Company ProfileÂ (excerpt from Reuters): Owens-Illinois, Inc., incorporated on March 10, 1987, is a manufacturer of glass container products. The Company’s principal product lines are glass containers for the food and beverage industries. The Company’s segments include Europe, North America, Latin America and Asia Pacific. The Company produces glass containers for alcoholic beverages, including beer, flavored malt beverages, spirits and wine. The Company also produces glass packaging for a range of food items, soft drinks, teas, juices and pharmaceuticals. The Company manufactures glass containers in a range of sizes, shapes and colors. The Company also provides engineering support for its glass manufacturing operations through facilities located in the United States, Australia, France, Poland, Colombia and Peru. As of December 31, 2016, the Company had 79 glass manufacturing plants in 23 countries.
Downloadable PDF version of this valuation:
Stage 1: Is this company suitable for the Defensive Investor or the Enterprising Investor?
|Defensive Investor; must pass 6 out of the following 7 tests.|
|1. Adequate Size of the Enterprise||Market Cap > $2Bil||$2,724,866,403||Pass|
|2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition||Current Ratio > 2||1.33||Fail|
|3. Earnings Stability||Positive EPS for 10 years prior||Fail|
|4. Dividend Record||Dividend Payments for 10 years prior||Fail|
|5. Earnings Growth||Increase of 33% in EPS in past 10 years using 3 year averages at beginning and end||-314.64%||Fail|
|6. Moderate PEmg Ratio||PEmg < 20||10.24||Pass|
|7. Moderate Price to Assets||PB Ratio < 2.5 OR PB*PEmg < 50||2.48||Pass|
|Enterprising Investor; must pass 4 out of the following 5 tests, or be suitable for the Defensive Investor.|
|1. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition||Current Ratio > 1.5||1.33||Fail|
|2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition||Debt to NCA < 1.1||8.17||Fail|
|3. Earnings Stability||Positive EPS for 5 years prior||Pass|
|4. Dividend Record||Currently Pays Dividend||Fail|
|5. Earnings Growth||EPSmg greater than 5 years ago||Pass|
Stage 2: Determination of Intrinsic Value
|MG Growth Estimate||15.00%|
|MG Value based on 3% Growth||$23.80|
|MG Value based on 0% Growth||$13.95|
|Market Implied Growth Rate||0.87%|
|% of Intrinsic Value||26.60%|
Owens-Illinois Inc does not satisfy the requirements of either the Enterprising Investor or the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the low current ratio, insufficient earnings stability or growth over the last ten years, and the poor dividend history. The Enterprising Investor has concerns regarding the level of debt relative to the current assets, and the lack of dividends. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should explore other opportunities at this time or proceed cautiously with a speculative attitude.
As for a valuation, the company appears to be Undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $0.64 in 2014 to an estimated $1.64 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market’s implied estimate of 0.87% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.
At the time of valuation, further research into Owens-Illinois Inc revealed the company was trading below its Graham Number of $17.51. The company does not pay a dividend. Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 10.24, which was below the industry average of 22.87, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $-38.71.
Owens-Illinois Inc receives an average overall rating in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring a C+.
Stage 3: Information for Further Research
|Net Current Asset Value (NCAV)||-$38.71|
|Number of Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth||0|
|ModernGraham tagged articles||Morningstar|
|Google Finance||MSN Money|
|Yahoo Finance||Seeking Alpha|
Most Recent Balance Sheet Figures
|Balance Sheet Information||3/1/2018|
|Total Current Assets||$2,768,000,000|
|Total Current Liabilities||$2,078,000,000|
|Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)||165,186,000|
Earnings Per Share History
|Next Fiscal Year Estimate||$2.75|
Earnings Per Share – ModernGraham History
|Next Fiscal Year Estimate||$1.64|
Other ModernGraham posts about the company
|Owens-Illinois Inc Valuation â€“ June 2016 $OI|
|27 Companies in the Spotlight This Week â€“ 2/14/15|
|Owens-Illinois Inc. Annual Valuation â€“ 2015 $OI|
|15 Companies in the Spotlight This Week â€“ 2/8/14|
|Owens-Illinois Inc. (OI) Annual Valuation|
Other ModernGraham posts about related companies
The author did not hold aÂ position in any company mentioned in this articleÂ at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours. Â See my current holdings here. Â This article is not investment advice; any reader should speak to aÂ registeredÂ investment adviser prior to making any investment decisions. Â ModernGraham is not affiliated with the company in any manner. Â Please be sure to review our detailed disclaimer.