Franklin Resources Inc Valuation – February 2017 $BEN
Benjamin Graham taught that Intelligent Investors must do a thorough fundamental analysis of investment opportunities to determine their intrinsic value and inherent risk.  This is best done by utilizing a systematic approach to analysis that will provide investors with a sense of how a specific company compares to another company or by reviewing the 10 Stocks for Using A Benjamin Graham Value Investing Strategy – February 2017. By using the ModernGraham method one can review a company’s historical accomplishments and determine an intrinsic value that can be compared across industries.  What follows is a stock analysis showing a specific look at how Franklin Resources Inc (BEN) fares in the ModernGraham valuation model.
Company Profile (obtained from Google Finance): Franklin Resources, Inc. is a holding company. The Company, along with its subsidiaries, operates as Franklin Templeton Investments. It is a global investment management company that provides investment management and related services to retail, institutional and high net-worth clients in jurisdictions around the world. The Company offers its investment products and services under the Franklin, Templeton, Franklin Mutual Series, Franklin Bissett, Fiduciary Trust, Darby, Balanced Equity Management, K2 and LibertyShares brand names. Its products include investment funds and institutional, high net-worth and separately managed accounts (collectively, sponsored investment products (SIPs)). It offers various types of SIPs, such as the United States funds, cross-border funds, local/regional funds, and other managed accounts, alternative investment products and trusts. Its investment funds include the United States-registered funds, non-United States-registered funds and unregistered funds.
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Downloadable PDF version of this valuation:
ModernGraham Valuation of BEN – February 2017
Stage 1: Is this company suitable for the Defensive Investor or the Enterprising Investor?
What kind of Intelligent Investor are you?
| Defensive Investor; must pass 6 out of the following 7 tests. | ||||
| 1. Adequate Size of the Enterprise | Market Cap > $2Bil | $24,175,566,255 | Pass | |
| 2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition | Current Ratio > 2 | 10.84 | Pass | |
| 3. Earnings Stability | Positive EPS for 10 years prior | Pass | ||
| 4. Dividend Record | Dividend Payments for 10 years prior | Pass | ||
| 5. Earnings Growth | Increase of 33% in EPS in past 10 years using 3 year averages at beginning and end | 57.23% | Pass | |
| 6. Moderate PEmg Ratio | PEmg < 20 | 14.02 | Pass | |
| 7. Moderate Price to Assets | PB Ratio < 2.5 OR PB*PEmg < 50 | 2.01 | Pass | |
| Enterprising Investor; must pass 4 out of the following 5 tests, or be suitable for the Defensive Investor. | ||||
| 1. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition | Current Ratio > 1.5 | 10.84 | Pass | |
| 2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition | Debt to NCA < 1.1 | 0.18 | Pass | |
| 3. Earnings Stability | Positive EPS for 5 years prior | Pass | ||
| 4. Dividend Record | Currently Pays Dividend | Pass | ||
| 5. Earnings Growth | EPSmg greater than 5 years ago | Pass | ||
Stage 2: Determination of Intrinsic Value
| EPSmg | $3.04 |
| MG Growth Estimate | 0.94% |
| MG Value | $31.56 |
| Opinion | Overvalued |
| MG Grade | B |
| MG Value based on 3% Growth | $44.06 |
| MG Value based on 0% Growth | $25.83 |
| Market Implied Growth Rate | 2.76% |
| Current Price | $42.60 |
| % of Intrinsic Value | 134.97% |
Franklin Resources, Inc. qualifies for both the Defensive Investor and the Enterprising Investor. In fact, the company meets all of the requirements of both investor types, a rare accomplishment indicative of the company’s strong financial position. . The Enterprising Investor has no initial concerns. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.
As for a valuation, the company appears to be Overvalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $2.86 in 2013 to an estimated $3.04 for 2017. This level of demonstrated earnings growth does not support the market’s implied estimate of 2.76% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value below the price.
At the time of valuation, further research into Franklin Resources, Inc. revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $35.12. The company pays a dividend of $0.74 per share, for a yield of 1.7% Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 14.02, which was below the industry average of 21.33, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $11.77.
Franklin Resources, Inc. performs fairly well in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring a B.
Stage 3: Information for Further Research
| Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) | $11.77 |
| Graham Number | $35.12 |
| PEmg | 14.02 |
| Current Ratio | 10.84 |
| PB Ratio | 2.01 |
| Current Dividend | $0.74 |
| Dividend Yield | 1.74% |
| Number of Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth | 20 |
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Most Recent Balance Sheet Figures
| Balance Sheet Information | 12/1/2016 |
| Total Current Assets | $10,897,600,000 |
| Total Current Liabilities | $1,005,300,000 |
| Long-Term Debt | $1,734,500,000 |
| Total Assets | $16,210,300,000 |
| Intangible Assets | $2,200,400,000 |
| Total Liabilities | $4,245,500,000 |
| Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) | 565,200,000 |
Earnings Per Share History
| EPS History | |
| Next Fiscal Year Estimate | $2.60 |
| Sep2016 | $2.94 |
| Sep2015 | $3.29 |
| Sep2014 | $3.79 |
| Sep2013 | $3.37 |
| Sep2012 | $2.98 |
| Sep2011 | $2.87 |
| Sep2010 | $2.11 |
| Sep2009 | $1.28 |
| Sep2008 | $2.22 |
| Sep2007 | $2.34 |
| Sep2006 | $1.62 |
| Sep2005 | $1.35 |
| Sep2004 | $0.92 |
| Sep2003 | $0.66 |
| Sep2002 | $0.55 |
| Sep2001 | $0.64 |
| Sep2000 | $0.76 |
| Sep1999 | $0.56 |
| Sep1998 | $0.66 |
| Sep1997 | $0.57 |
Earnings Per Share – ModernGraham History
| EPSmg History | |
| Next Fiscal Year Estimate | $3.04 |
| Sep2016 | $3.26 |
| Sep2015 | $3.37 |
| Sep2014 | $3.28 |
| Sep2013 | $2.86 |
| Sep2012 | $2.50 |
| Sep2011 | $2.23 |
| Sep2010 | $1.91 |
| Sep2009 | $1.80 |
| Sep2008 | $1.93 |
| Sep2007 | $1.65 |
| Sep2006 | $1.21 |
| Sep2005 | $0.94 |
| Sep2004 | $0.73 |
| Sep2003 | $0.63 |
| Sep2002 | $0.63 |
| Sep2001 | $0.65 |
Recommended Reading:
Other ModernGraham posts about the company
Other ModernGraham posts about related companies
Disclaimer:
The author did not hold a position in any company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours.  See my current holdings here.  This article is not investment advice; any reader should speak to a registered investment adviser prior to making any investment decisions.  ModernGraham is not affiliated with the company in any manner.  Please be sure to review our detailed disclaimer.
