Conglomerates Stocks

ITT Inc Valuation – July 2018 $ITT

Company Profile (excerpt from Reuters): ITT Inc., incorporated on January 1, 2016, is a manufacturer of engineered critical components and customized technology solutions for the energy, transportation and industrial markets. The Company operates through four segments: Industrial Process (IP), Motion Technologies (MT), Interconnect Solutions (ICS) and Control Technologies (CT). The Company manufactures components that are integral to the operation of systems and manufacturing processes in these markets. The Company’s brands include Goulds Pumps, Bornemann, Engineered Valves, Cannon, VEAM, BIW Connector Systems, KONI, Wolverine, Enidine, Environmental Control Systems and ITT.

 

Downloadable PDF version of this valuation:

ModernGraham Valuation of ITT – July 2018

Stage 1: Is this company suitable for the Defensive Investor or the Enterprising Investor?

What kind of Intelligent Investor are you?

Defensive Investor; must pass 6 out of the following 7 tests.
1. Adequate Size of the Enterprise Market Cap > $2Bil $4,896,148,000 Pass
2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Current Ratio > 2 1.58 Fail
3. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 10 years prior Fail
4. Dividend Record Dividend Payments for 10 years prior Pass
5. Earnings Growth Increase of 33% in EPS in past 10 years using 3 year averages at beginning and end -55.40% Fail
6. Moderate PEmg Ratio PEmg < 20 22.96 Fail
7. Moderate Price to Assets PB Ratio < 2.5 OR PB*PEmg < 50 2.98 Fail
Enterprising Investor; must pass 4 out of the following 5 tests, or be suitable for the Defensive Investor.
1. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Current Ratio > 1.5 1.58 Pass
2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Debt to NCA < 1.1 0.00 Pass
3. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 5 years prior Pass
4. Dividend Record Currently Pays Dividend Pass
5. Earnings Growth EPSmg greater than 5 years ago Fail

 

Stage 2: Determination of Intrinsic Value

EPSmg $2.42
MG Growth Estimate -1.72%
MG Value $12.23
Opinion Overvalued
MG Grade C
MG Value based on 3% Growth $35.12
MG Value based on 0% Growth $20.59
Market Implied Growth Rate 7.23%
Current Price $55.62
% of Intrinsic Value 454.69%

ITT Inc is suitable for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the low current ratio, insufficient earnings stability or growth over the last ten years, and the high PEmg and PB ratios. The Enterprising Investor is only concerned with the lack of earnings growth over the last five years. As a result, all Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Overvalued after seeing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) decline from $2.74 in 2014 to an estimated $2.42 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth does not support the market’s implied estimate of 7.23% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value below the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into ITT Inc revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $35.24. The company pays a dividend of $0.51 per share, for a yield of 0.9% Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 22.96, which was below the industry average of 30.22, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $-6.89.

ITT Inc receives an average overall rating in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring a C.

Stage 3: Information for Further Research

Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) -$6.89
Graham Number $35.24
PEmg 22.96
Current Ratio 1.58
PB Ratio 2.98
Current Dividend $0.51
Dividend Yield 0.92%
Number of Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth 5

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Most Recent Balance Sheet Figures

Balance Sheet Information 3/1/2018
Total Current Assets $1,598,000,000
Total Current Liabilities $1,009,100,000
Long-Term Debt $0
Total Assets $3,871,500,000
Intangible Assets $1,086,900,000
Total Liabilities $2,211,000,000
Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) 89,000,000

Earnings Per Share History

EPS History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $3.05
Dec2017 $1.28
Dec2016 $2.07
Dec2015 $3.88
Dec2014 $1.99
Dec2013 $5.29
Dec2012 $1.33
Dec2011 -$1.40
Dec2010 $8.75
Dec2009 $7.00
Dec2008 $8.66
Dec2007 $8.06
Dec2006 $6.20
Dec2005 $3.82
Dec2004 $4.58
Dec2003 $4.30
Dec2002 $4.06
Dec2001 $3.05
Dec2000 $2.94
Dec1999 $2.53
Dec1998 $13.55

Earnings Per Share – ModernGraham History

EPSmg History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $2.42
Dec2017 $2.37
Dec2016 $2.92
Dec2015 $2.97
Dec2014 $2.74
Dec2013 $3.47
Dec2012 $3.33
Dec2011 $4.96
Dec2010 $8.00
Dec2009 $7.34
Dec2008 $7.09
Dec2007 $6.00
Dec2006 $4.85
Dec2005 $4.10
Dec2004 $4.09
Dec2003 $3.69
Dec2002 $4.00

Recommended Reading:

Other ModernGraham posts about the company

ITT Inc Valuation – Initial Coverage $ITT

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3M Co. Valuation – December 2016 $MMM

Disclaimer:

The author did not hold a position in any company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours.  See my current holdings here.  This article is not investment advice; any reader should speak to a registered investment adviser prior to making any investment decisions.  ModernGraham is not affiliated with the company in any manner.  Please be sure to review our detailed disclaimer.

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