Illinois Tool Works Quarterly Valuation – December 2014 $ITW


Illinois Tool Works should satisfy the Enterprising Investor, but not the Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the high PEmg and PB ratios, while the Enterprising Investor is only concerned by the level of debt relative to the net current assets. Therefore, Enterprising Investors should feel very comfortable proceeding to the next part of the analysis, which is a determination of the company’s intrinsic value.

From a valuation side of things, the company has grown its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $2.73 in 2010 to an estimated $4.50 for 2014. This is very strong and an impressive level of demonstrated growth which is in line with the market’s implied estimate for earnings growth of 6.54% over the next 7-10 years. In fact, actual historical growth is about 13% per year, so the market has priced in an earnings drop to a more sustainable level over the long term. The ModernGraham valuation model therefore returns an estimate of intrinsic value falling within a margin of safety relative to the current price, indicating the company is fairly valued at the present time.

Be sure to check out previous ModernGraham valuations of Illinois Tool Works for greater perspective!

Read the full valuation on Seeking Alpha!

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Disclaimer:  The author did not hold a position in Illinois Tool Works (ITW) at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours.  Logo taken from Wikipedia for the sole purpose of identifying the company; this article is not affiliated with the company in any manner.






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