Xerox Corp Valuation – January 2019 $XRX

Company Profile (excerpt from Reuters): Xerox Corporation, incorporated on April 18, 1906, is a provider of digital print technology and related solutions. The Company has capabilities in imaging and printing, data analytics, and the development of secure and automated solutions to help customers improve productivity. The Company’s primary offerings span three main areas: Managed Document Services, Workplace Solutions and Graphic Communications. Its Managed Document Services offerings help customers, ranging from small businesses to global enterprises, optimize their printing and related document workflow and business processes. Managed Document Services includes the document outsourcing business, as well as a set of communication and marketing solutions. The Company’s Workplace Solutions and Graphic Communications products and solutions support the work processes of its customers by providing them with printing and communications infrastructure.

 

Downloadable PDF version of this valuation:

ModernGraham Valuation of XRX – January 2019

Stage 1: Is this company suitable for the Defensive Investor or the Enterprising Investor?

What kind of Intelligent Investor are you?

Defensive Investor; must pass 6 out of the following 7 tests.
1. Adequate Size of the Enterprise Market Cap > $2Bil $5,597,258,219 Pass
2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Current Ratio > 2 1.82 Fail
3. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 10 years prior Fail
4. Dividend Record Dividend Payments for 10 years prior Pass
5. Earnings Growth Increase of 33% in EPS in past 10 years using 3 year averages at beginning and end -92.69% Fail
6. Moderate PEmg Ratio PEmg < 20 28.28 Fail
7. Moderate Price to Assets PB Ratio < 2.5 OR PB*PEmg < 50 1.10 Pass
Enterprising Investor; must pass 4 out of the following 5 tests, or be suitable for the Defensive Investor.
1. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Current Ratio > 1.5 1.82 Pass
2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Debt to NCA < 1.1 2.16 Fail
3. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 5 years prior Fail
4. Dividend Record Currently Pays Dividend Pass
5. Earnings Growth EPSmg greater than 5 years ago Fail

 

Stage 2: Determination of Intrinsic Value

EPSmg $0.83
MG Growth Estimate -4.25%
MG Value $0.00
Opinion Overvalued
MG Grade C
MG Value based on 3% Growth $12.04
MG Value based on 0% Growth $7.06
Market Implied Growth Rate 9.89%
Current Price $23.49
% of Intrinsic Value N/A

Xerox Corp does not satisfy the requirements of either the Enterprising Investor or the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the low current ratio, insufficient earnings stability or growth over the last ten years, and the high PEmg ratio. The Enterprising Investor has concerns regarding the level of debt relative to the net current assets, and the lack of earnings stability or growth over the last five years. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should explore other opportunities at this time or proceed cautiously with a speculative attitude.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Overvalued after seeing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) decline from $3.39 in 2014 to an estimated $0.83 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth does not support the market’s implied estimate of 9.89% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value below the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Xerox Corp revealed the company was trading below its Graham Number of $28.83. The company pays a dividend of $0.81 per share, for a yield of 3.5%, putting it among the best dividend paying stocks today. Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 28.28, which was below the industry average of 44.74, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $-19.47.

Xerox Corp receives an average overall rating in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring a C.

Stage 3: Information for Further Research

Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) -$19.47
Graham Number $28.83
PEmg 28.28
Current Ratio 1.82
PB Ratio 1.10
Current Dividend $0.81
Dividend Yield 3.46%
Number of Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth 0

Useful Links:

ModernGraham tagged articles Morningstar
Google Finance MSN Money
Yahoo Finance Seeking Alpha
GuruFocus SEC Filings

Most Recent Balance Sheet Figures

Balance Sheet Information 9/1/2018
Total Current Assets $4,970,000,000
Total Current Liabilities $2,736,000,000
Long-Term Debt $4,815,000,000
Total Assets $15,353,000,000
Intangible Assets $4,131,000,000
Total Liabilities $9,917,000,000
Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) 254,053,000

Earnings Per Share History

EPS History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $1.79
Dec2017 $0.71
Dec2016 -$1.95
Dec2015 $1.58
Dec2014 $3.36
Dec2013 $3.64
Dec2012 $3.52
Dec2011 $3.60
Dec2010 $1.72
Dec2009 $2.20
Dec2008 $1.04
Dec2007 $4.76
Dec2006 $4.88
Dec2005 $3.76
Dec2004 $3.44
Dec2003 $1.44
Dec2002 $0.08
Dec2001 -$0.60
Dec2000 -$1.92
Dec1999 $7.40
Dec1998 $1.04

Earnings Per Share – ModernGraham History

EPSmg History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $0.83
Dec2017 $0.72
Dec2016 $1.16
Dec2015 $2.86
Dec2014 $3.39
Dec2013 $3.25
Dec2012 $2.84
Dec2011 $2.55
Dec2010 $2.33
Dec2009 $2.86
Dec2008 $3.32
Dec2007 $4.19
Dec2006 $3.51
Dec2005 $2.43
Dec2004 $1.34
Dec2003 $0.62
Dec2002 $0.54

Recommended Reading:

Other ModernGraham posts about the company

Xerox Corp Valuation – March 2018 $XRX
Xerox Corp Valuation – June 2016 $XRX
58 Companies in the Spotlight This Week – 1/31/15
Xerox Corporation Annual Valuation – 2015 $XRX
14 Companies in the Spotlight This Week – 1/4/14

Other ModernGraham posts about related companies

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Sykes Enterprises Inc Valuation – October 2018 $SYKE
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Science Applications International Corp Valuation – July 2018 $SAIC
Acxiom Corp Valuation – July 2018 $ACXM
Infosys Ltd Valuation – June 2018 $INFY
Verisign Inc Valuation – May 2018 $VRSN
Motorola Solutions Inc Valuation – May 2018 $MSI
Leidos Holdings Inc Valuation – April 2018 $LDOS

Disclaimer:

The author did not hold a position in any company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours.  See my current holdings here.  This article is not investment advice; any reader should speak to a registered investment adviser prior to making any investment decisions.  ModernGraham is not affiliated with the company in any manner.  Please be sure to review our detailed disclaimer.

Xerox Corp Valuation – March 2018 $XRX

Company Profile (excerpt from Reuters): Xerox Corporation, incorporated on April 18, 1906, is a provider of digital print technology and related solutions. The Company has capabilities in imaging and printing, data analytics, and the development of secure and automated solutions to help customers improve productivity. The Company’s primary offerings span three main areas: Managed Document Services, Workplace Solutions and Graphic Communications. Its Managed Document Services offerings help customers, ranging from small businesses to global enterprises, optimize their printing and related document workflow and business processes. Managed Document Services includes the document outsourcing business, as well as a set of communication and marketing solutions. The Company’s Workplace Solutions and Graphic Communications products and solutions support the work processes of its customers by providing them with printing and communications infrastructure.

