Autodesk Inc. is suitable for the Enterprising Investor, but not the more conservative Defensive Investor, who is concerned with the lack of dividends, insufficient earnings growth over the last ten years, as well as the high PEmg and PB ratios. The Enterprising Investor, on the other hand, is only concerned by the lack of dividends. As a result, the Enterprising Investor should feel very comfortable proceeding to the next part of the analysis, which is a determination of the company’s intrinsic value.
From a valuation side of things, the company has grown its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $0.80 in 2011 to only an estimated $1.09 for 2015. This demonstrated growth does not support the market’s implied estimate of 23.67%. In fact, historically demonstrated growth has been only 7.1%. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model returns an estimate of intrinsic value below the market price at this time, and the company appears to be overvalued by the market.
Be sure to check out previous ModernGraham valuations of Autodesk Inc. (ADSK)Â for greater perspective!
Disclaimer: Â The author did not hold aÂ position in Autodesk Inc. (ADSK)Â at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours. Â Logo taken from Wikipedia for the sole purpose of identifying the company; this article is not affiliated with the company in any manner.