Financial Services Stocks

H&R Block Inc. Quarterly Valuation – November 2014 $HRB

logo-hrbBenjamin Graham taught that Intelligent Investors must do a thorough fundamental analysis of investment opportunities to determine their intrinsic value and inherent risk.  This is best done by utilizing a systematic approach to analysis that will provide investors with a sense of how a specific company compares to another company or by reviewing the 5 Undervalued Companies for the Defensive Investor Near 52 Week Lows – November 2014.  By using the ModernGraham method one can review a company’s historical accomplishments and determine an intrinsic value that can be compared across industries.  What follows is a specific look at how H&R Block Inc. (HRB) fares in the ModernGraham valuation model.

Company Profile (obtained from Google Finance): H&R Block, Inc. (H&R Block) through its subsidiaries provides tax preparation and banking services. The Company’s Tax Services segment provides assisted income tax return preparation, digital tax solutions and other services and products related to income tax return preparation to the general public primarily in the United States and its territories, Canada and Australia. This segment also offers financial services through H&R Block Bank (HRB Bank). In addition to the Company’s Tax Services segment, the Company separately reports corporate operations which include net interest margin and gains or losses relating to mortgage loans held for investment, real estate owned and residual interests in securitizations, along with interest expense on borrowings, other corporate expenses and eliminations of intercompany activities. Through ownership of HRB Bank, the Company is a savings and loans holding company (SLHC).

Defensive Investor – must pass at least 6 of the following 7 tests: Score = 2/7

  1. Adequate Size of Enterprise – market capitalization of at least $2 billion – PASS
  2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition – current ratio greater than 2 – FAIL
  3. Earnings Stability – positive earnings per share for at least 10 straight years – FAIL
  4. Dividend Record – has paid a dividend for at least 10 straight years – PASS
  5. Earnings Growth – earnings per share has increased by at least 1/3 over the last 10 years using 3 year averages at beginning and end of period – FAIL
  6. Moderate PEmg ratio – PEmg is less than 20 – FAIL
  7. Moderate Price to Assets – PB ratio is less than 2.5 or PB x PEmg is less than 50 – FAIL

Enterprising Investor – must pass at least 4 of the following 5 tests or be suitable for a defensive investor: Score = 4/5

  1. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition, Part 1 – current ratio greater than 1.5 – FAIL
  2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition, Part 2 – Debt to Net Current Assets ratio less than 1.1 – PASS
  3. Earnings Stability – positive earnings per share for at least 5 years – PASS
  4. Dividend Record – currently pays a dividend – PASS
  5. Earnings growth – EPSmg greater than 5 years ago – PASS

Valuation Summary

Key Data:

Recent Price $32.94
MG Value $52.04
MG Opinion Undervalued
Value Based on 3% Growth $23.26
Value Based on 0% Growth $13.63
Market Implied Growth Rate 6.02%
Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) -$0.74
PEmg 20.54
Current Ratio 1.36
PB Ratio 6.47

Balance Sheet – September 2014

Current Assets $2,292,000,000
Current Liabilities $1,684,000,000
Total Debt $506,000,000
Total Assets $3,891,000,000
Intangible Assets $827,000,000
Total Liabilities $2,494,000,000
Outstanding Shares 274,600,000

Earnings Per Share

2015 (estimate) $1.87
2014 $1.72
2013 $1.58
2012 $0.89
2011 $1.31
2010 $1.43
2009 $1.45
2008 -$0.95
2007 -$1.34
2006 $1.47
2005 $1.85

Earnings Per Share – ModernGraham

2015 (estimate) $1.60
2014 $1.44
2013 $1.31
2012 $1.06
2011 $0.89
2010 $0.59

Dividend History

Conclusion:

H&R Block is suitable for the Enterprising Investor but not the Defensive Investor.  The Defensive Investor is concerned by the low current ratio, lack of earnings stability or growth over the last ten years, and the high PEmg and PB ratios.  The Enterprising Investor is only concerned by the low current ratio.  As a result, Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach based on Benjamin Graham’s methods should feel comfortable proceeding with further research into the company and comparing it to other opportunities.  As for a valuation, the company appears to be undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $0.89 in 2011 to an estimated $1.60 for 2015.  This level of demonstrated growth is greater than the market’s implied estimate of 6.02% earnings growth and leads the ModernGraham valuation model, based on Benjamin Graham’s formula, to return an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.

Be sure to check out previous ModernGraham valuations of H&R Block Inc. (HRB) for greater perspective!

The next part of the analysis is up to individual investors, and requires discussion of the company’s prospects.  What do you think?  What value would you put on H&R Block Inc. (HRB)?  Where do you see the company going in the future?  Is there a company you like better?  Leave a comment on our Facebook page or mention @ModernGraham on Twitter to discuss.

Disclaimer:  The author did not hold a position in H&R Block Inc. (HRB) or in any other company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours.  Logo taken from Wikipedia for the sole purpose of identifying the company; this article is not affiliated with the company in any manner.

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