Company Profile (obtained from Marketwatch): Signet Jewelers Ltd. engages in retailing of jewelry, watches and associated services. It operates through the following divisions: Sterling Jewelers, Zale and UK Jewelry. The Sterling Jewelers division stores operate in malls and off-mall locations, such as Kay Jewelers, Kay Jewelers Outlet, Jared The Galleria Of Jewelry and Jared Vault. The Zale division consists of Zale Jewelry and Piercing Pagoda. The UK Jewelry division stores operate in shopping malls and off-mall locations, includes H.Samuel and Ernest Jones. The company was founded in 1949 and is headquartered in Hamilton, Bermuda.
Downloadable PDF version of this valuation:
Stage 1: Is this company suitable for the Defensive Investor or the Enterprising Investor?
|Defensive Investor; must pass 6 out of the following 7 tests.|
|1. Adequate Size of the Enterprise||Market Cap > $2Bil||$2,959,236,111||Pass|
|2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition||Current Ratio > 2||2.63||Pass|
|3. Earnings Stability||Positive EPS for 10 years prior||Fail|
|4. Dividend Record||Dividend Payments for 10 years prior||Fail|
|5. Earnings Growth||Increase of 33% in EPS in past 10 years using 3 year averages at beginning and end||-4176.60%||Fail|
|6. Moderate PEmg Ratio||PEmg < 20||8.06||Pass|
|7. Moderate Price to Assets||PB Ratio < 2.5 OR PB*PEmg < 50||1.37||Pass|
|Enterprising Investor; must pass 4 out of the following 5 tests, or be suitable for the Defensive Investor.|
|1. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition||Current Ratio > 1.5||2.63||Pass|
|2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition||Debt to NCA < 1.1||0.32||Pass|
|3. Earnings Stability||Positive EPS for 5 years prior||Pass|
|4. Dividend Record||Currently Pays Dividend||Pass|
|5. Earnings Growth||EPSmg greater than 5 years ago||Pass|
Stage 2: Determination of Intrinsic Value
|MG Growth Estimate||8.60%|
|MG Value based on 3% Growth||$88.01|
|MG Value based on 0% Growth||$51.59|
|Market Implied Growth Rate||-0.22%|
|% of Intrinsic Value||31.35%|
Signet Jewelers Ltd. is suitable for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the insufficient earnings stability or growth over the last ten years, and the poor dividend history. The Enterprising Investor has no initial concerns. As a result, all Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.
As for a valuation, the company appears to be Undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $3.86 in 2014 to an estimated $6.07 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market’s implied estimate of 0.22% annual earnings loss over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.
At the time of valuation, further research into Signet Jewelers Ltd. revealed the company was trading below its Graham Number of $61.99. The company pays a dividend of $1.04 per share, for a yield of 2.1%, putting it among the best dividend paying stocks today. Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 8.06, which was below the industry average of 30.22, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $-3.32.
Signet Jewelers Ltd. fares extremely well in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring an A-.
Stage 3: Information for Further Research
|Net Current Asset Value (NCAV)||-$3.32|
|Number of Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth||6|
|ModernGraham tagged articles||Morningstar|
|Google Finance||MSN Money|
|Yahoo Finance||Seeking Alpha|
Most Recent Balance Sheet Figures
|Balance Sheet Information||10/1/2017|
|Total Current Assets||$3,462,200,000|
|Total Current Liabilities||$1,317,500,000|
|Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)||60,100,000|
Earnings Per Share History
|Next Fiscal Year Estimate||$6.21|
Earnings Per Share – ModernGraham History
|Next Fiscal Year Estimate||$6.07|
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The author did not hold a position in any company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours. See my current holdings here. This article is not investment advice; any reader should speak to a registered investment adviser prior to making any investment decisions. ModernGraham is not affiliated with the company in any manner. Please be sure to review our detailed disclaimer.