implied estimate of 2.39% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value below the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Mosaic Co revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $22.48. The company pays a dividend of $1.1 per share, for a yield of 3.4%, putting it among the best dividend paying stocks today. Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 13.27, which was above the industry average of 13.11. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $-11.32.  (See the full valuation)

Freeport-McMoRan Inc (FCX)

Freeport-McMoRan Inc does not satisfy the requirements of either the Enterprising Investor or the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the insufficient earnings stability over the last ten years, the poor dividend history, and the high PEmg and PB ratios. The Enterprising Investor has concerns regarding the level of debt relative to the net current assets, and the lack of earnings stability or growth over the last five years. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should explore other opportunities at this time or proceed cautiously with a speculative attitude.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Overvalued after seeing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) decline from $3.39 in 2013 to an estimated $-2.99 for 2017. This level of negative earnings does not support a positive valuation.As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value below the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Freeport-McMoRan Inc revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $5.5. The company pays a dividend of $0.05 per share, for a yield of 0.3% Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was -5.5, which was below the industry average of 47.18, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $-14.77.  (See the full valuation)

Halliburton Company (HAL)

Halliburton Company does not satisfy the requirements of either the Enterprising Investor or the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the insufficient earnings stability or growth over the last ten years, and the high PEmg and PB ratios. The Enterprising Investor has concerns regarding the level of debt relative to the net current assets, and the lack of earnings stability or growth over the last five years. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should explore other opportunities at this time or proceed cautiously with a speculative attitude.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Overvalued after seeing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) decline from $2.51 in 2013 to an estimated $-2.51 for 2017. This level of negative earnings does not support a positive valuation.As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value below the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Halliburton Company revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $0. The company pays a dividend of $0.72 per share, for a yield of 1.2% Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was -23.22, which was below the industry average of 69.19, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $-6.9.  (See the full valuation)

Boston Scientific Corporation (BSX)

Boston Scientific Corporation does not satisfy the requirements of either the Enterprising Investor or the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the low current ratio, insufficient earnings stability or growth over the last ten years, the poor dividend history, and the high PEmg and PB ratios. The Enterprising Investor has concerns regarding the level of debt relative to the current assets, and the lack of earnings stability over the last five years, and the lack of dividends. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should explore other opportunities at this time or proceed cautiously with a speculative attitude.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Overvalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $-1.21 in 2012 to an estimated $-0.12 for 2016. This level of negative earnings does not support a positive valuation.As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value below the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Boston Scientific Corporation revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $6.94. The company does not pay a dividend. Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was -198.07, which was below the industry average of 32.29, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $-5.82.  (See the full valuation)

What do you think?  Are these companies a good value for Defensive Investors?  Is there a company you like better?  Leave a comment on our Facebook page or mention @ModernGraham on Twitter to discuss.

Disclaimer:

The author did not hold a position in any company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours.  See my current holdings here.  This article is not investment advice; any reader should speak to a registered investment adviser prior to making any investment decisions.  ModernGraham is not affiliated with the company in any manner.  Please be sure to read our full disclaimer.

Most Undervalued Stocks of the S&P 500 – February 2017

There are a number of great companies in the market today. By using the ModernGraham Valuation Model, I’ve selected the ten most undervalued companies of the S&P 500.  All of these companies are suitable for the Defensive Investor and/or the Enterprising Investor. Defensive Investors are defined as investors who are not able or willing to do substantial research into individual investments, and therefore need to select only the companies that present the least amount of risk. Enterprising Investors, on the other hand, are able to do substantial research and can select companies that present a moderate (though still low) amount of risk. Each company suitable for the Defensive Investor is also suitable for Enterprising Investors.

