Defense Stocks

United Technologies Corp Valuation – February 2018 $UTX

Company Profile (obtained from Marketwatch): United Technologies Corp. engages in the provision of products and services to the building systems and aerospace industries worldwide. It operates through the following business segments: Otis; UTC Climate, Controls & Security; Pratt and Whitney; UTC Aerospace Systems; and Other. The Otis segment designs, manufactures, and markets elevators, escalators, moving walkways, and service. The UTC Climate, Controls & Security segment provides heating, ventilating, air conditioning, and refrigeration solutions. The Pratt and Whitney segment offers aircraft engines for the commercial, military, business jet, and general aviation markets. The UTC Aerospace Systems segment comprises aerospace products and aftermarket services for diversified industries worldwide. The Other segment involves other activities. The company was founded in 1934 and is headquartered in Farmington, CT.

UTX Chart

UTX data by YCharts

 

Downloadable PDF version of this valuation:

ModernGraham Valuation of UTX – February 2018

Stage 1: Is this company suitable for the Defensive Investor or the Enterprising Investor?

What kind of Intelligent Investor are you?

Defensive Investor; must pass 6 out of the following 7 tests.
1. Adequate Size of the Enterprise Market Cap > $2Bil $108,345,986,920 Pass
2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Current Ratio > 2 1.35 Fail
3. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 10 years prior Pass
4. Dividend Record Dividend Payments for 10 years prior Pass
5. Earnings Growth Increase of 33% in EPS in past 10 years using 3 year averages at beginning and end 30.59% Fail
6. Moderate PEmg Ratio PEmg < 20 20.36 Fail
7. Moderate Price to Assets PB Ratio < 2.5 OR PB*PEmg < 50 3.65 Fail
Enterprising Investor; must pass 4 out of the following 5 tests, or be suitable for the Defensive Investor.
1. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Current Ratio > 1.5 1.35 Fail
2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Debt to NCA < 1.1 2.95 Fail
3. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 5 years prior Pass
4. Dividend Record Currently Pays Dividend Pass
5. Earnings Growth EPSmg greater than 5 years ago Pass

 

Stage 2: Determination of Intrinsic Value

EPSmg $6.65
MG Growth Estimate 1.31%
MG Value $73.95
Opinion Overvalued
MG Grade C
MG Value based on 3% Growth $96.47
MG Value based on 0% Growth $56.55
Market Implied Growth Rate 5.93%
Current Price $135.47
% of Intrinsic Value 183.20%

United Technologies Corporation does not satisfy the requirements of either the Enterprising Investor or the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the low current ratio, insufficient earnings growth over the last ten years, and the high PEmg and PB ratios. The Enterprising Investor has concerns regarding the level of debt relative to the current assets. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should explore other opportunities at this time or proceed cautiously with a speculative attitude.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Overvalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $6.12 in 2014 to an estimated $6.65 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth does not support the market’s implied estimate of 5.93% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value below the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into United Technologies Corporation revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $75.98. The company pays a dividend of $2.72 per share, for a yield of 2% Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 20.36, which was below the industry average of 32.41, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $-43.16.

United Technologies Corporation receives an average overall rating in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring a C.

Stage 3: Information for Further Research

Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) -$43.16
Graham Number $75.98
PEmg 20.36
Current Ratio 1.35
PB Ratio 3.65
Current Dividend $2.72
Dividend Yield 2.01%
Number of Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth 20

Useful Links:

ModernGraham tagged articles Morningstar
Google Finance MSN Money
Yahoo Finance Seeking Alpha
GuruFocus SEC Filings

Most Recent Balance Sheet Figures

Balance Sheet Information 12/1/2017
Total Current Assets $32,858,000,000
Total Current Liabilities $24,391,000,000
Long-Term Debt $24,989,000,000
Total Assets $96,920,000,000
Intangible Assets $43,793,000,000
Total Liabilities $67,310,000,000
Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) 798,200,000

Earnings Per Share History

EPS History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $6.92
Dec2017 $5.70
Dec2016 $6.12
Dec2015 $8.61
Dec2014 $6.82
Dec2013 $6.25
Dec2012 $5.66
Dec2011 $5.49
Dec2010 $4.74
Dec2009 $4.12
Dec2008 $4.90
Dec2007 $4.27
Dec2006 $3.71
Dec2005 $3.03
Dec2004 $2.64
Dec2003 $4.69
Dec2002 $2.21
Dec2001 $1.92
Dec2000 $1.78
Dec1999 $1.51
Dec1998 $1.27

Earnings Per Share – ModernGraham History

EPSmg History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $6.65
Dec2017 $6.58
Dec2016 $6.91
Dec2015 $7.06
Dec2014 $6.12
Dec2013 $5.60
Dec2012 $5.17
Dec2011 $4.86
Dec2010 $4.48
Dec2009 $4.23
Dec2008 $4.09
Dec2007 $3.68
Dec2006 $3.35
Dec2005 $3.07
Dec2004 $2.95
Dec2003 $2.87
Dec2002 $1.89

Recommended Reading:

Other ModernGraham posts about the company

Dividend Growth Stocks for Intelligent Investors – February 2016
11 Best Stocks For Value Investors This Week – 11/21/15
United Technologies Corp Valuation – November 2015 Update $UTX
26 Companies in the Spotlight This Week – 11/22/14
United Technologies Corporation Annual Valuation – 2014 $UTX

Other ModernGraham posts about related companies

Triumph Group Inc Valuation – Initial Coverage $TGI
Raytheon Company Valuation – April 2017 $RTN
General Dynamics Corp Valuation – March 2017 $GD
TASER International Inc Valuation – Initial Coverage $TASR
Cubic Corporation Valuation – Initial Coverage $CUB
Northrop Grumman Corp Valuation – February 2017 $NOC
Rockwell Collins Inc Valuation – January 2017 $COL
Raytheon Company Valuation – August 2016 $RTN
Rockwell Collins Inc Valuation – August 2016 $COL
L-3 Communications Holdings Inc Valuation – July 2016 $LLL

Disclaimer:

The author did not hold a position in any company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours.  See my current holdings here.  This article is not investment advice; any reader should speak to a registered investment adviser prior to making any investment decisions.  ModernGraham is not affiliated with the company in any manner.  Please be sure to review our detailed disclaimer.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.

Back To Top