Acxiom Corp Valuation – July 2018 $ACXM
Company Profile (excerpt from Reuters): Acxiom Corporation (Acxiom), incorporated on October 28, 1983, is a technology and enablement services company. The Company operates through three business segments: Marketing Services, Audience Solutions, and Connectivity. The Company serves a global client base from locations in the United States, Europe and the Asia-Pacific region. The Company’s client base includes organizations in these regions across industry verticals, including financial, insurance and investment services, automotive, retail, telecommunications, healthcare, travel, entertainment, non-profit and government.
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ModernGraham Valuation of ACXM – July 2018
Stage 1: Is this company suitable for the Defensive Investor or the Enterprising Investor?
What kind of Intelligent Investor are you?
| Defensive Investor; must pass 6 out of the following 7 tests. | ||||
| 1. Adequate Size of the Enterprise | Market Cap > $2Bil | $2,251,525,241 | Pass | |
| 2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition | Current Ratio > 2 | 2.02 | Pass | |
| 3. Earnings Stability | Positive EPS for 10 years prior | Fail | ||
| 4. Dividend Record | Dividend Payments for 10 years prior | Fail | ||
| 5. Earnings Growth | Increase of 33% in EPS in past 10 years using 3 year averages at beginning and end | 0.81% | Fail | |
| 6. Moderate PEmg Ratio | PEmg < 20 | 76.79 | Fail | |
| 7. Moderate Price to Assets | PB Ratio < 2.5 OR PB*PEmg < 50 | 3.25 | Fail | |
| Enterprising Investor; must pass 4 out of the following 5 tests, or be suitable for the Defensive Investor. | ||||
| 1. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition | Current Ratio > 1.5 | 2.02 | Pass | |
| 2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition | Debt to NCA < 1.1 | 1.25 | Fail | |
| 3. Earnings Stability | Positive EPS for 5 years prior | Fail | ||
| 4. Dividend Record | Currently Pays Dividend | Fail | ||
| 5. Earnings Growth | EPSmg greater than 5 years ago | Pass | ||
Stage 2: Determination of Intrinsic Value
| EPSmg | $0.39 |
| MG Growth Estimate | 8.98% |
| MG Value | $10.32 |
| Opinion | Overvalued |
| MG Grade | F |
| MG Value based on 3% Growth | $5.66 |
| MG Value based on 0% Growth | $3.32 |
| Market Implied Growth Rate | 34.15% |
| Current Price | $29.95 |
| % of Intrinsic Value | 290.33% |
Acxiom Corporation does not satisfy the requirements of either the Enterprising Investor or the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the insufficient earnings stability or growth over the last ten years, and the poor dividend history, and the high PEmg and PB ratios. The Enterprising Investor has concerns regarding the level of debt relative to the net current assets, and the lack of earnings stability over the last five years, and the lack of dividends. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should explore other opportunities at this time or proceed cautiously with a speculative attitude.
As for a valuation, the company appears to be Overvalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $0.24 in 2015 to an estimated $0.39 for 2019. This level of demonstrated earnings growth does not support the market’s implied estimate of 34.15% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value below the price.
At the time of valuation, further research into Acxiom Corporation revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $13.89. The company does not pay a dividend. Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 76.79, which was above the industry average of 45.08. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $-1.23.
Acxiom Corporation scores quite poorly in the ModernGraham grading system, with an overall grade of F.
Stage 3: Information for Further Research
| Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) | -$1.23 |
| Graham Number | $13.89 |
| PEmg | 76.79 |
| Current Ratio | 2.02 |
| PB Ratio | 3.25 |
| Current Dividend | $0.00 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.00% |
| Number of Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth | 0 |
Useful Links:
| ModernGraham tagged articles | Morningstar |
| Google Finance | MSN Money |
| Yahoo Finance | Seeking Alpha |
| GuruFocus | SEC Filings |
Most Recent Balance Sheet Figures
| Balance Sheet Information | 3/1/2018 |
| Total Current Assets | $360,345,000 |
| Total Current Liabilities | $178,355,000 |
| Long-Term Debt | $227,837,000 |
| Total Assets | $1,209,253,000 |
| Intangible Assets | $672,604,000 |
| Total Liabilities | $460,158,000 |
| Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) | 81,282,000 |
Earnings Per Share History
| EPS History | |
| Next Fiscal Year Estimate | $0.90 |
| Mar2018 | $0.29 |
| Mar2017 | $0.05 |
| Mar2016 | $0.09 |
| Mar2015 | -$0.14 |
| Mar2014 | $0.12 |
| Mar2013 | $0.75 |
| Mar2012 | $0.96 |
| Mar2011 | -$0.29 |
| Mar2010 | $0.56 |
| Mar2009 | $0.48 |
| Mar2008 | -$0.10 |
| Mar2007 | $0.80 |
| Mar2006 | $0.71 |
| Mar2005 | $0.74 |
| Mar2004 | $0.64 |
| Mar2003 | $0.24 |
| Mar2002 | -$0.36 |
| Mar2001 | $0.07 |
| Mar2000 | $1.00 |
| Mar1999 | -$0.19 |
Earnings Per Share – ModernGraham History
| EPSmg History | |
| Next Fiscal Year Estimate | $0.39 |
| Mar2018 | $0.12 |
| Mar2017 | $0.08 |
| Mar2016 | $0.18 |
| Mar2015 | $0.24 |
| Mar2014 | $0.43 |
| Mar2013 | $0.55 |
| Mar2012 | $0.41 |
| Mar2011 | $0.19 |
| Mar2010 | $0.45 |
| Mar2009 | $0.44 |
| Mar2008 | $0.46 |
| Mar2007 | $0.71 |
| Mar2006 | $0.57 |
| Mar2005 | $0.42 |
| Mar2004 | $0.28 |
| Mar2003 | $0.12 |
Recommended Reading:
Other ModernGraham posts about the company
| Acxiom Corporation Valuation – November 2016 $ACXM | |
| 5 Speculative and Overvalued Companies to Avoid – August 2015 | |
| Acxiom Corporation Analysis – Initial Coverage $ACXM |
Other ModernGraham posts about related companies
Disclaimer:
The author did not hold a position in any company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours.  See my current holdings here.  This article is not investment advice; any reader should speak to a registered investment adviser prior to making any investment decisions.  ModernGraham is not affiliated with the company in any manner.  Please be sure to review our detailed disclaimer.
