REIT Stocks

Sabra Health Care REIT Inc Valuation – July 2018 $SBRA

Company Profile (excerpt from Reuters): Sabra Health Care REIT, Inc., incorporated on May 10, 2010, is a real estate investment trust. The Company, through its subsidiaries, owns and invests in real estate serving the healthcare industry. The Company’s segment includes investments in healthcare-related real estate properties. The Company’s primary business consists of acquiring, financing and owning real estate property to be leased to third-party tenants in the healthcare sector. As of December 31, 2016, the Company’s investment portfolio consisted of 183 real estate properties held for investment (consisting of 97 skilled nursing/transitional care facilities, 85 senior housing facilities and one acute care hospital); 10 investments in loans receivable (consisting of four mortgage loans, one construction loan, one mezzanine loan, three pre-development loans and one debtor-in-possession (DIP) loan) and 12 preferred equity investments.

 

Downloadable PDF version of this valuation:

ModernGraham Valuation of SBRA – July 2018

Stage 1: Is this company suitable for the Defensive Investor or the Enterprising Investor?

What kind of Intelligent Investor are you?

Defensive Investor; must pass 6 out of the following 7 tests.
1. Adequate Size of the Enterprise Market Cap > $2Bil $3,971,824,677 Pass
2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Current Ratio > 2 1.31 Fail
3. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 10 years prior Fail
4. Dividend Record Dividend Payments for 10 years prior Fail
5. Earnings Growth Increase of 33% in EPS in past 10 years using 3 year averages at beginning and end 744.19% Pass
6. Moderate PEmg Ratio PEmg < 20 18.31 Pass
7. Moderate Price to Assets PB Ratio < 2.5 OR PB*PEmg < 50 1.14 Pass
Enterprising Investor; must pass 4 out of the following 5 tests, or be suitable for the Defensive Investor.
1. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Current Ratio > 1.5 1.31 Fail
2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Debt to NCA < 1.1 54.52 Fail
3. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 5 years prior Pass
4. Dividend Record Currently Pays Dividend Pass
5. Earnings Growth EPSmg greater than 5 years ago Pass

 

Stage 2: Determination of Intrinsic Value

EPSmg $1.19
MG Growth Estimate 14.72%
MG Value $45.30
Opinion Undervalued
MG Grade B-
MG Value based on 3% Growth $17.31
MG Value based on 0% Growth $10.15
Market Implied Growth Rate 4.90%
Current Price $21.86
% of Intrinsic Value 48.26%

Sabra Health Care REIT Inc does not satisfy the requirements of either the Enterprising Investor or the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the low current ratio, insufficient earnings stability over the last ten years, and the poor dividend history. The Enterprising Investor has concerns regarding the level of debt relative to the current assets. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should explore other opportunities at this time or proceed cautiously with a speculative attitude.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $0.6 in 2014 to an estimated $1.19 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market’s implied estimate of 4.9% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Sabra Health Care REIT Inc revealed the company was trading below its Graham Number of $23.82. The company pays a dividend of $1.73 per share, for a yield of 7.9%, putting it among the best dividend paying stocks today. Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 18.31, which was below the industry average of 49.54, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $-18.48.

Sabra Health Care REIT Inc performs fairly well in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring a B-.

Stage 3: Information for Further Research

Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) -$18.48
Graham Number $23.82
PEmg 18.31
Current Ratio 1.31
PB Ratio 1.14
Current Dividend $1.73
Dividend Yield 7.91%
Number of Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth 7

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Most Recent Balance Sheet Figures

Balance Sheet Information 3/1/2018
Total Current Assets $258,550,000
Total Current Liabilities $196,897,000
Long-Term Debt $3,361,106,000
Total Assets $6,984,569,000
Intangible Assets $161,423,000
Total Liabilities $3,558,003,000
Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) 178,516,000

Earnings Per Share History

EPS History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $1.31
Dec2017 $1.40
Dec2016 $0.92
Dec2015 $1.11
Dec2014 $0.78
Dec2013 $0.68
Dec2012 $0.52
Dec2011 $0.43

Earnings Per Share – ModernGraham History

EPSmg History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $1.19
Dec2017 $1.08
Dec2016 $0.88
Dec2015 $0.81
Dec2014 $0.60
Dec2013 $0.45
Dec2012 $0.29
Dec2011 $0.14

Recommended Reading:

Other ModernGraham posts about the company

10 Best Dividend Paying Stocks for the Enterprising Investor – January 2017
10 Best Dividend Paying Stocks for the Enterprising Investor – December 2016
8 Best Stocks for Value Investors of the Week – 12/10/16
10 Stocks for Using A Benjamin Graham Value Investing Strategy – December 2016
Sabra Health Care REIT Inc Valuation – Initial Coverage $SBRA

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Disclaimer:

The author did not hold a position in any company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours.  See my current holdings here.  This article is not investment advice; any reader should speak to a registered investment adviser prior to making any investment decisions.  ModernGraham is not affiliated with the company in any manner.  Please be sure to review our detailed disclaimer.

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