CBRE Group Inc Valuation – July 2016 $CBG

Benjamin Graham taught that Intelligent Investors must do a thorough fundamental analysis of investment opportunities to determine their intrinsic value and inherent risk.  This is best done by utilizing a systematic approach to analysis that will provide investors with a sense of how a specific company compares to another company or by reviewing the 10 Companies Benjamin Graham Would Invest In Today - June 2016.  By using the ModernGraham method one can review a company’s historical accomplishments and determine an intrinsic value that can be compared across industries.  What follows is a stock analysis showing a specific look at how CBRE Group Inc (CBG) fares in the ModernGraham valuation model.

Company Profile (obtained from Google Finance): CBRE Group, Inc. is a holding company that conducts all of its operations through its subsidiaries. The Company is a commercial real estate services and investment company. The Company operates through the segments: The Americas; Europe, Middle East and Africa (EMEA); Asia Pacific; Global Investment Management, and Development Services. It offers services to occupiers, owners, lenders and investors in office, retail, industrial, multifamily and other types of commercial real estate. It offers commercial real estate services under the CBRE brand name, investment management services under the CBRE Global Investors brand name and development services under the Trammell Crow Company brand name. It is focused on several competencies, including commercial property, corporate facilities, project and transaction management, tenant/occupier and property/agency leasing, capital markets solutions, real estate investment management, valuation, development services and proprietary research.


To read the details of this valuation, you must be logged in as a premium member. If you are not a premium member, please consider becoming one.

Premium members can view a full ModernGraham valuation of the company and have access to download a PDF version of the valuation for easy reference. Here is a free sample valuation pdf, and here is a post detailing what can be found within each individual company’s valuation.


Downloadable PDF version of this valuation:

ModernGraham Valuation of CBG – July 2016

Stage 1: Is this company suitable for the Defensive Investor or the Enterprising Investor?

What kind of Intelligent Investor are you?

Defensive Investor; must pass 6 out of the following 7 tests.
1. Adequate Size of the Enterprise Market Cap > $2Bil $9,539,252,832 Pass
2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Current Ratio > 2 1.11 Fail
3. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 10 years prior Fail
4. Dividend Record Dividend Payments for 10 years prior Fail
5. Earnings Growth Increase of 33% in EPS in past 10 years using 3 year averages at beginning and end -272.61% Fail
6. Moderate PEmg Ratio PEmg < 20 16.87 Pass
7. Moderate Price to Assets PB Ratio < 2.5 OR PB*PEmg < 50 3.30 Fail
Enterprising Investor; must pass 4 out of the following 5 tests, or be suitable for the Defensive Investor.
1. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Current Ratio > 1.5 1.11 Fail
2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Debt to NCA < 1.1 6.75 Fail
3. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 5 years prior Pass
4. Dividend Record Currently Pays Dividend Fail
5. Earnings Growth EPSmg greater than 5 years ago Pass

Stage 2: Determination of Intrinsic Value

CBG value chart July 2016

EPSmg $1.63
MG Growth Estimate 15.00%
MG Value $62.86
Opinion Undervalued
MG Grade C-
MG Value based on 3% Growth $23.67
MG Value based on 0% Growth $13.88
Market Implied Growth Rate 4.19%
Current Price $27.55
% of Intrinsic Value 43.83%

CBRE Group Inc does not satisfy the requirements of either the Enterprising Investor or the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the low current ratio, insufficient earnings stability or growth over the last ten years, the poor dividend history, and the high PB ratio. The Enterprising Investor has concerns regarding the level of debt relative to the current assets, and the lack of dividends. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should explore other opportunities at this time or proceed cautiously with a speculative attitude.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $0.34 in 2012 to an estimated $1.63 for 2016. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market’s implied estimate of 4.19% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on Benjamin Graham’s formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.

CBRE Group Inc receives an average overall rating in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring a C-.

Stage 3: Information for Further Research

CBG charts July 2016

Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) -$8.68
Graham Number $20.16
PEmg 16.87
Current Ratio 1.11
PB Ratio 3.30
Current Dividend $0.00
Dividend Yield 0.00%
Number of Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth 0


Useful Links:

ModernGraham tagged articles Morningstar
Google Finance MSN Money
Yahoo Finance Seeking Alpha
GuruFocus SEC Filings

Most Recent Balance Sheet Figures

Balance Sheet Information 3/1/2016
Total Current Assets $4,086,896,000
Total Current Liabilities $3,696,420,000
Long-Term Debt $2,635,045,000
Total Assets $9,835,135,000
Intangible Assets $4,550,202,000
Total Liabilities $7,017,540,000
Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) 337,506,000

Earnings Per Share History

Next Fiscal Year Estimate $2.15
Dec2015 $1.63
Dec2014 $1.45
Dec2013 $0.95
Dec2012 $0.97
Dec2011 $0.74
Dec2010 $0.63
Dec2009 $0.12
Dec2008 -$4.81
Dec2007 $1.66
Dec2006 $1.35
Dec2005 $0.95
Dec2004 $0.30
Dec2003 -$0.63
Dec2002 $0.41
Dec2001 $0.73

Earnings Per Share – ModernGraham History

Next Fiscal Year Estimate $1.63
Dec2015 $1.30
Dec2014 $1.07
Dec2013 $0.82
Dec2012 $0.34
Dec2011 -$0.09
Dec2010 -$0.41
Dec2009 -$0.67
Dec2008 -$0.74
Dec2007 $1.10
Dec2006 $0.71
Dec2005 $0.37
Dec2004 $0.11
Dec2003 $0.05
Dec2002 $0.33
Dec2001 $0.24

Recommended Reading:

Other ModernGraham posts about the company

58 Companies in the Spotlight This Week – 1/31/15
CBRE Group Inc. Annual Valuation – 2015 $CBG
14 Companies in the Spotlight This Week – 1/11/14
ModernGraham Valuation: CBRE Group Inc. (CBG)

Other ModernGraham posts about related companies

Fidelity National Information Services Valuation – July 2016 $FIS
Capital One Financial Corp Valuation – July 2016 $COF
Intercontinental Exchange Inc Valuation – July 2016 $ICE
H&R Block Inc Valuation – June 2016 $HRB
Visa Inc Valuation – June 2016 $V
Legg Mason Inc Valuation – June 2016 $LM
Morgan Stanley Valuation – June 2016 $MS
BlackRock Inc Valuation – June 2016 $BLK
Goldman Sachs Group Inc Valuation – June 2016 $GS
Ameriprise Financial Inc Valuation – June 2016 $AMP


The author did not hold a position in any company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours.  See my current holdings here.  This article is not investment advice; any reader should speak to a registered investment adviser prior to making any investment decisions.  ModernGraham is not affiliated with the company in any manner.  Please be sure to review our detailed disclaimer.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.