Oil & Gas Stocks

Gulfport Energy Corp Valuation – Initial Coverage $GPOR

Benjamin Graham taught that Intelligent Investors must do a thorough fundamental analysis of investment opportunities to determine their intrinsic value and inherent risk.  This is best done by utilizing a systematic approach to analysis that will provide investors with a sense of how a specific company compares to another company or by reviewing the 10 Undervalued Stocks for the Enterprising Investor – August 2017.  By using the ModernGraham method one can review a company’s historical accomplishments and determine an intrinsic value that can be compared across industries.  What follows is a stock analysis showing a specific look at how Gulfport Energy Corp (GPOR) fares in the ModernGraham valuation model.

Company Profile (obtained from Google Finance): Gulfport Energy Corporation is an oil and natural gas exploration and production company. The Company focuses on the exploitation and acquisition of natural gas, natural gas liquids and crude oil in the United States. The Company’s properties are located in the Utica Shale in Eastern Ohio and along the Louisiana Gulf Coast in the West Cote Blanche Bay (WCBB) and Hackberry fields. The Company also has an interest in producing properties in Northwestern Colorado in the Niobrara Formation and in Western North Dakota in the Bakken Formation. The Company also holds an acreage position in the Alberta oil sands in Canada through its interest in Grizzly Oil Sands ULC and an interest in an entity that operates in the Phu Horm gas field in Thailand. The Company also owns interests in various fields, which includes Deer Island, Fay South, Crest, Squaw Cheek, Green River Basin and Watonga Chickasha Trend.

GPOR Chart

GPOR data by YCharts

[level-free]
To read the details of this valuation, you must be logged in as a premium member. If you are not a premium member, please consider becoming one.

Premium members can view a full ModernGraham valuation of the company and have access to download a PDF version of the valuation for easy reference. Recent valuations of the components of the Dow Jones Industrial Average are available for free members, including this one of Microsoft Corporation.  In addition, here is a post detailing what can be found within each individual company’s valuation.

Learn More About Premium Membership

[/level-free]
[not-level-free]

Downloadable PDF version of this valuation:

ModernGraham Valuation of GPOR – August 2017

Stage 1: Is this company suitable for the Defensive Investor or the Enterprising Investor?

What kind of Intelligent Investor are you?

Defensive Investor; must pass 6 out of the following 7 tests.
1. Adequate Size of the Enterprise Market Cap > $2Bil $2,196,087,535 Pass
2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Current Ratio > 2 0.63 Fail
3. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 10 years prior Fail
4. Dividend Record Dividend Payments for 10 years prior Fail
5. Earnings Growth Increase of 33% in EPS in past 10 years using 3 year averages at beginning and end 550.18% Pass
6. Moderate PEmg Ratio PEmg < 20 -3.76 Fail
7. Moderate Price to Assets PB Ratio < 2.5 OR PB*PEmg < 50 0.75 Fail
Enterprising Investor; must pass 4 out of the following 5 tests, or be suitable for the Defensive Investor.
1. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Current Ratio > 1.5 0.63 Fail
2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Debt to NCA < 1.1 -9.39 Fail
3. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 5 years prior Fail
4. Dividend Record Currently Pays Dividend Fail
5. Earnings Growth EPSmg greater than 5 years ago Fail

Stage 2: Determination of Intrinsic Value

EPSmg -$3.19
MG Growth Estimate -4.25%
MG Value $0.00
Opinion Overvalued
MG Grade C-
MG Value based on 3% Growth -$46.26
MG Value based on 0% Growth -$27.12
Market Implied Growth Rate -6.13%
Current Price $12.01
% of Intrinsic Value N/A

Gulfport Energy Corporation does not satisfy the requirements of either the Enterprising Investor or the more conservative Defensive Investor.  The Defensive Investor is concerned with the  low current ratio, insufficient earnings stability over the last ten years, and the poor dividend history, and the high PEmg and PB ratios. The Enterprising Investor has concerns regarding the level of debt relative to the current assets, and the lack of earnings stability or growth over the last five years, and the lack of dividends.  As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should explore other opportunities at this time or proceed cautiously with a speculative attitude.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Overvalued after seeing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) decline from $1.6 in 2013 to an estimated $-3.19 for 2017.  This level of negative earnings does not support a positive valuation.As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value below the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Gulfport Energy Corporation revealed the company was trading below its Graham Number of $32.03.  The company does not pay a dividend.  Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was -3.76, which was below the industry average of 63.11, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry.  Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $-11.19.

Gulfport Energy Corporation receives an average overall rating in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring a C-.

Stage 3: Information for Further Research

Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) -$11.19
Graham Number $32.03
PEmg -3.76
Current Ratio 0.63
PB Ratio 0.75
Current Dividend $0.00
Dividend Yield 0.00%
Number of Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth 0

[/not-level-free]

Useful Links:

ModernGraham tagged articles Morningstar
Google Finance MSN Money
Yahoo Finance Seeking Alpha
GuruFocus SEC Filings

Most Recent Balance Sheet Figures

Balance Sheet Information 6/1/2017
Total Current Assets $332,589,000
Total Current Liabilities $524,630,000
Long-Term Debt $1,802,554,000
Total Assets $5,294,155,000
Intangible Assets $0
Total Liabilities $2,379,316,000
Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) 182,842,000

Earnings Per Share History

EPS History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $2.62
Dec2016 -$7.97
Dec2015 -$12.27
Dec2014 $2.88
Dec2013 $1.97
Dec2012 $1.21
Dec2011 $2.20
Dec2010 $1.07
Dec2009 $0.55
Dec2008 -$4.33
Dec2007 $1.01
Dec2006 $0.82
Dec2005 $0.34
Dec2004 $0.28
Dec2003 -$0.02
Dec2002 -$0.06
Dec2001 $0.52
Dec2000 $0.43
Dec1999 $0.13
Dec1998 -$72.35
Dec1997 $171.87

Earnings Per Share – ModernGraham History

EPSmg History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate -$3.19
Dec2016 -$5.01
Dec2015 -$2.62
Dec2014 $2.09
Dec2013 $1.60
Dec2012 $0.99
Dec2011 $0.62
Dec2010 -$0.17
Dec2009 -$0.64
Dec2008 -$0.95
Dec2007 $0.66
Dec2006 $0.41
Dec2005 $0.21
Dec2004 $0.17
Dec2003 $0.15
Dec2002 -$4.60
Dec2001 $2.13

Recommended Reading:

Other ModernGraham posts about the company

None.  This is the first time ModernGraham has covered the company.

Other ModernGraham posts about related companies

Schlumberger Limited Valuation – July 2017 $SLB
Tesco Corporation (USA) Valuation – Initial Coverage $TESO
Southwestern Energy Company Valuation – July 2017 $SWN
Apache Corp Valuation – April 2017 $APA
Anadarko Petroleum Co Valuation – April 2017 $APC
Cenovus Energy Inc Valuation – Initial Coverage $TSE:CVE
Cabot Oil & Gas Corp Valuation – March 2017 $COG
Chevron Corporation Valuation – March 2017 $CVX
CARBO Ceramics Inc Valuation – Initial Coverage $CRR
Concho Resources Inc Valuation – Initial Coverage $CXO

Disclaimer:

The author did not hold a position in any company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours.  See my current holdings here.  This article is not investment advice; any reader should speak to a registered investment adviser prior to making any investment decisions.  ModernGraham is not affiliated with the company in any manner.  Please be sure to review our detailed disclaimer.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.

Back To Top