Financial Services Stocks

Equifax Inc Valuation – May 2018 $EFX

Company Profile (excerpt from Reuters): Equifax Inc., incorporated on December 20, 1913, is a global provider of information solutions and human resources business process outsourcing services for businesses, governments and consumers. The Company operates in four segments: U.S. Information Solutions (USIS), International, Workforce Solutions and Global Consumer Solutions. Its products and services are based on databases of consumer and business information derived from various sources, including credit, financial assets, telecommunications and utility payments, employment, income, demographic and marketing data. It uses statistical techniques and software tools to analyze all available data, creating customized insights, decision-making solutions and processing services for its clients. It helps consumers understand, manage and protect their personal information and make more informed financial decisions. It also provides information, technology and services to support debt collections and recovery management.

EFX Chart

EFX data by YCharts

 

Downloadable PDF version of this valuation:

ModernGraham Valuation of EFX – May 2018

Stage 1: Is this company suitable for the Defensive Investor or the Enterprising Investor?

What kind of Intelligent Investor are you?

Defensive Investor; must pass 6 out of the following 7 tests.
1. Adequate Size of the Enterprise Market Cap > $2Bil $13,662,980,946 Pass
2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Current Ratio > 2 0.60 Fail
3. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 10 years prior Pass
4. Dividend Record Dividend Payments for 10 years prior Pass
5. Earnings Growth Increase of 33% in EPS in past 10 years using 3 year averages at beginning and end 153.78% Pass
6. Moderate PEmg Ratio PEmg < 20 23.97 Fail
7. Moderate Price to Assets PB Ratio < 2.5 OR PB*PEmg < 50 4.20 Fail
Enterprising Investor; must pass 4 out of the following 5 tests, or be suitable for the Defensive Investor.
1. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Current Ratio > 1.5 0.60 Fail
2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Debt to NCA < 1.1 -2.80 Fail
3. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 5 years prior Pass
4. Dividend Record Currently Pays Dividend Pass
5. Earnings Growth EPSmg greater than 5 years ago Pass

 

Stage 2: Determination of Intrinsic Value

EPSmg $4.73
MG Growth Estimate 12.49%
MG Value $158.54
Opinion Undervalued
MG Grade D+
MG Value based on 3% Growth $68.64
MG Value based on 0% Growth $40.24
Market Implied Growth Rate 7.74%
Current Price $113.49
% of Intrinsic Value 71.58%

Equifax Inc. does not satisfy the requirements of either the Enterprising Investor or the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the low current ratio, high PEmg and PB ratios. The Enterprising Investor has concerns regarding the level of debt relative to the current assets. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should explore other opportunities at this time or proceed cautiously with a speculative attitude.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $2.58 in 2014 to an estimated $4.73 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market’s implied estimate of 7.74% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Equifax Inc. revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $59.23. The company pays a dividend of $1.56 per share, for a yield of 1.4% Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 23.97, which was above the industry average of 22.78. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $-24.77.

Equifax Inc. scores quite poorly in the ModernGraham grading system, with an overall grade of D+.

Stage 3: Information for Further Research

Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) -$24.77
Graham Number $59.23
PEmg 23.97
Current Ratio 0.60
PB Ratio 4.20
Current Dividend $1.56
Dividend Yield 1.37%
Number of Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth 8

Useful Links:

ModernGraham tagged articles Morningstar
Google Finance MSN Money
Yahoo Finance Seeking Alpha
GuruFocus SEC Filings

Most Recent Balance Sheet Figures

Balance Sheet Information 3/1/2018
Total Current Assets $917,400,000
Total Current Liabilities $1,538,900,000
Long-Term Debt $1,739,600,000
Total Assets $7,196,100,000
Intangible Assets $5,535,500,000
Total Liabilities $3,921,400,000
Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) 121,300,000

Earnings Per Share History

EPS History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $5.90
Dec2017 $4.83
Dec2016 $4.04
Dec2015 $3.55
Dec2014 $2.97
Dec2013 $2.84
Dec2012 $2.22
Dec2011 $1.88
Dec2010 $2.11
Dec2009 $1.83
Dec2008 $2.09
Dec2007 $2.02
Dec2006 $2.12
Dec2005 $1.86
Dec2004 $1.76
Dec2003 $1.20
Dec2002 $1.25
Dec2001 $0.85
Dec2000 $1.68
Dec1999 $1.55
Dec1998 $1.34

Earnings Per Share – ModernGraham History

EPSmg History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $4.73
Dec2017 $3.98
Dec2016 $3.41
Dec2015 $2.96
Dec2014 $2.58
Dec2013 $2.32
Dec2012 $2.05
Dec2011 $1.97
Dec2010 $2.02
Dec2009 $1.98
Dec2008 $2.02
Dec2007 $1.93
Dec2006 $1.80
Dec2005 $1.55
Dec2004 $1.38
Dec2003 $1.23
Dec2002 $1.27

Recommended Reading:

Other ModernGraham posts about the company

Equifax Inc Valuation – February 2017 $EFX
Equifax Inc Valuation – August 2016 $EFX
27 Companies in the Spotlight This Week – 4/4/15
Equifax Inc. Annual Valuation – 2015 $EFX
14 Companies in the Spotlight This Week – 4/5/14

Other ModernGraham posts about related companies

Affiliated Managers Group Inc Valuation – May 2018 $AMG
The Western Union Co Valuation – April 2018 $WU
Northern Trust Corp Valuation – April 2018 $NTRS
Nasdaq Inc Valuation – April 2018 $NDAQ
Leucadia National Corp Valuation – March 2018 $LUK
E*Trade Financial Corp Valuation – March 2018 $ETFC
Cboe Global Markets Inc Valuation – Initial Coverage $CBOE
Raymond James Financial Inc Valuation – March 2018 $RJF
Marsh & McLennan Companies Inc Valuation – March 2018 $MMC
Fidelity National Information Services Inc Valuation – March 2018 $FIS

Disclaimer:

The author did not hold a position in any company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours.  See my current holdings here.  This article is not investment advice; any reader should speak to a registered investment adviser prior to making any investment decisions.  ModernGraham is not affiliated with the company in any manner.  Please be sure to review our detailed disclaimer.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.

Back To Top