XRX Chart

XRX data by YCharts

 

Downloadable PDF version of this valuation:

ModernGraham Valuation of XRX – March 2018

Stage 1: Is this company suitable for the Defensive Investor or the Enterprising Investor?

What kind of Intelligent Investor are you?

Defensive Investor; must pass 6 out of the following 7 tests.
1. Adequate Size of the Enterprise Market Cap > $2Bil $7,688,592,286 Pass
2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Current Ratio > 2 1.91 Fail
3. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 10 years prior Fail
4. Dividend Record Dividend Payments for 10 years prior Pass
5. Earnings Growth Increase of 33% in EPS in past 10 years using 3 year averages at beginning and end -70.88% Fail
6. Moderate PEmg Ratio PEmg < 20 21.92 Fail
7. Moderate Price to Assets PB Ratio < 2.5 OR PB*PEmg < 50 1.48 Pass
Enterprising Investor; must pass 4 out of the following 5 tests, or be suitable for the Defensive Investor.
1. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Current Ratio > 1.5 1.91 Pass
2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Debt to NCA < 1.1 2.10 Fail
3. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 5 years prior Fail
4. Dividend Record Currently Pays Dividend Pass
5. Earnings Growth EPSmg greater than 5 years ago Fail

 

Stage 2: Determination of Intrinsic Value

EPSmg $1.38
MG Growth Estimate -4.25%
MG Value $0.00
Opinion Overvalued
MG Grade C
MG Value based on 3% Growth $19.97
MG Value based on 0% Growth $11.71
Market Implied Growth Rate 6.71%
Current Price $30.19
% of Intrinsic Value N/A

Xerox Corp does not satisfy the requirements of either the Enterprising Investor or the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the low current ratio, insufficient earnings stability or growth over the last ten years, and the high PEmg ratio. The Enterprising Investor has concerns regarding the level of debt relative to the net current assets, and the lack of earnings stability or growth over the last five years. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should explore other opportunities at this time or proceed cautiously with a speculative attitude.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Overvalued after seeing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) decline from $3.39 in 2014 to an estimated $1.38 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth does not support the market’s implied estimate of 6.71% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value below the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Xerox Corp revealed the company was trading below its Graham Number of $39.91. The company pays a dividend of $0.81 per share, for a yield of 2.7%, putting it among the best dividend paying stocks today. Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 21.92, which was below the industry average of 35.6, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $-21.25.

Xerox Corp receives an average overall rating in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring a C.

Stage 3: Information for Further Research

Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) -$21.25
Graham Number $39.91
PEmg 21.92
Current Ratio 1.91
PB Ratio 1.48
Current Dividend $0.81
Dividend Yield 2.69%
Number of Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth 0

Useful Links:

ModernGraham tagged articles Morningstar
Google Finance MSN Money
Yahoo Finance Seeking Alpha
GuruFocus SEC Filings

Most Recent Balance Sheet Figures

Balance Sheet Information 12/1/2017
Total Current Assets $5,230,000,000
Total Current Liabilities $2,741,000,000
Long-Term Debt $5,235,000,000
Total Assets $15,946,000,000
Intangible Assets $4,407,000,000
Total Liabilities $10,690,000,000
Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) 256,993,000

Earnings Per Share History

EPS History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $3.43
Dec2017 $0.71
Dec2016 -$1.95
Dec2015 $1.58
Dec2014 $3.36
Dec2013 $3.64
Dec2012 $3.52
Dec2011 $3.60
Dec2010 $1.72
Dec2009 $2.20
Dec2008 $1.04
Dec2007 $4.76
Dec2006 $4.88
Dec2005 $3.76
Dec2004 $3.44
Dec2003 $1.44
Dec2002 $0.08
Dec2001 -$0.60
Dec2000 -$1.92
Dec1999 $7.40
Dec1998 $2.08

Earnings Per Share – ModernGraham History

EPSmg History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $1.38
Dec2017 $0.72
Dec2016 $1.16
Dec2015 $2.86
Dec2014 $3.39
Dec2013 $3.25
Dec2012 $2.84
Dec2011 $2.55
Dec2010 $2.33
Dec2009 $2.86
Dec2008 $3.32
Dec2007 $4.19
Dec2006 $3.51
Dec2005 $2.43
Dec2004 $1.34
Dec2003 $0.62
Dec2002 $0.61

Recommended Reading:

Other ModernGraham posts about the company

Xerox Corp Valuation – June 2016 $XRX
58 Companies in the Spotlight This Week – 1/31/15
Xerox Corporation Annual Valuation – 2015 $XRX
14 Companies in the Spotlight This Week – 1/4/14
ModernGraham Valuation: Xerox Corporation (XRX)

Other ModernGraham posts about related companies

Avery Dennison Corp Valuation – March 2018 $AVY
Ecolab Inc Valuation – March 2018 $ECL
Paychex Inc Valuation – March 2018 $PAYX
United Rentals Inc Valuation – September 2017 $URI
Exponent Inc Valuation – Initial Coverage $EXPO
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Trueblue Inc Valuation – Initial Coverage $TBI
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Strayer Education Inc Valuation – Initial Coverage $STRA
Robert Half International Inc Valuation – February 2017 $RHI

Disclaimer:

The author did not hold a position in any company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours.  See my current holdings here.  This article is not investment advice; any reader should speak to a registered investment adviser prior to making any investment decisions.  ModernGraham is not affiliated with the company in any manner.  Please be sure to review our detailed disclaimer.

Xerox Corp Valuation – June 2016 $XRX

Benjamin Graham taught that Intelligent Investors must do a thorough fundamental analysis of investment opportunities to determine their intrinsic value and inherent risk.  This is best done by utilizing a systematic approach to analysis that will provide investors with a sense of how a specific company compares to another company or by reviewing the 10 Companies Benjamin Graham Would Invest In Today – June 2016.  By using the ModernGraham method one can review a company’s historical accomplishments and determine an intrinsic value that can be compared across industries.  What follows is a stock analysis showing a specific look at how Xerox Corp (XRX) fares in the ModernGraham valuation model.

Company Profile (obtained from Google Finance): Xerox Corporation is engaged in imaging, business process, analytics, automation and user-centric insights. The Company’s segments include Services, Document Technology and Other. The Company’s Services segment comprises two types of service offerings: Business Process Outsourcing (BPO) and Document Outsourcing (DO). Its DO offers services, such as managed print services (MPS), which include workflow automation and centralized print services (CPS). Its BPO business includes services that support enterprises through multi-industry offerings, such as customer care, transaction processing, finance and accounting, and human resources, as well as industry-focused offerings in areas, such as healthcare, transportation, financial services, retail and telecommunications. Its Document Technology segment includes the sale of products and supplies, as well as the associated technical service and financing of those products. Its Other segment includes paper sales in its market countries.

