Glance at the Dow – April 2014

photo (7)As one of the features of ModernGraham Stocks & Screens, I take a look at the Dow Jones Industrial Average, listing out each individual component in an easy to read table, and calculate a value for the index that is based on the ModernGraham valuation model’s estimates for intrinsic values for each component.  “Glance at the Dow” will be included in a regular post on the blog on the second Wednesday of each month, and will continue to be included in each month’s ModernGraham Stocks & Screens, which is released on the fourth Wednesday of every month and includes screens of all the companies reviewed by ModernGraham.  I hope this is useful to all my subscribers, as another tool for evaluating Mr. Market’s current prices.

Readers may find a screen of some of the best components of the Dow by reviewing 5 Outstanding Dow Components.

^DJI Chart

^DJI data by YCharts

At the time of writing, the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) was at 16,256.14. The ModernGraham Valuation of the DJIA was 18,141.30. As a result, the DJIA was trading at 89.61% of its estimated value. This figure is within the ModernGraham margin of error, and therefore it appears the DJIA is presently fairly valued.  To see the individual valuation articles, please click on the company name in the table below.

Ticker Investor Type Latest Valuation Date MG Value Recent Price Price as a percent of Value PEmg Ratio
AXP American Express Company E 1/23/2014 $115.45 $86.49 74.92% 21.41
BA The Boeing Company E 2/17/2014 $133.72 $124.15 92.84% 24.20
CAT Caterpillar Inc. D 1/29/2014 $161.33 $102.39 63.47% 16.23
CSCO Cisco Systems, Inc. D 2/1/2014 $31.26 $22.94 73.38% 14.07
CVX Chevron Corporation D 2/25/2014 $248.34 $117.80 47.43% 10.17
DD E I Du Pont De Nemours And Co E 2/6/2014 $45.79 $66.79 145.86% 22.19
DIS The Walt Disney Company S 11/19/2013 $71.18 $79.57 111.79% 26.44
GE General Electric Company D 3/1/2014 $3.77 $25.75 683.02% 19.36
GS Goldman Sachs Group Inc S 11/6/2013 $23.03 $156.56 679.81% 11.33
HD The Home Depot, Inc. S 11/6/2013 $68.76 $77.11 112.14% 26.87
IBM International Business Machines Corp. S 11/8/2013 $381.67 $193.29 50.64% 14.15
INTC Intel Corporation D 2/18/2014 $76.82 $26.91 35.03% 13.46
JNJ Johnson & Johnson E 2/25/2014 $39.99 $98.06 245.21% 23.02
JPM JPMorgan Chase & Co. D 2/23/2014 $137.57 $58.85 42.78% 13.34
KO The Coca-Cola Company S 3/2/2014 $47.57 $38.90 81.77% 19.85
MCD McDonald’s Corporation S 11/11/2013 $142.46 $98.08 68.85% 18.83
MMM 3M Co E 1/21/2014 $100.49 $134.84 134.18% 21.89
MRK Merck & Co., Inc. S 11/12/2013 $0.00 $55.04 N/A 26.59
MSFT Microsoft Corporation D 2/9/2014 $49.37 $39.82 80.66% 16.19
NKE Nike Inc E 2/10/2014 $61.49 $72.92 118.59% 28.26
PFE Pfizer Inc. E 3/8/2014 $13.79 $30.87 223.86% 23.39
PG The Procter & Gamble Company S 2/11/2014 $44.92 $81.35 181.10% 28.85
T AT&T Inc. S 10/28/2013 $12.00 $35.27 293.92% 18.76
TRV Travelers Companies Inc D 2/14/2014 $96.30 $84.73 87.99% 12.39
UNH UnitedHealth Group Inc. D 2/15/2014 $141.46 $80.66 57.02% 16.29
UTX United Technologies Corporation S 11/15/2013 $89.99 $115.77 128.65% 20.49
V Visa Inc E 2/16/2014 $251.97 $202.59 80.40% 30.98
VZ Verizon Communications Inc. S 3/4/2014 $13.83 $48.21 348.59% 26.93
WMT Wal-Mart Stores, Inc. S 11/19/2013 $101.49 $78.18 77.03% 16.42
XOM Exxon Mobil Corporation D 3/3/2014 $119.08 $97.45 81.84% 12.46

Disclaimer:  The author held a long position in DIS and HD at the time of publication.


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