ITT Inc Valuation – Initial Coverage $ITT

Benjamin Graham taught that Intelligent Investors must do a thorough fundamental analysis of investment opportunities to determine their intrinsic value and inherent risk.  This is best done by utilizing a systematic approach to analysis that will provide investors with a sense of how a specific company compares to another company or by reviewing the 10 Stocks for Using A Benjamin Graham Value Investing Strategy – January 2017.  By using the ModernGraham method one can review a company’s historical accomplishments and determine an intrinsic value that can be compared across industries.  What follows is a stock analysis showing a specific look at how ITT Inc (ITT) fares in the ModernGraham valuation model.

ITT Chart

ITT data by YCharts

To read the details of this valuation, you must be logged in as a premium member. If you are not a premium member, please consider becoming one.

Premium members can view a full ModernGraham valuation of the company and have access to download a PDF version of the valuation for easy reference. Recent valuations of the components of the Dow Jones Industrial Average are available for free members, including this one of Microsoft Corporation.  In addition, here is a post detailing what can be found within each individual company’s valuation.


Downloadable PDF version of this valuation:

ModernGraham Valuation of ITT – January 2017

Stage 1: Is this company suitable for the Defensive Investor or the Enterprising Investor?

What kind of Intelligent Investor are you?

Defensive Investor; must pass 6 out of the following 7 tests.
1. Adequate Size of the Enterprise Market Cap > $2Bil $3,721,158,000 Pass
2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Current Ratio > 2 1.61 Fail
3. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 10 years prior Fail
4. Dividend Record Dividend Payments for 10 years prior Pass
5. Earnings Growth Increase of 33% in EPS in past 10 years using 3 year averages at beginning and end -66.15% Fail
6. Moderate PEmg Ratio PEmg < 20 14.26 Pass
7. Moderate Price to Assets PB Ratio < 2.5 OR PB*PEmg < 50 2.59 Pass
Enterprising Investor; must pass 4 out of the following 5 tests, or be suitable for the Defensive Investor.
1. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Current Ratio > 1.5 1.61 Pass
2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Debt to NCA < 1.1 0.00 Pass
3. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 5 years prior Pass
4. Dividend Record Currently Pays Dividend Pass
5. Earnings Growth EPSmg greater than 5 years ago Fail

Stage 2: Determination of Intrinsic Value

EPSmg $2.95
MG Growth Estimate -1.73%
MG Value $14.85
Opinion Overvalued
MG Grade C
MG Value based on 3% Growth $42.73
MG Value based on 0% Growth $25.05
Market Implied Growth Rate 2.88%
Current Price $42.03
% of Intrinsic Value 282.94%

ITT Inc. is suitable for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the low current ratio, insufficient earnings stability or growth over the last ten years. The Enterprising Investor is only concerned with the lack of earnings growth over the last five years. As a result, all Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Overvalued after seeing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) decline from $3.33 in 2012 to an estimated $2.95 for 2016. This level of demonstrated earnings growth does not support the market’s implied estimate of 2.88% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value below the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into ITT Inc. revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $28.31. The company pays a dividend of $0.49 per share, for a yield of 1.2% Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 14.26, which was below the industry average of 27.42, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $-8.31.

ITT Inc. receives an average overall rating in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring a C.

Stage 3: Information for Further Research

Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) -$8.31
Graham Number $28.31
PEmg 14.26
Current Ratio 1.61
PB Ratio 2.59
Current Dividend $0.49
Dividend Yield 1.17%
Number of Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth 4


Useful Links:

ModernGraham tagged articles Morningstar
Google Finance MSN Money
Yahoo Finance Seeking Alpha
GuruFocus SEC Filings

Most Recent Balance Sheet Figures

Balance Sheet Information 9/1/2016
Total Current Assets $1,515,800,000
Total Current Liabilities $938,900,000
Long-Term Debt $0
Total Assets $3,717,600,000
Intangible Assets $951,200,000
Total Liabilities $2,261,600,000
Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) 89,700,000

Earnings Per Share History

EPS History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $2.16
Dec2015 $3.88
Dec2014 $1.99
Dec2013 $5.29
Dec2012 $1.33
Dec2011 -$1.40
Dec2010 $8.75
Dec2009 $7.00
Dec2008 $8.66
Dec2007 $8.06
Dec2006 $6.20
Dec2005 $3.82
Dec2004 $4.58
Dec2003 $4.30
Dec2002 $4.06
Dec2001 $3.05
Dec2000 $2.94
Dec1999 $2.53
Dec1998 $13.55
Dec1997 $0.89
Dec1996 $1.85

Earnings Per Share – ModernGraham History

EPSmg History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $2.95
Dec2015 $2.97
Dec2014 $2.74
Dec2013 $3.47
Dec2012 $3.33
Dec2011 $4.96
Dec2010 $8.00
Dec2009 $7.34
Dec2008 $7.09
Dec2007 $6.00
Dec2006 $4.85
Dec2005 $4.10
Dec2004 $4.09
Dec2003 $3.69
Dec2002 $4.00
Dec2001 $4.17
Dec2000 $4.61

Recommended Reading:

Other ModernGraham posts about the company

None. This is the first time ModernGraham has covered the company.

Other ModernGraham posts about related companies

E I du Pont de Nemours & Co Valuation – August 2016 $DD
3M Company Valuation – August 2016 $MMM
General Electric Co Valuation – July 2016 $GE
Illinois Tool Works Inc Valuation – July 2016 $ITW
Raven Industries Inc Valuation – July 2016 $RAVN
E.I. du Pont de Nemours Valuation – February 2016 $DD
Honeywell International Inc Valuation – February 2016 $HON
3M Company Valuation – February 2016 Update $MMM
Raven Industries Inc Valuation – January 2016 Update $RAVN
Illinois Tool Works Inc Valuation – January 2016 Update $ITW


The author did not hold a position in any company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours.  See my current holdings here.  This article is not investment advice; any reader should speak to a registered investment adviser prior to making any investment decisions.  ModernGraham is not affiliated with the company in any manner.  Please be sure to review our detailed disclaimer.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.