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Downloadable PDF version of this valuation:

ModernGraham Valuation of XRX – June 2016

Stage 1: Is this company suitable for the Defensive Investor or the Enterprising Investor?

What kind of Intelligent Investor are you?

Defensive Investor; must pass 6 out of the following 7 tests.
1. Adequate Size of the Enterprise Market Cap > $2Bil $9,434,036,102 Pass
2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Current Ratio > 2 1.11 Fail
3. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 10 years prior Pass
4. Dividend Record Dividend Payments for 10 years prior Pass
5. Earnings Growth Increase of 33% in EPS in past 10 years using 3 year averages at beginning and end 11.00% Fail
6. Moderate PEmg Ratio PEmg < 20 11.73 Pass
7. Moderate Price to Assets PB Ratio < 2.5 OR PB*PEmg < 50 1.02 Pass
Enterprising Investor; must pass 4 out of the following 5 tests, or be suitable for the Defensive Investor.
1. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Current Ratio > 1.5 1.11 Fail
2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Debt to NCA < 1.1 8.10 Fail
3. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 5 years prior Pass
4. Dividend Record Currently Pays Dividend Pass
5. Earnings Growth EPSmg greater than 5 years ago Pass

Stage 2: Determination of Intrinsic Value

XRX value chart June 2016

EPSmg $0.78
MG Growth Estimate 1.56%
MG Value $9.12
Opinion Fairly Valued
MG Grade C+
MG Value based on 3% Growth $11.37
MG Value based on 0% Growth $6.66
Market Implied Growth Rate 1.62%
Current Price $9.20
% of Intrinsic Value 100.93%

Xerox Corp does not satisfy the requirements of either the Enterprising Investor or the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the low current ratio, insufficient earnings growth over the last ten years. The Enterprising Investor has concerns regarding the level of debt relative to the current assets. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should explore other opportunities at this time or proceed cautiously with a speculative attitude.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Fairly Valued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $0.71 in 2012 to an estimated $0.78 for 2016. This level of demonstrated earnings growth supports the market’s implied estimate of 1.62% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on Benjamin Graham’s formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value within a margin of safety relative to the price.

Xerox Corp receives an average overall rating in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring a C+.

Stage 3: Information for Further Research

XRX charts June 2016

Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) -$8.81
Graham Number $13.89
PEmg 11.73
Current Ratio 1.11
PB Ratio 1.02
Current Dividend $0.29
Dividend Yield 3.13%
Number of Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth 4

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Useful Links:

ModernGraham tagged articles Morningstar
Google Finance MSN Money
Yahoo Finance Seeking Alpha
GuruFocus SEC Filings

Most Recent Balance Sheet Figures

Balance Sheet Information 3/1/2016
Total Current Assets $6,808,000,000
Total Current Liabilities $6,146,000,000
Long-Term Debt $5,359,000,000
Total Assets $24,857,000,000
Intangible Assets $10,498,000,000
Total Liabilities $15,731,000,000
Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) 1,013,033,000

Earnings Per Share History

Next Fiscal Year Estimate $0.99
Dec2015 $0.42
Dec2014 $0.81
Dec2013 $0.91
Dec2012 $0.88
Dec2011 $0.90
Dec2010 $0.43
Dec2009 $0.55
Dec2008 $0.26
Dec2007 $1.19
Dec2006 $1.22
Dec2005 $0.94
Dec2004 $0.86
Dec2003 $0.36
Dec2002 $0.02
Dec2001 -$0.12
Dec2000 -$0.44
Dec1999 $1.96
Dec1998 $0.52
Dec1997 $2.02
Dec1996 $1.66

Earnings Per Share – ModernGraham History

Next Fiscal Year Estimate $0.78
Dec2015 $0.72
Dec2014 $0.84
Dec2013 $0.81
Dec2012 $0.71
Dec2011 $0.64
Dec2010 $0.58
Dec2009 $0.72
Dec2008 $0.83
Dec2007 $1.05
Dec2006 $0.88
Dec2005 $0.61
Dec2004 $0.34
Dec2003 $0.17
Dec2002 $0.18
Dec2001 $0.44
Dec2000 $0.86

Recommended Reading:

Other ModernGraham posts about the company

58 Companies in the Spotlight This Week – 1/31/15
Xerox Corporation Annual Valuation – 2015 $XRX
14 Companies in the Spotlight This Week – 1/4/14
ModernGraham Valuation: Xerox Corporation (XRX)

Other ModernGraham posts about related companies

Avery Dennison Corp Valuation – June 2016 $AVY
Ecolab Inc Valuation – June 2016 $ECL
Paychex Inc Valuation – June 2016 $PAYX
Automatic Data Processing Valuation – May 2016 $ADP
Robert Half International Inc Valuation – February 2016 $RHI
Accenture PLC Valuation – February 2016 $ACN
Cintas Corp Valuation – December 2015 Update $CTAS
Accenture PLC Valuation – February 2016 $ACN
Cintas Corp Valuation – December 2015 Update $CTAS
The Best Companies of the Business Support Industry – November 2015

Disclaimer:

The author did not hold a position in any company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours.  See my current holdings here.  This article is not investment advice; any reader should speak to a registered investment adviser prior to making any investment decisions.  ModernGraham is not affiliated with the company in any manner.  Please be sure to review our detailed disclaimer.

Xerox Corporation Annual Valuation – 2015 $XRX

220px-Xerox_2008_Logo

After reviewing the data, it is clear that conservative value investors may wish to seek other opportunities. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the low current ratio, short dividend history, insufficient earnings growth over the last ten years, and high PEmg and PB ratios, while the Enterprising Investor has concerns with the high level of debt relative to the current assets. As a result, both investor types would find the company to be too risky to proceed. That said, any investor willing to speculate about the future of the company may go ahead with the next step of the analysis, which is a determination of the company’s intrinsic value.

When calculating an estimate of intrinsic value, it is important to consider the historical earnings results, along with the market’s implied estimate for future growth. Here, the company has grown its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $0.58 in 2010 to an estimated $0.93 for 2014. This level of demonstrated growth is fairly strong, and significantly higher than the market’s implied estimate of only 3.06%. As a result, Xerox Corporation appears to be significantly undervalued at the present time.

Be sure to check out previous ModernGraham valuations of Xerox Corporation (XRX) for greater perspective!

Read the full valuation on Seeking Alpha!

XRX Chart

XRX data by YCharts

Disclaimer:  The author did not hold a position in Xerox Corporation (XRX) at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours.  Logo taken from Wikipedia for the sole purpose of identifying the company; this article is not affiliated with the company in any manner.

