Huntington Bancshares Inc Valuation – June 2016 $HBAN

Benjamin Graham taught that Intelligent Investors must do a thorough fundamental analysis of investment opportunities to determine their intrinsic value and inherent risk.  This is best done by utilizing a systematic approach to analysis that will provide investors with a sense of how a specific company compares to another company or by reviewing the 10 Companies Benjamin Graham Would Invest In Today - June 2016.  By using the ModernGraham method one can review a company’s historical accomplishments and determine an intrinsic value that can be compared across industries.  What follows is a stock analysis showing a specific look at how Huntington Bancshares Inc (HBAN) fares in the ModernGraham valuation model.

Company Profile (obtained from Google Finance): Huntington Bancshares Incorporated is a diversified regional bank holding company. Through its subsidiaries, including its bank subsidiary, The Huntington National Bank (the Bank), the Company is engaged in providing commercial, small business, consumer banking services, mortgage banking services, automobile financing, equipment leasing, investment management, trust services, brokerage services, customized insurance programs, and other financial products and services. It operates through five segments: Retail and Business Banking, Commercial Banking, Automobile Finance and Commercial Real Estate, Regional Banking and The Huntington Private Client Group, and Home Lending. The Company offers commercial and industrial loans, commercial real estate loans, automobile loans, home equity loans, residential mortgage loans and other consumer loans. It offers demand deposits-noninterest-bearing, demand deposits-interest-bearing, money market deposits, and savings and other domestic deposits.

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Downloadable PDF version of this valuation:

ModernGraham Valuation of HBAN – June 2016

Stage 1: Is this company suitable for the Defensive Investor or the Enterprising Investor?

What kind of Intelligent Investor are you?

Defensive Investor; must pass all 6 of the following tests.
1. Adequate Size of the Enterprise Market Cap > $2Bil $6,280,139,226 Pass
2. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 10 years prior Fail
3. Dividend Record Dividend Payments for 10 years prior Pass
4. Earnings Growth Increase of 33% in EPS in past 10 years using 3 year averages at beginning and end -136.65% Fail
5. Moderate PEmg Ratio PEmg < 20 11.23 Pass
6. Moderate Price to Assets PB Ratio < 2.5 OR PB*PEmg < 50 0.97 Pass
Enterprising Investor; must pass all 3 of the following tests, or be suitable for the Defensive Investor.
1. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 5 years prior Pass
2. Dividend Record Currently Pays Dividend Pass
3. Earnings Growth EPSmg greater than 5 years ago Pass

Stage 2: Determination of Intrinsic Value

HBAN value Chart June 2016

EPSmg $0.77
MG Growth Estimate 15.00%
MG Value $29.52
Opinion Undervalued
MG Grade B
MG Value based on 3% Growth $11.12
MG Value based on 0% Growth $6.52
Market Implied Growth Rate 1.37%
Current Price $8.61
% of Intrinsic Value 29.17%

Huntington Bancshares Incorporated is suitable for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the insufficient earnings stability or growth over the last ten years. The Enterprising Investor has no initial concerns. As a result, all Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $-0.42 in 2012 to an estimated $0.77 for 2016. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market’s implied estimate of 1.37% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on Benjamin Graham’s formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.

Huntington Bancshares Incorporated performs fairly well in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring a B.

Stage 3: Information for Further Research

HBAN Charts June 2016

Graham Number $11.94
PEmg 11.23
PB Ratio 0.97
Dividend Yield 3.02%
TTM Dividend $0.26
Number of Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth 6

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Most Recent Balance Sheet Figures

Balance Sheet Information 3/1/2016
Long-Term Debt $7,935,412,000
Total Assets $72,644,967,000
Intangible Assets $896,783,000
Total Liabilities $65,487,297,000
Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) 808,349,000

Earnings Per Share History

Next Fiscal Year Estimate $0.79
Dec2015 $0.81
Dec2014 $0.72
Dec2013 $0.72
Dec2012 $0.71
Dec2011 $0.59
Dec2010 $0.19
Dec2009 -$6.14
Dec2008 -$0.44
Dec2007 $0.25
Dec2006 $1.92
Dec2005 $1.77
Dec2004 $1.71
Dec2003 $1.61
Dec2002 $1.49
Dec2001 $0.71
Dec2000 $1.32
Dec1999 $1.66
Dec1998 $1.17
Dec1997 $1.14
Dec1996 $1.23

Earnings Per Share – ModernGraham History

Next Fiscal Year Estimate $0.77
Dec2015 $0.74
Dec2014 $0.67
Dec2013 $0.16
Dec2012 -$0.42
Dec2011 -$1.02
Dec2010 -$1.50
Dec2009 -$1.74
Dec2008 $0.65
Dec2007 $1.28
Dec2006 $1.77
Dec2005 $1.61
Dec2004 $1.48
Dec2003 $1.36
Dec2002 $1.25
Dec2001 $1.15
Dec2000 $1.35

Recommended Reading:

Other ModernGraham posts about the company

19 Best Stocks For Value Investors This Week – 1/9/16
Huntington Bancshares Valuation – January 2016 Update $HBAN
The Best Companies of the Banking Industry – October 2015
13 Best Stocks For Value Investors This Week – 10/3/15
Huntington Bancshares Inc. Analysis – October 2015 Update $HBAN

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Disclaimer:

The author did not hold a position in any company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours.  See my current holdings here.  This article is not investment advice; any reader should speak to a registered investment adviser prior to making any investment decisions.  ModernGraham is not affiliated with the company in any manner.  Please be sure to review our detailed disclaimer.

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