World Fuel Services Corp Valuation – Initial Coverage $INT

Benjamin Graham taught that Intelligent Investors must do a thorough fundamental analysis of investment opportunities to determine their intrinsic value and inherent risk.  This is best done by utilizing a systematic approach to analysis that will provide investors with a sense of how a specific company compares to another company or by reviewing the 10 Stocks for Using A Benjamin Graham Value Investing Strategy – December 2016.  By using the ModernGraham method one can review a company’s historical accomplishments and determine an intrinsic value that can be compared across industries.  What follows is a stock analysis showing a specific look at how World Fuel Services Corp (INT) fares in the ModernGraham valuation model.

Company Profile (obtained from Google Finance): World Fuel Services Corporation is a fuel logistics, transaction management and payment processing company. The Company operates through three segments: aviation, marine and land. The aviation segment offers fuel and related services to commercial airlines second and third-tier airlines, cargo carriers, regional carriers, airports, fixed based operators, corporate fleets, fractional operators, private aircraft and military fleets. The marine segment offers fuel, lubricants, and related products and services to a base of marine customers, including international container and tanker fleets, commercial cruise lines, yachts and time-charter operators, the United States and foreign Governments, as well as other fuel suppliers. The land segment offers fuel, lubricants, and related products and services to petroleum distributors operating in the land transportation market, retail petroleum operators, and industrial, commercial, residential and government customers.

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Premium members can view a full ModernGraham valuation of the company and have access to download a PDF version of the valuation for easy reference. Recent valuations of the components of the Dow Jones Industrial Average are available for free members, including this one of Microsoft Corporation.  In addition, here is a post detailing what can be found within each individual company’s valuation.


Downloadable PDF version of this valuation:

ModernGraham Valuation of INT – December 2016

Stage 1: Is this company suitable for the Defensive Investor or the Enterprising Investor?

What kind of Intelligent Investor are you?

Defensive Investor; must pass 6 out of the following 7 tests.
1. Adequate Size of the Enterprise Market Cap > $2Bil $3,278,104,312 Pass
2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Current Ratio > 2 1.93 Fail
3. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 10 years prior Pass
4. Dividend Record Dividend Payments for 10 years prior Pass
5. Earnings Growth Increase of 33% in EPS in past 10 years using 3 year averages at beginning and end 66.36% Pass
6. Moderate PEmg Ratio PEmg < 20 17.26 Pass
7. Moderate Price to Assets PB Ratio < 2.5 OR PB*PEmg < 50 1.63 Pass
Enterprising Investor; must pass 4 out of the following 5 tests, or be suitable for the Defensive Investor.
1. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Current Ratio > 1.5 1.93 Pass
2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Debt to NCA < 1.1 0.62 Pass
3. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 5 years prior Pass
4. Dividend Record Currently Pays Dividend Pass
5. Earnings Growth EPSmg greater than 5 years ago Pass

Stage 2: Determination of Intrinsic Value

EPSmg $2.67
MG Growth Estimate 1.35%
MG Value $29.85
Opinion Overvalued
MG Grade C+
MG Value based on 3% Growth $38.66
MG Value based on 0% Growth $22.66
Market Implied Growth Rate 4.38%
Current Price $46.02
% of Intrinsic Value 154.15%

World Fuel Services Corp qualifies for both the Defensive Investor and the Enterprising Investor. The Defensive Investor is only initially concerned with the low current ratio. The Enterprising Investor has no initial concerns. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Overvalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $2.45 in 2012 to an estimated $2.67 for 2016. This level of demonstrated earnings growth does not support the market’s implied estimate of 4.38% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value below the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into World Fuel Services Corp revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $38.47. The company pays a dividend of $0.24 per share, for a yield of 0.5% Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 17.26, which was below the industry average of 69.19, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $8.08.

World Fuel Services Corp receives an average overall rating in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring a C+.

Stage 3: Information for Further Research

Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) $8.08
Graham Number $38.47
PEmg 17.26
Current Ratio 1.93
PB Ratio 1.63
Current Dividend $0.24
Dividend Yield 0.52%
Number of Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth 2


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Most Recent Balance Sheet Figures

Balance Sheet Information 9/1/2016
Total Current Assets $3,752,500,000
Total Current Liabilities $1,948,200,000
Long-Term Debt $1,110,100,000
Total Assets $5,152,500,000
Intangible Assets $1,139,700,000
Total Liabilities $3,190,900,000
Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) 69,500,000

Earnings Per Share History

Next Fiscal Year Estimate $2.36
Dec2015 $2.64
Dec2014 $3.11
Dec2013 $2.83
Dec2012 $2.64
Dec2011 $2.71
Dec2010 $2.31
Dec2009 $1.96
Dec2008 $1.80
Dec2007 $1.12
Dec2006 $1.11
Dec2005 $0.79
Dec2004 $0.61
Dec2003 $0.50
Mar2002 $0.40
Mar2001 $0.25
Mar2000 $0.20
Mar1999 $0.30
Mar1998 $0.32
Mar1997 $0.27
Mar1996 $0.23

Earnings Per Share – ModernGraham History

Next Fiscal Year Estimate $2.67
Dec2015 $2.81
Dec2014 $2.83
Dec2013 $2.63
Dec2012 $2.45
Dec2011 $2.23
Dec2010 $1.88
Dec2009 $1.56
Dec2008 $1.26
Dec2007 $0.94
Dec2006 $0.79
Dec2005 $0.59
Dec2004 $0.46
Dec2003 $0.37
Mar2002 $0.30
Mar2001 $0.26
Mar2000 $0.26

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The author did not hold a position in any company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours.  See my current holdings here.  This article is not investment advice; any reader should speak to a registered investment adviser prior to making any investment decisions.  ModernGraham is not affiliated with the company in any manner.  Please be sure to review our detailed disclaimer.

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