ModernGraham Valuation: Xerox Corporation (XRX)

moneyCompany Profile (obtained from Google Finance): Xerox Corporation provides services and technology to enable its customers from small businesses to large global enterprises to focus on their core business. The Company is a diversified business process outsourcing company managing transaction-intensive processes. This includes services which support all enterprises through offerings, such as customer care, finance and accounting and human resources, as well as vertically focused offerings in areas, such as healthcare, transportation, retail and telecommunications, among others. It is engaged in designing, developing and delivering information technology (IT) solutions that leverage its secure data centers, help desks and managed storage facilities around the world to provide IT infrastructure. The Company operates in three segments: Services, Document Technology and Other. Effective August 13, 2013, Xerox Corporation acquired CPAS Systems Inc.

Defensive and Enterprising Investor Tests (What is the significance of these tests, and what is PEmg ratio?):

Defensive Investor – must pass at least 6 of the following 7 tests: Score = 4/7

  1. Adequate Size of Enterprise – market capitalization of at least $2 billion – PASS
  2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition – current ratio greater than 2 – FAIL
  3. Earnings Stability – positive earnings per share for at least 10 straight years – PASS
  4. Dividend Record – has paid a dividend for at least 10 straight years – FAIL
  5. Earnings Growth – earnings per share has increased by at least 1/3 over the last 10 years using 3 year averages at beginning and end of period – FAIL
  6. Moderate PEmg ratio – PEmg is less than 20 – PASS
  7. Moderate Price to Assets – PB ratio is less than 2.5 or PB x PEmg is less than 50 – PASS

Enterprising Investor – must pass at least 4 of the following 5 tests or be suitable for a defensive investor: Score = 3/5

  1. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition, Part 1 – current ratio greater than 1.5 – FAIL
  2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition, Part 2 – Debt to Net Current Assets ratio less than 1.1 – FAIL
  3. Earnings Stability – positive earnings per share for at least 5 years – PASS
  4. Dividend Record – currently pays a dividend – PASS
  5. Earnings growth – EPSmg greater than 5 years ago – PASS

Valuation Summary (Explanation of the ModernGraham Valuation Model)

Key Data:

MG Value $11.42
MG Opinion Fairly Valued
Value Based on 3% Growth $12.12
Value Based on 0% Growth $7.11
Market Implied Growth Rate 3.03%
Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) -$7.23
PEmg 14.56
Current Ratio 1.43
PB Ratio 1.24

Balance Sheet – 9/30/2013 

Current Assets $8,070,000,000
Current Liabilities $5,646,000,000
Total Debt $6,406,000,000
Total Assets $29,016,000,000
Intangible Assets $11,755,000,000
Total Liabilities $16,970,000,000
Outstanding Shares 1,231,110,000

Earnings Per Share

2013 (estimate) $0.94
2012 $0.90
2011 $0.93
2010 $0.45
2009 $0.55
2008 $0.26
2007 $1.19
2006 $1.22
2005 $0.90
2004 $0.78
2003 $0.36
2002 $0.10

Earnings Per Share – ModernGraham 

2013 (estimate) $0.84
2012 $0.73
2011 $0.65
2010 $0.59
2009 $0.71
2008 $0.82

Conclusion:

Xerox Corporation has relatively stagnant earnings and does not pass the requirements for either the Defensive Investor or the Enterprising Investor.  The company is not suitable for the Defensive Investor because of its poor current ratio, lack of a consistent dividend history over the ten year historical period, and its failure to grow earnings adequately over the ten year period.  For the Enterprising Investor, the high level of debt relative to the company’s current assets is the determining factor.  Either type of investor may be better suited looking through some of the Defensive and Enterprising companies ModernGraham has found to pass the requirements.  As for a valuation, the company has not shown significant growth in its EPSmg (normalized earnings), however the market is only implying a growth rate of 3.03%, which is supported by the historical performance.  As a result, the company appears to be fairly valued at the current time.

What do you think?  Do you agree that Xerox Corporation is fairly valued?  What would be your assessment?  Is the company not suitable for Defensive Investors or Enterprising Investors?  Leave a comment on our Facebook page or mention @ModernGraham on Twitter to discuss.

If you like our valuations, why not check out ModernGraham Stocks & Screens?  It’s a great way to review the valuations while screening for things like low PE ratio, undervalued companies, etc.!

Disclaimer:  The author did not hold a position in Xerox Corporation (XRX) at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours.

Photo Credit:  Andrew Magill

International Business Machines Corp Valuation – April 2019 #IBM

Company Profile (excerpt from Reuters): International Business Machines Corporation (IBM), incorporated on June 16, 1911, is a technology company. The Company operates through five segments: Cognitive Solutions, Global Business Services (GBS), Technology Services & Cloud Platforms, Systems and Global Financing.

 

Downloadable PDF version of this valuation:

ModernGraham Valuation of IBM – April 2019

Stage 1: Is this company suitable for the Defensive Investor or the Enterprising Investor?

What kind of Intelligent Investor are you?

Defensive Investor; must pass 6 out of the following 7 tests.
1. Adequate Size of the Enterprise Market Cap > $2Bil $127,277,532,893 Pass
2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Current Ratio > 2 1.29 Fail
3. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 10 years prior Pass
4. Dividend Record Dividend Payments for 10 years prior Pass
5. Earnings Growth Increase of 33% in EPS in past 10 years using 3 year averages at beginning and end -24.36% Fail
6. Moderate PEmg Ratio PEmg < 20 13.11 Pass
7. Moderate Price to Assets PB Ratio < 2.5 OR PB*PEmg < 50 7.65 Fail
Enterprising Investor; must pass 4 out of the following 5 tests, or be suitable for the Defensive Investor.
1. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Current Ratio > 1.5 1.29 Fail
2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Debt to NCA < 1.1 3.26 Fail
3. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 5 years prior Pass
4. Dividend Record Currently Pays Dividend Pass
5. Earnings Growth EPSmg greater than 5 years ago Fail

 

Stage 2: Determination of Intrinsic Value

EPSmg $10.91
MG Growth Estimate -2.80%
MG Value $31.55
Opinion Overvalued
MG Grade C
MG Value based on 3% Growth $158.22
MG Value based on 0% Growth $92.75
Market Implied Growth Rate 2.30%
Current Price $143.03
% of Intrinsic Value 453.39%

IBM Common Stock does not satisfy the requirements of either the Enterprising Investor or the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the low current ratio, insufficient earnings growth over the last ten years, and the high PB ratio. The Enterprising Investor has concerns regarding the level of debt relative to the current assets, and the lack of earnings growth over the last five years. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should explore other opportunities at this time or proceed cautiously with a speculative attitude.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Overvalued after seeing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) decline from $13.42 in 2015 to an estimated $10.91 for 2019. This level of demonstrated earnings growth does not support the market’s implied estimate of 2.3% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value below the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into IBM Common Stock revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $75.75. The company pays a dividend of $6.21 per share, for a yield of 4.3%, putting it among the best dividend paying stocks today. Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 13.11, which was below the industry average of 46.57, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $-63.31.

