Boeing is a large company that many investors will choose to include in their portfolios solely because they want exposure to the airplane manufacturing sector; however, Intelligent Investors know to make sure to do thorough fundamental analysis of any investment opportunity in order to make sure it can be purchased for less than the intrinsic value. Â This isÂ best done by utilizing a systematic approach to analysis that will provide investors with a sense of how a specific company compares to another company. Â By using theÂ ModernGraham methodÂ one can review a company’s historical accomplishments and determine an intrinsic value that can be compared across industries. Â What follows is a specific look at how Boeing Company fares in theÂ ModernGraham valuation model.
Company ProfileÂ (obtained fromÂ Google Finance):Â The Boeing Company (Boeing) is an aerospace company. The Company operates in five segments: Commercial Airplanes, Boeing Military Aircraft (BMA), Network & Space Systems (N&SS), Global Services & Support (GS&S) and Boeing Capital Corporation (BCC). Boeing Defence, Space & Security (BDS) consists of three capabilities-driven businesses: BMA, N&SS and GS&S. Its Other segment includes the unallocated activities of engineering, operations and technology (EO&T) and Shared Services Group (SSG), as well as intercompany guarantees provided to BCC. EO&T provides Boeing with technical and functional capabilities, including information technology, research and development, test and evaluation, technology strategy development, environmental remediation management and intellectual property management. In February 2013, the Company acquired CPU Technology Inc.’s Acalis business.
Defensive Investor – must pass at least 6 of the following 7 tests: Score = 4/7
- Adequate Size of Enterprise – market capitalization of at least $2 billion – PASS
- Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition – current ratio greater than 2 – FAIL
- Earnings Stability – positive earnings per share for at least 10 straight years – PASS
- Dividend Record – has paid a dividend for at least 10 straight years – PASS
- Earnings Growth – earnings per share has increased by at least 1/3 over the last 10 years using 3 year averages at beginning and end of period – PASS
- Moderate PEmg ratio – PEmg is less than 20 – FAIL
- Moderate Price to Assets – PB ratio is less than 2.5 or PB x PEmg is less than 50 – FAIL
Enterprising Investor – must pass at least 4 of the following 5 tests or be suitable for a defensive investor: Score = 4/5
- Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition, Part 1 – current ratio greater than 1.5 – FAIL
- Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition, Part 2 – Debt to Net Current Assets ratio less than 1.1 – PASS
- Earnings Stability – positive earnings per share for at least 5 years – PASS
- Dividend Record – currently pays a dividend – PASS
- Earnings growth – EPSmg greater than 5 years ago – PASS
|MG Opinion||Fairly Valued|
|Value Based on 3% Growth||$74.45|
|Value Based on 0% Growth||$43.64|
|Market Implied Growth Rate||8.42%|
|Net Current Asset Value (NCAV)||$18.18|
Balance Sheet – 12/31/2013
Earnings Per Share
Earnings Per Share – ModernGrahamÂ
Boeing Company passes the requirements of the Enterprising Investor, but not the Defensive Investor. Â The company’s current ratio is too low, and it is trading at too high PEmg and PB ratios for the Defensive Investor. Â The Enterprising Investor also does not like the current ratio, but the long-term debt level is low enough that the Enterprising Investor is willing to overlook the low current ratio. Â As a result, this investor type should feel comfortable proceeding with further research into the company and other opportunities, beginning with a review of ModernGraham’s valuation of Lockheed Martin (LMT) and ModernGraham’s valuation of Honeywell International (HON). Â From strictly a valuation standpoint, the company appears to be trading at a fair price. Â The company has grown its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $3.24 in 2009 to $5.13 for 2013. Â This level of growth supports the market’s implied estimate for growth of 8.42%, and the ModernGraham valuation model returns an estimate of an intrinsic value that is within a margin of safety as the current price.
The next part of the analysis is up to individual investors, and requires discussion of the company’s prospects. Â What do you think? Â What value would you put on Boeing Company (BA)? Â Where do you see the company going in the future? Â Is there a company you like better? Â Leave a comment on ourÂ Facebook pageÂ or mentionÂ @ModernGrahamÂ on Twitter to discuss.
If you like our valuations, why not check outÂ ModernGraham Stocks & Screens? Â It’s a great way to review the valuations while screening for things like low PE ratio, undervalued companies, etc.!
Disclaimer: Â The author did not hold a position in Boeing Company (BA) or any of the other companies listed in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours.
Logo taken from the Wikipedia; this article is not affiliated with the company in any manner.