Praxair Inc. Annual Valuation – 2015 $PX

220px-Praxair_company_logoBenjamin Graham taught that Intelligent Investors must do a thorough fundamental analysis of investment opportunities to determine their intrinsic value and inherent risk.  This is best done by utilizing a systematic approach to analysis that will provide investors with a sense of how a specific company compares to another company or by reviewing the 5 Most Undervalued Companies for the Defensive Investor – December 2014.  By using the ModernGraham method one can review a company’s historical accomplishments and determine an intrinsic value that can be compared across industries.  What follows is a specific look at how Praxair Inc. (PX) fares in the ModernGraham valuation model.

Company Profile (obtained from Google Finance): Praxair, Inc. (Praxair) is an industrial gases supplier. The Company’s products are oxygen, hydrogen, nitrogen, argon, carbon dioxide, helium, electronic gases and a range of specialty gases. Praxair Surface Technologies supplies coatings, which protect metal parts from wear, corrosion and heat. Praxair’s industrial gas operations are managed on a geographical basis. During the year ended December 31, 2012, 94% of sales were generated in four geographic segments (North America, Europe, South America, and Asia). The surface technologies segment generated the remaining 6% of sales. Praxair serves approximately 25 industries, including healthcare and petroleum refining; computer-chip manufacturing and beverage carbonation; fiber-optics and steel making, and aerospace, chemicals and water treatment. In September 2014, Generational Equity announced the acquisition of its client, Genie Products, Inc., by Praxair Inc.

Defensive Investor – must pass at least 6 of the following 7 tests: Score = 4/7

  1. Adequate Size of Enterprise – market capitalization of at least $2 billion - PASS
  2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition – current ratio greater than 2 - FAIL
  3. Earnings Stability – positive earnings per share for at least 10 straight years - PASS
  4. Dividend Record – has paid a dividend for at least 10 straight years – PASS
  5. Earnings Growth – earnings per share has increased by at least 1/3 over the last 10 years using 3 year averages at beginning and end of period - PASS
  6. Moderate PEmg ratio – PEmg is less than 20 - FAIL
  7. Moderate Price to Assets – PB ratio is less than 2.5 or PB x PEmg is less than 50 - FAIL

Enterprising Investor – must pass at least 4 of the following 5 tests or be suitable for a defensive investor: Score = 3/5

  1. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition, Part 1 – current ratio greater than 1.5 - FAIL
  2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition, Part 2 – Debt to Net Current Assets ratio less than 1.1 - FAIL
  3. Earnings Stability – positive earnings per share for at least 5 years – PASS
  4. Dividend Record – currently pays a dividend - PASS
  5. Earnings growth – EPSmg greater than 5 years ago - PASS

Valuation Summary

Key Data:

Recent Price $129.95
MG Value $138.18
MG Opinion Fairly Valued
Value Based on 3% Growth $83.42
Value Based on 0% Growth $48.90
Market Implied Growth Rate 7.04%
Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) -$36.50
PEmg 22.59
Current Ratio 1.03
PB Ratio 5.85

Balance Sheet – September 2014

Current Assets $3,058,000,000
Current Liabilities $2,960,000,000
Total Debt $8,089,000,000
Total Assets $20,384,000,000
Intangible Assets $3,799,000,000
Total Liabilities $13,832,000,000
Outstanding Shares 295,200,000

Earnings Per Share

2014 (estimate) $6.25
2013 $5.87
2012 $5.61
2011 $5.45
2010 $3.84
2009 $4.01
2008 $3.80
2007 $3.62
2006 $3.00
2005 $2.20
2004 $2.10

Earnings Per Share – ModernGraham

2014 (estimate) $5.75
2013 $5.32
2012 $4.88
2011 $4.39
2010 $3.79
2009 $3.62

Dividend History


Praxair is not suitable for either the Defensive Investor or the Enterprising Investor.  The Defensive Investor is concerned with the low current ratio, and the poor PEmg and PB ratios.  The Enterprising Investor is concerned with the level of debt relative to the current assets.  As a result, value investors following the ModernGraham approach based on Benjamin Graham’s methods should explore other opportunities.  As for a valuation, the company appears to be fairly valued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $3.79 in 2010 to an estimated $5.75 for 2014.  This level of demonstrated growth supports the market’s implied estimate of 7.04% earnings growth and leads the ModernGraham valuation model, based on Benjamin Graham’s formula, to return an estimate of intrinsic value within a margin of safety relative to the price.

The next part of the analysis is up to individual investors, and requires discussion of the company’s prospects.  What do you think?  What value would you put on Praxair Inc. (PX)?  Where do you see the company going in the future?  Is there a company you like better?  Leave a comment on our Facebook page or mention @ModernGraham on Twitter to discuss.

Disclaimer:  The author did not hold a position in Praxair Inc. (PX) at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours.  Logo taken from Wikipedia for the sole purpose of identifying the company; this article is not affiliated with the company in any manner.






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