IBM Common Stock receives an average overall rating in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring a C.

Stage 3: Information for Further Research

Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) -$63.31
Graham Number $75.75
PEmg 13.11
Current Ratio 1.29
PB Ratio 7.65
Current Dividend $6.21
Dividend Yield 4.34%
Number of Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth 20

Useful Links:

ModernGraham tagged articles Morningstar
Google Finance MSN Money
Yahoo Finance Seeking Alpha
GuruFocus SEC Filings

Most Recent Balance Sheet Figures

Balance Sheet Information 12/1/2018
Total Current Assets $49,146,000,000
Total Current Liabilities $38,227,000,000
Long-Term Debt $35,605,000,000
Total Assets $123,382,000,000
Intangible Assets $39,353,000,000
Total Liabilities $106,453,000,000
Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) 905,242,000

Earnings Per Share History

EPS History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $13.80
Dec2018 $9.52
Dec2017 $6.14
Dec2016 $12.38
Dec2015 $13.42
Dec2014 $11.90
Dec2013 $14.94
Dec2012 $14.37
Dec2011 $13.06
Dec2010 $11.52
Dec2009 $10.01
Dec2008 $8.89
Dec2007 $7.15
Dec2006 $6.11
Dec2005 $4.87
Dec2004 $4.38
Dec2003 $3.74
Dec2002 $2.06
Dec2001 $3.69
Dec2000 $4.44
Dec1999 $4.12

Earnings Per Share – ModernGraham History

EPSmg History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $10.91
Dec2018 $9.87
Dec2017 $10.61
Dec2016 $13.04
Dec2015 $13.42
Dec2014 $13.33
Dec2013 $13.63
Dec2012 $12.50
Dec2011 $11.09
Dec2010 $9.65
Dec2009 $8.28
Dec2008 $7.03
Dec2007 $5.82
Dec2006 $4.85
Dec2005 $4.06
Dec2004 $3.66
Dec2003 $3.40

Recommended Reading:

Other ModernGraham posts about the company

International Business Machines Corp Valuation – November 2018 $IBM
International Business Machines Corp Valuation – February 2018 $IBM
International Business Machines Corp Valuation – March 2017 $IBM
International Business Machines Corp Valuation – November 2015 Update $IBM
30 Companies in the Spotlight This Week – 11/15/14

Other ModernGraham posts about related companies

DXC Technology Co Valuation – April 2019 #DXC
Verisign Inc Valuation – March 2019 #VRSN
Motorola Solutions Inc Valuation – February 2019 $MSI
Gartner Inc Valuation – January 2019 $IT
Xerox Corp Valuation – January 2019 $XRX
Cognizant Technology Solutions Corp Valuation – January 2019 $CTSH
International Business Machines Corp Valuation – November 2018 $IBM
DXC Technology Corp Valuation – November 2018 $DXC
Sykes Enterprises Inc Valuation – October 2018 $SYKE
Computer Programs and Systems Inc Valuation – August 2018 $CPSI

Disclaimer:

The author did not hold a position in any company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours.  See my current holdings here.  This article is not investment advice; any reader should speak to a registered investment adviser prior to making any investment decisions.  ModernGraham is not affiliated with the company in any manner.  Please be sure to review our detailed disclaimer.

DXC Technology Co Valuation – April 2019 #DXC

Company Profile (excerpt from Reuters): DXC Technology Company provides digital information technology (IT) services and solutions. The Company provides a range of services, including analytics, applications, business process, cloud and workload, consulting, enterprise and cloud applications, security, and workplace and mobility. The Company also offers e-commerce, finance and administration products and services.

 

Downloadable PDF version of this valuation:

ModernGraham Valuation of DXC – April 2019

Stage 1: Is this company suitable for the Defensive Investor or the Enterprising Investor?

What kind of Intelligent Investor are you?

Defensive Investor; must pass 6 out of the following 7 tests.
1. Adequate Size of the Enterprise Market Cap > $2Bil $17,558,336,131 Pass
2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Current Ratio > 2 1.00 Fail
3. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 10 years prior Fail
4. Dividend Record Dividend Payments for 10 years prior Fail
5. Earnings Growth Increase of 33% in EPS in past 10 years using 3 year averages at beginning and end 76.32% Pass
6. Moderate PEmg Ratio PEmg < 20 18.69 Pass
7. Moderate Price to Assets PB Ratio < 2.5 OR PB*PEmg < 50 1.61 Pass
Enterprising Investor; must pass 4 out of the following 5 tests, or be suitable for the Defensive Investor.
1. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Current Ratio > 1.5 1.00 Fail
2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Debt to NCA < 1.1 -533,800,000.00 Fail
3. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 5 years prior Fail
4. Dividend Record Currently Pays Dividend Pass
5. Earnings Growth EPSmg greater than 5 years ago Pass

 

Stage 2: Determination of Intrinsic Value

EPSmg $3.50
MG Growth Estimate 6.52%
MG Value $75.41
Opinion Fairly Valued
MG Grade C
MG Value based on 3% Growth $50.79
MG Value based on 0% Growth $29.77
Market Implied Growth Rate 5.09%
Current Price $65.45
% of Intrinsic Value 86.79%

DXC Technology Co does not satisfy the requirements of either the Enterprising Investor or the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the low current ratio, insufficient earnings stability over the last ten years, and the poor dividend history. The Enterprising Investor has concerns regarding the level of debt relative to the current assets, and the lack of earnings stability over the last five years. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should explore other opportunities at this time or proceed cautiously with a speculative attitude.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Fairly Valued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $2.44 in 2015 to an estimated $3.5 for 2019. This level of demonstrated earnings growth supports the market’s implied estimate of 5.09% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value within a margin of safety relative to the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into DXC Technology Co revealed the company was trading below its Graham Number of $76.41. The company pays a dividend of $0.72 per share, for a yield of 1.1% Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 18.69, which was below the industry average of 46.57, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $-32.23.

DXC Technology Co receives an average overall rating in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring a C.

