After reviewing the data, it is clear that conservative value investors may wish to seek other opportunities. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the low current ratio in combination with the lack of earnings stability and insufficient earnings growth over the last ten years, while the Enterprising Investor has concerns with the high level of debt relative to the net current assets. As a result, both investor types would find the company to be too risky to proceed. That said, any investor willing to speculate about the future of the company may go ahead with the next step of the analysis, which is a determination of the company’s intrinsic value.
When calculating an estimate of intrinsic value, it is important to consider the historical earnings results, along with the market’s implied estimate for future growth. Here, the company has grown its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $4.63 in 2010 to an estimated $6.38 for 2014. This level of demonstrated growth is fairly strong, and significantly higher than the market’s implied estimate of only 0.63%. Based on the demonstrated growth, and lessened by a margin of safety, the ModernGraham valuation model estimates a conservative growth over the next 7-10 years to be around 5.66%. As a result, Apache Corporation appears to be significantly undervalued at the present time.
Disclaimer: The author did not hold a position in Apache Corporation (APA) or in any other company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours. Logo taken from Wikipedia for the sole purpose of identifying the company; this article is not affiliated with the company in any manner.