Fluor Corporation Valuation – April 2018 $FLR
Company Profile (excerpt from Reuters): Fluor Corporation (Fluor), incorporated on September 11, 2000, is a holding company. The Company operates its business in four segments: Energy, Chemicals & Mining; Industrial, Infrastructure & Power; Government, and Maintenance, Modification & Asset Integrity (MMAI). The Company, through its subsidiaries, offers professional services providing engineering, procurement, construction, fabrication and modularization, commissioning and maintenance, as well as project management services on a global basis. The Company is an integrated solutions provider for various industries, including oil and gas, chemicals and petrochemicals, mining and metals, transportation, power, life sciences and advanced manufacturing. The Company is also a service provider to the United States federal Government and governments abroad, and it performs operations and maintenance activities around the world for its industrial clients. The Company offers services in various categories, including engineering and design, procurement, construction, fabrication, maintenance, modification and asset integrity and project management. The Company offers these services both independently, as well as through its integrated solutions offerings. Its services range from basic consulting activities, at the early stages of a project, to complete design-build and maintenance contracts.
Downloadable PDF version of this valuation:
ModernGraham Valuation of FLR – April 2018
Stage 1: Is this company suitable for the Defensive Investor or the Enterprising Investor?
What kind of Intelligent Investor are you?
| Defensive Investor; must pass 6 out of the following 7 tests. | ||||
| 1. Adequate Size of the Enterprise | Market Cap > $2Bil | $8,588,816,906 | Pass | |
| 2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition | Current Ratio > 2 | 1.57 | Fail | |
| 3. Earnings Stability | Positive EPS for 10 years prior | Pass | ||
| 4. Dividend Record | Dividend Payments for 10 years prior | Pass | ||
| 5. Earnings Growth | Increase of 33% in EPS in past 10 years using 3 year averages at beginning and end | -28.15% | Fail | |
| 6. Moderate PEmg Ratio | PEmg < 20 | 24.67 | Fail | |
| 7. Moderate Price to Assets | PB Ratio < 2.5 OR PB*PEmg < 50 | 2.52 | Fail | |
| Enterprising Investor; must pass 4 out of the following 5 tests, or be suitable for the Defensive Investor. | ||||
| 1. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition | Current Ratio > 1.5 | 1.57 | Pass | |
| 2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition | Debt to NCA < 1.1 | 0.79 | Pass | |
| 3. Earnings Stability | Positive EPS for 5 years prior | Pass | ||
| 4. Dividend Record | Currently Pays Dividend | Pass | ||
| 5. Earnings Growth | EPSmg greater than 5 years ago | Fail | ||
Stage 2: Determination of Intrinsic Value
| EPSmg | $2.42 |
| MG Growth Estimate | -3.93% |
| MG Value | $1.53 |
| Opinion | Overvalued |
| MG Grade | C |
| MG Value based on 3% Growth | $35.05 |
| MG Value based on 0% Growth | $20.55 |
| Market Implied Growth Rate | 8.09% |
| Current Price | $59.64 |
| % of Intrinsic Value | 3902.24% |
Fluor Corporation (NEW) is suitable for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the low current ratio, insufficient earnings growth over the last ten years, and the high PEmg and PB ratios. The Enterprising Investor is only concerned with the lack of earnings growth over the last five years. As a result, all Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.
As for a valuation, the company appears to be Overvalued after seeing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) decline from $3.28 in 2014 to an estimated $2.42 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth does not support the market’s implied estimate of 8.09% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value below the price.
At the time of valuation, further research into Fluor Corporation (NEW) revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $41.47. The company pays a dividend of $0.84 per share, for a yield of 1.4% Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 24.67, which was below the industry average of 28.14, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $-2.72.
Fluor Corporation (NEW) receives an average overall rating in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring a C.
Stage 3: Information for Further Research
| Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) | -$2.72 |
| Graham Number | $41.47 |
| PEmg | 24.67 |
| Current Ratio | 1.57 |
| PB Ratio | 2.52 |
| Current Dividend | $0.84 |
| Dividend Yield | 1.41% |
| Number of Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth | 0 |
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Most Recent Balance Sheet Figures
| Balance Sheet Information | 12/1/2017 |
| Total Current Assets | $5,601,257,000 |
| Total Current Liabilities | $3,574,170,000 |
| Long-Term Debt | $1,591,598,000 |
| Total Assets | $9,327,692,000 |
| Intangible Assets | $753,035,000 |
| Total Liabilities | $5,985,382,000 |
| Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) | 141,031,000 |
Earnings Per Share History
| EPS History | |
| Next Fiscal Year Estimate | $3.20 |
| Dec2017 | $1.36 |
| Dec2016 | $2.00 |
| Dec2015 | $2.81 |
| Dec2014 | $3.20 |
| Dec2013 | $4.06 |
| Dec2012 | $2.71 |
| Dec2011 | $3.40 |
| Dec2010 | $1.98 |
| Dec2009 | $3.75 |
| Dec2008 | $3.93 |
| Dec2007 | $2.93 |
| Dec2006 | $1.48 |
| Dec2005 | $1.31 |
| Dec2004 | $1.13 |
| Dec2003 | $0.98 |
| Dec2002 | $1.03 |
| Dec2001 | $0.13 |
| Oct2000 | $0.81 |
| Oct1999 | $0.69 |
| Oct1998 | $1.49 |
Earnings Per Share – ModernGraham History
| EPSmg History | |
| Next Fiscal Year Estimate | $2.42 |
| Dec2017 | $2.25 |
| Dec2016 | $2.78 |
| Dec2015 | $3.19 |
| Dec2014 | $3.28 |
| Dec2013 | $3.27 |
| Dec2012 | $2.97 |
| Dec2011 | $3.13 |
| Dec2010 | $2.94 |
| Dec2009 | $3.17 |
| Dec2008 | $2.64 |
| Dec2007 | $1.85 |
| Dec2006 | $1.26 |
| Dec2005 | $1.08 |
| Dec2004 | $0.91 |
| Dec2003 | $0.78 |
| Dec2002 | $0.73 |
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Disclaimer:
The author did not hold a position in any company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours.  See my current holdings here.  This article is not investment advice; any reader should speak to a registered investment adviser prior to making any investment decisions.  ModernGraham is not affiliated with the company in any manner.  Please be sure to review our detailed disclaimer.
