Regions Financial Corp – June 2016 $RF
Benjamin Graham taught that Intelligent Investors must do a thorough fundamental analysis of investment opportunities to determine their intrinsic value and inherent risk.  This is best done by utilizing a systematic approach to analysis that will provide investors with a sense of how a specific company compares to another company or by reviewing the 10 Companies Benjamin Graham Would Invest In Today - June 2016. By using the ModernGraham method one can review a company’s historical accomplishments and determine an intrinsic value that can be compared across industries.  What follows is a stock analysis showing a specific look at how Regions Financial Corp (RF) fares in the ModernGraham valuation model.
Company Profile (obtained from Google Finance): Regions Financial Corporation is a financial holding company. The Company conducts its banking operations through Regions Bank, an Alabama state-chartered commercial bank, which is a member of the Federal Reserve System. It operates in three segments: Corporate Bank, which represents its commercial banking functions, including commercial and industrial, commercial real estate and investor real estate lending; Consumer Bank, which represents its branch network, including consumer banking products and services related to residential first mortgages, home equity lines and loans, small business loans, indirect loans, consumer credit cards and other consumer loans, as well as the corresponding deposit relationships, and Wealth Management, which offers individuals, businesses, governmental institutions and non-profit entities a range of solutions to enable transfer of wealth. It provides traditional commercial, retail and mortgage banking services, as well as other financial services.
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Downloadable PDF version of this valuation:
ModernGraham Valuation of RF – June 2016
Stage 1: Is this company suitable for the Defensive Investor or the Enterprising Investor?
What kind of Intelligent Investor are you?
| Defensive Investor; must pass all 6 of the following tests. | ||||
| 1. Adequate Size of the Enterprise | Market Cap > $2Bil | $9,753,138,513 | Pass | |
| 2. Earnings Stability | Positive EPS for 10 years prior | Fail | ||
| 3. Dividend Record | Dividend Payments for 10 years prior | Pass | ||
| 4. Earnings Growth | Increase of 33% in EPS in past 10 years using 3 year averages at beginning and end | -130.53% | Fail | |
| 5. Moderate PEmg Ratio | PEmg < 20 | 11.13 | Pass | |
| 6. Moderate Price to Assets | PB Ratio < 2.5 OR PB*PEmg < 50 | 0.64 | Pass | |
| Enterprising Investor; must pass all 3 of the following tests, or be suitable for the Defensive Investor. | ||||
| 1. Earnings Stability | Positive EPS for 5 years prior | Pass | ||
| 2. Dividend Record | Currently Pays Dividend | Pass | ||
| 3. Earnings Growth | EPSmg greater than 5 years ago | Pass | ||
Stage 2: Determination of Intrinsic Value
| EPSmg | $0.77 |
| MG Growth Estimate | 15.00% |
| MG Value | $29.52 |
| Opinion | Undervalued |
| MG Grade | B |
| MG Value based on 3% Growth | $11.12 |
| MG Value based on 0% Growth | $6.52 |
| Market Implied Growth Rate | 1.31% |
| Current Price | $8.53 |
| % of Intrinsic Value | 28.90% |
Regions Financial Corp is suitable for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the insufficient earnings stability or growth over the last ten years. The Enterprising Investor has no initial concerns. As a result, all Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.
As for a valuation, the company appears to be Undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $-0.69 in 2012 to an estimated $0.77 for 2016. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market’s implied estimate of 1.31% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on Benjamin Graham’s formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.
Regions Financial Corp performs fairly well in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring a B.
Stage 3: Information for Further Research
| Graham Number | $14.93 |
| PEmg | 11.13 |
| PB Ratio | 0.64 |
| Dividend Yield | 2.81% |
| TTM Dividend | $0.24 |
| Number of Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth | 4 |
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Most Recent Balance Sheet Figures
| Balance Sheet Information | 3/1/2016 |
| Long-Term Debt | $7,851,000,000 |
| Total Assets | $125,539,000,000 |
| Intangible Assets | $5,363,000,000 |
| Total Liabilities | $108,328,000,000 |
| Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) | 1,291,000,000 |
Earnings Per Share History
| Next Fiscal Year Estimate | $0.77 |
| Dec2015 | $0.75 |
| Dec2014 | $0.80 |
| Dec2013 | $0.77 |
| Dec2012 | $0.71 |
| Dec2011 | -$0.34 |
| Dec2010 | -$0.62 |
| Dec2009 | -$1.27 |
| Dec2008 | -$8.09 |
| Dec2007 | $1.76 |
| Dec2006 | $2.67 |
| Dec2005 | $2.15 |
| Dec2004 | $2.19 |
| Dec2003 | $2.90 |
| Dec2002 | $2.72 |
| Dec2001 | $2.24 |
| Dec2000 | $2.38 |
| Dec1999 | $2.35 |
| Dec1998 | $1.88 |
| Dec1997 | $2.15 |
| Dec1996 | $1.81 |
Earnings Per Share – ModernGraham History
| Next Fiscal Year Estimate | $0.77 |
| Dec2015 | $0.69 |
| Dec2014 | $0.53 |
| Dec2013 | $0.21 |
| Dec2012 | -$0.69 |
| Dec2011 | -$1.49 |
| Dec2010 | -$1.75 |
| Dec2009 | -$1.73 |
| Dec2008 | -$1.26 |
| Dec2007 | $2.21 |
| Dec2006 | $2.47 |
| Dec2005 | $2.39 |
| Dec2004 | $2.50 |
| Dec2003 | $2.61 |
| Dec2002 | $2.42 |
| Dec2001 | $2.25 |
| Dec2000 | $2.20 |
Recommended Reading:
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Disclaimer:
The author did not hold a position in any company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours.  See my current holdings here.  This article is not investment advice; any reader should speak to a registered investment adviser prior to making any investment decisions.  ModernGraham is not affiliated with the company in any manner.  Please be sure to review our detailed disclaimer.
