Machinery Stocks

Ingersoll-Rand PLC Valuation – May 2016 $IR

Benjamin Graham taught that Intelligent Investors must do a thorough fundamental analysis of investment opportunities to determine their intrinsic value and inherent risk.  This is best done by utilizing a systematic approach to analysis that will provide investors with a sense of how a specific company compares to another company or by reviewing the 10 Companies Benjamin Graham Would Invest In Today – March 2016.  By using the ModernGraham method one can review a company’s historical accomplishments and determine an intrinsic value that can be compared across industries.  What follows is a stock analysis showing a specific look at how Ingersoll-Rand PLC (IR) fares in the ModernGraham valuation model.

Company Profile (obtained from Google Finance): Ingersoll-Rand Public Limited Company provides products, services and solutions to improve the quality and comfort of air in homes and buildings, transport and protect food and perishables. The Company’s business segments include Climate and Industrial. It is engaged in the design, manufacture, sale and service of a portfolio of industrial and commercial products that include brand names, such as Ingersoll-Rand, Trane, American Standard, ARO and Club Car. Its Climate segment includes Trane and American Standard Heating & Air Conditioning, which provide heating, ventilation and air conditioning (HVAC) systems, and commercial and residential building services, parts, support and controls. It offers energy services and building automation through Trane Building Advantage and Nexia. Its Industrial segment includes compressed air and gas systems and services, power tools, material handling systems, ARO fluid management equipment, as well as Club Car golf, utility and rough terrain vehicles.

[level-free]

To read the details of this valuation, you must be logged in as a premium member. If you are not a premium member, please consider becoming one.

Premium members can view a full ModernGraham valuation of the company and have access to download a PDF version of the valuation for easy reference. Here is a free sample valuation pdf, and here is a post detailing what can be found within each individual company’s valuation.

[/level-free]
[not-level-free]

Downloadable PDF version of this valuation:

ModernGraham Valuation of IR – May 2016

Stage 1: Is this company suitable for the Defensive Investor or the Enterprising Investor?

What kind of Intelligent Investor are you?

Defensive Investor; must pass 6 out of the following 7 tests.
1. Adequate Size of the Enterprise Market Cap > $2Bil $16,609,485,432 Pass
2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Current Ratio > 2 1.22 Fail
3. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 10 years prior Fail
4. Dividend Record Dividend Payments for 10 years prior Pass
5. Earnings Growth Increase of 33% in EPS in past 10 years using 3 year averages at beginning and end 61.14% Pass
6. Moderate PEmg Ratio PEmg < 20 20.79 Fail
7. Moderate Price to Assets PB Ratio < 2.5 OR PB*PEmg < 50 2.94 Fail
Score
Enterprising Investor; must pass 4 out of the following 5 tests, or be suitable for the Defensive Investor.
1. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Current Ratio > 1.5 1.22 Fail
2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Debt to NCA < 1.1 4.21 Fail
3. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 5 years prior Pass
4. Dividend Record Currently Pays Dividend Pass
5. Earnings Growth EPSmg greater than 5 years ago Pass

Stage 2: Determination of Intrinsic Value

IR value chart May 2016

EPSmg $3.14
MG Growth Estimate 15.00%
MG Value $120.75
Opinion Undervalued
MG Grade D+
MG Value based on 3% Growth $45.48
MG Value based on 0% Growth $26.66
Market Implied Growth Rate 6.14%
Current Price $65.20
% of Intrinsic Value 54.00%

Ingersoll-Rand PLC does not satisfy the requirements of either the Enterprising Investor or the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the low current ratio, insufficient earnings stability over the last ten years, and the high PEmg and PB ratios. The Enterprising Investor has concerns regarding the level of debt relative to the current assets. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should explore other opportunities at this time or proceed cautiously with a speculative attitude.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $1.34 in 2012 to an estimated $3.14 for 2016. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market’s implied estimate of 6.14% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on Benjamin Graham’s formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.

Ingersoll-Rand PLC scores quite poorly in the ModernGraham grading system, with an overall grade of D+.

Stage 3: Information for Further Research

IR charts May 2016

Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) -$24.29
Graham Number $44.45
PEmg 20.79
Current Ratio 1.22
PB Ratio 2.94
Current Dividend $1.19
Dividend Yield 1.83%
Number of Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth 6

[/not-level-free]

Useful Links:

ModernGraham tagged articles Morningstar
Google Finance MSN Money
Yahoo Finance Seeking Alpha
GuruFocus SEC Filings

Most Recent Balance Sheet Figures

Balance Sheet Information 3/1/2016
Total Current Assets $4,812,900,000
Total Current Liabilities $3,930,100,000
Long-term Debt $3,714,600,000
Total Assets $16,952,500,000
Intangible Assets $9,687,500,000
Total Liabilities $11,159,700,000
Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) 261,300,000

Earnings Per Share History

Next Fiscal Year Estimate $3.90
12/1/2015 $2.48
12/1/2014 $3.40
12/1/2013 $2.07
12/1/2012 $3.28
12/1/2011 $1.01
12/1/2010 $1.89
12/1/2009 $1.37
12/1/2008 -$8.73
12/1/2007 $13.43
12/1/2006 $3.20
12/1/2005 $3.09
12/1/2004 $3.48
12/1/2003 $1.87
12/1/2002 -$0.52
12/1/2001 $0.74
12/1/2000 $2.06
12/1/1999 $1.79
12/1/1998 $1.54
12/1/1997 $1.16
12/1/1996 $1.11

Earnings Per Share – ModernGraham History

Next Fiscal Year Estimate $3.14
12/1/2015 $2.65
12/1/2014 $2.60
12/1/2013 $2.11
12/1/2012 $1.34
12/1/2011 $0.85
12/1/2010 $1.25
12/1/2009 $1.45
12/1/2008 $1.96
12/1/2007 $6.54
12/1/2006 $2.80
12/1/2005 $2.31
12/1/2004 $1.79
12/1/2003 $1.03
12/1/2002 $0.78
12/1/2001 $1.44
12/1/2000 $1.70

Recommended Reading:

Other ModernGraham posts about the company

34 Companies in the Spotlight This Week – 2/7/15
Ingersoll-Rand Inc. Annual Valuation – 2015 $IR
14 Companies in the Spotlight This Week – 1/18/14
Ingersoll-Rand PLC (IR) Annual Valuation

Other ModernGraham posts about related companies

Snap-on Inc Valuation – February 2016 $SNA
AGCO Corporation Valuation – February 2016 $AGCO
Joy Global Inc Valuation – February 2016 $JOY
Allegion PLC Valuation – February 2016 Update $ALLE
Rockwell Automation Inc Valuation – February 2016 Update $ROK
Parker Hannifin Corp Valuation – January 2016 Update $PH
Stanley Black & Decker Inc Valuation – January 2016 Update $SWK
Paccar Inc Valuation – January 2016 Update $PCAR
AGCO Corporation Valuation – February 2016 $AGCO
Joy Global Inc Valuation – February 2016 $JOY

Disclaimer:

The author did not hold a position in any company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours.  See my current holdings here.  This article is not investment advice; any reader should speak to a registered investment adviser prior to making any investment decisions.  ModernGraham is not affiliated with the company in any manner.  Please be sure to review our detailed disclaimer.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.

Back To Top