Stage 3: Information for Further Research

Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) -$32.23
Graham Number $76.41
PEmg 18.69
Current Ratio 1.00
PB Ratio 1.61
Current Dividend $0.72
Dividend Yield 1.10%
Number of Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth 1

Useful Links:

ModernGraham tagged articles Morningstar
Google Finance MSN Money
Yahoo Finance Seeking Alpha
GuruFocus SEC Filings

Most Recent Balance Sheet Figures

Balance Sheet Information 12/1/2018
Total Current Assets $8,522,000,000
Total Current Liabilities $8,522,000,010
Long-Term Debt $5,338,000,000
Total Assets $28,871,000,000
Intangible Assets $14,363,000,000
Total Liabilities $17,515,000,000
Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) 278,990,000

Earnings Per Share History

EPS History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $5.49
Mar2018 $6.04
Mar2017 -$0.88
Mar2016 $1.78
Mar2015 $0.01
Mar2014 $6.28
Mar2013 $4.89
Mar2012 -$3.97
Mar2011 $4.73
Mar2010 $5.28
Mar2009 $7.31
Mar2008 $3.20
Mar2007 $2.21
Mar2006 $2.81
Mar2005 $4.22
Mar2004 $2.75
Mar2003 $2.54
Mar2002 $2.01
Mar2001 $1.37
Mar2000 $2.37
Mar1999 $2.11

Earnings Per Share – ModernGraham History

EPSmg History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $3.50
Mar2018 $2.55
Mar2017 $1.35
Mar2016 $2.24
Mar2015 $2.44
Mar2014 $3.59
Mar2013 $2.71
Mar2012 $2.18
Mar2011 $5.02
Mar2010 $4.83
Mar2009 $4.39
Mar2008 $2.96
Mar2007 $2.87
Mar2006 $3.08
Mar2005 $3.01
Mar2004 $2.34
Mar2003 $2.11

Recommended Reading:

Other ModernGraham posts about the company

DXC Technology Corp Valuation – November 2018 $DXC

Other ModernGraham posts about related companies

Verisign Inc Valuation – March 2019 #VRSN
Motorola Solutions Inc Valuation – February 2019 $MSI
Gartner Inc Valuation – January 2019 $IT
Xerox Corp Valuation – January 2019 $XRX
Cognizant Technology Solutions Corp Valuation – January 2019 $CTSH
International Business Machines Corp Valuation – November 2018 $IBM
DXC Technology Corp Valuation – November 2018 $DXC
Sykes Enterprises Inc Valuation – October 2018 $SYKE
Computer Programs and Systems Inc Valuation – August 2018 $CPSI
Science Applications International Corp Valuation – July 2018 $SAIC

Disclaimer:

The author did not hold a position in any company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours.  See my current holdings here.  This article is not investment advice; any reader should speak to a registered investment adviser prior to making any investment decisions.  ModernGraham is not affiliated with the company in any manner.  Please be sure to review our detailed disclaimer.

Verisign Inc Valuation – March 2019 #VRSN

Company Profile (excerpt from Reuters): VeriSign, Inc., incorporated on April 12, 1995, is a provider of domain name registry services and Internet security, enabling Internet navigation for various domain names and providing protection for Websites and enterprises around the world. The Company operates through Registry Services and Security Services segment. Registry Services ensure the security, stability and resiliency of Internet infrastructure and services, including the .com and .net domains, and operation of the root-zone maintainer functions for the core of the Internet’s Domain Name System (DNS). Security Services provides infrastructure assurance services consisting of Distributed Denial of Services (DDoS) Protection Services and Managed DNS Services.

 

Downloadable PDF version of this valuation:

ModernGraham Valuation of VRSN – March 2019

Stage 1: Is this company suitable for the Defensive Investor or the Enterprising Investor?

What kind of Intelligent Investor are you?

Defensive Investor; must pass 6 out of the following 7 tests.
1. Adequate Size of the Enterprise Market Cap > $2Bil $21,248,216,007 Pass
2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Current Ratio > 2 1.39 Fail
3. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 10 years prior Pass
4. Dividend Record Dividend Payments for 10 years prior Fail
5. Earnings Growth Increase of 33% in EPS in past 10 years using 3 year averages at beginning and end 81.88% Pass
6. Moderate PEmg Ratio PEmg < 20 40.77 Fail
7. Moderate Price to Assets PB Ratio < 2.5 OR PB*PEmg < 50 -15.55 Fail
Enterprising Investor; must pass 4 out of the following 5 tests, or be suitable for the Defensive Investor.
1. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Current Ratio > 1.5 1.39 Fail
2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Debt to NCA < 1.1 4.83 Fail
3. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 5 years prior Pass
4. Dividend Record Currently Pays Dividend Fail
5. Earnings Growth EPSmg greater than 5 years ago Pass

 

Stage 2: Determination of Intrinsic Value

EPSmg $4.35
MG Growth Estimate 9.85%
MG Value $122.80
Opinion Overvalued
MG Grade D
MG Value based on 3% Growth $63.12
MG Value based on 0% Growth $37.00
Market Implied Growth Rate 16.14%
Current Price $177.49
% of Intrinsic Value 144.54%

Verisign, Inc. does not satisfy the requirements of either the Enterprising Investor or the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the low current ratio, poor dividend history, and the high PEmg and PB ratios. The Enterprising Investor has concerns regarding the level of debt relative to the current assets, and the lack of dividends. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should explore other opportunities at this time or proceed cautiously with a speculative attitude.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Overvalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $2.63 in 2015 to an estimated $4.35 for 2019. This level of demonstrated earnings growth does not support the market’s implied estimate of 16.14% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value below the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Verisign, Inc. revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $0. The company does not pay a dividend. Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 40.77, which was below the industry average of 56.55, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $-16.33.

Verisign, Inc. scores quite poorly in the ModernGraham grading system, with an overall grade of D.

Stage 3: Information for Further Research

Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) -$16.33
Graham Number $0.00
PEmg 40.77
Current Ratio 1.39
PB Ratio -15.55
Current Dividend $0.00
Dividend Yield 0.00%
Number of Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth 0

Useful Links:

ModernGraham tagged articles Morningstar
Google Finance MSN Money
Yahoo Finance Seeking Alpha
GuruFocus SEC Filings

Most Recent Balance Sheet Figures

Balance Sheet Information 12/1/2018
Total Current Assets $1,317,034,000
Total Current Liabilities $947,590,000
Long-Term Debt $1,785,047,000
Total Assets $1,914,504,000
Intangible Assets $52,527,000
Total Liabilities $3,299,978,000
Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) 121,407,000

Earnings Per Share History

EPS History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $5.12
Dec2018 $4.75
Dec2017 $3.68
Dec2016 $3.42
Dec2015 $2.82
Dec2014 $2.52
Dec2013 $3.49
Dec2012 $1.95
Dec2011 $0.86
Dec2010 $4.64
Dec2009 $1.28
Dec2008 -$1.90
Dec2007 -$0.63
Dec2006 $1.53
Dec2005 $1.63
Dec2004 $0.60
Dec2003 -$1.20
Dec2002 -$20.97
Dec2001 -$65.64
Dec2000 -$19.57
Dec1999 $0.03

