Automatic Data Processing Quarterly Valuation – December 2014 $ADP


Automatic Data Processing is suitable for the Enterprising Investor, but not the Defensive Investor, who is concerned with the low current ratio, insufficient earnings growth over the last ten years and the high PEmg and PB ratios. The Enterprising Investor, on the other hand, is only concerned with the low current ratio. As a result, the Enterprising Investor should feel very comfortable proceeding to the next part of the analysis, which is a determination of the company’s intrinsic value.

From a valuation side of things, the company has grown its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $2.45 in 2011 to only an estimated $2.92 for 2015. This demonstrated growth does not support the market’s implied estimate of 9.93%. In fact, the demonstrated growth over the last several years is only 3.82% per year. The company would have to see a significant change in its level of growth in order to meet the market’s estimated growth level. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model returns an estimate of intrinsic value below the market price at this time, and the company appears to be overvalued by the market.

Be sure to check out previous ModernGraham valuations of Automatic Data Processing for greater perspective!

Read the full valuation on Seeking Alpha!

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Disclaimer:  The author did not hold a position in Automatic Data Processing (ADP) at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours.  Logo taken from Wikipedia for the sole purpose of identifying the company; this article is not affiliated with the company in any manner.

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