Apparel Stocks

Foot Locker Inc Valuation – March 2018 $FL

Company Profile (obtained from Marketwatch): Foot Locker, Inc. engages in the global retail of athletically inspired shoes and apparel. It operates through the following segments: Athletic Stores and Direct-to-Customers. The Athletic Stores segment operates athletic footwear and apparel retailers in the world, with brands that include Foot Locker, Lady Foot Locker, SIX:02, Kids Foot Locker, Champs Sports, Footaction, Runners Point and Sidestep. The Direct-to-Customers segment includes Footlocker.com, Inc. and other affiliates, including Eastbay, Inc., and company’s international ecommerce businesses, which sell to customers through their Internet and mobile sites and catalogs. The company was founded in 1989 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

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Downloadable PDF version of this valuation:

ModernGraham Valuation of FL – March 2018

Stage 1: Is this company suitable for the Defensive Investor or the Enterprising Investor?

What kind of Intelligent Investor are you?

Defensive Investor; must pass 6 out of the following 7 tests.
1. Adequate Size of the Enterprise Market Cap > $2Bil $5,250,626,208 Pass
2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Current Ratio > 2 4.14 Pass
3. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 10 years prior Pass
4. Dividend Record Dividend Payments for 10 years prior Pass
5. Earnings Growth Increase of 33% in EPS in past 10 years using 3 year averages at beginning and end 251.10% Pass
6. Moderate PEmg Ratio PEmg < 20 11.85 Pass
7. Moderate Price to Assets PB Ratio < 2.5 OR PB*PEmg < 50 2.08 Pass
Enterprising Investor; must pass 4 out of the following 5 tests, or be suitable for the Defensive Investor.
1. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Current Ratio > 1.5 4.14 Pass
2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Debt to NCA < 1.1 0.00 Pass
3. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 5 years prior Pass
4. Dividend Record Currently Pays Dividend Pass
5. Earnings Growth EPSmg greater than 5 years ago Pass

 

Stage 2: Determination of Intrinsic Value

EPSmg $3.66
MG Growth Estimate 4.77%
MG Value $65.99
Opinion Undervalued
MG Grade B+
MG Value based on 3% Growth $53.02
MG Value based on 0% Growth $31.08
Market Implied Growth Rate 1.67%
Current Price $43.32
% of Intrinsic Value 65.65%

Foot Locker, Inc. qualifies for both the Defensive Investor and the Enterprising Investor. In fact, the company meets all of the requirements of both investor types, a rare accomplishment indicative of the company’s strong financial position. . The Enterprising Investor has no initial concerns. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $2.77 in 2015 to an estimated $3.66 for 2019. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market’s implied estimate of 1.67% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Foot Locker, Inc. revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $42.1. The company pays a dividend of $1.24 per share, for a yield of 2.9%, putting it among the best dividend paying stocks today. Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 11.85, which was below the industry average of 40.48, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $9.15.

Foot Locker, Inc. performs fairly well in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring a B+.

Stage 3: Information for Further Research

Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) $9.15
Graham Number $42.10
PEmg 11.85
Current Ratio 4.14
PB Ratio 2.08
Current Dividend $1.24
Dividend Yield 2.86%
Number of Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth 7

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Most Recent Balance Sheet Figures

Balance Sheet Information 1/1/2018
Total Current Assets $2,551,000,000
Total Current Liabilities $616,000,000
Long-Term Debt $0
Total Assets $3,961,000,000
Intangible Assets $0
Total Liabilities $1,442,000,000
Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) 121,206,000

Earnings Per Share History

EPS History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $4.00
Jan2018 $2.22
Jan2017 $4.91
Jan2016 $3.84
Jan2015 $3.56
Jan2014 $2.85
Jan2013 $2.58
Jan2012 $1.80
Jan2011 $1.07
Jan2010 $0.30
Jan2009 -$0.52
Jan2008 $0.29
Jan2007 $1.60
Jan2006 $1.68
Jan2005 $1.88
Jan2004 $1.39
Jan2003 $1.05
Jan2002 $0.64
Jan2001 -$1.74
Jan2000 $0.43
Jan1999 -$1.00

Earnings Per Share – ModernGraham History

EPSmg History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $3.66
Jan2018 $3.48
Jan2017 $3.92
Jan2016 $3.26
Jan2015 $2.77
Jan2014 $2.16
Jan2013 $1.56
Jan2012 $0.90
Jan2011 $0.48
Jan2010 $0.34
Jan2009 $0.57
Jan2008 $1.20
Jan2007 $1.61
Jan2006 $1.52
Jan2005 $1.18
Jan2004 $0.67
Jan2003 $0.16

Recommended Reading:

Other ModernGraham posts about the company

Best Stocks Below Their Graham Number – August 2017
10 Undervalued Stocks for the Enterprising Investor – August 2017
10 Undervalued Stocks for the Enterprising Investor – July 2017
6 Best Stocks for Value Investors This Week – 3/11/17
Foot Locker Inc Valuation – Initial Coverage $FL

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Disclaimer:

The author did not hold a position in any company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours.  See my current holdings here.  This article is not investment advice; any reader should speak to a registered investment adviser prior to making any investment decisions.  ModernGraham is not affiliated with the company in any manner.  Please be sure to review our detailed disclaimer.

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