IT Hardware Stocks

CEVA Inc Valuation – July 2018 $CEVA

Company Profile (excerpt from Reuters): CEVA, Inc. (CEVA), incorporated on December 3, 2003, is a licensor of signal processing intellectual property (IP). The Company partners with semiconductor companies and original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) to create connected devices for a range of end markets, including mobile, consumer, automotive, industrial and Internet of things (IoT). The Company operates through the licensing of intellectual property to semiconductor companies and electronic equipment manufacturers segment. CEVA addresses the requirements of the mobile, consumer, automotive, industrial and IoT markets by designing and licensing a range of application-specific signal processing platforms, which enable the design of solutions for developing a range of applications, including communications and connectivity, audio and voice, imaging and vision, and storage.

 

Downloadable PDF version of this valuation:

ModernGraham Valuation of CEVA – July 2018

Stage 1: Is this company suitable for the Defensive Investor or the Enterprising Investor?

What kind of Intelligent Investor are you?

Defensive Investor; must pass 6 out of the following 7 tests.
1. Adequate Size of the Enterprise Market Cap > $2Bil $673,297,677 Fail
2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Current Ratio > 2 6.98 Pass
3. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 10 years prior Fail
4. Dividend Record Dividend Payments for 10 years prior Fail
5. Earnings Growth Increase of 33% in EPS in past 10 years using 3 year averages at beginning and end 26.04% Fail
6. Moderate PEmg Ratio PEmg < 20 49.19 Fail
7. Moderate Price to Assets PB Ratio < 2.5 OR PB*PEmg < 50 2.65 Fail
Enterprising Investor; must pass 4 out of the following 5 tests, or be suitable for the Defensive Investor.
1. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Current Ratio > 1.5 6.98 Pass
2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Debt to NCA < 1.1 0.00 Pass
3. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 5 years prior Fail
4. Dividend Record Currently Pays Dividend Fail
5. Earnings Growth EPSmg greater than 5 years ago Pass

 

Stage 2: Determination of Intrinsic Value

EPSmg $0.62
MG Growth Estimate 13.76%
MG Value $22.18
Opinion Overvalued
MG Grade D
MG Value based on 3% Growth $8.93
MG Value based on 0% Growth $5.24
Market Implied Growth Rate 20.34%
Current Price $30.30
% of Intrinsic Value 136.59%

CEVA, Inc. does not satisfy the requirements of either the Enterprising Investor or the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the small size, insufficient earnings stability or growth over the last ten years, and the poor dividend history, and the high PEmg and PB ratios. The Enterprising Investor has concerns regarding the lack of earnings stability over the last five years, and the lack of dividends. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should explore other opportunities at this time or proceed cautiously with a speculative attitude.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Overvalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $0.32 in 2014 to an estimated $0.62 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth does not support the market’s implied estimate of 20.34% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value below the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into CEVA, Inc. revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $14.12. The company does not pay a dividend. Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 49.19, which was below the industry average of 53.59, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $5.9.

CEVA, Inc. scores quite poorly in the ModernGraham grading system, with an overall grade of D.

Stage 3: Information for Further Research

Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) $5.90
Graham Number $14.12
PEmg 49.19
Current Ratio 6.98
PB Ratio 2.65
Current Dividend $0.00
Dividend Yield 0.00%
Number of Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth 0

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Most Recent Balance Sheet Figures

Balance Sheet Information 3/1/2018
Total Current Assets $164,326,000
Total Current Liabilities $23,543,000
Long-Term Debt $0
Total Assets $286,542,000
Intangible Assets $50,195,000
Total Liabilities $33,727,000
Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) 22,148,000

Earnings Per Share History

EPS History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $0.77
Dec2017 $0.75
Dec2016 $0.61
Dec2015 $0.30
Dec2014 -$0.04
Dec2013 $0.30
Dec2012 $0.59
Dec2011 $0.77
Dec2010 $0.51
Dec2009 $0.41
Dec2008 $0.42
Dec2007 $0.06
Dec2006 -$0.01
Dec2005 -$0.12
Dec2004 $0.09
Dec2003 -$0.66
Dec2002 -$2.15
Dec2001 $1.15
Dec2000 $1.03

Earnings Per Share – ModernGraham History

EPSmg History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $0.62
Dec2017 $0.49
Dec2016 $0.35
Dec2015 $0.28
Dec2014 $0.32
Dec2013 $0.51
Dec2012 $0.59
Dec2011 $0.53
Dec2010 $0.37
Dec2009 $0.25
Dec2008 $0.14
Dec2007 -$0.04
Dec2006 -$0.25
Dec2005 -$0.36
Dec2004 -$0.35
Dec2003 -$0.43
Dec2002 -$0.20

Recommended Reading:

Other ModernGraham posts about the company

5 of the Worst Stocks to Invest In – December 2016
CEVA Inc Valuation – Initial Coverage $CEVA

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Disclaimer:

The author did not hold a position in any company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours.  See my current holdings here.  This article is not investment advice; any reader should speak to a registered investment adviser prior to making any investment decisions.  ModernGraham is not affiliated with the company in any manner.  Please be sure to review our detailed disclaimer.

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