Benjamin Graham taught that Intelligent Investors must do a thorough fundamental analysis of investment opportunities to determine their intrinsic value and inherent risk. This is best done by utilizing a systematic approach to analysis that will provide investors with a sense of how a specific company compares to another company or by reviewing the 10 Stocks for Using A Benjamin Graham Value Investing Strategy – February 2017. By using the ModernGraham method one can review a company’s historical accomplishments and determine an intrinsic value that can be compared across industries. What follows is a stock analysis showing a specific look at how Simpson Manufacturing Co (SSD) fares in the ModernGraham valuation model.
Company Profile (obtained from Google Finance): Simpson Manufacturing Co., Inc. through its subsidiary, Simpson Strong-Tie Company Inc. (SST), designs, engineers and manufactures wood construction products, including connectors, truss plates, fastening systems and lateral systems used in light-frame construction. It also offers concrete construction products used for concrete, masonry, steel and for concrete repair, protection and strengthening, including adhesives, chemicals, mechanical anchors, carbide drill bits, powder actuated tools and fiber reinforced materials. It operates in three segments: North America, Europe and Asia/Pacific. The North America segment includes operations in the United States and Canada. The Europe segment includes operations in France, the United Kingdom, Germany, Denmark, Switzerland, Portugal and Poland. The Asia/Pacific segment includes operations in China, Hong Kong, Thailand, Australia, New Zealand, South Africa and the Middle East. Its segments sell both wood and concrete construction products.
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Downloadable PDF version of this valuation:
Stage 1: Is this company suitable for the Defensive Investor or the Enterprising Investor?
|Defensive Investor; must pass 6 out of the following 7 tests.|
|1. Adequate Size of the Enterprise||Market Cap > $2Bil||$2,055,537,481||Pass|
|2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition||Current Ratio > 2||5.38||Pass|
|3. Earnings Stability||Positive EPS for 10 years prior||Pass|
|4. Dividend Record||Dividend Payments for 10 years prior||Pass|
|5. Earnings Growth||Increase of 33% in EPS in past 10 years using 3 year averages at beginning and end||167.36%||Pass|
|6. Moderate PEmg Ratio||PEmg < 20||26.23||Fail|
|7. Moderate Price to Assets||PB Ratio < 2.5 OR PB*PEmg < 50||2.39||Pass|
|Enterprising Investor; must pass 4 out of the following 5 tests, or be suitable for the Defensive Investor.|
|1. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition||Current Ratio > 1.5||5.38||Pass|
|2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition||Debt to NCA < 1.1||0.00||Pass|
|3. Earnings Stability||Positive EPS for 5 years prior||Pass|
|4. Dividend Record||Currently Pays Dividend||Pass|
|5. Earnings Growth||EPSmg greater than 5 years ago||Pass|
Stage 2: Determination of Intrinsic Value
|MG Growth Estimate||13.07%|
|MG Value based on 3% Growth||$23.98|
|MG Value based on 0% Growth||$14.06|
|Market Implied Growth Rate||8.87%|
|% of Intrinsic Value||75.75%|
Simpson Manufacturing Co, Inc. qualifies for both the Defensive Investor and the Enterprising Investor. The Defensive Investor is only initially concerned with the high PEmg ratio. The Enterprising Investor has no initial concerns. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.
As for a valuation, the company appears to be Fairly Valued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $0.88 in 2013 to an estimated $1.65 for 2017. This level of demonstrated earnings growth supports the market’s implied estimate of 8.87% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value within a margin of safety relative to the price.
At the time of valuation, further research into Simpson Manufacturing Co, Inc. revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $28.05. The company pays a dividend of $0.7 per share, for a yield of 1.6% Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 26.23, which was below the industry average of 28.49, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $9.87.
Simpson Manufacturing Co, Inc. performs fairly well in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring a B-.
Stage 3: Information for Further Research
|Net Current Asset Value (NCAV)||$9.87|
|Number of Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth||4|
|ModernGraham tagged articles||Morningstar|
|Google Finance||MSN Money|
|Yahoo Finance||Seeking Alpha|
Most Recent Balance Sheet Figures
|Balance Sheet Information||12/1/2016|
|Total Current Assets||$585,247,000|
|Total Current Liabilities||$108,796,000|
|Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)||47,754,000|
Earnings Per Share History
|Next Fiscal Year Estimate||$1.92|
Earnings Per Share – ModernGraham History
|Next Fiscal Year Estimate||$1.65|
Other ModernGraham posts about the company
None. This is the first time ModernGraham has covered the company.
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The author did not hold a position in any company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours. See my current holdings here. This article is not investment advice; any reader should speak to a registered investment adviser prior to making any investment decisions. ModernGraham is not affiliated with the company in any manner. Please be sure to review our detailed disclaimer.