After reviewing the data, it is clear that conservative value investors may wish to seek other opportunities. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the low current ratio, lack of dividend payments, lack of earnings stability over the last ten years and the high PEmg ratio, while the Enterprising Investor has concerns with the high level of debt relative to the current assets, lack of dividend payments, and lack of earnings stability over the last five years. As a result, both investor types would find the company to be too risky to proceed. That said, any investors willing to speculate about the future of the company may go ahead with the next step of the analysis, which is a determination of the company’s intrinsic value.
When calculating an estimate of intrinsic value, it is important to consider the historical earnings results along with the market’s implied estimate for future growth. Here, the company has grown its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $1.00 in 2010 to an estimated $1.21 for 2014. This level of demonstrated growth is rather low, and does not support the market’s implied estimate of 7.72%. As a result, the company appears to be overvalued at the present time.
Disclaimer: The author did not hold a position in Southwestern Energy (SWN) or in any other company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours. Logo taken from Wikipedia for the sole purpose of identifying the company; this article is not affiliated with the company in any manner.