Earnings Per Share – ModernGraham History

EPSmg History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $4.35
Dec2018 $3.79
Dec2017 $3.27
Dec2016 $2.99
Dec2015 $2.63
Dec2014 $2.58
Dec2013 $2.56
Dec2012 $1.85
Dec2011 $1.48
Dec2010 $1.53
Dec2009 $0.11
Dec2008 -$0.24
Dec2007 $0.52
Dec2006 -$0.49
Dec2005 -$6.71
Dec2004 -$14.37
Dec2003 -$21.73

Recommended Reading:

Other ModernGraham posts about the company

Verisign Inc Valuation – May 2018 $VRSN
Verisign Inc Valuation – February 2017 $VRSN
Verisign Inc Valuation – August 2016 $VRSN
Verisign Inc. Analysis – 2015 Update $VRSN
20 Companies in the Research Spotlight This Week – June 7, 2014

Other ModernGraham posts about related companies

Motorola Solutions Inc Valuation – February 2019 $MSI
Gartner Inc Valuation – January 2019 $IT
Xerox Corp Valuation – January 2019 $XRX
Cognizant Technology Solutions Corp Valuation – January 2019 $CTSH
International Business Machines Corp Valuation – November 2018 $IBM
DXC Technology Corp Valuation – November 2018 $DXC
Sykes Enterprises Inc Valuation – October 2018 $SYKE
Computer Programs and Systems Inc Valuation – August 2018 $CPSI
Science Applications International Corp Valuation – July 2018 $SAIC
Acxiom Corp Valuation – July 2018 $ACXM

Disclaimer:

The author did not hold a position in any company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours.  See my current holdings here.  This article is not investment advice; any reader should speak to a registered investment adviser prior to making any investment decisions.  ModernGraham is not affiliated with the company in any manner.  Please be sure to review our detailed disclaimer.

Motorola Solutions Inc Valuation – February 2019 $MSI

Company Profile (excerpt from Reuters): Motorola Solutions, Inc., incorporated on March 9, 1973, is a provider of communication infrastructure, devices, accessories, software and services. The Company operates through two segments: Products and Services. It serves global customer base spanning federal, state, county, province, territory, municipal and departmental independent bodies, along with its commercial and industrial customers. The Company, through VaaS International Holdings, Inc. (VaaS), provides data and image analytics for vehicle location. The Company’s image capture and analysis platform, which includes fixed and mobile license plate reader cameras driven by machine learning and artificial intelligence, provides vehicle location data to public safety and commercial customers. VaaS platform enables controllable, audited data-sharing across multiple law enforcement agencies. Vehicle location information can help accelerate time to resolution and improve outcomes for public safety agencies, particularly when combined with police records.

 

Downloadable PDF version of this valuation:

ModernGraham Valuation of MSI – February 2019

Stage 1: Is this company suitable for the Defensive Investor or the Enterprising Investor?

What kind of Intelligent Investor are you?

Defensive Investor; must pass 6 out of the following 7 tests.
1. Adequate Size of the Enterprise Market Cap > $2Bil $22,938,661,879 Pass
2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Current Ratio > 2 1.38 Fail
3. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 10 years prior Fail
4. Dividend Record Dividend Payments for 10 years prior Fail
5. Earnings Growth Increase of 33% in EPS in past 10 years using 3 year averages at beginning and end 48.30% Pass
6. Moderate PEmg Ratio PEmg < 20 31.40 Fail
7. Moderate Price to Assets PB Ratio < 2.5 OR PB*PEmg < 50 -19.00 Fail
Enterprising Investor; must pass 4 out of the following 5 tests, or be suitable for the Defensive Investor.
1. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Current Ratio > 1.5 1.38 Fail
2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Debt to NCA < 1.1 4.50 Fail
3. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 5 years prior Fail
4. Dividend Record Currently Pays Dividend Pass
5. Earnings Growth EPSmg greater than 5 years ago Pass

 

Stage 2: Determination of Intrinsic Value

EPSmg $4.46
MG Growth Estimate 2.37%
MG Value $58.99
Opinion Overvalued
MG Grade D
MG Value based on 3% Growth $64.65
MG Value based on 0% Growth $37.90
Market Implied Growth Rate 11.45%
Current Price $139.98
% of Intrinsic Value 237.29%

Motorola Solutions Inc does not satisfy the requirements of either the Enterprising Investor or the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the low current ratio, insufficient earnings stability over the last ten years, and the poor dividend history, and the high PEmg and PB ratios. The Enterprising Investor has concerns regarding the level of debt relative to the current assets, and the lack of earnings stability over the last five years. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should explore other opportunities at this time or proceed cautiously with a speculative attitude.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Overvalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $3.85 in 2015 to an estimated $4.46 for 2019. This level of demonstrated earnings growth does not support the market’s implied estimate of 11.45% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value below the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Motorola Solutions Inc revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $0. The company pays a dividend of $2.13 per share, for a yield of 1.5% Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 31.4, which was below the industry average of 51.56, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $-37.03.

Motorola Solutions Inc scores quite poorly in the ModernGraham grading system, with an overall grade of D.

Stage 3: Information for Further Research

Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) -$37.03
Graham Number $0.00
PEmg 31.40
Current Ratio 1.38
PB Ratio -19.00
Current Dividend $2.13
Dividend Yield 1.52%
Number of Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth 8

Useful Links:

ModernGraham tagged articles Morningstar
Google Finance MSN Money
Yahoo Finance Seeking Alpha
GuruFocus SEC Filings

Most Recent Balance Sheet Figures

Balance Sheet Information 12/1/2018
Total Current Assets $4,272,000,000
Total Current Liabilities $3,096,000,000
Long-Term Debt $5,289,000,000
Total Assets $9,409,000,000
Intangible Assets $2,744,000,000
Total Liabilities $10,685,000,000
Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) 173,200,000

Earnings Per Share History

EPS History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $7.55
Dec2018 $5.62
Dec2017 -$0.95
Dec2016 $3.24
Dec2015 $3.02
Dec2014 $5.29
Dec2013 $4.06
Dec2012 $2.96
Dec2011 $3.41
Dec2010 $1.87
Dec2009 -$0.14
Dec2008 -$13.09
Dec2007 -$0.14
Dec2006 $10.22
Dec2005 $12.67
Dec2004 $4.38
Dec2003 $2.66
Dec2002 -$7.63
Dec2001 -$12.46
Dec2000 $4.06
Dec1999 $2.87

