Core-Mark Holding Company Inc Valuation – Initial Coverage $CORE
Benjamin Graham taught that Intelligent Investors must do a thorough fundamental analysis of investment opportunities to determine their intrinsic value and inherent risk.  This is best done by utilizing a systematic approach to analysis that will provide investors with a sense of how a specific company compares to another company or by reviewing the 10 Stocks for Using A Benjamin Graham Value Investing Strategy – January 2017. By using the ModernGraham method one can review a company’s historical accomplishments and determine an intrinsic value that can be compared across industries.  What follows is a stock analysis showing a specific look at how Core-Mark Holding Company Inc (CORE) fares in the ModernGraham valuation model.
Company Profile (obtained from Google Finance): Core-Mark Holding Company, Inc. is a wholesale distributor to the convenience retail industry in North America. The Company provides sales, marketing, distribution and logistics services to over 36,500 customer locations across the United States and Canada through over 30 distribution centers. The Company’s segments include the United States, Canada and Corporate. The Company’s primary customer base consists of traditional convenience stores, as well as alternative outlets selling consumer packaged goods. The Company’s product categories include cigarettes; food; candy; other tobacco products; health, beauty and general; beverages, and equipment/other. The Company’s food products include fast food, candy, snacks, groceries, beverages and fresh products, such as sandwiches, juices, salads, produce, dairy and bread. The Company’s non-food products include cigars, tobacco, health and beauty care products, general merchandise and equipment.
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Downloadable PDF version of this valuation:
ModernGraham Valuation of CORE – February 2017
Stage 1: Is this company suitable for the Defensive Investor or the Enterprising Investor?
What kind of Intelligent Investor are you?
| Defensive Investor; must pass 6 out of the following 7 tests. | ||||
| 1. Adequate Size of the Enterprise | Market Cap > $2Bil | $1,598,593,331 | Fail | |
| 2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition | Current Ratio > 2 | 2.07 | Pass | |
| 3. Earnings Stability | Positive EPS for 10 years prior | Pass | ||
| 4. Dividend Record | Dividend Payments for 10 years prior | Fail | ||
| 5. Earnings Growth | Increase of 33% in EPS in past 10 years using 3 year averages at beginning and end | 58.64% | Pass | |
| 6. Moderate PEmg Ratio | PEmg < 20 | 32.55 | Fail | |
| 7. Moderate Price to Assets | PB Ratio < 2.5 OR PB*PEmg < 50 | 3.08 | Fail | |
| Enterprising Investor; must pass 4 out of the following 5 tests, or be suitable for the Defensive Investor. | ||||
| 1. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition | Current Ratio > 1.5 | 2.07 | Pass | |
| 2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition | Debt to NCA < 1.1 | 0.47 | Pass | |
| 3. Earnings Stability | Positive EPS for 5 years prior | Pass | ||
| 4. Dividend Record | Currently Pays Dividend | Pass | ||
| 5. Earnings Growth | EPSmg greater than 5 years ago | Pass | ||
Stage 2: Determination of Intrinsic Value
| EPSmg | $1.05 |
| MG Growth Estimate | 9.50% |
| MG Value | $28.86 |
| Opinion | Overvalued |
| MG Grade | C- |
| MG Value based on 3% Growth | $15.21 |
| MG Value based on 0% Growth | $8.92 |
| Market Implied Growth Rate | 12.03% |
| Current Price | $34.15 |
| % of Intrinsic Value | 118.34% |
Core-Mark Holding Company, Inc. is suitable for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the small size, poor dividend history, and the high PEmg and PB ratios. The Enterprising Investor has no initial concerns. As a result, all Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.
As for a valuation, the company appears to be Overvalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $0.64 in 2012 to an estimated $1.05 for 2016. This level of demonstrated earnings growth does not support the market’s implied estimate of 12.03% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value below the price.
At the time of valuation, further research into Core-Mark Holding Company, Inc. revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $17.44. The company pays a dividend of $0.32 per share, for a yield of 0.9% Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 32.55, which was above the industry average of 19.87. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $4.71.
Core-Mark Holding Company, Inc. receives an average overall rating in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring a C-.
Stage 3: Information for Further Research
| Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) | $4.71 |
| Graham Number | $17.44 |
| PEmg | 32.55 |
| Current Ratio | 2.07 |
| PB Ratio | 3.08 |
| Current Dividend | $0.32 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.94% |
| Number of Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth | 3 |
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Useful Links:
| ModernGraham tagged articles | Morningstar |
| Google Finance | MSN Money |
| Yahoo Finance | Seeking Alpha |
| GuruFocus | SEC Filings |
Most Recent Balance Sheet Figures
| Balance Sheet Information | 9/1/2016 |
| Total Current Assets | $1,086,400,000 |
| Total Current Liabilities | $525,400,000 |
| Long-Term Debt | $262,000,000 |
| Total Assets | $1,383,800,000 |
| Intangible Assets | $77,000,000 |
| Total Liabilities | $867,500,000 |
| Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) | 46,500,000 |
Earnings Per Share History
| EPS History | |
| Next Fiscal Year Estimate | $1.21 |
| Dec2015 | $1.11 |
| Dec2014 | $0.92 |
| Dec2013 | $0.90 |
| Dec2012 | $0.73 |
| Dec2011 | $0.56 |
| Dec2010 | $0.39 |
| Dec2009 | $1.09 |
| Dec2008 | $0.41 |
| Dec2007 | $0.54 |
| Dec2006 | $0.47 |
| Dec2005 | $0.34 |
| Dec2004 | $1.43 |
| Dec2003 | -$6.84 |
| Dec2002 | $1.02 |
| Dec2001 | $0.45 |
Earnings Per Share – ModernGraham History
| EPSmg History | |
| Next Fiscal Year Estimate | $1.05 |
| Dec2015 | $0.93 |
| Dec2014 | $0.79 |
| Dec2013 | $0.73 |
| Dec2012 | $0.64 |
| Dec2011 | $0.60 |
| Dec2010 | $0.60 |
| Dec2009 | $0.66 |
| Dec2008 | $0.51 |
| Dec2007 | $0.11 |
| Dec2006 | -$0.31 |
| Dec2005 | -$0.71 |
| Dec2004 | -$1.08 |
| Dec2003 | -$1.92 |
| Dec2002 | $0.46 |
| Dec2001 | $0.15 |
Recommended Reading:
Other ModernGraham posts about the company
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Disclaimer:
The author did not hold a position in any company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours.  See my current holdings here.  This article is not investment advice; any reader should speak to a registered investment adviser prior to making any investment decisions.  ModernGraham is not affiliated with the company in any manner.  Please be sure to review our detailed disclaimer.
