Insurance Stocks

Loews Corp Valuation – May 2018 $L

Company Profile (excerpt from Reuters): Loews Corporation, incorporated on November 12, 1969, is a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, is engaged in commercial property and casualty insurance; operation of offshore oil and gas drilling rigs; transportation and storage of natural gas and natural gas liquids, and operation of a chain of hotels. The Company has five segments consisted of its four individual operating subsidiaries, CNA Financial Corporation (CNA), Diamond Offshore Drilling, Inc. (Diamond Offshore), Boardwalk Pipeline Partners, LP (Boardwalk Pipeline) and Loews Hotels Holding Corporation (Loews Hotels), and the Corporate segment.

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Downloadable PDF version of this valuation:

ModernGraham Valuation of L – May 2018

Stage 1: Is this company suitable for the Defensive Investor or the Enterprising Investor?

What kind of Intelligent Investor are you?

Defensive Investor; must pass all 6 of the following tests.
1. Adequate Size of the Enterprise Market Cap > $2Bil $16,429,130,464 Pass
2. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 10 years prior Pass
3. Dividend Record Dividend Payments for 10 years prior Pass
4. Earnings Growth Increase of 33% in EPS in past 10 years using 3 year averages at beginning and end 25.61% Fail
5. Moderate PEmg Ratio PEmg < 20 19.45 Pass
6. Moderate Price to Assets PB Ratio < 2.5 OR PB*PEmg < 50 0.91 Pass
Enterprising Investor; must pass all 3 of the following tests, or be suitable for the Defensive Investor.
1. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 5 years prior Pass
2. Dividend Record Currently Pays Dividend Pass
3. Earnings Growth EPSmg greater than 5 years ago Pass

 

Stage 2: Determination of Intrinsic Value

EPSmg $2.64
MG Growth Estimate 7.43%
MG Value $61.63
Opinion Fairly Valued
MG Grade B
MG Value based on 3% Growth $38.26
MG Value based on 0% Growth $22.43
Market Implied Growth Rate 5.47%
Current Price $51.31
% of Intrinsic Value 83.25%

Loews Corporation is suitable for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the insufficient earnings growth over the last ten years. The Enterprising Investor has no initial concerns. As a result, all Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Fairly Valued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $1.76 in 2014 to an estimated $2.64 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth supports the market’s implied estimate of 5.47% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on Benjamin Graham’s formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value within a margin of safety relative to the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Loews Corporation revealed the company was trading below its Graham Number of $66.51. The company pays a dividend of $0.25 per share, for a yield of 0.5% Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 19.45, which was below the industry average of 31.35, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry.

Loews Corporation performs fairly well in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring a B.

Stage 3: Information for Further Research

Graham Number $66.51
PEmg 19.45
PB Ratio 0.91
Dividend Yield 0.49%
TTM Dividend $0.25
Number of Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth 0

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Most Recent Balance Sheet Figures

Balance Sheet Information 3/1/2018
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation $11,255,000,000
Total Assets $80,786,000,000
Intangible Assets $661,000,000
Total Liabilities $62,254,000,000
Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) 328,720,000

Earnings Per Share History

EPS History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $3.40
Dec2017 $3.45
Dec2016 $1.93
Dec2015 $0.72
Dec2014 $1.55
Dec2013 $1.53
Dec2012 $1.43
Dec2011 $2.62
Dec2010 $3.07
Dec2009 $1.30
Dec2008 $9.05
Dec2007 $3.65
Dec2006 $3.75
Dec2005 $1.72
Dec2004 $1.88
Dec2003 -$1.28
Dec2002 $1.64
Dec2001 -$0.96
Dec2000 $3.10
Dec1999 $0.56
Dec1998 $0.68

Earnings Per Share – ModernGraham History

EPSmg History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $2.64
Dec2017 $2.12
Dec2016 $1.44
Dec2015 $1.32
Dec2014 $1.76
Dec2013 $1.91
Dec2012 $2.57
Dec2011 $3.40
Dec2010 $3.92
Dec2009 $4.19
Dec2008 $5.09
Dec2007 $2.73
Dec2006 $2.02
Dec2005 $0.97
Dec2004 $0.69
Dec2003 $0.27
Dec2002 $1.03

Recommended Reading:

Other ModernGraham posts about the company

Most Overvalued Stocks of the S&P 500 – March 2017
Loews Corporation – February 2017 $L
Loews Corporation Valuation – November 2015 Update $L
The Best Companies of the Retail Industry – August 2015
27 Companies in the Spotlight This Week – 11/8/14

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Disclaimer:

The author did not hold a position in any company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours.  See my current holdings here.  This article is not investment advice; any reader should speak to a registered investment adviser prior to making any investment decisions.  ModernGraham is not affiliated with the company in any manner.  Please be sure to review our detailed disclaimer.

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