Earnings Per Share – ModernGraham History

EPSmg History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $4.46
Dec2018 $3.02
Dec2017 $2.13
Dec2016 $3.68
Dec2015 $3.85
Dec2014 $4.02
Dec2013 $3.06
Dec2012 $1.38
Dec2011 -$0.15
Dec2010 -$1.37
Dec2009 -$1.36
Dec2008 -$0.38
Dec2007 $5.97
Dec2006 $7.51
Dec2005 $4.08
Dec2004 -$0.75
Dec2003 -$2.91

Recommended Reading:

Other ModernGraham posts about the company

Motorola Solutions Inc Valuation – May 2018 $MSI
5 Undervalued Companies for Value Investors with a Low Beta – July 2017
5 Undervalued Companies for Value Investors with a Low Beta – January 2017
8 Best Stocks for Value Investors This Week – 12/27/16
Motorola Solutions Inc Valuation – December 2016 $MSI

Other ModernGraham posts about related companies

Gartner Inc Valuation – January 2019 $IT
Xerox Corp Valuation – January 2019 $XRX
Cognizant Technology Solutions Corp Valuation – January 2019 $CTSH
International Business Machines Corp Valuation – November 2018 $IBM
DXC Technology Corp Valuation – November 2018 $DXC
Sykes Enterprises Inc Valuation – October 2018 $SYKE
Computer Programs and Systems Inc Valuation – August 2018 $CPSI
Science Applications International Corp Valuation – July 2018 $SAIC
Acxiom Corp Valuation – July 2018 $ACXM
Infosys Ltd Valuation – June 2018 $INFY

Disclaimer:

The author did not hold a position in any company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours.  See my current holdings here.  This article is not investment advice; any reader should speak to a registered investment adviser prior to making any investment decisions.  ModernGraham is not affiliated with the company in any manner.  Please be sure to review our detailed disclaimer.

Gartner Inc Valuation – January 2019 $IT

Company Profile (excerpt from Reuters): Gartner, Inc., incorporated on June 1, 1990, is an information technology research and advisory company. The Company works with clients to research, analyze and interpret the business of information technology (IT), supply chain and marketing within the context of their individual roles. The Company operates through three segments: Research, Consulting and Events. Research segment consists of subscription-based research products, access to research inquiry, peer networking services and membership programs. Consulting segment consists of consulting, measurement engagements and strategic advisory services. Events segment consists of various symposia, conferences and exhibitions.

 

Downloadable PDF version of this valuation:

ModernGraham Valuation of IT – January 2019

Stage 1: Is this company suitable for the Defensive Investor or the Enterprising Investor?

What kind of Intelligent Investor are you?

Defensive Investor; must pass 6 out of the following 7 tests.
1. Adequate Size of the Enterprise Market Cap > $2Bil $11,868,808,106 Pass
2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Current Ratio > 2 0.66 Fail
3. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 10 years prior Pass
4. Dividend Record Dividend Payments for 10 years prior Fail
5. Earnings Growth Increase of 33% in EPS in past 10 years using 3 year averages at beginning and end 23.44% Fail
6. Moderate PEmg Ratio PEmg < 20 92.22 Fail
7. Moderate Price to Assets PB Ratio < 2.5 OR PB*PEmg < 50 12.78 Fail
Enterprising Investor; must pass 4 out of the following 5 tests, or be suitable for the Defensive Investor.
1. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Current Ratio > 1.5 0.66 Fail
2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Debt to NCA < 1.1 -2.57 Fail
3. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 5 years prior Pass
4. Dividend Record Currently Pays Dividend Fail
5. Earnings Growth EPSmg greater than 5 years ago Fail

 

Stage 2: Determination of Intrinsic Value

EPSmg $1.42
MG Growth Estimate -3.11%
MG Value $3.22
Opinion Overvalued
MG Grade F
MG Value based on 3% Growth $20.53
MG Value based on 0% Growth $12.04
Market Implied Growth Rate 41.86%
Current Price $130.58
% of Intrinsic Value 4051.52%

Gartner Inc does not satisfy the requirements of either the Enterprising Investor or the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the low current ratio, insufficient earnings growth over the last ten years, and the poor dividend history, and the high PEmg and PB ratios. The Enterprising Investor has concerns regarding the level of debt relative to the current assets, and the lack of earnings growth over the last five years, and the lack of dividends. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should explore other opportunities at this time or proceed cautiously with a speculative attitude.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Overvalued after seeing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) decline from $1.79 in 2014 to an estimated $1.42 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth does not support the market’s implied estimate of 41.86% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value below the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Gartner Inc revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $19.74. The company does not pay a dividend. Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 92.22, which was above the industry average of 44.74. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $-37.63.

Gartner Inc scores quite poorly in the ModernGraham grading system, with an overall grade of F.

Stage 3: Information for Further Research

Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) -$37.63
Graham Number $19.74
PEmg 92.22
Current Ratio 0.66
PB Ratio 12.78
Current Dividend $0.00
Dividend Yield 0.00%
Number of Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth 0

Useful Links:

ModernGraham tagged articles Morningstar
Google Finance MSN Money
Yahoo Finance Seeking Alpha
GuruFocus SEC Filings

Most Recent Balance Sheet Figures

Balance Sheet Information 9/1/2018
Total Current Assets $1,535,340,000
Total Current Liabilities $2,343,596,000
Long-Term Debt $2,077,466,000
Total Assets $5,944,817,000
Intangible Assets $3,996,585,000
Total Liabilities $5,003,269,000
Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) 92,148,000

Earnings Per Share History

EPS History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $1.60
Dec2017 $0.04
Dec2016 $2.31
Dec2015 $2.06
Dec2014 $2.03
Dec2013 $1.93
Dec2012 $1.73
Dec2011 $1.39
Dec2010 $0.96
Dec2009 $0.85
Dec2008 $1.05
Dec2007 $0.68
Dec2006 $0.50
Dec2005 -$0.02
Dec2004 $0.13
Dec2003 $0.25
Sep2002 $0.46
Sep2001 -$0.78
Sep2000 $0.30
Sep1999 $0.84
Sep1998 $0.84

Earnings Per Share – ModernGraham History

EPSmg History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $1.42
Dec2017 $1.44
Dec2016 $2.10
Dec2015 $1.94
Dec2014 $1.79
Dec2013 $1.57
Dec2012 $1.32
Dec2011 $1.07
Dec2010 $0.88
Dec2009 $0.76
Dec2008 $0.64
Dec2007 $0.39
Dec2006 $0.25
Dec2005 $0.09
Dec2004 $0.12
Dec2003 $0.15
Sep2002 $0.17

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Disclaimer:

The author did not hold a position in any company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours.  See my current holdings here.  This article is not investment advice; any reader should speak to a registered investment adviser prior to making any investment decisions.  ModernGraham is not affiliated with the company in any manner.  Please be sure to review our detailed disclaimer.

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