Navient Corp (NAVI)

Navient Corp is suitable for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the insufficient earnings stability over the last ten years, and the poor dividend history. The Enterprising Investor has no initial concerns. As a result, all Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $0.63 in 2012 to an estimated $2.39 for 2016. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market’s implied estimate of 1.25% annual earnings loss over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on Benjamin Graham’s formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Navient Corp revealed the company was trading below its Graham Number of $21.98. The company pays a dividend of $0.64 per share, for a yield of 4.5%, putting it among the best dividend paying stocks today. Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 6.01, which was below the industry average of 19.87, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry.   (See the full valuation)

NAVI charts August 2016

Gilead Sciences, Inc. (GILD)

Gilead Sciences, Inc. is suitable for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the low current ratio, poor dividend history, and the high PB ratio. The Enterprising Investor is only concerned with the level of debt relative to the net current assets. As a result, all Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $1.61 in 2012 to an estimated $8.69 for 2016. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market’s implied estimate of 0.72% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on Benjamin Graham’s formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.  (See the full valuation)

GILD charts July 2016

Kors Holdings Ltd (KORS)

Kors Holdings Ltd is suitable for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the insufficient earnings stability over the last ten years, the poor dividend history, and the high PB ratio. The Enterprising Investor is only concerned with the lack of dividends. As a result, all Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $0.96 in 2013 to an estimated $4.07 for 2017. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market’s implied estimate of 1.92% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on Benjamin Graham’s formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.  (See the full valuation)

KORS charts July 2016

PulteGroup, Inc. (PHM)

PulteGroup, Inc. is suitable for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the insufficient earnings stability or growth over the last ten years, and the poor dividend history. The Enterprising Investor has no initial concerns. As a result, all Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $-1.46 in 2012 to an estimated $2.06 for 2016. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market’s implied estimate of 0.7% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on Benjamin Graham’s formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.  (See the full valuation)

PHM charts July 2016

Equity Residential (EQR)

Equity Residential qualifies for both the Defensive Investor and the Enterprising Investor. The Defensive Investor is only initially concerned with the low current ratio. The Enterprising Investor has concerns regarding the level of debt relative to the current assets. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $2.15 in 2012 to an estimated $5.79 for 2016. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market’s implied estimate of 1.39% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Equity Residential revealed the company was trading below its Graham Number of $90.07. The company pays a dividend of $2.11 per share, for a yield of 3.2%, putting it among the best dividend paying stocks today. Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 11.29, which was below the industry average of 34.03, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $-24.85.  (See the full valuation)

LyondellBasell Industries NV (LYB)

LyondellBasell Industries NV is suitable for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the insufficient earnings stability or growth over the last ten years, the poor dividend history, and the high PB ratio. The Enterprising Investor is only concerned with the level of debt relative to the net current assets. As a result, all Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $-944.17 in 2012 to an estimated $8.48 for 2016. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market’s implied estimate of 0.4% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on Benjamin Graham’s formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.  (See the full valuation)

LYB charts June 2016

Tesoro Corporation (TSO)

Tesoro Corporation is suitable for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the low current ratio, insufficient earnings stability over the last ten years, and the poor dividend history. The Enterprising Investor is only concerned with the level of debt relative to the net current assets. As a result, all Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $2.72 in 2012 to an estimated $7.14 for 2016. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market’s implied estimate of 1.59% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Tesoro Corporation revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $75.72. The company pays a dividend of $2.05 per share, for a yield of 2.5%, putting it among the best dividend paying stocks today. Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 11.67, which was below the industry average of 69.19, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $-62.03.  (See the full valuation)

Valero Energy Corporation (VLO)

Valero Energy Corporation is suitable for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the low current ratio, insufficient earnings stability over the last ten years. The Enterprising Investor has no initial concerns. As a result, all Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $1.71 in 2012 to an estimated $5.39 for 2016. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market’s implied estimate of 0.84% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Valero Energy Corporation revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $54.08. The company pays a dividend of $2.1 per share, for a yield of 3.8%, putting it among the best dividend paying stocks today. Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 10.18, which was below the industry average of 55.24, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $-18.5.  (See the full valuation)

VLO charts August 2016

Signet Jewelers Ltd. (SIG)

