Benjamin Graham taught that Intelligent Investors must do a thorough fundamental analysis of investment opportunities to determine their intrinsic value and inherent risk.  This is best done by utilizing a systematic approach to analysis that will provide investors with a sense of how a specific company compares to another company or by reviewing the 10 Stocks for Using A Benjamin Graham Value Investing Strategy – December 2016. By using the ModernGraham method one can review a company’s historical accomplishments and determine an intrinsic value that can be compared across industries.  What follows is a stock analysis showing a specific look at how Southside Bancshares Inc (SBSI) fares in the ModernGraham valuation model.
Company Profile (obtained from Google Finance): Southside Bancshares, Inc. (Southside) is a bank holding company for Southside Bank (the Bank). The Company is a community-focused financial institution that offers a range of financial services to individuals, businesses, municipal entities, and nonprofit organizations in the communities. The Company operates through approximately 60 banking centers, over 20 of which are located in grocery stores, and 25 motor bank facilities. Its services include consumer and commercial loans, deposit accounts, trust services, safe deposit services and brokerage services. The Company’s consumer loan services include one- to four-family residential mortgage loans, home equity loans, home improvement loans, automobile loans and other installment loans. The Company’s Commercial real estate loans primarily include loans collateralized by commercial office buildings, retail, medical facilities and offices, warehouse facilities, hotels and churches.
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Downloadable PDF version of this valuation:
ModernGraham Valuation of SBSI – December 2016
Stage 1: Is this company suitable for the Defensive Investor or the Enterprising Investor?
What kind of Intelligent Investor are you?
| Defensive Investor; must pass all 6 of the following tests. | ||||
| 1. Adequate Size of the Enterprise | Market Cap > $2Bil | $1,102,748,012 | Fail | |
| 2. Earnings Stability | Positive EPS for 10 years prior | Pass | ||
| 3. Dividend Record | Dividend Payments for 10 years prior | Pass | ||
| 4. Earnings Growth | Increase of 33% in EPS in past 10 years using 3 year averages at beginning and end | 5.61% | Fail | |
| 5. Moderate PEmg Ratio | PEmg < 20 | 22.96 | Fail | |
| 6. Moderate Price to Assets | PB Ratio < 2.5 OR PB*PEmg < 50 | 2.15 | Pass | |
| Enterprising Investor; must pass all 3 of the following tests, or be suitable for the Defensive Investor. | ||||
| 1. Earnings Stability | Positive EPS for 5 years prior | Pass | ||
| 2. Dividend Record | Currently Pays Dividend | Pass | ||
| 3. Earnings Growth | EPSmg greater than 5 years ago | Fail | ||
Stage 2: Determination of Intrinsic Value
| EPSmg | $1.68 |
| MG Growth Estimate | -0.99% |
| MG Value | $10.93 |
| Opinion | Overvalued |
| MG Grade | F |
| MG Value based on 3% Growth | $24.32 |
| MG Value based on 0% Growth | $14.26 |
| Market Implied Growth Rate | 7.23% |
| Current Price | $38.51 |
| % of Intrinsic Value | 352.25% |
Southside Bancshares, Inc. does not satisfy the requirements of either the Enterprising Investor or the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the small size, insufficient earnings growth over the last ten years, and the high PEmg ratio. The Enterprising Investor has concerns regarding the lack of earnings growth over the last five years. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should explore other opportunities at this time or proceed cautiously with a speculative attitude.
As for a valuation, the company appears to be Overvalued after seeing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) decline from $1.8 in 2012 to an estimated $1.68 for 2016. This level of demonstrated earnings growth does not support the market’s implied estimate of 7.23% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on Benjamin Graham’s formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value below the price.
At the time of valuation, further research into Southside Bancshares, Inc. revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $27.9. The company pays a dividend of $0.24 per share, for a yield of 0.6% Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 22.96, which was above the industry average of 13.43.
Southside Bancshares, Inc. scores quite poorly in the ModernGraham grading system, with an overall grade of F.
Stage 3: Information for Further Research
| Graham Number | $27.90 |
| PEmg | 22.96 |
| PB Ratio | 2.15 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.62% |
| TTM Dividend | $0.24 |
| Number of Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth | 0 |
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Useful Links:
| ModernGraham tagged articles | Morningstar |
| Google Finance | MSN Money |
| Yahoo Finance | Seeking Alpha |
| GuruFocus | SEC Filings |
Most Recent Balance Sheet Figures
| Balance Sheet Information | 9/1/2016 |
| Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation | $621,640,000 |
| Total Assets | $5,464,903,000 |
| Intangible Assets | $96,580,000 |
| Total Liabilities | $4,992,343,000 |
| Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) | 26,415,000 |
Earnings Per Share History
| Next Fiscal Year Estimate | $1.92 |
| Dec2015 | $1.65 |
| Dec2014 | $1.04 |
| Dec2013 | $2.09 |
| Dec2012 | $1.65 |
| Dec2011 | $1.87 |
| Dec2010 | $1.85 |
| Dec2009 | $2.10 |
| Dec2008 | $1.46 |
| Dec2007 | $0.80 |
| Dec2006 | $0.72 |
| Dec2005 | $0.71 |
| Dec2004 | $0.77 |
| Dec2003 | $0.68 |
| Dec2002 | $0.68 |
| Dec2001 | $0.61 |
| Dec2000 | $0.57 |
| Dec1999 | $0.46 |
| Dec1998 | $0.29 |
| Dec1997 | $0.27 |
| Dec1996 | $0.23 |
Earnings Per Share – ModernGraham History
| Next Fiscal Year Estimate | $1.68 |
| Dec2015 | $1.59 |
| Dec2014 | $1.61 |
| Dec2013 | $1.90 |
| Dec2012 | $1.80 |
| Dec2011 | $1.78 |
| Dec2010 | $1.63 |
| Dec2009 | $1.39 |
| Dec2008 | $0.99 |
| Dec2007 | $0.75 |
| Dec2006 | $0.72 |
| Dec2005 | $0.71 |
| Dec2004 | $0.69 |
| Dec2003 | $0.63 |
| Dec2002 | $0.58 |
| Dec2001 | $0.50 |
| Dec2000 | $0.42 |
Recommended Reading:
Other ModernGraham posts about the company
None. Â This is the first time ModernGraham has covered the company.
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Disclaimer:
The author did not hold a position in any company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours.  See my current holdings here.  This article is not investment advice; any reader should speak to a registered investment adviser prior to making any investment decisions.  ModernGraham is not affiliated with the company in any manner.  Please be sure to review our detailed disclaimer.
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