Benjamin Graham taught that Intelligent Investors must do a thorough fundamental analysis of investment opportunities to determine their intrinsic value and inherent risk. Â This isÂ best done by utilizing a systematic approach to analysis that will provide investors with a sense of how a specific company compares to another companyÂ or by reviewing theÂ 10 Companies Benjamin Graham Would Invest In Today -Â July 2016.Â By using theÂ ModernGraham methodÂ one can review a company’s historical accomplishments and determine an intrinsic value that can be compared across industries. Â What follows is a stock analysis showing a specific look at how SCANA Corporation (SCG)Â fares in theÂ ModernGraham valuation model.
Company ProfileÂ (obtained fromÂ Google Finance): SCANA Corporation is a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, is engaged in generation, transmission, distribution and sale of electricity, and the purchase, sale and transportation of natural gas in North Carolina and South Carolina. It operates through segments, including Electric Operations, Gas Distribution, Retail Gas Marketing, Energy Marketing and All Other. The Electric Operations segment generates, transmits and distributes electricity. The Gas Distribution segment, consists of local distribution operations of South Carolina Electric & Gas Company and Public Service Company of North Carolina, Incorporated, purchases and sells natural gas at retail. Retail Gas Marketing markets natural gas in Georgia. Energy Marketing markets natural gas to industrial and commercial customers, and municipalities in the Southeast. All Other consists of the holding company and its other direct and indirect subsidiaries, which conduct non-regulated, energy-related operations.
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Downloadable PDF version of this valuation:
ModernGraham Valuation of SCG – July 2016
Stage 1: Is this company suitable for the Defensive Investor or the Enterprising Investor?
What kind of Intelligent Investor are you?
|Defensive Investor; must pass 6 out of the following 7 tests.|
|1. Adequate Size of the Enterprise||Market Cap > $2Bil||$10,367,384,595||Pass|
|2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition||Current Ratio > 2||0.60||Fail|
|3. Earnings Stability||Positive EPS for 10 years prior||Pass|
|4. Dividend Record||Dividend Payments for 10 years prior||Pass|
|5. Earnings Growth||Increase of 33% in EPS in past 10 years using 3 year averages at beginning and end||50.23%||Pass|
|6. Moderate PEmg Ratio||PEmg < 20||17.92||Pass|
|7. Moderate Price to Assets||PB Ratio < 2.5 OR PB*PEmg < 50||1.89||Pass|
|Enterprising Investor; must pass 4 out of the following 5 tests, or be suitable for the Defensive Investor.|
|1. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition||Current Ratio > 1.5||0.60||Fail|
|2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition||Debt to NCA < 1.1||-7.22||Fail|
|3. Earnings Stability||Positive EPS for 5 years prior||Pass|
|4. Dividend Record||Currently Pays Dividend||Pass|
|5. Earnings Growth||EPSmg greater than 5 years ago||Pass|
Stage 2: Determination of Intrinsic Value
|MG Growth Estimate||5.33%|
|MG Value based on 3% Growth||$59.24|
|MG Value based on 0% Growth||$34.73|
|Market Implied Growth Rate||4.71%|
|% of Intrinsic Value||93.54%|
SCANA Corporation qualifies for both the Defensive Investor and the Enterprising Investor. The Defensive Investor is only initially concerned with the low current ratio. The Enterprising Investor has concerns regarding the level of debt relative to the current assets. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.
As for a valuation, the company appears to be Fairly Valued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $3.01 in 2012 to an estimated $4.09 for 2016. This level of demonstrated earnings growth supports the market’s implied estimate of 4.71% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on Benjamin Graham’s formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value within a margin of safety relative to the price.
SCANA Corporation performs fairly well in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring a B.
Stage 3: Information for Further Research
|Net Current Asset Value (NCAV)||-$74.26|
|Number of Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth||17|
|ModernGraham tagged articles||Morningstar|
|Google Finance||MSN Money|
|Yahoo Finance||Seeking Alpha|
Most Recent Balance Sheet Figures
|Balance Sheet Information||3/1/2016|
|Total Current Assets||$1,217,000,000|
|Total Current Liabilities||$2,031,000,000|
|Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)||142,900,000|
Earnings Per Share History
|Next Fiscal Year Estimate||$3.82|
Earnings Per Share – ModernGraham History
|Next Fiscal Year Estimate||$4.09|
Other ModernGraham posts about the company
|23 Companies in the Spotlight This Week â€“ 3/9/15|
|Scana Corporation Annual Valuation â€“ 2015 $SCG|
|16 Companies in the Spotlight This Week â€“ 3/1/14|
|SCANA Corporation (SCG) Annual Valuation|
Other ModernGraham posts about related companies
The author did not hold aÂ position in any company mentioned in this articleÂ at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours. Â See my current holdings here. Â This article is not investment advice; any reader should speak to aÂ registeredÂ investment adviser prior to making any investment decisions. Â ModernGraham is not affiliated with the company in any manner. Â Please be sure to review our detailed disclaimer.
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