Signet Jewelers Ltd. is suitable for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the insufficient earnings stability or growth over the last ten years, and the poor dividend history. The Enterprising Investor has no initial concerns. As a result, all Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $2.84 in 2013 to an estimated $5.77 for 2017. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market’s implied estimate of 3.39% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Signet Jewelers Ltd. revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $71.41. The company pays a dividend of $1 per share, for a yield of 1.1% Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 15.29, which was below the industry average of 26.36, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $4.06.  (See the full valuation)

Lincoln National Corporation (LNC)

Lincoln National Corporation is suitable for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the insufficient earnings stability over the last ten years. The Enterprising Investor has no initial concerns. As a result, all Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $2.04 in 2012 to an estimated $5.16 for 2016. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market’s implied estimate of 0.12% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on Benjamin Graham’s formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.  (See the full valuation)

LNC charts May 2016

What do you think?  Are these companies a good value for Defensive Investors?  Is there a company you like better?  Leave a comment on our Facebook page or mention @ModernGraham on Twitter to discuss.

Disclaimer:

The author did not hold a position in any company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours.  See my current holdings here.  This article is not investment advice; any reader should speak to a registered investment adviser prior to making any investment decisions.  ModernGraham is not affiliated with the company in any manner.  Please be sure to read our full disclaimer.

Mosaic Company Valuation – February 2017 $MOS

Benjamin Graham taught that Intelligent Investors must do a thorough fundamental analysis of investment opportunities to determine their intrinsic value and inherent risk.  This is best done by utilizing a systematic approach to analysis that will provide investors with a sense of how a specific company compares to another company or by reviewing the 10 Stocks for Using A Benjamin Graham Value Investing Strategy – February 2017.  By using the ModernGraham method one can review a company’s historical accomplishments and determine an intrinsic value that can be compared across industries.  What follows is a stock analysis showing a specific look at how Mosaic Company (MOS) fares in the ModernGraham valuation model.

Company Profile (obtained from Google Finance): The Mosaic Company is a producer and marketer of concentrated phosphate and potash crop nutrients. The Company’s segments include Phosphates, Potash and International Distribution. Its Phosphates Segment sells phosphate-based crop nutrients and animal feed ingredients throughout North America and internationally. The Company’s Phosphates business segment owns and operates mines and production facilities in Florida, which produce concentrated phosphate crop nutrients and phosphate-based animal feed ingredients, and processing plants in Louisiana, which produce concentrated phosphate crop nutrients. Its Potash segment mines and processes potash in Canada and the United States. Its Potash Segment sells potash throughout North America and internationally. Its International Distribution Segment consists of sales offices, crop nutrient blending and bagging facilities, port terminals and warehouses in Brazil, Paraguay, India and China.

MOS Chart

MOS data by YCharts

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Downloadable PDF version of this valuation:

ModernGraham Valuation of MOS – February 2017

Stage 1: Is this company suitable for the Defensive Investor or the Enterprising Investor?

What kind of Intelligent Investor are you?

Defensive Investor; must pass 6 out of the following 7 tests.
1. Adequate Size of the Enterprise Market Cap > $2Bil $11,358,674,961 Pass
2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Current Ratio > 2 1.78 Fail
3. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 10 years prior Pass
4. Dividend Record Dividend Payments for 10 years prior Fail
5. Earnings Growth Increase of 33% in EPS in past 10 years using 3 year averages at beginning and end -42.52% Fail
6. Moderate PEmg Ratio PEmg < 20 13.27 Pass
7. Moderate Price to Assets PB Ratio < 2.5 OR PB*PEmg < 50 1.15 Pass
Enterprising Investor; must pass 4 out of the following 5 tests, or be suitable for the Defensive Investor.
1. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Current Ratio > 1.5 1.78 Pass
2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Debt to NCA < 1.1 2.29 Fail
3. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 5 years prior Pass
4. Dividend Record Currently Pays Dividend Pass
5. Earnings Growth EPSmg greater than 5 years ago Fail

Stage 2: Determination of Intrinsic Value

EPSmg $2.43
MG Growth Estimate -4.25%
MG Value $0.00
Opinion Overvalued
MG Grade D
MG Value based on 3% Growth $35.21
MG Value based on 0% Growth $20.64
Market Implied Growth Rate 2.39%
Current Price $32.23
% of Intrinsic Value N/A

