Cohu Inc Valuation – Initial Coverage $COHU

Benjamin Graham taught that Intelligent Investors must do a thorough fundamental analysis of investment opportunities to determine their intrinsic value and inherent risk.  This is best done by utilizing a systematic approach to analysis that will provide investors with a sense of how a specific company compares to another company or by reviewing the 10 Stocks for Using A Benjamin Graham Value Investing Strategy – January 2017.  By using the ModernGraham method one can review a company’s historical accomplishments and determine an intrinsic value that can be compared across industries.  What follows is a stock analysis showing a specific look at how Cohu Inc (COHU) fares in the ModernGraham valuation model.

Company Profile (obtained from Google Finance): Cohu, Inc. is a supplier of semiconductor test and inspection handlers, micro-electro mechanical system (MEMS) test modules, test contactors and thermal sub-systems used by global semiconductor manufacturers and test subcontractors. The Company develops, manufactures, sells and services a line of equipment capable of handling a range of integrated circuits and light-emitting diodes (LEDs). It operates through semiconductor equipment segment. It offers products for the pick-and-place, gravity-feed, test-in-strip and turret handling, MEMS, burn-in and system-level test markets. It sells various products, including Delta EDGE, Delta MATRiX, Delta Pyramid, Delta Summit, Delta Eclipse, Delta LinX, Rasco SO1000, Rasco SO2000, Rasco Saturn and Jupiter, Rasco Jaguar, Ismeca NY32, Ismeca NY20 and Delta Fusion HD. Its principal manufacturing operations are located in Poway, California (Delta); Laguna, Philippines; Kolbermoor, Germany (Rasco), and Suzhou, China (Ismeca-kits).

COHU Chart

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Premium members can view a full ModernGraham valuation of the company and have access to download a PDF version of the valuation for easy reference. Recent valuations of the components of the Dow Jones Industrial Average are available for free members, including this one of Microsoft Corporation.  In addition, here is a post detailing what can be found within each individual company’s valuation.


Downloadable PDF version of this valuation:

ModernGraham Valuation of COHU – February 2017

Stage 1: Is this company suitable for the Defensive Investor or the Enterprising Investor?

What kind of Intelligent Investor are you?

Defensive Investor; must pass 6 out of the following 7 tests.
1. Adequate Size of the Enterprise Market Cap > $2Bil $358,164,122 Fail
2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Current Ratio > 2 3.79 Pass
3. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 10 years prior Fail
4. Dividend Record Dividend Payments for 10 years prior Pass
5. Earnings Growth Increase of 33% in EPS in past 10 years using 3 year averages at beginning and end -141.28% Fail
6. Moderate PEmg Ratio PEmg < 20 -123.09 Fail
7. Moderate Price to Assets PB Ratio < 2.5 OR PB*PEmg < 50 1.49 Fail
Enterprising Investor; must pass 4 out of the following 5 tests, or be suitable for the Defensive Investor.
1. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Current Ratio > 1.5 3.79 Pass
2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Debt to NCA < 1.1 0.00 Pass
3. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 5 years prior Fail
4. Dividend Record Currently Pays Dividend Pass
5. Earnings Growth EPSmg greater than 5 years ago Fail

Stage 2: Determination of Intrinsic Value

EPSmg -$0.11
MG Growth Estimate -4.25%
MG Value $4.91
Opinion Overvalued
MG Grade D
MG Value based on 3% Growth -$1.55
MG Value based on 0% Growth -$0.91
Market Implied Growth Rate -65.80%
Current Price $13.13
% of Intrinsic Value 267.54%

Cohu, Inc. does not satisfy the requirements of either the Enterprising Investor or the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the small size, insufficient earnings stability or growth over the last ten years, and the high PEmg and PB ratios. The Enterprising Investor has concerns regarding the lack of earnings stability or growth over the last five years. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should explore other opportunities at this time or proceed cautiously with a speculative attitude.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Overvalued after seeing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) decline from $0.03 in 2012 to an estimated $-0.11 for 2016. This level of negative earnings does not support a positive valuation.As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value below the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Cohu, Inc. revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $4.73. The company pays a dividend of $0.24 per share, for a yield of 1.8% Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was -123.09, which was below the industry average of 28.12, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $4.91.

Cohu, Inc. scores quite poorly in the ModernGraham grading system, with an overall grade of D.

Stage 3: Information for Further Research

Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) $4.91
Graham Number $4.73
PEmg -123.09
Current Ratio 3.79
PB Ratio 1.49
Current Dividend $0.24
Dividend Yield 1.83%
Number of Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth 0


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Most Recent Balance Sheet Figures

Balance Sheet Information 9/1/2016
Total Current Assets $240,833,000
Total Current Liabilities $63,530,000
Long-Term Debt $0
Total Assets $347,488,000
Intangible Assets $81,366,000
Total Liabilities $106,525,000
Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) 27,367,000

Earnings Per Share History

EPS History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $0.11
Dec2015 $0.01
Dec2014 $0.33
Dec2013 -$1.34
Dec2012 -$0.50
Dec2011 $0.64
Dec2010 $1.02
Dec2009 -$1.20
Dec2008 -$0.23
Dec2007 $0.34
Dec2006 $0.77
Dec2005 $1.50
Dec2004 $0.76
Dec2003 $0.00
Dec2002 -$0.04
Dec2001 -$0.32
Dec2000 $1.60
Dec1999 $1.26
Dec1998 $0.58
Dec1997 $1.47
Dec1996 $1.25

Earnings Per Share – ModernGraham History

EPSmg History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate -$0.11
Dec2015 -$0.20
Dec2014 -$0.19
Dec2013 -$0.40
Dec2012 $0.03
Dec2011 $0.24
Dec2010 $0.07
Dec2009 -$0.19
Dec2008 $0.42
Dec2007 $0.72
Dec2006 $0.81
Dec2005 $0.68
Dec2004 $0.31
Dec2003 $0.22
Dec2002 $0.43
Dec2001 $0.75
Dec2000 $1.26

Recommended Reading:

Other ModernGraham posts about the company

None. This is the first time ModernGraham has covered the company.

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The author did not hold a position in any company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours.  See my current holdings here.  This article is not investment advice; any reader should speak to a registered investment adviser prior to making any investment decisions.  ModernGraham is not affiliated with the company in any manner.  Please be sure to review our detailed disclaimer.

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