Inter Parfums Inc Valuation – Initial Coverage $IPAR
Benjamin Graham taught that Intelligent Investors must do a thorough fundamental analysis of investment opportunities to determine their intrinsic value and inherent risk.  This is best done by utilizing a systematic approach to analysis that will provide investors with a sense of how a specific company compares to another company or by reviewing the 10 Stocks for Using A Benjamin Graham Value Investing Strategy – December 2016. By using the ModernGraham method one can review a company’s historical accomplishments and determine an intrinsic value that can be compared across industries.  What follows is a stock analysis showing a specific look at how Inter Parfums Inc (IPAR) fares in the ModernGraham valuation model.
Company Profile (obtained from Google Finance): Inter Parfums, Inc. operates in the fragrance business. The Company manufactures, markets and distributes fragrances and fragrance-related products. It operates in two segments: European based operations and United States based operations. Under its European Operations, the Company produces and distributes fragrance products primarily under license agreements with brand owners and its prestige brands include Balmain, Boucheron, Coach, Jimmy Choo, Karl Lagerfeld, Lanvin, Montblanc, Paul Smith, S.T. Dupont, Repetto, Rochas and Van Cleef & Arpels. Prestige brand fragrance products are also marketed under its United States operations. These fragrance products are sold under trademarks owned by the Company or pursuant to license or other agreements with the owners of brands, which include Abercrombie & Fitch, Agent Provocateur, Anna Sui, Banana Republic, bebe, Dunhill, Hollister, French Connection, Oscar de la Renta, and Shanghai Tang brands.
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Downloadable PDF version of this valuation:
ModernGraham Valuation of IPAR – December 2016
Stage 1: Is this company suitable for the Defensive Investor or the Enterprising Investor?
What kind of Intelligent Investor are you?
| Defensive Investor; must pass 6 out of the following 7 tests. | ||||
| 1. Adequate Size of the Enterprise | Market Cap > $2Bil | $1,054,498,566 | Fail | |
| 2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition | Current Ratio > 2 | 3.65 | Pass | |
| 3. Earnings Stability | Positive EPS for 10 years prior | Pass | ||
| 4. Dividend Record | Dividend Payments for 10 years prior | Pass | ||
| 5. Earnings Growth | Increase of 33% in EPS in past 10 years using 3 year averages at beginning and end | 31.28% | Fail | |
| 6. Moderate PEmg Ratio | PEmg < 20 | 27.18 | Fail | |
| 7. Moderate Price to Assets | PB Ratio < 2.5 OR PB*PEmg < 50 | 2.74 | Fail | |
| Enterprising Investor; must pass 4 out of the following 5 tests, or be suitable for the Defensive Investor. | ||||
| 1. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition | Current Ratio > 1.5 | 3.65 | Pass | |
| 2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition | Debt to NCA < 1.1 | 0.18 | Pass | |
| 3. Earnings Stability | Positive EPS for 5 years prior | Pass | ||
| 4. Dividend Record | Currently Pays Dividend | Pass | ||
| 5. Earnings Growth | EPSmg greater than 5 years ago | Fail | ||
Stage 2: Determination of Intrinsic Value
| EPSmg | $1.25 |
| MG Growth Estimate | -4.25% |
| MG Value | $5.34 |
| Opinion | Overvalued |
| MG Grade | C- |
| MG Value based on 3% Growth | $18.19 |
| MG Value based on 0% Growth | $10.66 |
| Market Implied Growth Rate | 9.34% |
| Current Price | $34.10 |
| % of Intrinsic Value | 638.91% |
Inter Parfums, Inc. is suitable for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the small size, insufficient earnings growth over the last ten years, and the high PEmg and PB ratios. The Enterprising Investor is only concerned with the lack of earnings growth over the last five years. As a result, all Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.
As for a valuation, the company appears to be Overvalued after seeing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) decline from $2.02 in 2012 to an estimated $1.25 for 2016. This level of demonstrated earnings growth does not support the market’s implied estimate of 9.34% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value below the price.
At the time of valuation, further research into Inter Parfums, Inc. revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $17.18. The company pays a dividend of $0.58 per share, for a yield of 1.7% Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 27.18, which was above the industry average of 26.36. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $5.34.
Inter Parfums, Inc. receives an average overall rating in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring a C-.
Stage 3: Information for Further Research
| Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) | $5.34 |
| Graham Number | $17.18 |
| PEmg | 27.18 |
| Current Ratio | 3.65 |
| PB Ratio | 2.74 |
| Current Dividend | $0.58 |
| Dividend Yield | 1.70% |
| Number of Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth | 2 |
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Useful Links:
| ModernGraham tagged articles | Morningstar |
| Google Finance | MSN Money |
| Yahoo Finance | Seeking Alpha |
| GuruFocus | SEC Filings |
Most Recent Balance Sheet Figures
| Balance Sheet Information | 9/1/2016 |
| Total Current Assets | $483,551,000 |
| Total Current Liabilities | $132,460,000 |
| Long-Term Debt | $61,858,000 |
| Total Assets | $705,599,000 |
| Intangible Assets | $202,308,000 |
| Total Liabilities | $317,184,000 |
| Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) | 31,171,000 |
Earnings Per Share History
| Next Fiscal Year Estimate | $1.05 |
| Dec2015 | $0.98 |
| Dec2014 | $0.95 |
| Dec2013 | $1.27 |
| Dec2012 | $4.26 |
| Dec2011 | $1.05 |
| Dec2010 | $0.87 |
| Dec2009 | $0.74 |
| Dec2008 | $0.77 |
| Dec2007 | $0.76 |
| Dec2006 | $0.57 |
| Dec2005 | $0.50 |
| Dec2004 | $0.51 |
| Dec2003 | $0.46 |
| Dec2002 | $0.31 |
| Dec2001 | $0.27 |
| Dec2000 | $0.23 |
| Dec1999 | $0.18 |
| Dec1998 | $0.15 |
| Dec1997 | $0.14 |
| Dec1996 | $0.17 |
Earnings Per Share – ModernGraham History
| Next Fiscal Year Estimate | $1.25 |
| Dec2015 | $1.47 |
| Dec2014 | $1.71 |
| Dec2013 | $1.93 |
| Dec2012 | $2.02 |
| Dec2011 | $0.88 |
| Dec2010 | $0.78 |
| Dec2009 | $0.71 |
| Dec2008 | $0.67 |
| Dec2007 | $0.61 |
| Dec2006 | $0.51 |
| Dec2005 | $0.46 |
| Dec2004 | $0.41 |
| Dec2003 | $0.33 |
| Dec2002 | $0.26 |
| Dec2001 | $0.22 |
| Dec2000 | $0.18 |
Recommended Reading:
Other ModernGraham posts about the company
None. Â This is the first time ModernGraham has covered the company.
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Disclaimer:
The author did not hold a position in any company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours.  See my current holdings here.  This article is not investment advice; any reader should speak to a registered investment adviser prior to making any investment decisions.  ModernGraham is not affiliated with the company in any manner.  Please be sure to review our detailed disclaimer.