Mosaic Co does not satisfy the requirements of either the Enterprising Investor or the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the low current ratio, insufficient earnings growth over the last ten years, and the poor dividend history. The Enterprising Investor has concerns regarding the level of debt relative to the net current assets, and the lack of earnings growth over the last five years. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should explore other opportunities at this time or proceed cautiously with a speculative attitude.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Overvalued after seeing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) decline from $4.36 in 2012 to an estimated $2.43 for 2016. This level of demonstrated earnings growth does not support the market’s implied estimate of 2.39% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value below the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Mosaic Co revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $22.48. The company pays a dividend of $1.1 per share, for a yield of 3.4%, putting it among the best dividend paying stocks today. Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 13.27, which was above the industry average of 13.11. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $-11.32.

Mosaic Co scores quite poorly in the ModernGraham grading system, with an overall grade of D.

Stage 3: Information for Further Research

Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) -$11.32
Graham Number $22.48
PEmg 13.27
Current Ratio 1.78
PB Ratio 1.15
Current Dividend $1.10
Dividend Yield 3.41%
Number of Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth 2

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Most Recent Balance Sheet Figures

Balance Sheet Information 9/1/2016
Total Current Assets $3,449,200,000
Total Current Liabilities $1,939,400,000
Long-Term Debt $3,450,300,000
Total Assets $17,263,200,000
Intangible Assets $1,651,600,000
Total Liabilities $7,426,500,000
Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) 351,500,000

Earnings Per Share History

EPS History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $0.80
Dec2015 $2.78
Dec2014 $2.68
May2013 $4.42
May2012 $4.42
May2011 $5.62
May2010 $1.85
May2009 $5.27
May2008 $4.67
May2007 $0.95
May2006 -$0.35
May2005 $0.46
Dec2003 -$1.22
Dec2002 -$0.97
Dec2001 -$0.57
Dec2000 -$3.00
Dec1999 -$6.75
Dec1998 -$0.08
Jun1997 $2.03
Jun1996 $1.56
Jun1995 $1.94

Earnings Per Share – ModernGraham History

EPSmg History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $2.43
Dec2015 $3.49
Dec2014 $3.83
May2013 $4.37
May2012 $4.36
May2011 $4.11
May2010 $3.06
May2009 $3.18
May2008 $1.72
May2007 $0.09
May2006 -$0.41
May2005 -$0.64
Dec2003 -$1.63
Dec2002 -$1.98
Dec2001 -$2.22
Dec2000 -$2.44
Dec1999 -$1.53

Recommended Reading:

Other ModernGraham posts about the company

Mosaic Company Valuation – October 2015 Update $MOS
Mosaic Company Analysis – July 2015 Update $MOS
Mosaic Inc. Quarterly Valuation – April 2015 $MOS
34 Companies in the Spotlight This Week – 2/7/15
Mosaic Company Quarterly Valuation – January 2015 $MOS

Other ModernGraham posts about related companies

Scotts Miracle-Gro Inc Valuation – Initial Coverage $SMG
Intrepid Potash Inc Valuation – Initial Coverage $IPI
CF Industries Holdings Inc Valuation – August 2016 $CF
CF Industries Valuation – March 2016 $CF
Monsanto Company Valuation – January 2016 Update $MON
Mosaic Company Valuation – October 2015 Update $MOS
CF Industries Holdings Inc. Analysis – September 2015 Update $CF
Monsanto Company Analysis – September 2015 Update $MON
Mosaic Company Analysis – July 2015 Update $MOS
CF Industries Holdings Analysis – June 2015 Update $CF

Disclaimer:

The author did not hold a position in any company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours.  See my current holdings here.  This article is not investment advice; any reader should speak to a registered investment adviser prior to making any investment decisions.  ModernGraham is not affiliated with the company in any manner.  Please be sure to review our detailed disclaimer.

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