Medical Stocks

CorVel Corp Valuation – Initial Coverage $CRVL

Benjamin Graham taught that Intelligent Investors must do a thorough fundamental analysis of investment opportunities to determine their intrinsic value and inherent risk.  This is best done by utilizing a systematic approach to analysis that will provide investors with a sense of how a specific company compares to another company or by reviewing the 10 Stocks for Using A Benjamin Graham Value Investing Strategy – February 2017.  By using the ModernGraham method one can review a company’s historical accomplishments and determine an intrinsic value that can be compared across industries.  What follows is a stock analysis showing a specific look at how CorVel Corporation (CRVL) fares in the ModernGraham valuation model.

Company Profile (obtained from Google Finance): CorVel Corporation (Corvel) is a provider of workers’ compensation solutions for employers, third party administrators, insurance companies and government agencies. The Company offers its services as a bundled solution, which includes claims management, as a standalone service, or as add-on services to existing customers. The Company offers its services as a bundled solution, which includes claims management, as a standalone service, or as add-on services to existing customers. The Company’s network solutions include bill review, preferred provider organization (PPO) management, professional review, provider reimbursement, pharmacy services, directed care services, medicare solutions and clearinghouse services. The Company’s patient management services include claims management, case management, 24/7 nurse triage, utilization management, vocational rehabilitation, life care planning, disability management, liability claims management and auto claims management.

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Downloadable PDF version of this valuation:

ModernGraham Valuation of CRVL – February 2017

Stage 1: Is this company suitable for the Defensive Investor or the Enterprising Investor?

What kind of Intelligent Investor are you?

Defensive Investor; must pass 6 out of the following 7 tests.
1. Adequate Size of the Enterprise Market Cap > $2Bil $784,384,456 Fail
2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Current Ratio > 2 1.55 Fail
3. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 10 years prior Pass
4. Dividend Record Dividend Payments for 10 years prior Fail
5. Earnings Growth Increase of 33% in EPS in past 10 years using 3 year averages at beginning and end 64.27% Pass
6. Moderate PEmg Ratio PEmg < 20 28.54 Fail
7. Moderate Price to Assets PB Ratio < 2.5 OR PB*PEmg < 50 5.56 Fail
Enterprising Investor; must pass 4 out of the following 5 tests, or be suitable for the Defensive Investor.
1. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Current Ratio > 1.5 1.55 Pass
2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Debt to NCA < 1.1 0.00 Pass
3. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 5 years prior Pass
4. Dividend Record Currently Pays Dividend Fail
5. Earnings Growth EPSmg greater than 5 years ago Pass

Stage 2: Determination of Intrinsic Value

EPSmg $1.43
MG Growth Estimate 4.62%
MG Value $25.29
Opinion Overvalued
MG Grade C
MG Value based on 3% Growth $20.68
MG Value based on 0% Growth $12.12
Market Implied Growth Rate 10.02%
Current Price $40.70
% of Intrinsic Value 160.93%

CorVel Corporation is suitable for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the small size, low current ratio, poor dividend history, and the high PEmg and PB ratios. The Enterprising Investor is only concerned with the lack of dividends. As a result, all Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Overvalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $1.09 in 2013 to an estimated $1.43 for 2017. This level of demonstrated earnings growth does not support the market’s implied estimate of 10.02% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value below the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into CorVel Corporation revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $15.36. The company does not pay a dividend. Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 28.54, which was below the industry average of 32.29, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $2.09.

CorVel Corporation receives an average overall rating in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring a C.

Stage 3: Information for Further Research

Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) $2.09
Graham Number $15.36
PEmg 28.54
Current Ratio 1.55
PB Ratio 5.56
Current Dividend $0.00
Dividend Yield 0.00%
Number of Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth 0

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Most Recent Balance Sheet Figures

Balance Sheet Information 12/1/2016
Total Current Assets $135,552,000
Total Current Liabilities $87,478,000
Long-Term Debt $0
Total Assets $237,725,000
Intangible Assets $40,774,000
Total Liabilities $94,724,000
Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) 19,549,000

Earnings Per Share History

EPS History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $1.43
Mar2016 $1.43
Mar2015 $1.37
Mar2014 $1.61
Mar2013 $1.19
Mar2012 $1.14
Mar2011 $1.03
Mar2010 $1.03
Mar2009 $0.71
Mar2008 $0.84
Mar2007 $0.65
Mar2006 $0.34
Mar2005 $0.32
Mar2004 $0.49
Mar2003 $0.50
Mar2002 $0.43
Mar2001 $0.38
Mar2000 $0.33
Mar1999 $0.28
Mar1998 $0.24
Mar1997 $0.20

Earnings Per Share – ModernGraham History

EPSmg History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $1.43
Mar2016 $1.40
Mar2015 $1.34
Mar2014 $1.29
Mar2013 $1.09
Mar2012 $1.01
Mar2011 $0.91
Mar2010 $0.81
Mar2009 $0.66
Mar2008 $0.59
Mar2007 $0.47
Mar2006 $0.39
Mar2005 $0.42
Mar2004 $0.46
Mar2003 $0.42
Mar2002 $0.36
Mar2001 $0.32

Recommended Reading:

Other ModernGraham posts about the company

None. This is the first time ModernGraham has covered the company.

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Disclaimer:

The author did not hold a position in any company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours.  See my current holdings here.  This article is not investment advice; any reader should speak to a registered investment adviser prior to making any investment decisions.  ModernGraham is not affiliated with the company in any manner.  Please be sure to review our detailed disclaimer.

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