Cintas Corporation Valuation – July 2016 $CTAS

Benjamin Graham taught that Intelligent Investors must do a thorough fundamental analysis of investment opportunities to determine their intrinsic value and inherent risk.  This is best done by utilizing a systematic approach to analysis that will provide investors with a sense of how a specific company compares to another company or by reviewing the 10 Companies Benjamin Graham Would Invest In Today - June 2016.  By using the ModernGraham method one can review a company’s historical accomplishments and determine an intrinsic value that can be compared across industries.  What follows is a stock analysis showing a specific look at how Cintas Corporation (CTAS) fares in the ModernGraham valuation model.

Company Profile (obtained from Google Finance): Cintas Corporation provides products and services to businesses of all types. The Company is a provider of corporate identity uniforms through rental and sales programs, as well as a provider of related business services, including entrance mats, restroom cleaning services and supplies, carpet and tile cleaning services, and first aid, safety and fire protection products and services. The Company has three segments: Rental Uniforms and Ancillary Products, Uniform Direct Sales, and First Aid, Safety and Fire Protection Services. The Company’s Rental Uniforms and Ancillary Products segment consists of the rental and servicing of uniforms and other garments, including flame resistant clothing, mats, mops and shop towels and other ancillary items. The Company’s Uniform Direct Sales segment consists of the direct sale of uniforms and related items. The Company’s First Aid, Safety and Fire Protection Services segment consists of first aid, safety and fire protection products and services.

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Downloadable PDF version of this valuation:

ModernGraham Valuation of CTAS – July 2016

Stage 1: Is this company suitable for the Defensive Investor or the Enterprising Investor?

What kind of Intelligent Investor are you?

Defensive Investor; must pass 6 out of the following 7 tests.
1. Adequate Size of the Enterprise Market Cap > $2Bil $12,592,815,164 Pass
2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Current Ratio > 2 1.95 Fail
3. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 10 years prior Pass
4. Dividend Record Dividend Payments for 10 years prior Pass
5. Earnings Growth Increase of 33% in EPS in past 10 years using 3 year averages at beginning and end 179.13% Pass
6. Moderate PEmg Ratio PEmg < 20 24.63 Fail
7. Moderate Price to Assets PB Ratio < 2.5 OR PB*PEmg < 50 6.40 Fail
Enterprising Investor; must pass 4 out of the following 5 tests, or be suitable for the Defensive Investor.
1. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Current Ratio > 1.5 1.95 Pass
2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Debt to NCA < 1.1 1.36 Fail
3. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 5 years prior Pass
4. Dividend Record Currently Pays Dividend Pass
5. Earnings Growth EPSmg greater than 5 years ago Pass

Stage 2: Determination of Intrinsic Value

CTAS value chart July 2016

EPSmg $4.36
MG Growth Estimate 15.00%
MG Value $167.73
Opinion Undervalued
MG Grade B
MG Value based on 3% Growth $63.17
MG Value based on 0% Growth $37.03
Market Implied Growth Rate 8.06%
Current Price $107.30
% of Intrinsic Value 63.97%

Cintas Corporation is suitable for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the low current ratio, high PEmg and PB ratios. The Enterprising Investor is only concerned with the level of debt relative to the net current assets. As a result, all Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $2.07 in 2013 to an estimated $4.36 for 2017. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market’s implied estimate of 8.06% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on Benjamin Graham’s formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.

Cintas Corporation performs fairly well in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring a B.

Stage 3: Information for Further Research

CTAS charts July 2016

Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) -$6.11
Graham Number $40.34
PEmg 24.63
Current Ratio 1.95
PB Ratio 6.40
Current Dividend $1.05
Dividend Yield 0.98%
Number of Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth 20

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Most Recent Balance Sheet Figures

Balance Sheet Information 5/1/2016
Total Current Assets $1,590,035,000
Total Current Liabilities $815,555,000
Long-Term Debt $1,050,000,000
Total Assets $4,104,393,000
Intangible Assets $1,375,308,000
Total Liabilities $2,261,734,000
Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) 109,956,000

Earnings Per Share History

Next Fiscal Year Estimate $4.20
May2016 $6.21
May2015 $3.63
May2014 $3.05
May2013 $2.52
May2012 $2.27
May2011 $1.68
May2010 $1.40
May2009 $1.48
May2008 $2.15
May2007 $2.09
May2006 $1.94
May2005 $1.74
May2004 $1.58
May2003 $1.45
May2002 $1.36
May2001 $1.30
May2000 $1.14
May1999 $0.82
May1998 $0.79
May1997 $0.64

Earnings Per Share – ModernGraham History

Next Fiscal Year Estimate $4.36
May2016 $4.14
May2015 $2.94
May2014 $2.46
May2013 $2.07
May2012 $1.83
May2011 $1.66
May2010 $1.70
May2009 $1.86
May2008 $2.00
May2007 $1.87
May2006 $1.71
May2005 $1.56
May2004 $1.43
May2003 $1.31
May2002 $1.19
May2001 $1.05

Recommended Reading:

Other ModernGraham posts about the company

Dividend Growth Stocks for Intelligent Investors – June 2016
Dividend Growth Stocks for Intelligent Investors – February 2016
13 Best Stocks For Value Investors This Week – 12/12/15
Cintas Corp Valuation – December 2015 Update $CTAS
The Best Companies of the Business Support Industry – November 2015

Other ModernGraham posts about related companies

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Avery Dennison Corp Valuation – June 2016 $AVY
Ecolab Inc Valuation – June 2016 $ECL
Paychex Inc Valuation – June 2016 $PAYX
Automatic Data Processing Valuation – May 2016 $ADP
Robert Half International Inc Valuation – February 2016 $RHI
Accenture PLC Valuation – February 2016 $ACN
Cintas Corp Valuation – December 2015 Update $CTAS
Accenture PLC Valuation – February 2016 $ACN

Disclaimer:

The author did not hold a position in any company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours.  See my current holdings here.  This article is not investment advice; any reader should speak to a registered investment adviser prior to making any investment decisions.  ModernGraham is not affiliated with the company in any manner.  Please be sure to review our detailed disclaimer.

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