Fortune Brands Home & Security Inc Valuation – June 2018 $FBHS
Company Profile (excerpt from Reuters): Fortune Brands Home & Security, Inc., incorporated on June 9, 1988, is a holding company. The Company is a home and security products company. The Company operates through four segments: Cabinets, Plumbing, Doors and Security. The Company sells its products through a range of sales channels, including kitchen and bath dealers, wholesalers oriented toward builders or professional remodelers, industrial and locksmith distributors, do-it-yourself remodeling-oriented home centers and other retail outlets. The Company’s subsidiaries include MasterBrand Cabinets, Inc., Moen Incorporated, Fortune Brands Global Plumbing Group LLC, Fortune Brands Doors, Inc. and Fortune Brands Storage & Security LLC.
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ModernGraham Valuation of FBHS – June 2018
Stage 1: Is this company suitable for the Defensive Investor or the Enterprising Investor?
What kind of Intelligent Investor are you?
| Defensive Investor; must pass 6 out of the following 7 tests. | ||||
| 1. Adequate Size of the Enterprise | Market Cap > $2Bil | $8,451,843,675 | Pass | |
| 2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition | Current Ratio > 2 | 1.44 | Fail | |
| 3. Earnings Stability | Positive EPS for 10 years prior | Fail | ||
| 4. Dividend Record | Dividend Payments for 10 years prior | Fail | ||
| 5. Earnings Growth | Increase of 33% in EPS in past 10 years using 3 year averages at beginning and end | 5038.89% | Pass | |
| 6. Moderate PEmg Ratio | PEmg < 20 | 20.30 | Fail | |
| 7. Moderate Price to Assets | PB Ratio < 2.5 OR PB*PEmg < 50 | 3.74 | Fail | |
| Enterprising Investor; must pass 4 out of the following 5 tests, or be suitable for the Defensive Investor. | ||||
| 1. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition | Current Ratio > 1.5 | 1.44 | Fail | |
| 2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition | Debt to NCA < 1.1 | 3.05 | Fail | |
| 3. Earnings Stability | Positive EPS for 5 years prior | Pass | ||
| 4. Dividend Record | Currently Pays Dividend | Pass | ||
| 5. Earnings Growth | EPSmg greater than 5 years ago | Pass | ||
Stage 2: Determination of Intrinsic Value
| EPSmg | $2.85 |
| MG Growth Estimate | 15.00% |
| MG Value | $109.83 |
| Opinion | Undervalued |
| MG Grade | C- |
| MG Value based on 3% Growth | $41.36 |
| MG Value based on 0% Growth | $24.25 |
| Market Implied Growth Rate | 5.90% |
| Current Price | $57.92 |
| % of Intrinsic Value | 52.74% |
Fortune Brands Home & Security Inc does not satisfy the requirements of either the Enterprising Investor or the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the low current ratio, insufficient earnings stability over the last ten years, and the poor dividend history, and the high PEmg and PB ratios. The Enterprising Investor has concerns regarding the level of debt relative to the current assets. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should explore other opportunities at this time or proceed cautiously with a speculative attitude.
As for a valuation, the company appears to be Undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $0.81 in 2014 to an estimated $2.85 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market’s implied estimate of 5.9% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.
At the time of valuation, further research into Fortune Brands Home & Security Inc revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $37.23. The company pays a dividend of $0.72 per share, for a yield of 1.2% Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 20.3, which was below the industry average of 26.05, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $-10.19.
Fortune Brands Home & Security Inc receives an average overall rating in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring a C-.
Stage 3: Information for Further Research
| Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) | -$10.19 |
| Graham Number | $37.23 |
| PEmg | 20.30 |
| Current Ratio | 1.44 |
| PB Ratio | 3.74 |
| Current Dividend | $0.72 |
| Dividend Yield | 1.24% |
| Number of Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth | 5 |
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| GuruFocus | SEC Filings |
Most Recent Balance Sheet Figures
| Balance Sheet Information | 3/1/2018 |
| Total Current Assets | $1,644,500,000 |
| Total Current Liabilities | $1,140,800,000 |
| Long-Term Debt | $1,538,000,000 |
| Total Assets | $5,552,000,000 |
| Intangible Assets | $3,069,900,000 |
| Total Liabilities | $3,193,700,000 |
| Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) | 152,100,000 |
Earnings Per Share History
| EPS History | |
| Next Fiscal Year Estimate | $3.60 |
| Dec2017 | $3.03 |
| Dec2016 | $2.62 |
| Dec2015 | $1.93 |
| Dec2014 | $0.95 |
| Dec2013 | $1.34 |
| Dec2012 | $0.71 |
| Dec2011 | -$0.23 |
| Dec2010 | $0.41 |
Earnings Per Share – ModernGraham History
| EPSmg History | |
| Next Fiscal Year Estimate | $2.85 |
| Dec2017 | $2.31 |
| Dec2016 | $1.80 |
| Dec2015 | $1.24 |
| Dec2014 | $0.81 |
| Dec2013 | $0.64 |
| Dec2012 | $0.26 |
| Dec2011 | $0.03 |
| Dec2010 | $0.14 |
Recommended Reading:
Other ModernGraham posts about the company
| 6 Best Stocks for Value Investors This Week – 3/11/17 | |
| Fortune Brands Home & Security Inc Valuation – Initial Coverage $FBHS |
Other ModernGraham posts about related companies
Disclaimer:
The author did not hold a position in any company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours.  See my current holdings here.  This article is not investment advice; any reader should speak to a registered investment adviser prior to making any investment decisions.  ModernGraham is not affiliated with the company in any manner.  Please be sure to review our detailed disclaimer.
