Hasbro Inc. (HAS) Quarterly Valuation

Hasbro

Hasbro Inc. has an excellent history, with a large number of very memorable brands that are cherished by many individuals, but the strength of the brands and the likelihood that the company’s products will continue to sell contributes little to the Intelligent Investor’s analysis.  Rather, the Intelligent Investor bases his analysis on the fundamentals of the company in an attempt to gauge the risk level of the company and determine an estimate of the intrinsic value of the company.  This is best done by utilizing a systematic approach to analysis that will provide investors with a sense of how a specific company compares to another company.  By using the ModernGraham method one can review a company’s historical accomplishments and determine an intrinsic value that can be compared across industries.  What follows is a specific look at how Hasbro, Inc. fares in the ModernGraham valuation model.

Company Profile (obtained from Google Finance): Hasbro, Inc., engaged in providing children’s and family leisure time products with a range of portfolio of brands and entertainment properties. The Company’s brand architecture identifies franchise brands, challenger brands, key partner brands and new brands. Franchise and challenger brands include many well-known brand names such as TRANSFORMERS, NERF, LITTLEST PET SHOP, MY LITTLE PONY, BABY ALIVE, G.I. JOE, MONOPOLY, MAGIC: THE GATHERING, PLAY-DOH and PLAYSKOOL. In addition to product offerings under Hasbro-owned brands or brands which if not entirely owned are broadly controlled by the Company, offerings may also include products branded and developed under key licenses. The licensed brands include BEYBLADE, SPIDER-MAN and THE AVENGERS from MARVEL, SESAME STREET, STAR WARS and ZYNGA product offerings. In July 2013, Hasbro Inc announced the acquisition of a majority stake in Backflip Studios.

HAS Chart

HAS data by YCharts

Defensive Investor – must pass at least 6 of the following 7 tests: Score = 5/7

  1. Adequate Size of Enterprise – market capitalization of at least $2 billion – PASS
  2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition – current ratio greater than 2 – FAIL
  3. Earnings Stability – positive earnings per share for at least 10 straight years – PASS
  4. Dividend Record – has paid a dividend for at least 10 straight years – PASS
  5. Earnings Growth – earnings per share has increased by at least 1/3 over the last 10 years using 3 year averages at beginning and end of period – PASS
  6. Moderate PEmg ratio – PEmg is less than 20 – PASS
  7. Moderate Price to Assets – PB ratio is less than 2.5 or PB x PEmg is less than 50 – FAIL

Enterprising Investor – must pass at least 4 of the following 5 tests or be suitable for a defensive investor: Score = 5/5

  1. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition, Part 1 – current ratio greater than 1.5 – PASS
  2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition, Part 2 – Debt to Net Current Assets ratio less than 1.1 – PASS
  3. Earnings Stability – positive earnings per share for at least 5 years – PASS
  4. Dividend Record – currently pays a dividend – PASS
  5. Earnings growth – EPSmg greater than 5 years ago – PASS

Valuation Summary

Key Data:

Recent Price $53.87
MG Value $51.90
MG Opinion Fairly Valued
Value Based on 3% Growth $39.07
Value Based on 0% Growth $22.90
Market Implied Growth Rate 5.75%
NCAV -$3.62
PEmg 19.99
Current Ratio 1.58
PB Ratio 4.59

Balance Sheet – 9/30/2013

Current Assets $2,597,300,000
Current Liabilities $1,648,900,000
Total Debt $959,900,000
Total Assets $4,590,100,000
Intangible Assets $1,008,200,000
Total Liabilities $3,066,700,000
Outstanding Shares 129,840,000

Earnings Per Share

2013 $2.77
2012 $2.55
2011 $2.82
2010 $2.73
2009 $2.45
2008 $1.98
2007 $1.97
2006 $1.29
2005 $1.09
2004 $0.96
2003 $0.98

Earnings Per Share – ModernGraham 

2013 $2.69
2012 $2.61
2011 $2.55
2010 $2.31
2009 $1.98
2008 $1.65

Dividend History

HAS Dividend Chart

HAS Dividend data by YCharts

Conclusion:

Hasbro, Inc. is not suitable for the Defensive Investor due to its low current ratio and its high PB ratio.  The company is suitable for the Enterprising Investor after passing all of the requirements of the investor type, though the current ratio is rather close to the minimum.  As a result, Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach based on Benjamin Graham’s methods will be comfortable proceeding with further research to determine whether the company fits within their own personal investment strategy.  That research may include a review of other companies such as through a review of ModernGraham’s valuation of The Walt Disney Company (DIS) or ModernGraham’s valuation of Electronic Arts (EA).  From a valuation standpoint, the company appears to be fairly valued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $1.65 in 2008 to $2.69 for 2013.  This level of growth is close to the market’s implied estimate for growth in earnings of 5.75%, and the ModernGraham valuation model returns an estimate of intrinsic value that falls within a margin of safety when compared with the current price.

The next part of the analysis is up to individual investors, and requires discussion of the company’s prospects.  What do you think?  What value would you put on Hasbro, Inc. (HAS)?  Where do you see the company going in the future?  Is there a company you like better?  Leave a comment on our Facebook page or mention @ModernGraham on Twitter to discuss.

If you like our valuations, why not check out ModernGraham Stocks & Screens?  It’s a great way to review the valuations while screening for things like low PE ratio, undervalued companies, etc.!

Disclaimer:  The author did not hold a position in Hasbro, Inc. (HAS) but did hold a long position in The Walt Disney Company (DIS) at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours.

Logo taken from the Wikipedia; this article is not affiliated with the company in any manner.


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